Development and validation of prognostic nomograms for metastatic gastrointestinal stromal tumour treated with imatinib

PurposeMetastatic gastrointestinal stromal tumour (GIST) is generally an incurable disease with variable response to imatinib. We aimed to develop prognostic nomograms to predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) for patients treated with imatinib.MethodsNomograms were developed in a training cohort (n = 330) of patients treated in a randomised trial (EORTC-ISG-AGITG 62005 phase III study) using Cox regression models, and validated in patients (n = 236) treated in routine clinical care from six referral centres. Nomogram performance was assessed by calculating the c statistic. A classification based on the nomograms’ scores was generated to group patients according to risk.ResultsNomogram risk factors for OS and PFS were size of the largest metastasis, tumour genotype, primary tumour mitotic count, haemoglobin and blood neutrophil count at commencement of imatinib. The nomograms predicted survival with a c statistic of 0.75 (training) and 0.62 (validation) for OS, and 0.69 (training) and 0.62 (validation) for PFS. When tested in the validation cohort, the nomograms discriminated well the high and intermediate risk from low risk patients (hazard ratio [HR] for OS 3.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.71–8.56; and 2.48, 95% CI 1.12–5.50; for PFS 2.84, 95% CI 1.66–4.87; and 1.45, 95% CI 0.87–2.41, respectively).ConclusionThe nomograms predicted the risk of GIST progression and death with good discrimination of risk groups, and may be of value for patient counselling and risk stratification.     

The prognostic significance of minimal residual disease in adult Egyptian patients with precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia

BackgroundMinimal residual disease (MRD) studies in adult acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) give highly significant prognostic information superior to other standard criteria as age, gender and total leucocytic count (TLC) in distinguishing patients at high and low risk of relapse.ObjectivesWe aimed to determine the value of MRD monitoring by flowcytometry (FCM) in predicting outcome in adult Precursor ALL patients.Patients and methodsBone marrow (BM) samples were analyzed by 4-color FCM collected at diagnosis and after induction therapy (MRD1) to correlate MRD positivity with disease free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).ResultsStudy included 57 adult ALL patients (44 males and 13 females) with a median age of 22 years (18–49). DFS showed no significant difference with age, gender and initial TLC (p = 0.838, 0.888 and 0.743, respectively). Cumulative DFS at 2 years was 34% for B-lineage ALL (n: 35) and 57% for T-lineage ALL (n: 18) (p = 0.057). Cumulative DFS at 2 years was 7% for MRD1 positive (high risk, HR) versus 57% for MRD1 negative patients (Low risk, LR) (p < 0.001). Cumulative DFS at 2 years was 29% for HR patients (n: 26) versus 55% for LR (n: 27) according to GMALL classification (p = 0.064). Cumulative OS did not differ according to age, gender and TLC (p = 0.526, 0.594 and 0.513, respectively). Cumulative OS at 2 years was 36% for B ALL (n: 39) versus 77% for TALL (n: 18) (p = 0.016) and was 49% for Philadelphia chromosome (Ph) negative patients versus 0% for Ph-positive patients (p < 0.001). Regarding MRD1, OS at 2 years was 18% for MRD1 HR (n: 17) versus 65% for MRD1 LR (n: 38) (p < 0.001). OS was 35% for high-risk patients (n: 30) and 62% for low-risk patients (n: 27) classified according to GMALL risk stratification (p = 0.017).ConclusionMRD by FCM is a strong independent predictor of outcome in terms of DFS and OS and is a powerful informative parameter in guiding individual treatment in ALL patients.     

