Anatomic predictors for late mortality after standard endovascular aneurysm repair

ObjectiveAbdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) management involves a decision process that takes into account anatomic characteristics, surgical risks, patients' preferences, and expected survival. Whereas larger AAA diameter has been associated with increased mortality after both standard endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) and open repair, it is unclear whether survival after EVAR is influenced by other anatomic characteristics. The purpose of this study was to determine the importance of baseline anatomic features on survival after EVAR.MethodsAll patients treated at a tertiary teaching center with EVAR for intact standard infrarenal AAA from 2000 to 2014 were included. The civil data registry was queried to determine survival status; causes of death were obtained from death certificates. The primary study end point was to determine the impact of baseline morphologic features on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality after EVAR.ResultsThis study included 404 EVAR patients (12.1% women; mean age, 73 years) with a median follow-up of 5.8 years (interquartile range, 3.1-7.4 years). The 5- and 10-year overall survival rates for the entire population after EVAR were 70% (95% confidence interval [CI], 66%-75%) and 43% (95% CI, 37%-50%), respectively. Only AAA diameter >70 mm (hazard ratio [HR], 1.75; 95% CI, 1.20-3.56) was identified as an independent anatomic predictor of all-cause mortality. Death due to cardiovascular causes occurred in 60 (38.5%) patients. Aneurysm-related mortality was responsible for six of the cardiovascular-related deaths. In multivariable analysis, both neck diameter ≥30 mm (HR, 2.16; 95% CI, 1.05-4.43) and AAA diameter >70 mm (HR, 2.45; 95% CI, 1.34-4.46) were identified as independent morphologic risk factors for cardiovascular mortality, whereas >25% circumferential neck thrombus (HR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.13-0.77) was protective.ConclusionsThis study suggests that patients with AAA diameters >70 mm are at increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. In addition, patients with infrarenal neck diameters ≥30 mm have a greater risk of cardiovascular mortality, although AAA-related deaths were not more frequent in this group of patients. Consequently, a more aggressive management of cardiovascular medical comorbidities may be warranted to improve survival after standard EVAR in these patients.     

Gender aspects on survival among patients admitted to hospital with suspected or diagnosed heart failure

Objectives and design. There are conflicting data on gender differences in survival among heart failure (HF) patients. We prospectively assessed gender differences in survival among 930 consecutive patients (464 [49.9%] women, mean age 76.1±10.1 years), admitted to hospital with suspected or diagnosed HF. Results. Overall, women had lower unadjusted mortality hazard ratio (HR) than men: HR 0.827; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.690–0.992; p=0.040. Adjusted HR was 0.786; 95% CI 0.601–1.028; p=0.079. Unadjusted mortality was significantly higher among patients with a discharge HF diagnosis, compared to those without: HR 1.330; 95% CI 1.107–1.597; p=0.002; adjusted p=0.289. Women and men with a discharge HF diagnosis had similar survival: unadjusted HR 1.052; 95% CI 0.829–1.336; p=0.674; adjusted HR 0.875; 95% CI 0.625–1.225; p=0.437. Women had lower mortality risk among patients without a discharge HF diagnosis: HR 0.630, 95% CI 0.476–0.833, p=0.001; adjusted HR 0.611, p=0.036. Conclusion. Prognosis was poor among patients hospitalised with suspected or diagnosed HF. Among all patients, women had better survival, whereas both sexes had similar survival when the HF diagnosis was certified.     

Different disease profiles for women and men with abdominal aortic aneurysms.

OBJECTIVE: The overall aim with this study was to investigate causes of death and mortality rates for women and men treated for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in Sweden. MATERIALS AND METHOD: All patients treated for ruptured and non-ruptured AAA 1987-2002 in Sweden were identified in national registries (n=12917). Age, sex, diagnosis, surgical procedure and mortality were analysed on a patient specific level. Logistic regression and analysis of standardised mortality rates (SMR) were performed. RESULTS: Post operative mortality was similar between the sexes. Age (p<0.0001), and surgery for rupture (p=0.0005), but not gender (p=0.65) were significant risk factor for poor long term survival. SMR revealed increased risk for both sexes compared to the population with significantly higher values for women than men (2.26, CI 2.10-2.43 vs. 1.63, CI 1.57-1.68, p<0.0001). The higher risk for women could be explained by the higher risk for aneurysm related death (ie.thoracic or abdominal aorta) compared to men (Hazard ratio 1.57 vs. 1.0, p<0.0001). CONCLUSION: Women do not have an increased surgical risk compared to men, but treated women have an increased risk of premature death compared to men and women in the population. They also have a higher risk for aneurysm related death compared to men with AAA.     

