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1.
ObjectiveTo determine which nursing home (NH) resident characteristics were most important to clinicians' decision to prescribe antibiotics for a suspected urinary tract infection (UTI), including both evidence-based and non-evidence-based characteristics.DesignWeb-based discrete choice experiment with 19 clinical scenarios. For each scenario, clinicians were asked whether they would prescribe an antibiotic for a suspected UTI.SettingOnline survey.ParticipantsConvenience sample of 876 NH physicians and advanced practice providers who practiced primary care for NH residents in the United States.MethodsEach scenario varied information about 10 resident characteristics regarding urinalysis results, resident temperature, lower urinary tract symptoms, physical examination, antibiotic request, mental status, UTI risk, functional status, goals of care, and resident type. We derived importance scores for the characteristics and odds ratios (ORs) for specific information related to each characteristic from a multinomial logistic regression.ResultsApproximately half of the participants were male (56%) with a mean age of 49 years. Resident characteristics differed in their importance (ie, part-worth utility) when deciding whether to prescribe for a suspected UTI: urinalysis results (32%), body temperature (17%), lower urinary tract symptoms (17%), physical examination (15%), antibiotic request (7%), mental status (4%), UTI risk (4%), functional status (3%), goals of care (2%), and resident type (1%). Information about “positive leukocyte esterase, positive nitrates” was associated with highest odds of prescribing [OR 19.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 16.9, 22.7], followed by “positive leukocyte esterase, negative nitrates” (OR 6.7, 95% CI 5.8, 7.6), and “painful or difficult urination” (OR 4.8, 95% CI 4.2, 5.5).Conclusions and ImplicationsAlthough guidelines focus on lower urinary tract symptoms, body temperature, and physical examination for diagnosing a UTI requiring antibiotics, these characteristics were considered less important than urinalysis results, which have inconsistent clinical utility in NH residents. Point-of-care clinical decision support offers an evidence-based prescribing process.  相似文献   

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ObjectivesHospital-acquired infections (HAIs) remain a major source of morbidity and mortality in long-term care units, despite advances in antimicrobial therapy and preventive measures. Our aim was to investigate risk factors for HAIs, especially in the elderly, and to describe the relationship between comorbidities (number, severity, and specific diseases) and HAIs using a comprehensive inventory of comorbidities.DesignProspective cohort studySettingGeriatric rehabilitation unit in a university hospital in the Paris metropolitan area.ParticipantsParticipants were 252 consecutive patients aged 75 years or older (mean age, 85 ± 6.2 years) and admitted between 2006 and 2008.MeasurementsSurveillance of HAI was conducted. A complete inventory of comorbidities was done using the Cumulative Illness Rating Scale for Geriatrics (CIRS-G). Potential risk factors were evaluated in 2 risk models, one with HAI acquisition, CIRS-G, activities of daily living score less than 10, and at least 1 invasive procedure (yes/no) and the other with HAI acquisition and specific invasive procedures and diseases.ResultsOf the 252 patients, 97 experienced HAIs, for an incidence of 5.6 infections per 1000 bed-days. The most common HAI sites were the respiratory tract (48%; 65/136) and urinary tract (37%; 51/136). The CIRS-G global score and comorbidity index were higher in patients with than without HAIs. Among HAI categories, respiratory and urogenital diseases were more prevalent in the group with HAIs. In the model combining CIRS-G, activities of daily living score less than 10, and at least 1 invasive procedure, independent risk factors for HAI were CIRS-G index (odds ratio [OR], 1.55; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.13–2.11; P = .005) and invasive procedures (OR, 5.18; 95% CI, 2.77–9.71; P < .001). In the model including specific procedures and diseases, independent risk factors for HAI were intravenous catheter (OR, 7.39; 95% CI, 2.94–18.56; P < .001), urinary catheter (OR, 3.33; 95% CI, 1.40–7.88; P = .006), gastrointestinal endoscopy (OR, 3.69; 95% CI, 1.12–12.16; P = .03), pressure sores (OR, 2.52; 95% CI, 1.04–6.10; P = .03), and swallowing impairment (OR, 3.37; 95% CI, 1.16–9.74; P = .02).ConclusionsThis study identified several important risk factors for HAIs. There is a need for HAI prevention via the implementation of infection-control programs, including surveillance, in rehabilitation units.  相似文献   

