Skeletal effects of raloxifene after 8 years: results from the continuing outcomes relevant to Evista (CORE) study.

In the CORE breast cancer trial of 4011 women continuing from MORE, the incidence of nonvertebral fractures at 8 years was similar between placebo and raloxifene 60 mg/day. CORE had limitations for assessing fracture risk. In a subset of 386 women, 7 years of raloxifene treatment significantly increased lumbar spine and femoral neck BMD compared from the baseline of MORE. INTRODUCTION: The multicenter, double-blind Continuing Outcomes Relevant to Evista (CORE) trial assessed the effects of raloxifene on breast cancer for 4 additional years beyond the 4-year Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) osteoporosis treatment trial. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In CORE, placebo-treated women from MORE continued with placebo (n = 1286), whereas those previously given raloxifene (60 or 120 mg/day) received raloxifene 60 mg/day (n = 2725). As a secondary endpoint, new nonvertebral fractures were analyzed as time-to-first event in 4011 postmenopausal women at 8 years. A substudy assessed lumbar spine and femoral neck BMD at 7 years, with the primary analysis based on 386 women (127 placebo, 259 raloxifene) who did not take other bone-active agents from the fourth year of MORE and who were > or =80% compliant with study medication in CORE. RESULTS: The risk of at least one new nonvertebral fracture was similar in the placebo (22.9%) and raloxifene (22.8%) groups (hazard ratio [HR], 1.00; Bonferroni-adjusted CI, 0.82, 1.21). The incidence of at least one new nonvertebral fracture at six major sites (clavicle, humerus, wrist, pelvis, hip, lower leg) was 17.5% in both groups. Posthoc Poisson analyses, which account for multiple events, showed no overall effect on nonvertebral fracture risk, and a decreased risk at six major nonvertebral sites in women with prevalent vertebral fractures (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.63, 0.96). At 7 years after MORE randomization, the differences in mean lumbar spine and femoral neck BMD with raloxifene were 1.7% (p = 0.30) and 2.4% (p = 0.045), respectively, from placebo. Compared with MORE baseline, after 7 years, raloxifene treatment significantly increased lumbar spine (4.3% from baseline, 2.2% from placebo) and femoral neck BMD (1.9% from baseline, 3.0% from placebo). BMDs were significantly increased from MORE baseline at all time-points at both sites with raloxifene. CONCLUSION: Raloxifene therapy had no effect on nonvertebral fracture risk after 8 years, although CORE had limitations for fracture risk assessment. BMD increases were maintained after 7 years of raloxifene.     

Effect of raloxifene on the risk of new vertebral fracture in postmenopausal women with osteopenia or osteoporosis: a reanalysis of the Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation trial

Raloxifene reduces vertebral fracture risk in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis and established osteoporosis, but its efficacy in women with osteopenia has not been studied. The objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of raloxifene hydrochloride on the risk of vertebral fractures in postmenopausal women with osteopenia and to compare this effect with that in women with osteoporosis as defined by the bone mineral density (BMD) T-score at the hip. We studied the 3204 postmenopausal women with osteopenia or osteoporosis without vertebral fractures at baseline in the Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation trial. Compared with placebo, 60 mg/day raloxifene reduced the risk of new vertebral fractures at 3 years independent of baseline total hip BMD. The relative risk for new vertebral fractures for the raloxifene group compared with placebo was 0.53 (95% CI, 0.32-0.88) for those with osteopenia and 0.31 (0.06-0.71) for those with osteoporosis. In raloxifene-treated women the rate of vertebral fracture was similar in women with osteoporosis (2%) to that in women with osteopenia (1.9%). For clinically apparent vertebral fractures, the relative risk of fracture in the osteopenia group for raloxifene was 0.25 (0.04-0.63) compared with placebo. There were no new clinical vertebral fractures in women with osteoporosis receiving raloxifene, whereas four occurred in the placebo group. We conclude that treatment with 60 mg/day raloxifene significantly decreases the risk of new vertebral fractures and new clinical vertebral fractures in postmenopausal women without baseline vertebral fracture who have osteopenia or osteoporosis.     

Relationships between bone mineral density and incident vertebral fracture risk with raloxifene therapy.

