Predicting outcomes of patients in Japan after first acute stroke using a simple model

OBJECTIVE: Prediction of patient outcome can be useful as an aid to clinical decision making. Many studies, including my own, have constructed predictive multivariate models for outcome following stroke rehabilitation therapy, but these have often required several minutes work with a pocket calculator. The aim is to develop a simple, easy-to-use model that has strong predictive power. METHODS: Four hundred sixty-four consecutive patients with first stroke who were admitted to a rehabilitation hospital during a period of 19 mo were enrolled in the study. Sex, age, the stroke type, Functional Independence Measure total score on admission (X), onset to admission interval (number of days from stroke onset to rehabilitation admission), and length of rehabilitation hospital stay (number of days from hospital admission to discharge) were the independent variables. Functional Independence Measure total score at discharge (Y) was the dependent variable. RESULTS: Stepwise multiple regression analysis resulted in the model containing age (P < 0.0001), X (P < 0.0001), and onset to admission interval (P < 0.0001). The equation was: Y = 68.6 - 0.32 (age) + 0.80X - 0.13 (onset to admission interval), a multiple correlation coefficient (R) = 0.82, and a multiple correlation coefficient squared (R2) = 0.68. Simple regression analysis revealed the relation between Xand Y: Y = 0.85X + 37.36, and R = 0.80 R2 = 0.64. In fact, plots of X vs. Ywere nonlinear, but seemed to be able to be linearized by some form of equation. It was found that there is a linear relation between logX and Y. The equation is Y = 106.88x - 95.35, where x = logX, R = 0.84, and R2 = 0.70. The correlation is improved by a regression analysis of a natural logarithmic transformation of X (R = 0.84 vs. R = 0.82). CONCLUSION: The results in this study confirm that the simple regression model using a logarithmic transformation of X (R = 0.84) has predictive power over the simple regression model (R = 0.80). This model is well validated and clinically useful.     

The effect of systematic care planning after acute stroke in general hospital medical wards

In a multidisciplinary study comprising 280 patients with acute cerebrovascular disease, the functional capacity was followed from the acute stage onwards with a test battery mainly measuring activities of daily living and motor capacity. Systematized care procedures with written care plans in accordance with the nursing process model, together with a booklet of guidelines in stroke care, were introduced during an experimental period in the care of 173 of the stroke victims. The remaining 107 patients received conventional care. The functional improvements were equal from a statistical standpoint in these two groups. However, in the group, which received special activities, there was a significant decrease in bed days, and a slightly larger number were able to return to their own homes. Compared with another stroke population from the same hospital, measured with the same functional instrument 7 years ago, the patients in this study seemed better off from a functional standpoint. For the individual severely-disabled patient, the care planning procedures seemed to be valuable and an effective way of promoting communication between different units. The difficulties in introducing new routines for documentation are discussed.     

Executive function deficits in acute stroke

OBJECTIVES: To establish the frequency of executive dysfunction during acute hospitalization for stroke and to examine the relationship of that dysfunction to stroke severity and premorbid characteristics. DESIGN: Inception cohort study. SETTING: Inpatient wards at a Veterans Affairs hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Consecutive sample of inpatients with radiologically or neurologically confirmed stroke. Final sample included 47 patients screened for aphasia and capable of neuropsychologic testing. Two nonstroke inpatient control samples (n=10 each) with either transient ischemic attack (TIA) or multiple stroke risk factors were administered the same research procedure and tests. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Composite cognitive impairment ratio (CIR), calculated from 8 scores indicative of executive function on 6 neuropsychologic tests by dividing number of tests completed into the number of scores falling below cutoff point, defined as 1.5 standard deviations below normative population mean. RESULTS: Stroke patients had a mean CIR of .61, compared with .48 for TIAs and .44 for stroke-risk-only. Analysis of variance revealed that CIRs of stroke-risk-only patients but not TIAs were lower than those of the stroke patients (P=.02). Impairment frequencies were at least 50% for stroke patients on most test scores. The Symbol Digit Modalities Test (75% impairment) and a design fluency measure distinguished stroke from nonstroke patients. CIR was not related to stroke severity in the stroke patient sample, but was related to estimated premorbid intelligence. CONCLUSIONS: Executive function deficits are common in stroke patients. The data suggest that limitations in information processing due to these deficits may require environmental and procedural accommodations to increase rehabilitation benefit.     