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ObjectivesTo study differences in functional status at admission in acutely hospitalized elderly patients with urinary incontinence, a catheter, or without a catheter or incontinence (controls) and to determine whether incontinence or a catheter are independent risk factors for death, institutionalization, or functional decline.DesignProspective cohort study conducted between 2006 and 2008 with a 12-month follow-up.SettingEleven medical wards of 2 university teaching hospitals and 1 teaching hospital in the Netherlands.ParticipantsParticipants included 639 patients who were 65 years and older, acutely hospitalized for more than 48 hours.MeasurementsBaseline characteristics, functional status, presence of urinary incontinence or catheter, length of hospital stay, mortality, institutionalization, and functional decline during admission and 3 and 12 months after admission were collected. Regression analyses were done to study a possible relationship between incontinence, catheter use, and adverse outcomes at 3 and 12 months.ResultsOf all patients, 20.7% presented with incontinence, 23.3% presented with a catheter, and 56.0% were controls. Patients with a catheter scored worst on all baseline characteristics. A catheter was an independent risk factor for mortality at 3 months (odds ratio [OR] = 1.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10–2.70), for institutionalization at 12 months (OR = 4.03, 95% CI 1.67–9.75), and for functional decline at 3 (OR = 2.17, 95% CI 1.32–3.54) and 12 months (OR = 3.37, 95% CI 1.81–6.25). Incontinence was an independent risk factor for functional decline at 3 months (OR = 1.84, 95% CI 1.11–3.04).ConclusionThere is an association between presence of a catheter, urinary incontinence, and development of adverse outcomes in hospitalized older patients.  相似文献   

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Background Relatively few data are available to predict a complicated course of community-acquired complicated urinary tract infections (UTIs) in patients with diabetes type 2 (DM2). The aim of this study was to assess predictors for a complicated course of UTIs in DM2 patients in primary care. Method We conducted a cross-sectional questionnaire study among DM2 patients aged over 45 years as part of an educational trial. The combined outcome measure was a complicated course of UTI, defined as a self-reported episode of acute pyelonephritis, prostatitis or recurrent cystitis in the 12 months before the trial. Patients with an outcome were all verified by review of medical records. A prediction model was derived with multivariable logistic regression analysis. Results Of the 1151 trial participants, 94 (8%) had a self-reported community-acquired complicated course of UTIs and 62 (66%) of these were medically-attended. Independent predictors for a complicated course were age above 60 years (adjusted odds ratio (OR): 1.74; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.99–3.03), chronic use of antibiotics (adjusted OR: 5.50; 95% CI: 2.31–13.08), more than 6 physician contacts in previous year (adjusted OR: 3.60; 95% CI: 2.00–6.49), hospitalization in previous year (adjusted OR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.00–1.85), renal disease (adjusted OR: 4.92; 95% CI: 1.59–15.18) and incontinence of urine (adjusted OR: 3.78; 95% CI: 1.93–7.38). Area under the receiver-operating curve was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.66–0.78). Analysis according to medically attended complicated UTIs did not change our findings. Conclusion Easily obtainable predictors from medical history can be used to accurately predict a complicated course of UTIs in DM2 patients.  相似文献   

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Limited data exist regarding whether a history of urinary tract infection (UTI) increases risk of developing renal cell carcinoma (RCC). Furthermore, it is unclear whether any association of RCC with a history of UTIs is modified by known risk factors for RCC (i.e., smoking, obesity). The authors report data from a 1986-1989 population-based case-control study in Iowa. RCC cases (233 males, 139 females) were identified through the Iowa Cancer Registry; controls (1,497 males, 751 females) were randomly selected from the general population, frequency matched on age and sex. Subjects provided detailed information on demographic, anthropometric, lifestyle, dietary, and medical history risk factors. In age-adjusted analysis, risk increased for subjects who self-reported a history of physician-diagnosed kidney or bladder infection (odds ratio (OR) = 1.9, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.5, 2.5) compared with those reporting no such history. Both sex and smoking status modified the risk of RCC associated with a history of UTI, with the strongest risk reported for males (OR = 2.7, 95% CI: 1.9, 3.8) and current smokers (OR = 4.3, 95% CI: 2.7, 6.7). The strongest risk was reported for male current smokers with a history of UTI (OR = 9.7, 95% CI: 5.0, 18.1). Multivariate adjustment for anthropometric, lifestyle, and dietary factors did not alter these findings. Results suggest a positive association of UTI history with RCC development, with elevated risks most notable for males with a history of smoking.  相似文献   