Although low absolute values of bone mineral density (BMD) predict increased fracture risk in osteoporosis, it is not certain how well increases in BMD with antiresorptive therapy predict observed reductions in fracture risk. This work examines the relationships between changes in BMD after 1 year or 3 years of raloxifene or placebo therapy and the risk for new vertebral fractures at 3 years. In the Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) trial, 7705 postmenopausal women with osteoporosis were randomized to placebo or raloxifene 60 mg/day or 120 mg/day. Relationships between baseline BMD and changes in BMD from baseline with the risk of new vertebral fractures were analyzed in this cohort using logistic regression models with the raloxifene doses pooled. As has been observed in other populations, women with the lowest baseline lumbar spine or femoral neck BMD in the MORE cohort had the greatest risk for vertebral fractures. Furthermore, for any percentage change, either increase or decrease in femoral neck or lumbar spine BMD at 1 year or 3 years, raloxifene-treated patients had a statistically significantly lower vertebral fracture risk compared with placebo-treated patients. The decrease in fracture risk with raloxifene was similar across the range of percentage change in femoral neck BMD observed at 3 years; patients receiving raloxifene had a 36% lower risk of vertebral fracture compared with those receiving placebo. At any percentage change in femoral neck and lumbar spine BMD observed at 1 year, raloxifene treatment decreased the risks of new vertebral fractures at 3 years by 38% and 41%, respectively. The logistic regression model showed that the percentage changes in BMD with raloxifene treatment accounted for 4% of the observed vertebral fracture risk reduction, and the other 96% of the risk reduction remains unexplained. The present data show that the measured BMD changes observed with raloxifene therapy are poor predictors of vertebral fracture risk reduction with raloxifene therapy.     

Effects of Raloxifene on Fracture Severity in Postmenopausal Women with Osteoporosis: Results from the MORE Study

Raloxifene reduces the risk of new vertebral fractures, but its effect on the severity of these new fractures has not been determined. The MORE (Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation) trial studied the effects of placebo, raloxifene 60 or 120 mg/day in 7705 postmenopausal women with osteoporosis. Radiologists assessed new vertebral fractures from radiographs and graded the fracture severity as normal (no fracture) or mild, moderate or severe. New clinical vertebral fractures were defined as new vertebral fractures associated with symptoms, such as back pain, and confirmed in radiographs. In the total study population, the majority (76.4%) of the women who experienced clinical vertebral fractures were diagnosed with new moderate/severe vertebral fractures. In turn, women with moderate/severe vertebral fractures in the overall population were more likely to experience clinical symptoms suggestive of fracture than were women who had new mild-only vertebral fractures. The incidence of new mild-only and moderate/severe fractures was the same in women without prevalent vertebral fractures, but the incidence of new moderate/severe fractures was 2 to 3 times higher than that for new mild-only fractures in women with prevalent vertebral fractures. Raloxifene 60 mg/day decreased the risk of at least 1 new moderate/severe vertebral fracture by 61% in women without prevalent vertebral fractures [RR 0.39 (95% CI 0.17, 0.69)], and by 37% in women with prevalent vertebral fractures [RR 0.63 (95% CI 0.49, 0.83)] at 3 years. The risk reductions for at least 1 new moderate/severe vertebral fracture were not significantly different between the raloxifene doses, in women with and without prevalent vertebral fractures. The effects of raloxifene on significantly decreasing the risk of new moderate/severe vertebral fractures may explain the risk reduction for new painful clinical vertebral fractures observed with raloxifene, and is particularly important in postmenopausal women with severe osteoporosis who are at higher risk for moderate or severe fractures. Received: 11 April 2002 / Accepted: 19 June 2002 Correspondence and offprint requests to: Ethel Siris, MD, Toni Stabile Osteoporosis Center, Department of Medicine, College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University, 180 Fort Washington Ave, New York, NY 10032, USA. Tel: +1 (212) 305 2529. Fax: +1 (212) 305 6482. e-mail: es27@columbia.edu     

Effect of denosumab treatment on the risk of fractures in subgroups of women with postmenopausal osteoporosis

Denosumab reduces the risk of new vertebral and nonvertebral fractures. Previous trials suggest that the efficacy of antiresorptives on fractures might differ by patients' characteristics, such as age, bone mineral density (BMD), and fracture history. In the FREEDOM study, 7808 women aged 60 to 90 years with osteoporosis were randomly assigned to receive subcutaneous injections of denosumab (60 mg) or placebo every 6 months for 3 years. New vertebral and nonvertebral fractures were radiologically confirmed. Subgroup analyses described in this article were prospectively planned before study unblinding to evaluate the effect of denosumab on new vertebral and nonvertebral fractures across various subgroups. Compared with placebo, denosumab decreased the risk of new vertebral fractures in the overall study population over 3 years. This effect did not significantly differ for any of the nine subgroups analyzed (p > 0.09 for all potential interactions). Denosumab also reduced all nonvertebral fractures by 20% in the full study cohort over 3 years. This risk reduction was statistically significant in women with a baseline femoral neck BMD T‐score ≤ ?2.5 but not in those with a T‐score > ?2.5; in those with a body mass index (BMI) < 25 kg/m² but not ≥ 25 kg/m²; and in those without but not with a prevalent vertebral fracture. These differential treatment effects were not explained by differences in BMD responses to denosumab. Denosumab 60 mg administered every 6 months for 3 years in women with osteoporosis reduced the risk of new vertebral fractures to a similar degree in all subgroups. The effect of denosumab on nonvertebral fracture risk differed by femoral neck BMD, BMI, and prevalent vertebral fracture at baseline. © 2012 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research     

Effects of raloxifene on fracture risk in postmenopausal women: the Raloxifene Use for the Heart Trial.