The impact of gender on presentation, therapy, and mortality of abdominal aortic aneurysm in the United States, 2001-2004

INTRODUCTION: The elective repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) may decrease a patient's risk of rupture and confers a significantly lower in-hospital mortality rate than emergency repair. Previous works have shown that AAA rupture rates are higher in women compared to men, and that women have higher associated in-hospital mortality rates. This study was performed to evaluate, currently, to what extent patient gender influences presentation and treatment of AAA and the associated outcomes in the United States. METHODS: The Nationwide Inpatient Sample was used, with pertinent ICD-9 codes, to identify all patient-discharges that occurred with the primary diagnosis of intact (iAAA) or ruptured/dissecting (rAAA) abdominal aortic aneurysms between the years 2001 and 2004. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses of variables were performed. RESULTS: An estimated 220,403 AAA patient-discharges were identified during the study period. 37,016 (17%) patients presented with rAAA. A higher percentage of women with AAA presented with rupture compared to men (21% vs 16%; odds ratio [OR] 1.40, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27-1.54). This rupture rate did not significantly change from 2001 to 2004 (P = .85 for trend). For iAAA, women had higher odds of in-hospital mortality than men (OR 1.60; 95% CI, 1.24-2.07). Compared to men, in-hospital mortality rates for women with iAAA were higher for both endovascular (2.1% vs 0.83%, P < .0001) and open repairs (6.1% vs 4.0%, P < .0001). For iAAA, fewer women underwent endovascular repair (32.4% vs 46.7%, P < .0001; O.R. 0.59, 95% CI, 0.52-0.67). For patients who presented with rAAA, women were less likely to undergo surgical intervention compared to men (59% vs 70%, P < .0001). For those that underwent repair, women had higher in-hospital mortality rates than men (43% vs 36%, P < .0001; OR 1.49, 95% CI, 1.16-1.91). CONCLUSION: A higher percentage of women currently present with aneurysm rupture. They have higher in-hospital mortality rates for both iAAA and rAAA. This gender difference in the outcomes following repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm has persisted over time, the cause of which is not explained by these or previous data, a fact that warrants further investigation.     

Anemia is associated with abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) size and decreased long-term survival after endovascular AAA repair

OBJECTIVE: Anemia is a common comorbid condition in various inflammatory states and an established predictor of mortality in patients with chronic heart failure, ischemic heart disease, and end-stage renal disease. The present study of patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) undergoing endovascular repair (EVAR) assessed the relationships between baseline hemoglobin concentration and AAA size, as well as anemia and long-term survival. METHODS: Between March 1994 and November 2006, 711 patients (65 women, mean age 75.8 +/- 7.8 years) underwent elective EVAR. Anemia was defined as a hemoglobin level <13 g/dL in men and <12 g/dL in women. Post-EVAR mean follow-up was 48.3 +/- 32.0 months. Association of hemoglobin level with AAA size was assessed with multiple linear regression. Mortality was determined with use of the internet-based Social Security Death Index and the electronic hospital record. Kaplan-Meier survival curves of anemic and nonanemic patient groups were compared by the log-rank method. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to determine the influence of anemia on vital status after EVAR. RESULTS: A total of 218/711 (30.7%) of AAA patients undergoing EVAR had anemia at baseline. After adjustment for various risk factors, hemoglobin level was inversely related to maximum AAA diameter (beta: - .144, 95%-CI: -1.482 - .322, P = .002). Post-EVAR survival was 65.5% at 5 years and 44.4% at 10 years. In long-term follow-up, survival was significantly lower in patients with anemia as compared to patients without anemia (P < .0001 by log-rank). Baseline hemoglobin levels were independently related to long-term mortality in multivariable Cox regression analysis adjusted for various risk factors (adjusted HR: 0.866, 95% CI: .783 to .958, P = .005). Within this model, statin use (adjusted HR: .517, 95% CI: .308 to .868, P = .013) was independently related to long-term survival, whereas baseline AAA diameter (adjusted HR: 1.022, 95% CI: 1.009 to 1.036, P = .001) was an independently associated with increased mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline hemoglobin concentration is independently associated with AAA size and reduced long-term survival following EVAR. Thus, the presence or absence of anemia offers a potential refinement of existing risk stratification instruments.     

High bone turnover is an independent predictor of mortality in the frail elderly.