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ObjectivesThe Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) has proposed a consensus scheme for classifying malnutrition. This study examined the prevalence of malnutrition according to GLIM criteria and evaluated if these criteria were associated with adverse outcomes in community-dwelling older adults.DesignThis was a prospective cohort study.Setting and ParticipantsCommunity-dwelling Chinese men and women aged ≥65 years in Hong Kong.MethodsA health check including questionnaire interviews and physical measurements was conducted at baseline and 14-year follow-up. Participants were classified as malnourished at baseline according to the GLIM criteria based on 2 phenotypic components (low body mass index and reduced muscle mass) and 1 etiologic component (inflammation). Adverse outcomes including sarcopenia, frailty, falls, mobility limitation, hospitalization, and mortality were assessed at 14-year follow-up. Adjusted multiple logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards model were performed to examine the associations between malnutrition and adverse outcomes and presented as odds ratio (OR) or hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI).ResultsData of 3702 participants [median age: 72 years (IQR 68–76)] were available at baseline. Malnutrition was present in 397 participants (10.7%). Malnutrition was significantly associated with higher risk of sarcopenia (n = 898, OR 2.25; 95% CI 1.04–4.86), frailty (Fried (n = 971, OR 2.83; 95% CI 1.47–5.43), FRAIL scale (n = 985, OR 2.30; 95% CI 1.06–4.98)) and all-cause mortality (n = 3702, HR: 1.62; 95% CI 1.39–1.89). There was no significant association between malnutrition and falls (n = 987, OR 1.09; 95% CI 0.52–2.31), mobility limitation (n = 989, OR 0.98; 95% CI 0.36–2.67), and hospitalization (n = 989, OR 1.37; 95% CI 0.67–2.77).Conclusions and ImplicationsAmong community-dwelling Chinese older adults, malnutrition according to selected GLIM criteria was a predictor of sarcopenia, frailty, and mortality at 14-year follow-up; whereas no association was found for falls, mobility limitation, and hospitalization. Clinicians may consider applying the GLIM criteria to identify malnourished community-dwelling older adults.  相似文献   

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Background:

The risk factors for urinary tract infections (UTIs) from developed countries are not applicable to women from developing world.

Objective:

To analyze the behavioral practices and psychosocial aspects pertinent to women in our region and assess their association with acute first time or recurrent UTI.

Materials and Methods:

Sexually active premenopausal women with their first (145) and recurrent (77) cystitis with Escherichia coli as cases and women with no prior history of UTI as healthy controls (257) were enrolled at a tertiary care hospital in India, between June 2011 and February 2013. Questionnaire-based data was collected from each participant through a structured face-to-face interview.

Results:

Using univariate and multivariate regression models, independent risk factors for the first episode of cystitis when compared with healthy controls were (presented in odds ratios [ORs] with its 95% confidence interval [CI]): Anal sex (OR = 3.68, 95% CI = 1.59-8.52), time interval between last sexual intercourse and current episode of UTI was <5 days (OR = 2.27, 95% CI = 1.22-4.23), use of cloth during menstrual cycle (OR = 2.36, 95% CI = 1.31-4.26), >250 ml of tea consumption per day (OR = 4.73, 95% CI = 2.67-8.38), presence of vaginal infection (OR = 3.23, 95% CI = 1.85-5.62) and wiping back to front (OR = 2.52, 95% CI = 1.45-4.38). Along with the latter three, history of UTI in a first-degree female relative (OR = 10.88, 95% CI = 2.41-49.07), constipation (OR = 4.85, 95% CI = 1.97-11.92) and stress incontinence (OR = 2.45, 95% CI = 1.18-5.06) were additional independent risk factors for recurrent cystitis in comparison to healthy controls.