Using data from a randomized placebo-controlled trial of 10,101 postmenopausal women not selected on the basis of osteoporosis, we examined whether the effect of raloxifene treatment on fractures was consistent across categories of fracture risk. Treatment with raloxifene for 5 yr reduced the risk of clinical vertebral fractures, but not nonvertebral fractures, irrespective of the presence or absence of risk factors for fracture. INTRODUCTION: In The Raloxifene Use for The Heart (RUTH) trial, women assigned to raloxifene had a lower risk of clinical vertebral fractures but not nonvertebral fractures. However, it is uncertain whether the effect of raloxifene on fractures in this population not selected for low BMD differs according to risk factors for fractures. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We randomly assigned 10,101 postmenopausal women >or=55 yr of age with documented coronary heart disease or at high risk for coronary events to 60 mg raloxifene daily or placebo and followed them for a median of 5.6 yr. Fractures (nonvertebral and clinical vertebral) were prespecified secondary endpoints that were reported at semiannual visits. Fractures were adjudicated and confirmed using X-ray reports or medical records. RESULTS: There was no difference between raloxifene and placebo groups in risk of nonvertebral fractures (428 versus 438 events; hazard ratio [HR], 0.96; 95% CI, 0.84-1.10), including hip/femur (89 versus 103 events; HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.64-1.13) and wrist (107 versus 111 events; HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.73-1.24) fractures. Women treated with raloxifene had a lower risk of clinical vertebral fractures (64 versus 97 events; HR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.47-0.89). The effect of treatment with raloxifene on risk of nonvertebral and clinical vertebral fractures was consistent across fracture risk categories defined at baseline by age, smoking status, physical activity level, prior history of fracture, family history of hip fracture, diabetes mellitus, previous use of hormone therapy, thyroid hormone use, statin use, weight loss, body mass index, or fracture specific summary risk score. CONCLUSIONS: In older women with or at high risk of coronary heart disease not selected on the basis of osteoporosis or increased fracture risk, treatment with raloxifene for 5 yr reduced the risk of clinical vertebral fractures, but not nonvertebral fractures, irrespective of presence or absence of risk factors for fracture.     

Relationship between changes in biochemical markers of bone turnover and BMD to predict vertebral fracture risk.

The change in BMD is a poor predictor of vertebral fracture risk after raloxifene treatment. One-year percent change in bone turnover and BMD was used to predict vertebral fracture risk. The percent change in osteocalcin was determined to be a better predictor of vertebral fracture risk than BMD. INTRODUCTION: The association between baseline BMD and fracture risk is well understood. However, the relationship between changes in BMD and fracture risk is not well defined. It has previously been demonstrated that BMD change was a poor predictor of vertebral fracture risk in raloxifene-treated women, whereas bone turnover markers were significantly associated with fracture risk. In the current analysis, we explore the prediction of vertebral fracture risk using changes in both BMD and bone turnover. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) trial was a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of 7705 women with osteoporosis treated with raloxifene 60 or 120 mg/day for 3 years. Markers of bone turnover were measured in one-third of the study population (n = 2503), and the present analyses include these women. Logistic regression models were constructed using one-year percent changes in BMD and bone turnover and relevant baseline demographics to predict the risk of vertebral fracture with pooled raloxifene therapy at 3 years. All covariates were standardized before modeling to facilitate direct comparisons between changes in BMD and bone turnover. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: Prevalent vertebral fracture status (p < 0.0001), baseline lumbar spine BMD (p < 0.0001), and number of years postmenopausal (p = 0.0005) were independent predictors of fracture risk in raloxifene-treated patients. Therapy-by-change in femoral neck BMD (p = 0.02) and therapy-by-change in osteocalcin (OC; p = 0.01) were also significant for all treatment groups, indicating that changes in BMD and OC have different effects on fracture risk for the placebo and pooled raloxifene groups. The final model included significant baseline variables and change in OC (p = 0.01), whereas change in femoral neck BMD was not significant. After adjustment of each significant baseline variable, the percent change in OC was better able to predict the reduction in vertebral fracture risk than the percent change in femoral neck BMD in patients treated with raloxifene.     

Prevalent vertebral deformities predict hip fractures and new vertebral deformities but not wrist fractures. Study of Osteoporotic Fractures Research Group.