Early impairment in consciousness predicts mortality after hemispheric ischemic stroke

OBJECTIVE: Early predictors of poor outcome after acute ischemic stroke may be useful in selecting patients for potentially beneficial but high-risk interventions. DESIGN: Cohort study of patients given placebo in a randomized clinical trial. SETTING: Multicenter trial at 139 U.S. and 14 Canadian hospitals. PATIENTS: A cohort of 564 placebo-treated patients with major anterior circulation ischemic stroke enrolled in the Clomethiazole in Acute Stroke Study-Ischemic Stroke (CLASS-I) trial. Patients did not have significant impairment in consciousness at baseline and were enrolled within 12 hrs of symptom onset. INTERVENTIONS: Prospective data collection of a number of clinical variables including use of a 6-point level of consciousness scale (1 = awake, 6 = no reaction to pain) to measure patients' level of consciousness at enrollment and 12 additional times during the first 24 hrs after enrollment. The ability of level of consciousness score and additional clinical data to predict 30-day mortality was assessed. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: At 1 month, 114 of 564 patients (20%) had died. In univariate analysis, factors significantly associated with mortality included older age, white race, higher National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, higher serum glucose, atrial fibrillation, and any impairment in level of consciousness (p <.05). After controlling for these factors, increasing level of consciousness score at 3 hrs after enrollment and at all but one subsequent time point was significantly associated with increased mortality (odds ratio, 1.8 per point; 95% confidence interval, 1.2-2.6; p =.003 at 3-hr time point). Maximum level of consciousness score during the initial 24 hrs of monitoring also predicted mortality (odds ratio, 1.9 per point; 95% confidence interval, 1.4-2.5; p <.001). CONCLUSION: The development of a decreased level of consciousness within the initial hours after stroke onset, as evaluated by a simple six-point scale, is a powerful independent predictor of mortality after major anterior circulation ischemic stroke.     

Clinical outcomes of acute stroke patients with atrial fibrillation

Evaluation of: Kazumi K, Yasuyuki I, Kensaku S, Takeshi I, Shinji Y, Junya A. IV-tPA therapy in acute stroke patients with atrial fibrillation. J. Neurol. Sci. 276(1–2), 6–8 (2009).

Stroke is the leading cause of disability and the second most common cause of death worldwide. The care and treatment of stroke patients have evolved over the last two decades, with increasing use of thrombolysis (e.g., intravenous tissue plasminogen activator in acute stroke patients), which has improved survival and recovery following stroke. The article under evaluation offers a greater insight into the relationship of clinical outcome of stroke and atrial fibrillation after tissue plasminogen activator infusion.     

卒中后的心肌缺血样损伤

目的　研究卒中后急性期心肌缺血样损伤的发生情况及对预后的影响。方法　以既往无心脏病史的卒中急性期患者为研究对象 ,发病 3d内及 15d后进行心电图 (ECG)检查 ,统计分析ECG出现缺血样改变的发生率及恢复率。以发病 3d内ECG出现缺血样改变患者为缺血组 ,ECG无明显异常者为对照组。统计分析死亡率差别。结果　蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)后伴有ECG心肌缺血样表现的患者死亡率明显升高 (P <0 0 1)。脑梗死 (CI)或脑出血 (CH)伴有ECG心肌缺血样表现的患者死亡率无明显改变。存活患者中 ,这种ECG心肌缺血样改变短期内恢复的比率较低 ,且SAH的恢复率高于CH和CI(P<0 0 5 )。结论　急性卒中可导致心肌暂时性或长期性损伤 ,这种损伤可导致SAH患者死亡率升高     