Conclusion:

Most of the risk factors for initial infection are potentially modifiable but sufficient to also pose risk for recurrence. Many of the findings reflect the cultural and ethnic practices in our country.  相似文献   

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《Women's health issues》2022,32(6):578-585
ObjectiveWe aimed to assess the impact of first-person abortion stories on community-level abortion stigma.MethodsBetween November 2018 and March 2019, we recruited participants and analyzed data from a nationally representative, probability-based online panel of U.S. adults, randomized to watch three first-person abortion video stories (intervention, n = 460) or three nature videos (control, n = 426). We measured community-level abortion stigma using the Community Abortion Attitudes Scale, Reproductive Experiences and Events Scale, and Community Level Abortion Stigma Scale at baseline, immediately after video exposure, and 3 months later. We dichotomized stigma change scores as decreased stigma compared with no change or increased stigma. Bivariate and logistic regression analysis accounted for complex survey methodology and sample weighting.ResultsSample demographics reflected U.S. Census benchmarks (51% female, 68% White, 47% aged 18–44 years). Most participants (83.1%) completed the 3-month follow-up. Viewing the intervention videos was not associated with decreased stigma measured by Community Abortion Attitudes Scale or Community Level Abortion Stigma Scale immediately (odds ratio [OR], 0.80; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59–1.09; OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.93–1.75) or at the 3-month follow-up (OR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.62–1.19; OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.70–1.37). Intervention exposure was associated with decreased stigma as measured by Reproductive Experiences and Events Scale immediately (OR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.23–2.46); however, this association was not observed at the 3-month follow-up (OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.70–1.37).ConclusionsExposure to first-person video stories may not decrease community-level abortion stigma among U.S. adults.  相似文献   

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Objective: The objective of this study was to assess relationships between clinical predictors of urinary tract infection (UTI) and effects of cranberry juice consumption on recurrence in a post hoc analysis of a 24-week, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter clinical trial in women with a recent history of UTI.

Methods: Participants consumed a cranberry (n = 185) or placebo (n = 188) beverage (240 mL) daily. Odds ratios (OR) from 20 candidate predictor variables were evaluated in univariate analyses to assess clinical UTI incidence relationships in the placebo group. A multivariate logistic regression model was developed. The effects of cranberry juice consumption were evaluated in subsets categorized by the likelihood of a UTI event based on the prediction model.

Results: In the placebo group, the final multivariate regression model identified four variables associated with the odds for having ≥ 1 UTI: intercourse frequency ≥ 1 time during the prior 4 weeks (OR: 2.36; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.98, 5.71; p = 0.057), use of vasectomy or hormonal methods for contraception (OR: 2.58; 95% CI: 1.20, 5.58; p = 0.016), most recent UTI < 90 days prior to screening (OR: 2.28; 95% CI; 1.12, 4.67; p = 0.024), and living in France compared with the United States (OR: 0.17; 95% CI: 0.04, 0.79; p = 0.024). Three propensity categories were investigated (24-week probability < 10%, 10%–21%, and > 21%). Incidence rate ratios for the cranberry vs placebo groups were 0.76 (95% CI: 0.22, 2.60; p = 0.663) for those with < 10% probability, 0.73 (95% CI: 0.35, 1.53; p = 0.064) for those with 10% to 21% probability, and 0.58 (95% CI: 0.35, 0.97; p = 0.039) for those with > 21% probability.

Conclusions: Results suggest that clinical predictors identify women with low and high risk of clinical UTI recurrence, which may be useful for design of clinical studies evaluating preventive therapies.  相似文献   


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《Vaccine》2022,40(52):7660-7666
AimWe assessed the impact of COVID-19 vaccination status and time elapsed since the last vaccine dose on morbidity and absenteeism among healthcare personnel (HCP) in the context of a mandatory vaccination policy.MethodsWe followed 7592 HCP from November 15, 2021 through April 17, 2022. Full COVID-19 vaccination was defined as a primary vaccination series plus a booster dose at least six months later.ResultsThere were 6496 (85.6 %) fully vaccinated, 953 (12.5 %) not fully vaccinated, and 143 (1.9 %) unvaccinated HCP. A total of 2182 absenteeism episodes occurred. Of 2088 absenteeism episodes among vaccinated HCP with known vaccination status, 1971 (94.4 %) concerned fully vaccinated and 117 (5.6 %) not fully vaccinated. Fully vaccinated HCP had 1.6 fewer days of absence compared to those not fully vaccinated (8.1 versus 9.7; p-value < 0.001). Multivariable regression analyses showed that full vaccination was associated with shorter absenteeism compared to not full vaccination (OR: 0.56; 95 % CI: 0.36–0.87; p-value = 0.01). Compared to a history of ≤ 17.1 weeks since the last dose, a history of > 17.1 weeks since the last dose was associated with longer absenteeism (OR: 1.22, 95 % CI:1.02–1.46; p-value = 0.026) and increased risk for febrile episode (OR: 1.33; 95 % CI: 1.09–1.63; p-value = 0.004), influenza-like illness (OR: 1.53, 95 % CI: 1.02–2.30; p-value = 0.038), and COVID-19 (OR: 1.72; 95 % CI: 1.24–2.39; p-value = 0.001).ConclusionsThe COVID-19 pandemic continues to impose a considerable impact on HCP. The administration of a vaccine dose in less than four months before significantly protected against COVID-19 and absenteeism duration, irrespective of COVID-19 vaccination status. Defining the optimal timing of boosters is imperative.  相似文献   