Although vertebral deformities are known to predict future vertebral deformities, little is known about their ability to predict other osteoporotic fractures. We examined the association between prevalent vertebral deformities and incident osteoporotic fractures in the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures, a prospective study of 9704 women aged 65 years and older. Prevalent vertebral deformities were determined morphometrically from spinal radiographs at baseline and incident deformities from repeat spinal radiographs after a mean of 3.7 years. Appendicular fractures were collected by postcard every 4 months for a mean of 8.3 years. During follow-up, 389 women with new vertebral deformities, 464 with hip fractures, and 574 with wrist fractures were identified. Prevalent vertebral deformities were associated with a 5-fold increased risk (relative risk 5.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.4, 6.6) of sustaining a further vertebral deformity; the risk increased dramatically with both the number and severity of the prevalent deformities. Similarly, the risks of hip and any nonvertebral fractures were increased with baseline prevalent deformity, with relative risks of 2.8 (95% CI 2.3, 3.4) and 1.9 (95% CI 1.7, 2.1), respectively. Risk increased with number and severity of deformities. These associations remained significant after adjustment for age and calcaneal bone mineral density (BMD). Although there was a small increased risk of wrist fracture, this was not significant after adjusting for age and BMD. In conclusion, the presence of prevalent morphometrically defined vertebral deformities predicts future vertebral and nonvertebral fractures, including hip but not wrist fractures. Spinal radiographs identifying prevalent vertebral deformities may be a useful additional measurement to classify further a woman's risk of future fracture.     

Number and severity of prevalent vertebral fractures and the risk of subsequent vertebral fractures in Japanese women with osteoporosis: results from the minodronate trial

The aim was to evaluate the risk of new vertebral fractures with the increasing number and severity of prevalent vertebral fractures in women who received placebo or minodronate in a post hoc analysis of a 2-year randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study. The subjects were women aged 55–80 years old with 1–5 fragility fractures between the T4 and L4 vertebrae and bone mineral density <80 % of the young adult mean. A total of 704 subjects were randomized to take minodronate 1 mg (n = 359) or placebo (n = 345) once a day for 24 months. In the placebo group, the risk of incident vertebral fractures during the 2-year observational period was significantly related to the number and severity of prevalent vertebral fractures at baseline. The number of prevalent vertebral fractures was an independent risk factor for incident vertebral fracture in multivariate analysis. The relative risk reductions of vertebral fractures by minodronate treatment were 45.2, 61.1, and 64.2 % for patients with 1, 2, and ≥3 prevalent vertebral fractures, respectively, and 87.8, 64.6, and 50.1 % for patients with mild, moderate, and severe prevalent vertebral fractures, respectively. In conclusion, the number of prevalent vertebral fractures is an independent risk factor for incident vertebral fracture and minodronate reduces the fracture risk even in patients at a higher risk for fracture.     

Risk factors for incident vertebral fractures in men and women: the Rotterdam Study.

Low BMD and prevalent vertebral fractures are known risk factors for incident vertebral fractures. In 3001 men and women from the Rotterdam Study, prevalent nonvertebral fractures, early menopause, current smoking, and walking aid use were also strong risk factors for incident vertebral fractures. INTRODUCTION: Thus far, age, low BMD, and prevalent vertebral fractures are the only well-known risk factors for incident vertebral fractures. Therefore, our aim was to investigate other potential risk factors for incident vertebral fractures in the elderly. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study was based on the Rotterdam Study, a large prospective population-based cohort study among men and women > or =55 years of age. For 3001 subjects, spinal radiographs were obtained at baseline and again approximately 6.3 years later. These follow-up radiographs were scored for vertebral fractures using the McCloskey-Kanis method. Whenever a vertebral fracture was detected, the radiograph was compared with the baseline radiograph. If this fracture was not already present at baseline, it was considered incident. At baseline, information on potential risk factors was obtained. RESULTS: Low BMD and prevalent vertebral fractures were strong risk factors for incident vertebral fractures in both men and women (RR 2.3 [1.6-3.3] and 2.2 [0.9-5.0] for men and RR 2.1 [1.6-2.6] and 4.1 [2.5-6.7] for women, respectively). For women, age, early menopause (< or =45 years of age; RR 1.0 [1.1-3.5]), current smoking (2.1 [1.2-3.5]), and walking aid use (2.5 [1.1-5.5]) were additional independent risk factors. For men, only a history of nonvertebral fractures was a significant independent risk factor (OR 2.4 [1.2-4.8]). CONCLUSION: Apart from low BMD and prevalent vertebral fractures, prevalent nonvertebral fractures are associated with an increased incident vertebral fracture risk in men. In women, early menopause, current smoking, and walking aid use are additional independent risk factors for incident vertebral fractures.     