Osteoporotic fractures are associated with accelerated bone turnover and excess mortality. In a prospective study of 1112 frail subjects (79% female; mean age, 86 years), high bone turnover was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality. This association seemed to be mainly manifested in deaths from cardiovascular causes. INTRODUCTION: Osteoporotic fractures are associated with accelerated bone turnover and excess mortality. In a prospective cohort study of elderly men and women, we assessed whether the rate of bone turnover measured by markers of bone remodeling is a direct predictor of mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We measured serum concentrations of the aminoterminal propeptide of type I collagen (PINP), a marker of bone formation, and of the carboxyterminal telopeptide of type I collagen (CTX-I), a marker of bone resorption, along with serum PTH and 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] levels in 1112 subjects (79% female; mean age, 86 years) living in residential care. Co-morbidity was measured using the Implicit Illness Severity Scale. Fracture data were validated by a radiology report. Mortality and causes of death were ascertained from death certificates. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 817 days, 559 (50.3%) subjects died. In univariate analyses, time to death from all causes was significantly (p < 0.01) associated with age (HR = 1.62 per 10 years), male sex (HR = 1.33), immobility (HR = 1.94), co-morbidity (HR = 0.31, mild versus severe), lower weight (HR = 0.83 per 10-kg increase), impaired cognitive function (HR = 2.14, severe versus normal), number of medications (HR = 1.05 each), hip fracture (HR = 2.26), log serum creatinine (HR = 1.67), log PTH (HR = 1.29), CTX-I (HR = 1.70, highest 25% versus lowest 75%), and PINP (HR = 1.46, highest 25% versus lowest 75%). In multivariate analysis adjusting for age, sex, immobility, co-morbidity, weight, cognitive function, number of medications, PTH, and hip fracture status, the highest quartile was significantly more likely to die than the rest for both serum CTX-I (HR = 1.39; 95% CI: 1.14-1.70; p = 0.002) and PINP (HR = 1.25; 95% CI: 1.02-1.52; p = 0.03). For individual causes of death, CTX-I was significantly associated with deaths from cardiac causes (HR = 1.78: 95% CI: 1.27-2.50; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that in the frail elderly, high bone turnover is associated with all cause mortality independently of age, sex, health status, serum PTH levels, and hip fracture status. The mechanism of the effect of bone turnover on mortality seems to be mainly manifested in deaths from cardiovascular causes.     

High-risk and low-risk screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm both reduce aneurysm-related mortality. A stratified analysis from a single-centre randomised screening trial.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular diseases and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are both associated with abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA). The aim of this study was therefore to analyse whether screening for AAA could be restricted to men with such diseases (high risk group). METHODS: Before the date of randomisation of a population screening trial of 12,639 64-73-year-old males, all discharge diagnoses from the National Patient Registry concerning AAA-related diseases were merged with the screening results on attendance, AAA prevalence, and AAA-related mortality and overall mortality. Differences in proportions were compared by Chi square tests and differences in mortality by Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: The attendance rate was 78.8% and 6.7% had an AAA in the high risk group compared to 75.8% attendance (P<0.001) and 2.9% (P<0.001) in the remaining population. Cumulatively, screening of only high risk men with would have required 72.9% (95% C.I.: 72.3-74.5%) fewer screening invitations, would have discovered 46.1% (95% C.I.: 38.9-53.4%) of the AAA cases diagnosed and prevented 46.7% (95% C.I.: 28.3-65.7%) of the AAA-related deaths. However, screening decreased AAA-related mortality both among men with and without known COPD or cardiovascular diseases: mortality ratio: 0.22 (95% C.I.: 0.08-0.65), P=0.006, and 0.24 (95% C.I: 0.09-0.63, P=0.004, respectively. CONCLUSION: High-risk population screening would prevent less than half of AAA-related deaths. Therefore, restricting screening to such high-risk groups does not seem justified, but cost effectiveness analyses are needed to reach a firm conclusion.     

Adjusting surgical mortality rates for patient comorbidities: more harm than good?