S100A2 is a predictive biomarker of adjuvant therapy benefit in pancreatic adenocarcinoma

BackgroundPrognosis of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAC) remains poor. S100A2 has been recently suggested as a negative prognostic biomarker in PAC. We aimed to investigate its prognostic and/or predictive value in a large independent multicentric cohort of patients with resected PAC.MethodsSequential samples of 471 patients were retrospectively collected; 142 patients did not receive adjuvant treatment (30%) and 329 (70%) received an adjuvant treatment. We measured protein levels of S100A2 by semiquantitative immunohistochemistry with tissue microarrays and correlated with patients’ overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).ResultsS100A2 protein status was obtained in 462 (98%) patients. Its expression was low, moderate or high in 59%, 12% and 2% of cases, respectively. It was not correlated with DFS or OS in the whole population, neither in the subgroup of patients who did not receive adjuvant treatment. However among patients who received an adjuvant therapy, moderate/high levels of S100A2 were significantly associated with longer OS and DFS in multivariate analysis (hazard ratios of 0.63, p = 0.022 and 0.67, p = 0.017, respectively), whereas low S100A2 was not. Interaction tests for adjuvant therapy were statistically significant both for the OS and the DFS (p = 0.001 and p = 0.023, respectively). On multivariate analysis, S100A2 retained independent predictive values (OS: p < 0.001, DFS: p = 0.003) with a significant benefit of adjuvant therapy for those patients with moderate/high S100A2.ConclusionsS100A2 expression predicts longer DFS and OS in patients treated with adjuvant therapy and should be evaluated as a predictive biomarker.     

Prognostic value of platelet-associated biomarkers in rectal cancer patients received neoadjuvant chemoradiation: A retrospective study

PurposePlatelet volume has been shown to prognostic value in patients with colorectal cancer. However, the changes of other platelet-associated biomarkers in rectal cancer patients, before and after the neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy (NACRT), remain unclear. In this study, we investigated the prognostic value of platelet-associated biomarkers in rectal cancer patients with NACRT.Patients and methodsA total of 75 patients with locally advanced (T3–4 or N+) rectal cancer (LARC) cancer were selected and followed up from the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University between June 2013 and September 2016. The data of platelet-associated biomarkers, including the platelet count, platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), mean platelet volume (MPV), and platelet distribution width (PDW) both pre- and post- NACRT, were collected. The associations between these platelet-associated biomarkers and the overall survival (OS), as well as disease-free survival (DFS) of patients, were analysed. Patients were divided into groups with high or low values of the platelet-associated biomarkers, and the outcomes were compared by using Cox regression and Kaplan–Meier analysis.ResultsWe found that pre-PLR (HR: 4.104; 95%CI: 1.411–11.421; P = 0.009) and pre-LMR (HR: 0.384; 95%CI: 0.124–1.185; P = 0.066) could predict the OS in LARC patients after NACRT by multivariate Cox regression analysis, a cut-off value of pre-PLR > 7.02 and pre-LMR ≤ 7.10 could be used as independent prognostic factors for OS by Kaplan–Meier method. The pre-MPV value could be used as an independent prognostic factor for DFS by Kaplan–Meier analysis (P = 0.037). Moreover, post-CEA was correlated with OS and DFS in LARC patients with NACRT.ConclusionIn LARC patients with NACRT, the pre-PLR and pre-LMR are independent prognostic factors for OS, while pre-MPV has predictive value for DFS.     

Gastric carcinoma at Tanta Cancer Center: A comparative retrospective clinico-pathological study of the elderly versus the non-elderly

Background and aimsTo study the clinico-pathological features, treatments and outcomes of gastric carcinoma (GC) in the elderly (⩾65 years) and the non-elderly Egyptian patients.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study included 168 patients with histologically confirmed GC treated at Tanta Cancer Center between 2003 and 2007.ResultsCompared to the non-elderly, elderly patients had significantly higher proportion of tumors involving the cardia (p = 0.034) and of adenocarcinoma NOS histology (p = 0.032). Treatments were largely comparable in the two groups. Response to palliative chemotherapy was achieved in 44.4% of the elderly and 25.5% of the non-elderly patients (p = 0.417). The median overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were 6, 17 and 3 months, respectively. The median OS was 4 months in the elderly compared to 9 months in the non-elderly (p = 0.005). The median DFS was 4 months in the elderly compared to 20 months in the non-elderly (p = 0.004). The median PFS was 2 months in the elderly compared to 3 months in the non-elderly (p = 0.685). In multivariate analysis, poor performance status was an independent predictor of poor OS, DFS and PFS. Non-curative or no surgery and lack of chemotherapy use were independent predictors of poor OS. Age was an independent predictor of poor DFS.ConclusionsCompared to the non-elderly, GC in the elderly has similar clinico-pathological characteristics and exhibits comparable outcomes with the same treatment options. Treatments should be tailored to each patient.     