Antioxidant capacity after acute ischaemic stroke

BACKGROUND:Experimental studies have reported a rapid increase in the production of markers of oxidative damage following acute stroke due to the reperfusion event following ischaemia, and that endogenous antioxidant defences are rapidly depleted, permitting further tissue damage. Aim: To measure changes in antioxidant capacity (individual and total) in stroke disease within a known time period post infarct. DESIGN:Observational cohort study. METHODS:We studied 31 acute ischaemic stroke patients; 26 hospitalized non-stroke patients and 23 community-based healthy controls. Non-fasting venous blood was obtained within 24 h, at 48-72 h and at 7 days after stroke onset (after hospitalization for non-stroke patients) and at baseline for community controls. Vitamins E and C, total plasma glutathione, total antioxidant capacity (TAC), uric acid, thiobarbituric-acid-reactive substances (TBARS), serum albumin, transferrin and C-reactive protein (CRP) were measured. RESULTS:Baseline glutathione concentrations were non-significantly lowest and TBARS significantly highest in ischaemic stroke patients compared with controls. Serum TAC strongly correlated with serum uric acid. Under multivariate analysis, serum uric acid explained most of the variance in TAC during the study period. Despite increased concentrations of uric acid, TAC was reduced in stroke patients compared with controls. Serum vitamin C concentrations deteriorated significantly in stroke patients, and differences between the cumulative changes between strokes and hospital controls were also statistically significant (p=0.013). DISCUSSION:There was some evidence of reduction in TAC, despite increased uric acid concentrations, and deterioration in serum vitamin C levels in ischaemic stroke patients compared with controls.     

Working memory and mental practice outcomes after stroke

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship between working memory and motor improvement obtained after a single training session combining mental and physical practice. DESIGN: Before-after trial. SETTING: Laboratory of a university-affiliated research rehabilitation center. PARTICIPANTS: A sample of 12 patients with stroke and 14 age- and gender-matched healthy subjects. INTERVENTION: In a single session, patients were trained with combined mental and physical practice to increase the loading on the affected leg while standing up and sitting down. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Motor improvement as measured by the percentage change in limb loading on the affected limb after training and 24 hours later (follow-up), and the relationship between working memory and percentage motor improvement. RESULTS: The loading on the affected leg was improved after training (P< .01) and at follow-up (P< .05), and working memory scores at follow-up correlated significantly (P< .004 to P< .007) with the level of improvement. The visuospatial domain yielded the strongest correlation (r= .83), followed by the verbal (r= .62) and kinesthetic (r= .59) domains. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that the outcome (improved limb loading) of mental rehearsal with motor imagery depends on the ability to maintain and manipulate information in working memory.     

综合医院内脑卒中患者急性期的全面康复

脑卒中急性期的治疗与康复是全面康复的关键。我们对３０例脑出血及５０例脑梗塞急性期住院病人进行了常规治疗及早期康复训练，同时对有知觉障碍、语言障碍的病人进行特殊训练。在训练中运用运动疗法和作业疗法，并对不同时期的心理障碍进行心理治疗。经平均３３天住院治疗和训练，患者肌力提高２级以上，８７．５％的病例达到Ｂａｒｔｈｅｌ日常活动能力指数６０分以上，ＡＤＬ功能恢复６１分以上，生活基本自理。因此，对脑血管病急性期应及早进行康复训练并应以“全面康复”的思想为指导。     

Gender and family composition related to discharge destination and length of hospital stay after acute stroke

Informal care by family members still plays an important role in home care after acute stroke. This study determined the clinical and demographic factors, such as family structure, that predict discharge to home and length of hospital stay (LOS) after acute stroke hospitalization. We reviewed the sex, age, family structure before stroke, type of stroke, size of the lesion, activities of daily living (ADL) function at discharge, discharge destination, and LOS of stroke patients (114 cerebral infarctions and 44 intracerebral hemorrhages) admitted to a neurosurgical hospital. Patients with cerebral infarction were older than those with intracerebral hemorrhage (median 75 vs 66 years). Ninety-eight were discharged to home (62%). In the logistic regression analysis, low ADL function, medium or large infarction, and intracerebral hemorrhage (vs lacunar infarction) were significantly associated with discharge to a destination other than home. Of the patients discharged home, low ADL function was strongly associated with LOS in the multiple regression analysis. In addition, living with a spouse only had the opposite effect on LOS in men and women (p=0.050 and 0.071, respectively). LOS tended to be shorter for men with a wife, but longer for women with a husband. The structure and gender roles in a stroke patient's household may need further attention for the efficient use of hospital resources.     