Background. Studies of medical admissions have questioned the validity of using claims data to adjust for preexisting medical conditions (comorbidities), but the impact of using comorbidities from claims data to risk-adjust mortality rates for high-risk surgery is not well characterized. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between comorbidities and mortality in administrative data in surgical populations and identify better risk-adjustment methods. Methods. Using the national Medicare database (1994-1997), we identified admissions for elective abdominal aortic aneurysm repair (140,577) and pancreaticoduodenectomy (10,530). We calculated the relative risk of mortality (adjusted for age, sex, race, and admission acuity) for 5 chronic conditions that are known (from clinical series) to increase the risk of postoperative mortality and are commonly used in claims-based risk-adjustment models. To explore the potential value of alternative risk-adjustment strategies, we examined relationships between surgical mortality and comorbidities using diagnosis codes identified from previous admissions. Results. Overall, in-hospital mortality for elective abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair and pancreaticoduodenectomy were 5.1% and 10.4%, respectively. For both procedures, 3 of the 5 comorbidities were associated with decreased risk of mortality: prior myocardial infarction (MI) [RR = 0.38; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.33-0.43 for AAA; RR = 0.38; 95% CI, 0.21-0.69 for pancreaticoduodenectomy), malignancy (RR = 0.67; 95% CI, 0.59-0.76 for AAA; RR = 0.74; 95% CI, 0.45-1.21 for pancreaticoduodenectomy], and diabetes (RR = 0.76; 95% CI, 0.64-0.84 for AAA; RR = 0.59; 95% CI, 0.49-0.69 for pancreaticoduodenectomy). Using comorbidities identified from prior admissions increased the mortality risk estimates for prior MI (RR = 1.22; 95% CI, 1.08-1.38 for AAA; RR = 0.80; 95% CI, 0.49-1.30 for pancreaticoduodenectomy) and diabetes (RR = 1.41; 95% CI, 1.25-1.59 for AAA; RR = 0.94; 95% CI, 0.78-1.14 for pancreaticoduodenectomy). Conclusions. Because comorbidities coded on the index admission appear protective, incorporating them in risk-adjustment models for studies comparing surgical performance may penalize providers for taking care of sicker patients. When available, comorbidity information from prior hospitalizations may be more useful for risk adjustment.     

Prevalence of aortic aneurysm in men with a history of inguinal hernia repair.

BACKGROUND: Population-based screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is still a subject of debate. This study examined whether subjects with a history of inguinal hernia were at increased risk sufficient to justify screening. METHODS: The prevalence of AAA was documented in 156 men aged 55 years and older, discharged after inguinal hernia surgery, and compared with the prevalence in 1771 men without a history of inguinal hernia who were participating in a screening survey for AAA. The influence of age and smoking status was assessed. RESULTS: The prevalence of AAA in men with a history of inguinal hernia was 12.2 (95 per cent confidence interval (c.i.) 7.0-17.4) per cent and 3.7 (95 per cent c.i. 2.8-4.6) per cent in those without such a history; prevalence ratio 3.3 (95 per cent c.i. 2.0-5.3). In current smokers the prevalence of abdominal aneurysm was 4.2 (95 per cent c.i. 2.1-8.2) times higher in those with compared with those without a history of inguinal hernia. In non-smokers the prevalence ratio was 1.9 (95 per cent c.i. 0.5-7.0). CONCLUSION: Men with a history of inguinal hernia are at increased risk of AAA, most notably if they are cigarette smokers. Ultrasonographic screening could be considered before operation for inguinal hernia.     

Muscle Strength and Physical Performance Are Associated With Risk of Postfracture Mortality But Not Subsequent Fracture in Men

Muscle strength and physical performance are associated with incident fractures and mortality. However, their role in the risk of subsequent fracture and postfracture mortality is not clear. We assessed the association between muscle strength (grip strength) and performance (gait speed and chair stands time) and the risk of subsequent fracture and mortality in 830 men with low-trauma index fracture, who participated in the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) USA Study and had their index measurements assessed within 5 years prior to the index fracture. The annual decline in muscle strength and performance following index fracture, estimated using linear mixed-effects regression, was also examined in relation to mortality. The associations were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, femoral neck bone mineral density (FN BMD), prior fractures, falls, body mass index (BMI), index fracture site, lifestyle factors, and comorbidities. Over a median follow-up of 3.7 (interquartile range [IQR], 1.3–8.1) years from index fracture to subsequent fracture, 201 (24%) men had a subsequent fracture and over 5.1 (IQR, 1.8–9.6) years to death, and 536 (65%) men died. Index measurements were not associated with subsequent fracture (hazard ratios [HRs] ranging from 0.97 to 1.07). However, they were associated with postfracture mortality. HR (95% confidence interval [CI]) per 1 standard deviation (1-SD) decrement in grip strength: HR 1.12 (95% CI, 1.01–1.25) and gait speed: HR 1.14 (95% CI, 1.02–1.27), and 1-SD increment in chair stands time: HR 1.08 (95% CI, 0.97–1.21). Greater annual declines in these measurements were associated with higher mortality risk, independent of the index values and other covariates. HR (95% CI) per 1-SD annual decrement in change in grip strength: HR 1.15 (95% CI, 1.01–1.33) and in gait speed: HR 1.38 (95% CI, 1.13–1.68), and 1-SD annual increment in chair stands time: HR 1.28 (95% CI, 1.07–1.54). Men who were unable to complete one or multiple tests had greater risk of postfracture mortality (24%–109%) compared to those performed all tests. It remains to be seen whether improvement in these modifiable factors can reduce postfracture mortality. © 2022 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).     