Cross-validation study of class III beta-tubulin as a predictive marker for benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in resected non-small-cell lung cancer: analysis of four randomized trials

BackgroundThe IALT, JBR.10, ANITA and Cancer and Leukemia Group B 9633 trials compared adjuvant chemotherapy with observation for patients with resected non-small-cell lung cancer (R-NSCLC). Data from the metastatic setting suggest high tumor class III beta-tubulin (TUBB3) expression is a determinant of insensitivity to tubulin-targeting agents (e.g. vinorelbine, paclitaxel). In 265 patients from JBR.10 (vinorelbine–cisplatin versus observation), high TUBB3 was an adverse prognostic factor and was associated (nonsignificantly) with ‘greater’ survival benefit from chemotherapy. We explored this further in additional patients from JBR.10 and the other three trials.Patients and methodsTUBB3 immunohistochemical staining was scored for 1149 patients on the four trials. The original JBR.10 cut-off scores were used to classify tumors as TUBB3 high or low. The prognostic and predictive value of TUBB3 on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) was assessed by Cox models stratified by trial and adjusted for clinical factors.ResultsHigh TUBB3 expression was prognostic for OS [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.27 (1.07–1.51), P = 0.008) and DFS [HR = 1.30 (1.11–1.53), P = 0.001). TUBB3 was not predictive of a differential treatment effect [interaction P = 0.20 (OS), P = 0.23 (DFS)]. Subset analysis (n = 420) on vinorelbine–cisplatin gave similar results.ConclusionsThe prognostic effect of high TUBB3 expression in patients with R-NSCLC has been validated. We were unable to confirm a predictive effect for TUBB3.     

Effect of obesity on disease-free and overall survival in node-positive breast cancer patients in a large French population: A pooled analysis of two randomised trials

BackgroundTo examine the association between baseline body mass index (BMI), and disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in a large French early-stage breast cancer population included in the UNICANCER Programme d’Action Concerté Sein-01 (PACS01) and PACS04 phase III randomised trials.MethodsAfter a median follow-up of 5.9 years, this report analyses 4996 patients with node-positive breast cancer, and randomly assigned to adjuvant anthracycline-based chemotherapy combined or not with taxanes. Univariate analyses were used to study the effects of well known prognostic factors and BMI on DFS and OS. BMI was obtained at baseline, before chemotherapy initiation, and obesity was defined as a BMI ⩾ 30 kg/m². Cox proportional hazards regression models were secondly used to assess the influence of BMI after adjusting for other factors. Exhaustive analysis of the dose intensity delivered was also studied for comparison between obese and non-obese patients.ResultsObese patients initially present with more advanced disease at diagnosis compared to non-obese patients. By univariate analysis, obesity was moderately associated with poorer DFS (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.18 [1.01–1.39] P = 0.04), but mostly with poorer OS (HR = 1.38 [1.13–1.69] P = 0.002). Delivered dose intensity of anthracyclines and taxanes was not significantly different between obese and non-obese patients. After adjustment for disease characteristics, BMI had no influence either on DFS or OS.ConclusionThis report suggests that in a French population, obesity has no impact on breast cancer prognosis when modern adjuvant chemotherapy, at the appropriate dose intensity, is delivered.     

Utility of the CPS + EG staging system in hormone receptor-positive,human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy

BackgroundPathologic complete response after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) correlates with overall survival (OS) in primary breast cancer. A recently described staging system based on pre-treatment clinical stage (CS), final pathological stage (PS), estrogen receptor (ER) status and nuclear grade (NG) leads to a refined estimation of prognosis in unselected patients. Its performance in luminal type breast cancers has not been determined. This study investigates the clinical utility of this CPS + EG score when restricted to hormone receptor-positive (HR+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2–) patients and compares the results to a cohort of unselected patients.MethodsThe CPS + EG score was calculated for 6637 unselected patients and 2454 patients with HR + /HER2− tumours who received anthracycline/taxane-based NACT within 8 prospective German trials.ResultsFive-year disease-free survival (DFS) and OS were 75.6% and 84.1% for the unselected cohort and 80.6% and 87.8% for the HR + /HER2− subgroup, respectively. The CPS + EG system distinguished different prognostic groups with 5-year DFS ranging from 0% to 91%. The CPS + EG system leads to an improved categorisation of patients by outcome compared to CS, PS, ER or NG alone. When applying the CPS + EG score to the HR + /HER2− subgroup, a shift to lower scores was observed compared to the overall population, but 5-year DFS and OS for the individual scores were identical to that observed in the overall population.ConclusionsIn HR + /HER2− patients, the CPS + EG staging system retains its ability to facilitate a refined stratification of patients according to outcome. It can help to select candidates for post-neoadjuvant clinical trials in luminal breast cancer.     

A PET-based nomogram for oropharyngeal cancers

PurposeIn the context of locally advanced oropharyngeal cancer (LAOC) treated with definitive radiotherapy (RT) (combined with chemotherapy or cetuximab), the aims of this study were: (1) to identify PET-FDG parameters correlated with overall survival (OS) from a first cohort of patients; then (2) to compute a prognostic score; and (3) finally to validate this scoring system in a second independent cohort of patients.Materials and methodsA total of 76 consecutive patients (training cohort from Rennes) treated with chemoradiotherapy or RT with cetuximab for LAOC were used to build a predictive model of locoregional control (LRC) and OS based on PET-FDG parameters. After internal calibration and validation of this model, a nomogram and a scoring system were developed and tested in a validation cohort of 46 consecutive patients treated with definitive RT for LAOC in Lausanne.ResultsIn multivariate analysis, the metabolic tumour volume (MTV) of the primary tumour and the lymph nodes were independent predictive factors for LRC and OS. Internal calibration showed a very good adjustment between the predicted OS and the observed OS at 24 months. Using the predictive score, two risk groups were identified (median OS 42 versus 14 months, p < 0.001) and confirmed in the validation cohort from Lausanne (median OS not reached versus 26 months, p = 0.008).ConclusionsThis is the first report of a PET-based nomogram in oropharyngeal cancer. Interestingly, it appeared stronger than the classical prognostic factors and was validated in independent cohorts markedly diverging in many aspects, which suggest that the observed signal was robust.     

Survival in epithelial ovarian cancer: a multivariate analysis incorporating BRCA mutation status and platinum sensitivity

BackgroundPatients with BRCA-associated ovarian cancer (OC) have a survival advantage over those with sporadic OC. To further explore this, we examined the impact of prognostic factors on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with known BRCA mutation status.Patients and methodsWe reviewed stage III–IV OC patients treated at our institution between 1 December 1996 and 30 September 2006 and also tested on protocol for BRCA mutations. Impact on DFS and OS was determined by Kaplan–Meier analysis and a Cox proportional hazards model.ResultsOf the 110 patients, 36 had deleterious BRCA mutations [BRCA (+)] and 74 were BRCA wild type [BRCA(-)]. Thirty-one of 36 (86%) BRCA (+) and 60 of 74 (81%) BRCA (-) patients were platinum sensitive (P = 0.60). Median OS was longer for BRCA (+) patients (not reached versus 67.8 months; P = 0.02), but DFS was similar (26.9 versus 24.0, P = 0.3). On multivariate analysis, OS correlated with primary platinum sensitivity [HR = 0.15; 95% CI (confidence interval) 0.06–0.34] and BRCA (+) mutation status (HR = 0.33; 95% CI 0.12–0.86).ConclusionsBRCA mutation status predicted OS independent of primary platinum sensitivity, suggesting that underlying tumor biology contributes to disease outcome and may be worthy of consideration in future clinical trial design.     

