Baseline plasma viral load and CD4 cell percentage predict survival in HIV-1- and HIV-2-infected women in a community-based cohort in The Gambia

OBJECTIVES: To estimate and compare the all-cause mortality rates among HIV-1-infected, HIV-2-infected, and uninfected women and to assess the predictive value of baseline plasma viral load (PVL) and CD4 cell percentage (CD4%) for mortality. DESIGN: Cohort study. METHODS: At presentation to antenatal clinics in The Gambia in 1993-1995, pregnant women were screened for antibodies to HIV-1 and HIV-2. Seropositive subjects and a similar number of seronegative controls were enrolled, and baseline PVL and CD4% were measured. Participants were visited regularly by field-workers until 18 months after delivery and again 4-7 years later. RESULTS: Thirty-two of 101 women infected with HIV-1, 23 of 243 infected with HIV-2, and 9 of 468 seronegative women died during a median follow-up of 6.9 years. The mortality rate was 56 deaths per 1000 person years of observation (pyo) for HIV-1-infected, 16 deaths per 1000 pyo for HIV-2-infected, and 3.1 deaths per 1000 pyo for HIV-uninfected women. After 8 years of follow-up, >50% of HIV-1-infected women were still alive. In multivariate analysis, a 1-log increase of HIV-1 PVL was associated with a 1.8-fold higher rate of mortality (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.9-3.4). In HIV-2 infection, women with a high PVL (>10,000 copies/mL) had an 8.7-fold (95% CI, 2.8-28) higher rate of mortality than did those with a low PVL (<1000 copies/mL). A 10% decrease in CD4% was associated with higher mortality rates among HIV-1-infected (1.6-fold; 95% CI, 1.1-2.3) and HIV-2-infected (1.5-fold; 95% CI, 1.0-2.3) subjects. DISCUSSION: Survival of HIV-1-infected women in The Gambia is similar to that in industrialized countries before the introduction of antiretroviral treatment. Survival of HIV-2-infected women is much better. However, women with high PVLs die as quickly as their HIV-1-infected counterparts.     

High-dose saquinavir plus ritonavir: long-term efficacy in HIV-positive protease inhibitor-experienced patients and predictors of virologic response

The year-long antiviral efficacy of a high-dose salvage regimen consisting of saquinavir (800 mg twice daily) plus ritonavir (400 mg twice daily) was evaluated in 58 HIV-positive patients who had seen no improvement under first-line protease inhibitor-containing regimens, nor in baseline predictors of virologic response. The efficacy of therapy was determined by CD4+/CD8+ and HIV-1 RNA values. The primary endpoint of our study was the percentage of patients with HIV-1 RNA levels <200 copies/ml (virologic success) at 6 and 12 months of of follow-up. Secondary endpoints were log10 reduction in HIV-1 RNA levels and CD4+ increases through follow-up. Surrogate markers related with a lower HIV-1 RNA area under the curve were identified at baseline. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were applied to identify baseline predictors of achieving viral suppression at <200 copies/ml. All analyses were intention to treat-last observation carried forward. Patients achieved a median HIV-1 RNA level reduction of >0.5 log through 1 year (-0.59 log10 at 12 months), as well as CD4+ counts increased significantly (89 cells/mm3 at 12 months). Overall, 53% of patients were likely to achieve HIV-1 RNA levels <200 copies/ml at 6 months. Seventy-six percent of patients who started therapy at HIV-1 RNA levels <5000 copies/ml but only 42% with baseline viral load of 5000 to 30,000 copies/ml and 18.7% with baseline viral load >30,000 copies/ml were likely to achieve viral suppression at 6 months (p < .001, log-rank test). Patients with baseline HIV-1 RNA levels between 5000 and 30,000 copies/ml (relative hazard [RH], 0.39; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.01 to 0.98; p = .0396) and patients with baseline HIV-1 RNA levels >30,000 copies/ml (RH, 0.20; 95% CI, 0.07-0.61; p = .0040) were less likely to reach undetectable HIV-1 RNA levels than those with baseline HIV-1 RNA levels <5000 copies/ml. Salvage highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) strategies including saquinavir (SQV) at high doses plus ritonavir (RTV) exert a significant long-term efficacy in more than half of PI-experienced patients without significant additional toxicity. This therapeutic efficacy is strongly implemented by a switch at the lower HIV-1 RNA levels.     