Associations between baseline risk factors and vertebral fracture risk in the Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) Study.

Different risk factors may influence the effectiveness of osteoporosis therapies. The interaction of 30 baseline risk factors and the effectiveness of raloxifene in the MORE study were assessed. The efficacy of raloxifene in reducing vertebral fractures is largely independent of the presence of clinical risk factors for osteoporotic fractures. INTRODUCTION: The aim of this analysis was to determine the effect of different risk factors on the effectiveness of raloxifene to reduce vertebral fractures in the Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) study using logistic regression models. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The association was assessed using univariate analyses and a multivariate model between 30 potential risk factors at baseline and the risk of vertebral fractures after 3 years in the placebo group, as well as the interaction of risk factors with raloxifene therapy (at a dose of 60 or 120 mg/day). RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: In the univariate analysis of the placebo group, after adjusting for baseline lumbar spine BMD (LS BMD), short stature (odds ratio [OR] = 1.18), age (OR = 1.38), years since menopause (OR = 1.38), impaired cognitive function, visuospatial capabilities (OR = 1.19), impaired musculoskeletal strength (OR = 1.23), low femoral neck BMD (OR = 1.21), and prior vertebral fracture (OR = 4.95) were significantly associated with the incidence of new vertebral fractures. In the univariate analysis, significant interactions were observed between raloxifene treatment and age (p = 0.04), serum triglycerides (p = 0.03), LS BMD (p = 0.08), and diabetes mellitus (p = 0.04). In the multivariate analysis, the effectiveness of raloxifene was independent of almost all risk factors, with the exception of baseline serum triglyceride level and LS BMD, suggesting an increased efficacy of raloxifene in patients with increased triglyceride levels (p = 0.006) and lower LS BMD values (p = 0.008) at baseline. These data suggest that the efficacy of raloxifene in reducing vertebral fractures is largely independent of the presence of clinical risk factors for osteoporotic fractures.     

Enhanced prediction of fracture risk combining vertebral fracture status and BMD

Summary Prevalent vertebral fractures are associated with increased fracture risk, but the magnitude of this effect across a range of BMD T-scores has not been quantified. In this analysis, for any given BMD T-score, incident fracture risk varied up to twelve fold when information regarding prevalent radiographic vertebral fracture status was considered. Background Clinical fracture risk evaluation of older women usually includes assessment of bone mineral density (BMD) but often not vertebral fracture status. In this analysis, we quantified the impact of vertebral fracture burden on two year fracture risk across a range of BMD T-scores. Methods Data were from 2,651 postmenopausal women who were assigned to the placebo groups of the Fracture Prevention Trial (median observation 21 months) and the Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation Trial (MORE; observation 2 years). Using the Genant visual semiquantitative criteria, we defined prevalent vertebral fracture status as: a) presence or absence of fracture; b) fracture number; c) maximum semi-quantitative (SQ) score (normal=0, mild fracture=1, moderate fracture=2, severe fracture=3); and d) spinal deformity index (SDI) score (sum of SQ scores of T4 to L4 vertebrae). Incident fractures over two years were identified via lateral spine radiographs and outside the spine by questioning of patients and review of radiographs or radiographic reports. Results Femoral neck BMD T-score provided significant information regarding fracture risk. Across the range of T-scores, vertebral fracture status provided additional prognostic information. The risk increased with increasing number and severity of prevalent vertebral fractures and SDI, a summary measure of spine fracture burden. Across a range of BMD values, prevalent spine fracture burden as assessed by SDI increased the risk of incident vertebral fractures by up to 12-fold, nonvertebral fractures by about twofold, and any fractures by up to sevenfold. Conclusions These findings indicate that at any given BMD T-score, the risk of incident vertebral, non-vertebral, and any fracture depended heavily on prevalent radiographic vertebral fracture status. Assessment of vertebral fracture status, in addition to BMD, provides practical and relevant clinical information to aid in predicting fracture risk in postmenopausal women. This study was supported by Eli Lilly and Company.     

Effect of raloxifene on clinical fractures in Asian women with postmenopausal osteoporosis