Prognostic relevance of disseminated tumour cells from the bone marrow of early stage breast cancer patients – Results from a large single-centre analysis

BackgroundThis is the largest single-centre study to determine the prognostic relevance of disseminated tumour cells (DTCs) from the bone marrow (BM) of stage I-III breast cancer patients. Additionally, we aimed to analyse the impact of DTC detection on adjuvant bisphosphonate (BP) treatment efficacy.MethodsBM aspirates were collected during primary surgery for early breast cancer (EBC; T1–4, N0–2, M0) at Tuebingen University, Germany, between January 2001 and January 2013. DTCs were identified by immunocytochemistry (pancytokeratin antibody A45/B-B3) and cytomorphology. We retrospectively estimated the influence of DTC detection and BP treatment on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) using univariate (log-rank test) and multivariate (cox regression) analysis.FindingsBM aspirates were available from 3141 patients. In 803 (26%) of these, DTCs were detectable. As compared to DTC-negative patients, DTC-positive patients more frequently had larger tumors (p < 0.001), lymph node involvement (p < 0.001), hormonal receptor positive tumours (p < 0.001) and HER2-positive tumours (p = 0.048). DTC-positive patients were at an increased risk of relapse (hazard ratio (HR) 1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.34–2.25, p < 0.001) and death (HR 1.44 95% CI 1.13–1.86, p = 0.004). In the multivariate analysis DTCs were an independent predictor of DSF and OS. Additionally, BP treatment had no significant influence on DFS or OS in DTC-negative patients, while it was significantly associated with increased DFS (p < 0.001) and OS (p = 0.006) in DTC-positive patients.InterpretationThese data confirm the clinical validity of DTCs from the BM for prognostication of early breast cancer patients. Further studies are warranted to determine whether DTCs are predictive for adjuvant treatment efficacy using bisphosphonates.     

Impact of age on the feasibility and efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with locally advanced oesophagogastric cancer

IntroductionNeoadjuvant chemotherapy (neoCTx) improves the prognosis of patients with localised oesophagogastric adenocarcinoma (EGC), but its value is unknown in elderly patients.Patients and methodsPatients who received neoCTx followed by surgery for EGC between 2000 and 2012 were analysed. The aim of this study was to compare the feasibility and outcome between patients aged ⩾70 (cohort I) and their younger counterparts (cohort II).ResultsData were available for 460 patients among which 174 (38%) were ⩾70 years. Older age was associated with an increased rate of comorbidities (66% versus 42%, p < 0,001). As compared to the younger, elderly patients were more likely to receive doublet instead of triplet neoCTx (65% versus 37%, p < 0.001) and oxaliplatin-instead of cisplatin-based regimens (60% versus 32%, p < 0.001). No significant difference was observed in the rate of ⩾grade 3 toxicities for cohort I and II (48% versus 41%) and postoperative morbidity was also not different (24% versus 28%). 90 day mortality for cohort I and II was 6.5% and 3.9%.After a median follow-up of 38 months, median disease-free survival (DFS) was 29.4 months in cohort I and 33.8 months in cohort II, with a 5-years DFS of 37% and 40%, respectively. Median overall survival (OS) was not reached in cohort I and was 58.4 months in cohort II, with a 5-year OS of 51% and 50% for cohort I and II, respectively.DiscussionDespite slightly more adverse events and dose reductions, neoCTx is feasible in elderly patients with EGC. Elderly patients achieve comparable survival outcomes compared with their younger counterparts.     

Development and external validation of nomograms predictive of response to radiation therapy and overall survival in nasopharyngeal cancer patients

IntroductionLarge variability in the clinical outcomes has been observed among the nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) patients with the same stage receiving similar treatment. This suggests that the current Tumour-Node-Metastasis staging systems need to be refined. The nomogram is a useful predictive tool that integrates individual variables into a statistical model to predict outcome of interest. This study was to design predictive nomograms based on the clinical and pathological features of patients with NPC.Materials and methodsClinical data of 270 NPC patients who underwent definitive radiation therapy (RT) alone or concurrent with chemotherapy were collected. Factors predictive of response to RT and overall survival (OS) were determined by univariate and multivariate analyses, and predictive nomograms were created. Nomograms were validated externally by assessing discrimination and calibration using an independent data set (N = 122).ResultsThree variables predictive of response to RT (age, histology classification and N classification) and four predictive of OS (age, performance status, smoking status and N classification), in addition to T classification, were extracted to generate the nomograms. The nomograms were validated externally, which showed perfect correlation with each other.ConclusionThe designed nomograms proved highly predictive of response to RT and OS in individual patients, and could facilitate individualised and personalised patients’ counselling and care.     