Mortality after kidney transplant failure: the impact of non-immunologic factors

BACKGROUND: One third of cadaveric kidney transplant recipients suffer graft loss within five years of transplantation. Non-immunologic factors that predict mortality among non-transplant patients also may be potentially modifiable risk factors for mortality among patients with transplant failure. METHODS: Applying multivariate survival analysis to data from the United States Renal Data System, we determined the effect of immunologic or transplant related factors and non-immunologic factors on mortality in patients who initiated dialysis after kidney transplant failure in the United States between April 1995 and September 1998. RESULTS: A total of 4741 patients were followed for a median +/- standard deviation of 15 +/- 11 months after initiation of dialysis after transplant failure. The majority of the 1016 (21%) deaths were due to cardiac (36%) or infectious (17%) causes. Patients in the following groups had an increased risk for all-cause mortality: older patients [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.04 per year, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.03-1.04], women (HR = 1.31, 95% CI 1.10-1.56), patients of white race (HR = 1.94, 95% CI 1.32-2.84), patients with diabetes (HR = 1.76, 95% CI 1.43-2.16), peripheral vascular disease (HR = 1.94, 95% CI 1.54-2.43), congestive heart failure (HR = 1.26, 95% CI 1.05-1.53), drug use (HR = 2.23; 95% CI 1.08-4.60), smokers (HR = 1.35, 95% CI 1.01-1.81), first transplant recipients (HR = 1.32, 95% CI 1.02-1.69), and patients with a higher glomerular filtration rate (GFR) at dialysis initiation (HR = 1.04 per mL/min higher, 95% CI 1.02-1.06). Those with private insurance (HR = 0.67, 95% CI 0.49-0.93) and higher serum albumin (HR = 0.73 per g/dL higher, 95% CI 0.64-0.83) had a decreased risk for all-cause mortality. Acute rejection, antibody induction, donor source, duration of graft survival and the maximum attained GFR during transplantation did not predict all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Non-immunologic factors predicted mortality among patients with transplant failure but immunologic and transplant related factors did not. Prevention, early diagnosis and treatment of co-morbid conditions and the complications of chronic kidney disease may improve the survival of patients with transplant failure.     

Effect of glycemia on mortality in Pima Indians with type 2 diabetes

The effect of plasma glucose concentration on overall and cause-specific mortality was examined in 1,745 Pima Indians (725 men, 1,020 women) > or = 15 years old with type 2 diabetes. During a median follow-up of 10.6 years (range 0.1-24.8), 533 subjects (275 men, 258 women) died; 113 of the deaths were attributable to cardiovascular disease, 96 to diabetes-related diseases (diabetic nephropathy for 92 of these), 249 to other natural causes, and 75 to external causes. After adjusting for age, sex, duration of diabetes, and BMI in a generalized additive proportional hazards model, higher baseline 2-h postload plasma glucose concentration predicted deaths from cardiovascular disease (P = 0.007) and diabetes-related diseases (P = 0.003), but not from other natural causes (P = 0.73). An increment of 5.6 mmol/l (100 mg/dl) in the 2-h plasma glucose concentration was associated with 1.2 times (95% CI 1.1-1.4) the death rate from cardiovascular disease, 1.3 times (95% CI 1.1-1.5) the death rate from diabetes-related diseases, and almost no change in the death rate from other natural causes (rate ratio = 1.0; 95% CI 0.94-1.1). In Pima Indians with type 2 diabetes, higher plasma glucose concentration predicts deaths from cardiovascular and diabetes-related diseases but has little or no effect on deaths from other natural or external causes.     

Negative association between infra-renal aortic diameter and glycaemia: the Health in Men Study.