Some impacts of nursing on acute care hospital outcomes

Measuring nursing-sensitive patient outcomes using publicly available data provides exciting opportunities for the nursing profession to quantify the patient care impact of staffing changes at individual hospitals and to make comparisons among hospitals with differing staffing patterns. Using data from California and New York, this study tested the feasibility of measuring such outcomes in acute care hospitals and examining relationships between these outcomes and nurse staffing. Nursing intensity weights were used to acuity-adjust the patient data. Both higher nurse staffing and higher proportion of RNs were significantly related to shorter lengths of stay. Lower adverse outcome rates were more consistently related to a higher proportion of RNs.     

The impact of diabetes mellitus on stroke acute rehabilitation outcomes

OBJECTIVE: To examine the impact of diabetes mellitus (DM) on functional outcomes after acute rehabilitation for cerebrovascular accident (CVA). DESIGN: A retrospective research design was used to analyze outcomes in patients with a primary diagnosis of unilateral stroke (n = 367) admitted to an urban, acute rehabilitation center in the Southeastern United States. RESULTS: Multivariable hierarchical regression revealed that DM did not contribute statistically significant variance to stroke acute rehabilitation prediction models. Rehabilitation admission functioning scores, rehabilitation length of stay, age, and stroke type were significant predictors of poststroke rehabilitation motor outcomes (r2 = 0.603) and cognitive outcomes (r2 = 0.712). Diabetes also had no significant impact on acute stroke rehabilitation lengths of stay or rehabilitation discharge setting. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes does not seem to significantly impact short-term acute rehabilitation outcomes after stroke. Persons with diabetes who suffer a stroke seem to benefit and improve during their acute rehabilitation stay at levels equivalent to peers who are not diagnosed with diabetes. Future research should examine the impact of diabetes subtypes and undiagnosed diabetes on short- and long-term outcomes.     

Risks of acute hospital transfer and mortality during stroke rehabilitation

OBJECTIVE: To identify demographic, medical, and functional factors associated with transfer of stroke patients to acute hospital services and/or mortality during stroke rehabilitation. DESIGN: Two case-control studies in which logistic regression was used to control for clinical traits associated with differences in likelihood. SETTING: A total of 542 US inpatient and rehabilitation units. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 64,471 patients discharged during 1995. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Transfer to an acute hospital service and death. RESULTS: There were 5847 (9.1%) acute hospital transfers and 320 (0.5%) deaths. Greater disability at admission was associated with higher odds of both acute hospitalization and mortality. Cardiopulmonary arrest, chest pain, gastrointestinal problems, bleeding disorders, hypercoagulable states, and acute renal difficulties increased the relative odds of acute hospitalization from 3.1 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.3-4.2) to 12.7 (95% CI, 9.2-17.6). The likelihood of mortality for patients 85 years of age or older was more than 2-fold (2.5; 95% CI, 1.7-3.6) that of patients 65 years of age or younger for blacks, it was nearly 2-fold (1.7; 95% CI, 1.3-2.3) compared with whites, after adjusting for clinical differences. CONCLUSION: Higher likelihoods of mortality among older patients versus younger, black patients versus white, and patients with more rather than less disability at admission suggest the need for greater vigilance in monitoring medical status.     

Timing of carotid surgery after acute stroke

Carotid endarterectomy (CEA) has been proven to reduce the risk of stroke and death in both asymptomatic and symptomatic patients with carotid occlusive disease. Stroke is the third leading cause of death in the USA. Since up to one-third of stroke patients have a stroke secondary to carotid occlusive disease, it is important to offer CEA to this subgroup of patients that meet indications for surgery. Historically, literature has suggested that the optimal timing to perform CEA is approximately 6 weeks after an acute stroke. This was concluded owing to high perioperative morbidity and mortality if CEA was performed too early. However, data are increasingly showing that some patients do benefit from CEA earlier than 6 weeks after an acute stroke. This article discusses mid-20th Century literature and focuses on more recent 21st Century literature discussing the timing of CEA after acute stroke. Although there are data to support delayed CEA, it is reasonable to perform early CEA in select stroke patient populations. Candidates for early CEA should have complete or near resolution of symptoms, small infarcts on imaging and ipsilateral carotid stenosis.