Time to initiation of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with rapidly proliferating early breast cancer

AimTo evaluate the optimal time interval from definitive surgery to commencing chemotherapy in early breast cancer (EBC).Patients and methodsThe relationship between time to initiation of adjuvant chemotherapy (TTC), calculated in weeks, and disease-free (DFS) or overall survival (OS), was assessed in 921 EBC patients with rapidly proliferating tumours (thymidine labelling index >3% or G3 or Ki67 >20%), randomised in a phase III clinical trial (NCT01031030) to receive chemotherapy with or without anthracyclines (epirubicin → cyclophosphamide, methotrexate and fluorouracil (CMF) versus CMF → epirubicin versus CMF). DFS, OS and 95% confidence intervals (95% confidence interval (CI)) were calculated by the Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariate Cox analysis was performed in relation with nodal involvement, oestrogen receptor and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status, Ki67 value, type of adjuvant chemotherapy, menopausal status and tumour size.ResultsAt a median follow-up of 105 months (range 2–188), a prolonged TTC resulted in a significant increase in the risk of relapse: hazard ratio (HR) 1.15 (95% CI 1.02–1.30, p = 0.019). Using a backward elimination procedure, TTC, tumour size and nodal involvement remained significantly associated with DFS. A time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was subsequently utilised to evaluate the best cut-off for TTC, identifying 7 weeks as the best threshold for longer OS (p = 0.043): 8-year OS 88% (95% CI 85–90) for patients with a TTC <7 weeks and 78% (95% CI 68–87) for the other group.ConclusionsOur results confirm that a shorter TTC may reduce relapses and possibly also improve clinical outcome in patients with highly proliferating EBC.     

Clinical outcome after CyberKnife® radiosurgery re-irradiation for recurrent brain metastases

PurposeThe objective of this study was to elucidate the impact on clinical outcomes resulting from re-irradiation for locally recurrent (LR) brain metastases (BM) using CyberKnife® stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS).Materials and methodsSeventy-seven patients with 254 LR BM lesions treated using SRS re-irradiation between January 2014 and December 2018 were analysed in this retrospective study. The local control (LC), overall survival (OS) rates, and adverse events were assessed. The adverse events were classified according to the Common terminology for adverse event (CTCAE) v5.0.ResultsThe median follow-up duration was 8.9 months. The median age of the patients was 55 years (IQR: 47–62). The 3, 6, and 9-month LC and OS rates were 92.2%, 73.4%, and 73.4% and 79.2%, 61.0%, and 48.1%, respectively. On multivariate analysis the gender (male vs. female; HR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.06–3.01; P = 0.028), type of first brain radiation (WBI vs. SRS) followed by re-irradiation using SRS (HR, 9.32; 95% CI, 2.77–15.27; P < 0.001) tumour volume (> 12cc vs. ≤ 12cc; HR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.10–3.11; P = 0.02), and recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) (I vs. II & III; HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.19–0.70; P = 0.001) were independent predictive factor for OS. Radionecrosis was reported in 3 patients.ConclusionWith acceptable toxicity, SRS re-irradiation for LR BM showed a favourable rate for LC and OS and reported better OS for the female gender, a patient undergoing first brain radiation with SRS, tumour volume ≤ 12cc, and RPA-I. This result needs to be further evaluated in future clinical studies.     

Impact of age on the efficacy of oxaliplatin in the preoperative chemoradiotherapy and adjuvant chemotherapy of rectal cancer: a post hoc analysis of the CAO/ARO/AIO-04 phase III trial