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ObjectiveWe assessed differential misclassification in self-reported family history of varicose veins by comparing consistency of subject's own varicose vein status and the consistency of information on varicose veins in family members.Study Design and SettingA population-based cohort study of 4,903 middle-aged residents of the city of Tampere, Finland. A questionnaire was used at entry and at the end of the 5-year follow-up.ResultsThe estimated prevalence of positive family history of varicose veins varied depending on subject's own varicose veins from odds ratio (OR) 0.14 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.01–0.58), in those with varicose veins reported in the first but not the second survey to OR 6.0 (95% CI = 2.0–47.8), in those with varicose veins reported in the second survey but not in the first. The incidence of varicose veins varied from 0.4 (95% CI = 0.1–1.4) to 4.1 (95% CI = 2.1–7.1) (per 100 person-years) depending how the proband memorized the family history.ConclusionResults on the effect of family history on varicose veins are subject to bias, which reduces the credibility of the reports proposing a strong hereditary component of varicose veins.  相似文献   

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PurposeLittle information exists on the mental health implications of child marriage in Africa. This study examined the association between child marriage and suicidal ideation and suicide attempt among girls aged 10–17 years.MethodsData were drawn from a 2007 cross-sectional survey conducted in the Amhara region, Ethiopia. Multilevel logistic regression was used to analyze risk factors for suicidality.ResultsApproximately 5.2% of girls reported ever being married, 5.4% were promised in marriage, and 9.3% reported receiving marriage requests. Girls who were ever married (odds ratio [OR] = 1.81; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.03–3.18), were promised in marriage (OR = 2.35; 95% CI = 1.38–4.01) or had received marriage requests (OR = 2.29; 95% CI = 1.46–3.59) were significantly more likely than girls who were never in the marriage process to have had suicidal thoughts in the past 3 months. Residence in communities with high involvement in stopping child marriage was protective of suicidal ideation. The odds of suicide attempt were twice as high among girls with marriage requests as among those with none.ConclusionsChild marriage was associated with increased odds of suicidality. Findings call for stronger community engagement in child marriage prevention and mental health support for child brides.  相似文献   

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BackgroundAlthough the Chinese Dietary Guidelines (2016) removed restrictions on dietary cholesterol intake, evidence of egg and dietary cholesterol intake and cardiometabolic diseases is inconsistent. Associations between egg and cholesterol consumption and metabolic syndrome (MetS) in non-Western populations are still poorly documented.ObjectiveOur aim was to assess egg and dietary cholesterol intake in relation to the prevalence of MetS among participants in a Chinese nationwide study.DesignThis cross-sectional study used data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (1991-2009).Participants/settingThe sample consisted of 8,241 healthy Chinese adults (20 years and older).Main outcome measuresMetS cases were defined according to the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III criteria.Statistical analysisCumulative means of egg and cholesterol consumption were calculated in accordance with 3 consecutive 24-hour dietary recalls in each examination cycle. Logistic regression models were conducted to assess the associations with prevalent MetS.ResultsOverall, 2,580 (31.3%) participants were identified as MetS cases in 2009. After multivariate adjustment, total egg consumption (>1 egg/d) was associated with 20% higher odds of MetS (odds ratio [OR] 1.20, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.37; P trend = .001) compared with consumption of ≤1/2 egg/d. Examining cooking methods, a positive association was observed between fried egg consumption and MetS odds (OR comparing the highest category [>1/2 egg/d] with the lowest category [≤1/7 egg/d] 1.22, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.39; P trend = .001), and nonfried egg intake was not associated with MetS odds (P trend = .08). Total dietary intake and egg-sourced cholesterol intake were both positively correlated with MetS odds (OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.53; P trend = .005) comparing the highest consumption (>371 mg · 2,000 kcal–1 · d–1) with the lowest consumption (≤132 mg · 2,000 kcal–1 · d–1) for total dietary cholesterol (OR 1.36; 95% CI 1.17 to 1.58; P trend < .001) and comparing the highest consumption (>232 mg · 2,000 kcal–1 · d–1) with the lowest consumption (≤46 mg · 2,000 kcal–1 · d–1) for egg-sourced cholesterol; similar associations were not observed for non–egg-sourced cholesterol consumption (P trend = .83). Substituting eggs and fried eggs for other protein sources, including low-fat and whole-fat dairy products; nuts and legumes; total red meat; processed meat; poultry meat; or seafood, was still associated with higher odds of MetS.ConclusionsConsumption of >1 egg/d and >1/2 fried egg/d was associated with a higher prevalence of MetS than consumption of ≤1/2 egg/d and ≤1/7 fried egg/d. Future longitudinal cohort studies and randomized controlled trials are needed to further investigate the relationship between egg consumption and MetS and explore possible mechanisms of action.  相似文献   