Osteoporosis is becoming a major public health problem in Asian countries, with a rapid increase in osteoporotic fractures projected as urbanization increases, particularly in China. The purpose of this post hoc analysis was to assess the effects of 12 months of treatment with raloxifene on the incidence of clinical fractures in postmenopausal Asian women, compared to a placebo, by combining two independently designed studies (one Japanese study and one Chinese study). A total of 488 women, 284 in Japan and 204 in China were included in the analysis. Baseline characteristics (mean ± SD) for the Japanese and Chinese women were: age, 64.8 ± 6.3 years and 65.3 ± 6.0 years; body mass index, 21.8 ± 2.8 kg/m² and 23.0 ± 2.9 kg/m²; and prevalent vertebral fractures, 26.4% and 13.7%, respectively. In both studies, the clinical vertebral and nonvertebral fractures were confirmed by radiographs or clinical reports at a central research facility. From the two combined studies, the incidence of new clinical vertebral fractures was significantly lower in the raloxifene 60 mg/day (RLX60) group (0 out of 194, P = 0.01) and in the pooled raloxifene group (those taking 60 mg/day and those taking 120 mg/day) (0 out of 289, P = 0.002), compared with the placebo group (7 out of 199, 3.5%). The pooled raloxifene group, as well as the RLX60 group, also had a significantly lower incidence of any new clinical fracture (P = 0.001 and P = 0.01, respectively) compared to the placebo group. In conclusion, raloxifene treatment at 60 mg/day for 1 year resulted in a significant reduction in the risk of new clinical vertebral fractures and any new clinical fracture in postmenopausal Asian women with osteoporosis.     

Relationship between bone mineral density changes with denosumab treatment and risk reduction for vertebral and nonvertebral fractures

Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometric bone mineral density (DXA BMD) is a strong predictor of fracture risk in untreated patients. However, previous patient-level studies suggest that BMD changes explain little of the fracture risk reduction observed with osteoporosis treatment. We investigated the relevance of DXA BMD changes as a predictor for fracture risk reduction using data from the FREEDOM trial, which randomly assigned placebo or denosumab 60 mg every 6 months to 7808 women aged 60 to 90 years with a spine or total hip BMD T-score < -2.5 and not < -4.0. We took a standard approach to estimate the percent of treatment effect explained using percent changes in BMD at a single visit (months 12, 24, or 36). We also applied a novel approach using estimated percent changes in BMD from baseline at the time of fracture occurrence (time-dependent models). Denosumab significantly increased total hip BMD by 3.2%, 4.4%, and 5.0% at 12, 24, and 36 months, respectively. Denosumab decreased the risk of new vertebral fractures by 68% (p < 0.0001) and nonvertebral fracture by 20% (p = 0.01) over 36 months. Regardless of the method used, the change in total hip BMD explained a considerable proportion of the effect of denosumab in reducing new or worsening vertebral fracture risk (35% [95% confidence interval (CI): 20%-61%] and 51% [95% CI: 39%-66%] accounted for by percent change at month 36 and change in time-dependent BMD, respectively) and explained a considerable amount of the reduction in nonvertebral fracture risk (87% [95% CI: 35% - >100%] and 72% [95% CI: 24% - >100%], respectively). Previous patient-level studies may have underestimated the strength of the relationship between BMD change and the effect of treatment on fracture risk or this relationship may be unique to denosumab.     

Reduction in PINP, a marker of bone metabolism, with raloxifene treatment and its relationship with vertebral fracture risk

In the Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) trial, 7705 postmenopausal women with osteoporosis, defined by low bone mineral density and/or prevalent vertebral fractures (VF), were randomized to placebo or raloxifene (60 or 120 mg/day). All women received daily calcium (500 mg) and vitamin D (400-600 IU) supplements. Our previous analyses found that changes in BMD and biochemical markers of bone turnover are poorly predictive of the reduction in VF risk observed with raloxifene. This present study evaluated the effects of raloxifene on type I procollagen N-terminal propeptide (PINP), a new marker of bone turnover. Logistic regression analysis models evaluated the relationships between the changes at 1 year in PINP, serum osteocalcin (OC), bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (BSAP), and urinary excretion of type I collagen C-telopeptide fragments normalized to creatinine (CTx/Cr), and the risk of new VF at 3 years for placebo and pooled raloxifene. A subset of 967 women (mean age = 68 years) from the MORE cohort had PINP, OC, BSAP, and CTx evaluated at baseline. Both doses of raloxifene significantly decreased (P < 0.001) all biochemical markers of bone turnover from baseline. Compared to baseline, PINP levels were decreased by medians of 11.0% and 40.8% in the placebo and pooled raloxifene groups, respectively. In addition, the placebo and pooled raloxifene groups decreased serum OC by 8.5% and 31.8%, BSAP by 15.8% and 34.6%, and urinary CTx/Cr excretion by 5.6% and 46.5%, respectively, from baseline. In the pooled raloxifene group, the logistic regression relationship between 3-year VF risk and 1-year percentage change for each biochemical marker was statistically significant with PINP (slope estimate = 0.0085, P = 0.009), OC (slope estimate = 0.0068, P = 0.035), and BSAP (slope estimate = 0.0056, P = 0.039), but not with CTx/Cr (slope estimate = 0.0027, P = 0.192). Furthermore, the percent decrease in PINP at 1 year could account for 28% of the total reduction in vertebral fracture risk. In conclusion, a 1-year decrease in PINP, BSAP, or OC, but not CTx/Cr, may be predictive of the 3-year VF risk reduction with raloxifene therapy in this subset of postmenopausal women with osteoporosis.     