OBJECTIVE: There is evidence of a negative association between diabetes and abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). The aim of this study was to assess whether there is a similar relationship between both diabetes and glucose level, and infra-renal aortic diameter throughout its range. DESIGN AND METHODS: Infra-renal aortic diameter was measured using ultrasound in 12,203 men aged 65-83 years as part of a trial of screening for AAA. A range of cardiovascular risk factors were also assessed. In a follow-up study, fasting serum glucose was measured in 2,859 non-diabetic men. Aortic diameter was logarithmically transformed and treated as both a continuous and categorical variable in stepwise multivariate linear and logistic models. RESULTS: The median aortic diameter was slightly smaller in the diabetic men (21.3+/-3.9 vs 21.6+/-3.8, P<0.0001). There was an independent negative association between diabetes and AAA (OR 0.79, 95% CI: 0.63,0.98), and an inverse correlation (Coefficient: -0.0064, p=0.0024) between fasting glucose and aortic diameter in non-diabetic men. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes is inversely associated with both AAA and aortic diameter in men over 65 years. This association is independent of other risk factors for AAA. Aortic diameter also has an inverse relationship with fasting glucose concentrations in men without diabetes.     

The effect of single and repeatedly high concentrations of C-reactive protein on cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality in patients starting with dialysis.

BACKGROUND: Single measurements of C-reactive protein (CRP) predict cardiovascular mortality in dialysis patients. However, CRP can be temporarily elevated due to infections. Therefore, we investigated the effect of single and repeatedly high concentrations of CRP on cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality in incident dialysis patients. METHODS: In the Netherlands Cooperative Study on the Adequacy of Dialysis (NECOSAD), patients starting with dialysis were enrolled between 1997 and 2002. From 635 patients, plasma CRP concentrations were determined at 3 and 6 months of follow-up. Concentrations >10 mg/l were regarded as 'high'. Patients were followed until time of death, or censored at the end of follow-up (1 May 2004). Cox regression models were performed to compare mortality between patients with repeatedly low CRP, with varying CRP and with repeatedly high CRP. RESULTS: At the end of follow-up, 247 patients had died, of which 107 patients died of cardiovascular disease (47.8%). Patients with low CRP(3 months) and high CRP(6 months) were at increased cardiovascular [adjusted hazard ratio (HR): 2.59, 95% CI: 1.25-5.37] and non-cardiovascular (adjusted HR: 2.18, 95% CI: 1.11-4.28) mortality risk compared with patients with low CRP on both occasions. Moreover, patients with high CRP on both occasions had a higher cardiovascular (adjusted HR: 1.51, 95% CI: 0.72-3.18) and non-cardiovascular (adjusted HR: 2.25, 95% CI: 0.96-5.28) mortality risk than patients with high CRP(3 months) and low CRP(6 months). CONCLUSIONS: Single and repeatedly high concentrations of CRP (>10 mg/l) are related to both cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality in dialysis patients. A high CRP concentration, therefore, has implications for the treatment of cardiovascular as well as non-cardiovascular disease.     

Is a single time point C-reactive protein predictive of outcome in peritoneal dialysis patients?

C-reactive protein is the prototype marker of inflammation and has been shown to predict mortality in hemodialysis patients. However, it remains uncertain as to whether a single C-reactive protein level has similar prognostic significance in peritoneal dialysis patients. A single high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) level was measured in 246 continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis patients without active infections at study baseline together with indices of dialysis adequacy, echocardiographic parameters (left ventricular mass index, left ventricular dimensions, and ejection fraction), nutrition markers (serum albumin, dietary intake, and subjective global assessment) and biochemical parameters (hemoglobin, lipids, calcium, and phosphate). The cohort was then followed-up prospectively for a median of 24 mo (range, 2 to 34 mo), and outcomes were studied in relation to these parameters. Fifty-nine patients died (36 from cardiovascular causes) during the follow-up period. The median hs-CRP level was 2.84 mg/L (range, 0.20 to 94.24 mg/L). Patients were stratified into tertiles according to baseline hs-CRP, namely those with hs-CRP < or = 1.26 mg/L, 1.27 to 5.54 mg/L, and > or = 5.55 mg/L. Those with higher hs-CRP were significantly older (P < 0.001), had greater body mass index (P < 0.001), higher prevalence of coronary artery disease (P = 0.003), and greater left ventricular mass index (P < 0.001). One-year overall mortality was 3.9% (lower) versus 8.8% (middle) versus 21.3% (upper tertile) (P < 0.0001). Cardiovascular death rate was 2.7% (lower) versus 5.2% (middle) versus 16.2% (upper tertile) (P < 0.0001). Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that every 1 mg/L increase in hs-CRP was independently predictive of higher all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.04; P = 0.002) and cardiovascular mortality (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.05; P = 0.001) in peritoneal dialysis patients. Other significant predictors for all-cause mortality included age (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.10), gender (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.27 to 0.90), atherosclerotic vascular disease (HR, 2.65; 95% CI, 1.46 to 4.80), left ventricular mass index (HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.01) and residual GFR (HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.75). Age (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.10), history of heart failure (HR, 3.31; 95% CI, 1.36 to 8.08), atherosclerotic vascular disease (HR, 3.20; 95% CI, 1.43 to 7.13), and residual GFR (HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.38 to 0.86) were also independently predictive of cardiovascular mortality. In conclusion, a single, random hs-CRP level has significant and independent prognostic value in PD patients.     