BackgroundThe German rectal cancer trial CAO/ARO/AIO-04 has shown a significant benefit in 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) of adding oxaliplatin to a standard preoperative 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)-based chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. The use of oxaliplatin as adjuvant treatment in elderly patients with colon cancer is controversial. We therefore investigated the impact of age on clinical outcome in the CAO/ARO/AIO-04 phase III trial.Patients and methodsWe carried out a post hoc analysis of the CAO/ARO/AIO-04 phase III trial evaluating primary and secondary end points according to age. Patient and tumor characteristics, NCI CTC adverse events grades 3–4 (version 3.0), dose intensities as well as survival and recurrence data were analyzed in three specified age groups (<60, 60–70, and ≥70 years). The influence of age as a continuous variable on DFS was modeled using a subpopulation treatment effect pattern plot (STEPP) analysis.ResultsA total of 1232 patients were assessable. With the exception of Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group status (P < 0.001), no differences in patient and tumor characteristics were noticed between age groups. Likewise, toxicity pattern, dose intensities of CRT and surgical results were similar in all age groups. After a median follow-up of 50 months, in patients aged <60 years a significant benefit of adding oxaliplatin to 5-FU-based CRT and adjuvant chemotherapy was observed for local (P = 0.013) and systemic recurrences (P = 0.023), DFS (P = 0.011), and even overall survival (OS; P = 0.044). The STEPP analysis revealed improved hazard ratios for DFS in patients aged 40–70 years compared with elderly patients treated with oxaliplatin.ConclusionThe addition of oxaliplatin significantly improved DFS and OS in younger patients aged <60 years with advanced rectal cancer. Patients aged ≥70 years had no benefit.Clinical Trials NumberNCT00349076     

Long-term outcome in BRAFV600E melanoma patients treated with vemurafenib: Patterns of disease progression and clinical management of limited progression

IntroductionVemurafenib induces tumour regression in most patients with BRAF^V600E-mutant melanoma; eventually, most experience progressive disease (PD). Long-term follow-up of patients with BRAF^V600E melanoma treated in the phase 1 vemurafenib trial is reported.MethodsPatients received vemurafenib 240–1120 mg (dose escalation cohort) or 960 mg (extension cohort) orally twice daily. Clinical response was evaluated every 8 weeks by Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors (RECIST). Patients with PD amenable to local therapy (surgery or radiotherapy) were allowed to continue vemurafenib after progression. Overall survival (OS) from time of treatment initiation and from PD was estimated. Sites of PD were recorded.ResultsForty-eight patients (escalation cohort, n = 16; extension cohort, n = 32) received therapeutic doses of vemurafenib (⩾240 mg twice daily). Forty-four patients had PD by the time of this analysis and four remained progression free (follow-up time, 1.2–56.1 months). Median OS was 14 months (range, 1.2–56.1); 3- and 4-year melanoma-specific survival rate in the extension cohort was 26% and 19%, respectively. Median OS was 26.0 months (range, 7.7–56.1) among 20 patients who continued vemurafenib after local therapy. Median treatment duration beyond initial PD was 3.8 months (range, 1.1–26.6). In the extension cohort, six and five patients were alive after 3 and 4 years, respectively, on vemurafenib monotherapy.ConclusionsSome patients with melanoma achieved long-term survival with vemurafenib monotherapy. Continuation of vemurafenib after PD might be beneficial in some patients because remaining disease might continue to respond to BRAF inhibition.     

The proportion of tumor-stroma as a strong prognosticator for stage II and III colon cancer patients: validation in the VICTOR trial

BackgroundThe intra-tumor stroma percentage in colon cancer (CC) patients has previously been reported by our group as a strong independent prognostic parameter. Patients with a high stroma percentage within the primary tumor have a poor prognosis.Patients and methodsTissue samples from the most invasive part of the primary tumor of 710 patients (52% Stage II, 48% Stage III) participating in the VICTOR trial were analyzed for their tumor-stroma percentage. Stroma-high (>50%) and stroma-low (≤50%) groups were evaluated with respect to survival times.ResultsOverall and disease-free survival times (OS and DFS) were significantly lower in the stroma-high group (OS P < 0.0001, hazard ratio (HR) = 1.96; DFS P < 0.0001, HR = 2.15). The 5-year OS was 69.0% versus 83.4% and DFS 58.6% versus 77.3% for stroma-high versus stroma-low patients.ConclusionThis study confirms the intra-tumor stroma ratio as a prognostic factor. This parameter could be a valuable and low cost addition to the TNM status and next to current high-risk parameters such as microsatellite instability status used in routine pathology reporting. When adding the stroma-parameter to the ASCO criteria, the rate of ‘undertreated’ patients dropped from 5.9% to 4.3%, the ‘overtreated’ increased with 6.8% but the correctly classified increased with an additional 14%.     