The skeletal response to teriparatide is largely independent of age, initial bone mineral density, and prevalent vertebral fractures in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis.

In a recent study of women with postmenopausal osteoporosis, treatment with teriparatide for a median of 19 months increased bone mineral density and decreased the risk of vertebral and nonvertebral fractures. Using the same cohort, the current study evaluated the relationship between these therapeutic effects and the patient's baseline age, vertebral bone mineral density, and prevalent vertebral fractures. In women over 65 years of age, treatment resulted in a greater increase in vertebral bone mineral density than in younger women (treatment-by-age interaction, p = 0.037), but baseline age had no effect on the relative risk reduction for vertebral fractures (treatment-by-age interaction, p = 0.558). In women receiving placebo (with calcium and vitamin D), there was an inverse relationship between baseline vertebral bone mineral density and vertebral fracture risk. When compared across bone mineral density tertiles, the effects of teriparatide on the relative risk for developing new vertebral fractures and increase in vertebral bone mineral density did not differ significantly (p = 0.817 and p = 0.615, respectively). Teriparatide treatment significantly decreased vertebral fracture risk in patients with a vertebral bone mineral density T score of less than -33 or a score between -2.1 and -3.3 (p < 0.001 and p = 0.027, respectively) and showed a trend toward reduced fracture risk in the group with a T score greater than -2.1 (p = 0.115). Placebo-treated women with two or more prevalent vertebral fractures had a significantly greater risk of developing new vertebral fractures than women with zero or one prevalent vertebral fracture (p < 0.001). When compared within prevalent vertebral fracture subgroups, the effects of teriparatide on the relative risk for developing new vertebral fractures were similar. The results of this study indicate that teriparatide offers clinical benefit to patients across a broad range of age and disease severity.     

Fracture risk reduction during treatment with teriparatide is independent of pretreatment bone turnover

INTRODUCTION: Teriparatide is a bone formation agent that increases bone turnover and mass, resulting in an increase in bone strength and a decrease in fracture risk. METHODS: The primary purpose of this analysis was to evaluate the association between pretreatment bone turnover marker (BTM) concentrations and the absolute and relative fracture risks after adjusting for baseline femoral neck BMD, number of prevalent vertebral fractures, and age. Because femoral neck BMD is commonly attained in the assessment of patients at risk for osteoporosis, we examined the ability of a multivariate assessment including pretreatment BTM concentration and femoral neck BMD to predict future fracture risk after adjusting for the number of prevalent vertebral fractures. We examined data from the Fracture Prevention Trial, a study designed to determine the effect of teriparatide 20 mcg/day and teriparatide 40 mcg/day on vertebral and nonvertebral fracture risk in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis. BTM were analyzed in two subsets of women within the Fracture Prevention Trial, and included serum bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (BSAP), serum carboxy-terminal extension peptide of procollagen type I (PICP), serum amino-terminal extension peptide of procollagen type I (PINP), urinary free deoxypyridinoline (DPD), and urinary N-terminal telopeptide (NTX). RESULTS: Teriparatide significantly reduced the risk of fracture [four BTM subset (n = 520), placebo = 14.3%, teriparatide = 5.8%, P < 0.05; PINP subset (n = 771), placebo = 17.7%, teriparatide = 5.5%, P < 0.05]. Subjects with the highest pretreatment BTM concentrations had the greatest fracture risk. Teriparatide-mediated absolute risk reduction was greatest for women with high pretreatment bone turnover; however, the relative fracture risk reduction was independent of pretreatment bone turnover. After adjusting for pretreatment BTM and number of prevalent vertebral fractures, baseline femoral neck BMD was not a significant predictor of fracture risk. CONCLUSION: Teriparatide-mediated relative fracture risk reduction was independent of pretreatment bone turnover, demonstrating that this therapy offers clinical benefit to patients across a range of disease severity.     