Chlamydia pneumoniae,overall and cardiovascular mortality in end-stage renal disease (ESRD)

BACKGROUND: Cross-sectional and retrospective studies suggest that Chlamydia pneumoniae infection may contribute importantly to the high cardiovascular risk of patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). METHODS: We investigated the relationship between C. pneumoniae serology and survival and incident fatal cardiovascular events in a cohort of 227 ESRD patients (follow-up of 39 +/- 20 months). RESULTS: On univariate Cox regression analysis patients with anti-C. pneumoniae immunogloblulin A (IgA) titer > or = 1:16 had a significantly higher risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality when compared to patients without IgA antibodies. However, after data adjustment for age and smoking, the hazard ratio (HR) decreased substantially and became largely nonsignificant. Adjustments for traditional and nontraditional risk factors further decreased the independent association of IgA anti-C. pneumoniae and these outcomes (all-cause mortality HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.68 to 1.72; P = 0.74; cardiovascular mortality HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.60 to 1.89; P = 0.83). A similar loss of prognostic power was observed for IgG anti-C. pneumoniae so that in fully adjusted models the HRs were very close to those observed for IgA anti-C. pneumoniae (all-cause mortality HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.68 to 1.86, P = 0.64; cardiovascular mortality HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.60 to 2.00; P = 0.77). CONCLUSION: C. pneumoniae seropositivity is associated to shorter survival and incident fatal cardiovascular events in patients with ESRD but these associations are in large part attributable to the link between C. pneumoniae and well-established, traditional risk factors. It is highly unlikely that C. pneumoniae infection is a major risk factor in patients with ESRD.     

Effect of comorbid and fatal coexistent conditions on sex and race differences in vascular surgical mortality

Many previous studies of vascular procedures have found sex and race differences in surgical mortality that were attributed to differential prevalence of comorbidity. Adjustment for selected comorbid conditions does not entirely remove bias. In addition to adjustments for other covariates, surgical mortality ratios in this study were adjusted for coexistent conditions that caused postoperative death but were unrelated to the procedure. The adjusted mortality was, therefore, attributable to the procedure. Medicare administrative and death certificate data on beneficiaries aged 65-99 years who resided in Indiana and Kentucky and who had 6,016 major vascular procedures in 1994-1997 were used. In Cox proportional hazard models, male-to-female and nonwhite-to-white surgical mortality ratios were adjusted for age, sex, or race; weighted Charlson comorbidity score; length of hospital stay; and fatal coexisting conditions (FCCs). Altogether, 3,333 patients died within 30 postoperative days. There were sex and/or race differences in mortality caused by aortic aneurysm, stroke, and diabetes (P < 0.05). Unadjusted, all-cause 30-day mortality was higher in women and nonwhite patients than in men and white patients following coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) procedure (P < 0.03). Mortality following all non-CABG procedures combined was lower in women than in men (P < 0.02). In multivariate analyses, 30-day mortality following CABG, adjusted for covariates, was lower in men than in women (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.88, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.79-0.98), but there was no sex difference after adjustment for only FCC (HR = 0.94, 95% CI 0.85-1.05). Mortality following all non-CABG procedures combined was higher in men than in women, but this difference was insignificant after adjustment for comorbidity and/or FCC (HR = 1.05, 95% CI 0.93-1.17). Age- and sex-adjusted 30-day mortality following CABG was higher in nonwhite patients than in white patients (HR = 1.37, 95% CI 1.08-1.74), and this race difference persisted after further adjustments. There were no significant sex or race differences in surgical mortality following carotid endarterectomy, non-CABG thoracoabdominal procedures, or procedures in the limbs. Adjustments for covariates did not alter race difference in post-CABG surgical mortality. Adjustment for comorbid conditions slightly affected sex differences in mortality following CABG and all non-CABG procedures combined, but adjustment for FCC reduced these differences to insignificant levels.     