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《Women's health issues》2019,29(4):349-355
ObjectiveDespite women's preference for induction of labor (IOL) or dilation and evacuation (D&E) for pregnancy termination in the setting of second trimester fetal or pregnancy abnormality, many women are not given a choice between delivery methods. We investigated patient and clinical related factors associated with selecting IOL or D&E.MethodsThis retrospective cohort experienced pregnancy termination at 17–24 weeks of gestation for fetal anomaly, intrauterine fetal demise, or premature previable rupture. We compared the demographic, reproductive, social, and clinical experience variables between women who select IOL and D&E, adjusting for confounders through logistic regression.ResultsOne hundred eleven women (21.6%) selected IOL and 403 (78.4%) selected D&E. Greater proportions of women of color (p < .01), lower education (p < .01), lower employment (p < .01), and lower status jobs (p < .01) selected IOL. Women selected D&E more often for chromosomal anomaly (p < .01). In adjusted analyses, women with intrauterine fetal demise (odds ratio [OR], 9.8; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.8–34.7), premature previable rupture (OR, 110; 95% CI, 23.0–526.8), prior substance use disorder (OR, 35.5; 95% CI–2.7, 473.7), or counseling from obstetrics (OR, 3.3; 95% CI–1.3, 8.4), pediatrics (OR, 3.3; 95% CI–1.3, 8.6), or social services (OR, 12.6; 95% CI, 4.2–37.3) had higher odds of selecting IOL.ConclusionsPatient characteristics, medical factors, and type of counseling are associated with the selection between D&E and IOL for anomalous pregnancies. Institutional, regional, and state policies should permit women both delivery methods to preserve autonomous decision-making at the time of pregnancy termination.  相似文献   

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《Vaccine》2016,34(4):479-485
BackgroundThe test-negative design (TND) has emerged as a simple method for evaluating vaccine effectiveness (VE). Its utility for evaluating oral cholera vaccine (OCV) effectiveness is unknown. We examined this method's validity in assessing OCV effectiveness by comparing the results of TND analyses with those of conventional cohort analyses.MethodsRandomized controlled trials of OCV were conducted in Matlab (Bangladesh) and Kolkata (India), and an observational cohort design was used in Zanzibar (Tanzania). For all three studies, VE using the TND was estimated from the odds ratio (OR) relating vaccination status to fecal test status (Vibrio cholerae O1 positive or negative) among diarrheal patients enrolled during surveillance (VE =  (1  OR)×100%). In cohort analyses of these studies, we employed the Cox proportional hazard model for estimating VE (=1  hazard ratio)×100%).ResultsOCV effectiveness estimates obtained using the TND (Matlab: 51%, 95% CI:37–62%; Kolkata: 67%, 95% CI:57–75%) were similar to the cohort analyses of these RCTs (Matlab: 52%, 95% CI:43–60% and Kolkata: 66%, 95% CI:55–74%). The TND VE estimate for the Zanzibar data was 94% (95% CI:84–98%) compared with 82% (95% CI:58–93%) in the cohort analysis. After adjusting for residual confounding in the cohort analysis of the Zanzibar study, using a bias indicator condition, we observed almost no difference in the two estimates.ConclusionOur findings suggest that the TND is a valid approach for evaluating OCV effectiveness in routine vaccination programs.  相似文献   

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