Association of prevalent vertebral fractures, bone density, and alendronate treatment with incident vertebral fractures: effect of number and spinal location of fractures. The Fracture Intervention Trial Research Group

Vertebral fractures are the most common osteoporotic fracture and are associated with significant pain and disability. Prior vertebral fracture and low bone mineral density (BMD) are strong predictors of new vertebral fracture. Using data from 6082 women, ages 55-80 years, in the Fracture Intervention Trial (a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of the antiresorptive agent, alendronate), we explored the association of the number of prior vertebral fractures with the risk of new fractures and whether this association is influenced by the spinal location of fractures. The risk of future vertebral fractures increased with the number of prevalent fractures, independently of age and BMD; in the placebo group, more than half of the women with five or more fractures at baseline developed new vertebral fractures, compared to only 3.8% of women without prior vertebral fractures. The magnitude of association with an increased risk of future vertebral fractures was equal for prevalent fractures located in either the "lower" (T12-L4) (relative risk [RR] = 2.9; 95% CI = 1.9, 3.6) or "upper" (T4-10) spine (RR = 2.6; 95% CI = 1.9, 3.6). We found no evidence that the effectiveness of alendronate in reducing the risk of future vertebral fracture was attenuated in women with up to five or more prevalent fractures, or that it varied by the location of prevalent fractures. However, prevalent vertebral fractures in any location were more strongly associated with risk of new fractures in the upper (RR = 5.2; 95% CI = 3.2, 8.3) than in the lower spine (2.3; 1.6, 3.3). In addition, each 1 SD decrease in spinal BMD was associated with a 2.1 (1.7, 2.6) times greater odds of new fracture in the upper spine, compared with 1.5 (1.3, 1.8) for the lower spine. These findings suggest that, in older women, osteoporosis may be a stronger risk factor for new fractures in the upper (vs. lower) thoracolumbar spine, although we found no evidence that the location of prior fractures should influence treatment decisions. Physicians should recognize that prior vertebral fractures are a strong risk factor for future fractures, and consider treating such patients to reduce their risk of subsequent fractures.     

Risedronate decreases fracture risk in patients selected solely on the basis of prior vertebral fracture

The aim of this study was to examine the effects of risedronate (5 mg/daily) in patients identified solely on the basis of a prior fragility fracture, without BMD as an inclusion criterion. A total of 1,802 patients were examined from the VERT-NA and VERT-MN clinical trials. Lateral radiographs (T4 to L4) were obtained at baseline and annually; incident fractures were evaluated using quantitative and semiquantitative methods at the central facility. BMD was measured at the lumbar spine and femoral neck by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Secondary analyses evaluated vertebral fracture efficacy in patient subgroups categorized according to the presence of risk factors for osteoporosis at baseline (age, femoral neck BMD, lumbar spine BMD, more severe BMD, height, weight, body mass index, prevalent nonvertebral fracture status, smoking, and bone turnover marker levels). Over 3 years, risedronate reduced the risk of new vertebral fractures by 44% (95% CI, 28% to 56%) compared with placebo. In patients subgrouped according to the presence or absence of putative risk factors, the efficacy of risedronate was comparable across all groups (all treatment-by-non BMD subgroup interactions p0.210). Adjustment for age, baseline BMD, and prevalent vertebral fractures on fracture risk gave results similar to the unadjusted analysis. In patients taking placebo, the incidence of new vertebral fracture was higher in several of the high-risk categories (elderly, T-score –2.5 SD). In conclusion, the findings of this study suggest that risedronate is effective in patients identified solely on the basis of a prior fragility fracture and that the efficacy of risedronate in the reduction of vertebral fractures is largely independent of the presence of clinical risk factors for osteoporotic fracture.Abbreviations LS Lumbar spine - VERT-MN Vertebral Efficacy with Risedronate Therapy Multinational - VERT-NA Vertebral Efficacy with Risedronate Therapy North American     

Six and Twelve Month Changes in Bone Turnover are Related to Reduction in Vertebral Fracture Risk During 3 Years of Raloxifene Treatment in Postmenopausal Osteoporosis

We studied the relationship between change in bone turnover and vertebral fracture risk during raloxifene therapy using 3-year data from the MORE trial, where 2622 of the 7705 randomized women had measurement of bone markers at baseline and after 6 and 12 months participation. Change in bone turnover was significantely related to future risk of vertebral fracture, also after adjusting for baseline vertebral fracture status and BMD. Thus, for a decrease of 9.3 mg/l in serum osteocalcin after 1 year’s raloxifene therapy, the odds ratio (OR) for a new vertebral fracture during 3 years was 0.69 (0.54–0.88), p= 0.003. Similarly, for a decrease of 5.91 mg/l in serum bone alkaline phosphatase, OR was 0.75 (0.62–0.92), p= 0.005. The change in BMD over 12 and 24 months was not related to fracture risk in any of the analyses. The strongest predictor for vertebral fracture was prevalent vertebral fracture – even during therapy. The predictive value of baseline BMD was in the same order of magnitude as bone turnover change during raloxifene treatment. In conclusion, the change in bone turnover is related to fracture risk during raloxifene therapy. In contrast the change in BMD is not related to fracture risk. The strongest predictor for vertebral fracture is prevalent vertebral fracture. Received: 2 January 2001 / Accepted: 30 May 2001