Pulmonary function, smoking cessation and 30 year mortality in middle aged Finnish men

BACKGROUND: Although it is well known that impaired pulmonary function is a strong predictor of mortality and that smoking decreases pulmonary function, little is known about the long term effect of smoking cessation on mortality at different levels of pulmonary function. We have studied the impact of smoking cessation on mortality over the entire range of baseline pulmonary function. METHODS: The study subjects consisted of men aged 40-59 at entry who were the Finnish participants in the Seven Countries Study during 1959-89. RESULTS: In all the participants (n = 1582) impaired forced expiratory volume in 0.75 seconds (FEV(0.75)) was significantly associated with increased all cause mortality. When those who gave up smoking during the follow up period were compared with continuous smokers (n = 860) all cause mortality was found to be decreased among those who quit. The relative adjusted hazard (HR) was 0.71 (95% confidence interval 0.50 to 1.00). The median survival time in those who stopped smoking compared with those who continued to smoke from 1969 onwards was 7.65, 7.59, and 6.30 years longer in the lowest, middle and highest tertiles of adjusted FEV(0.75) distribution, respectively. In those who gave up smoking, mortality from cardiovascular causes was significantly lower (HR 0.60 (95% CI 0.37 to 0.98)). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that smokers across the entire range of pulmonary function may increase their expectation of lifespan by giving up smoking.     

Impact of Hip Fracture on Mortality: A Cohort Study in Hip Fracture Discordant Identical Twins

Several studies have shown a long‐lasting higher mortality after hip fracture, but the reasons for the excess risk are not well understood. We aimed to determine whether a higher mortality after hip fracture exists when controlling for genetic constitution, shared environment, comorbidity, and lifestyle by use of a nationwide cohort study in hip fracture discordant monozygotic twins. All 286 identical Swedish twin pairs discordant for hip fracture (1972 to 2010) were identified. Comorbidity and lifestyle information was retrieved by registers and questionnaire information. We used intrapair Cox regression to compute multivariable‐adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for death. During follow‐up, 143 twins with a hip fracture died (50%) compared with 101 twins (35%) without a hip fracture. Through the first year after hip fracture, the rate of death increased fourfold in women (HR = 3.71; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.32–10.40) and sevenfold in men (HR = 6.67; 95% CI 1.47–30.13). The increased rate in women only persisted during the first year after hip fracture (HR after 1 year = 0.99; 95% CI 0.66–1.50), whereas the corresponding HR in men was 2.58 (95% CI 1.02–6.62). The higher risk in men after the hip fracture event was successively attenuated during follow‐up. After 5 years, the hazard ratio in men with a hip fracture was 1.19 (95% CI 0.29–4.90). On average, the hip fracture contributed to 0.9 years of life lost in women (95% CI 0.06–1.7) and 2.7 years in men (95% CI 1.7–3.7). The potential years of life lost associated with the hip fracture was especially pronounced in older men (>75 years), with an average loss of 47% (95% CI 31–61) of the expected remaining lifetime. We conclude that both women and men display a higher mortality after hip fracture independent of genes, comorbidity, and lifestyle. © 2014 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.     

Elective open operation for abdominal aortic aneurysm in octogenarians--survival analysis of 105 patients.

OBJECTIVES: To study early mortality and long-term survival of patients more than 80 years of age having elective open repair for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). DESIGN: Retrospective multicenter cohort study. MATERIAL: One hundred and five patients, 23 women and 82 men, with a median age of 82 years, operated at three Norwegian hospitals during the period 1983-2002. METHOD: Survival analyses were based on data from medical records and the Norwegian Registrar's Office of Births and Deaths. Expected survival was based on mortality rates of the general population, matched by age, sex, and calendar period. Relative survival was calculated as the ratio between the observed and the expected survival. RESULTS: During the study period there has been a 10 fold increase in octogenarians treated with open operation for AAA. Early mortality (30-day) for the whole group of patients was 10.5% (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 5.3-18.0), and similar for both genders. The 5-year survival rate was 47% (95% CI 35.9-57.4), and not significantly different from that of a matched group in the general population. Patients aged 84 years or more had a median survival time of 35 months (95% CI 18.5-51.6). CONCLUSION: The number of AAA operations in octogenarians has increased considerably during 20 years. Octogenarians operated electively for AAA has higher 30-day mortality as compared to younger patients. Their long-term survival appears similar to a matched control group. The benefit of surgery must be carefully considered against the perioperative risk, especially for the oldest octogenarians.