External validation of three lymph node ratio-based nomograms predicting survival using an international cohort of patients with resected pancreatic head ductal adenocarcinoma

IntroductionLymph node ratio (LNR) is an important prognostic factor of survival in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). This study aimed to validate three LNR-based nomograms using an international cohort.Materials and methodsConsecutive PDAC patients who underwent upfront pancreatoduodenectomy from six centers (Europe/USA) were collected (2000–2017). Patients with metastases, R2 resection, missing LNR data, and who died within 90 postoperative days were excluded. The updated Amsterdam nomogram, the nomogram by Pu et al., and the nomogram by Li et al. were selected. For the validation, calibration, discrimination capacity, and clinical utility were assessed.ResultsAfter exclusion of 176 patients, 1′113 patients were included. Median overall survival (OS) of the cohort was 23 months (95% CI: 21–25).For the three nomograms, Kaplan-Meier curves showed significant OS diminution with increasing scores (p < 0.01). All nomograms showed good calibration (non-significant Hosmer-Lemeshow tests). For the Amsterdam nomogram, area under the ROC curve (AUROC) for 3-year OS was 0.64 and 0.67 for 5-year OS. Sensitivity and specificity for 3-year OS prediction were 65% and 59%. Regarding the nomogram by Pu et al., AUROC for 3- and 5-year OS were 0.66 and 0.70. Sensitivity and specificity for 3-year OS prediction were 68% and 53%. For the Li nomogram, AUROC for 3- and 5-year OS were 0.67 and 0.71, while sensitivity and specificity for 3-year OS prediction were 63% and 60%.ConclusionThe three nomograms were validated using an international cohort. Those nomograms can be used in clinical practice to evaluate survival after pancreatoduodenectomy for PDAC.     

Impact of homologous recombination deficiency biomarkers on outcomes in patients with triple-negative breast cancer treated with adjuvant doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide (SWOG S9313)

BackgroundHomologous recombination deficiency (HRD)-causing alterations have been reported in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). We hypothesized that TNBCs with HRD alterations might be more sensitive to anthracycline plus cyclophosphamide-based chemotherapy and report on HRD status and BRCA1 promoter methylation (PM) as prognostic markers in TNBC patients treated with adjuvant doxorubicin (A) and cyclophosphamide (C) in SWOG9313.Patients and methodsIn total, 425 TNBC patients were identified from S9313. HRD score, tumor BRCA1/2 sequencing, and BRCA1 PM were carried out on DNA isolated from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue. Positive HRD status was defined as either a deleterious tumor BRCA1/2 (tBRCA) mutation or a pre-defined HRD score ≥42. Markers were tested for prognostic value on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) using Cox regression models adjusted for treatment assignment and nodal status.ResultsHRD status was determined in 89% (379/425) of cases. Of these, 67% were HRD positive (27% with tBRCA mutation, 40% tBRCA-negative but HRD score ≥42). HRD-positive status was associated with a better DFS [hazard ratio (HR) 0.72; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.51–1.00; P = 0.049] and non-significant trend toward better OS (HR = 0.71; 95% CI 0.48–1.03; P = 0.073). High HRD score (≥42) in tBRCA-negative patients (n = 274) was also associated with better DFS (HR = 0.64; 95% CI 0.43–0.94; P = 0.023) and OS (HR = 0.65; 95% CI 0.42–1.00; P = 0.049). BRCA1 PM was evaluated successfully in 82% (348/425) and detected in 32% of cases. The DFS HR for BRCA1 PM was similar to that for HRD but did not reach statistical significance (HR = 0.79; 95% CI 0.54–1.17; P = 0.25).ConclusionsHRD positivity was observed in two-thirds of TNBC patients receiving adjuvant AC and was associated with better DFS. HRD status may identify TNBC patients who receive greater benefit from AC-based chemotherapy and should be evaluated further in prospective studies.Clinical Trials NumberInt0137 (The trial pre-dates Clinicaltrial.Gov website establishment)