HIV-1 DNA in peripheral blood mononuclear cells is strongly associated with HIV-1 disease progression in recently infected West African adults

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the association between the HIV-1 DNA level in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) and disease progression in recently infected West African adults. METHODS: HIV-1 DNA levels were measured in the PBMCs of 200 adults in the French National Agency for Research on AIDS and viral Hepatitis (ANRS) 1220 cohort who had recently been infected with HIV-1. The association between baseline HIV-1 DNA levels and disease progression was analyzed using multivariate Cox regression. Disease progression was defined as the occurrence of any of the following outcomes: death, first World Health Organization stage 3-4 event, or CD4 count<200/mm. RESULTS: About 200 participants were followed for a median of 30 months. At baseline, the median time from HIV-1 seroconversion was 9 months, median CD4 T-cell count was 471/mm, median HIV-1 DNA level was 3.0 log10 copies/10 PBMCs, and median plasma HIV-1 RNA level was 4.6 log10 copies/mL. The 5-year probability of remaining free of any outcome was 0.74 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.61 to 0.83] and 0.36 (95% CI: 0.23 to 0.49) in patients with baseline HIV-1 DNA3.0 log10 copies/10 PBMCs, respectively (P<0.001). The adjusted hazard ratio of disease progression was 2.17 in patients with HIV-1 DNA>3.0 log10 copies/10 PBMCs compared with other patients (95% CI: 1.24 to 3.80, P=0.007). The only other factor associated with progression was follow-up CD4 count (hazard ratio=1.23 per 100 cells/mm decrease; 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.41, P=0.003). DISCUSSION: PBMC HIV-1 DNA level was strongly associated with HIV-1 disease progression, even after adjusting for HIV-1 RNA and CD4 T-cell count. Further studies should assess whether patients with high HIV-1 DNA levels should start antiretroviral therapy earlier than other patients.     

Mortality in patients with successful initial response to highly active antiretroviral therapy is still higher than in non-HIV-infected individuals

Mortality in HIV-infected patients has decreased dramatically since the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). We analyzed progression to death in a population of 3678 antiretroviral treatment-naive patients from the ATHENA national observational cohort from 24 weeks after the start of HAART. Mortality was compared with that in the general population in the Netherlands matched by age and gender. Only log-transformed CD4 cell count (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.40 to 0.61 per unit increase) and plasma viral load (HR = 0.30, 95% CI: 0.15 to 0.60, HIV RNA level <100,000 vs. > or = 100,000 copies/mL) measured at 24 weeks and infection via intravenous drug use (IDU) (HR = 0.16, 95% CI: 0.10 to 0.26, non-IDU vs. IDU) were significantly associated with progression to death. For non-IDU patients with 600 x 10 CD4 cells/L and an HIV RNA level <100,000 copies/mL at 24 weeks, mortality was predicted to be 5.3 (95% CI: 3.5 to 8.4) and 10.4 (95% CI: 6.4 to 17.4) times higher than in the general population for 25-year-old men and women, respectively, and 1.15 (95% CI: 1.08 to 1.25) and 1.29 (95% CI: 1.16 to 1.50) times higher for 65-year-old men and women, respectively. Hence, mortality in HIV-infected patients with a good initial response to HAART is still higher than in the general population.     

Correlates of plasma HIV-1 RNA viral load among HIV-1-seropositive women in Dar es Salaam,Tanzania

This study was conducted to determine the predictors of plasma HIV-1 RNA viral load in HIV-1-positive pregnant women (N = 151) participating in a clinical trial in Tanzania. Viral load was measured at randomization, delivery, and approximately 7 months after delivery. The median viral load was 20,400 copies/mL at baseline, 20,216 copies/mL at delivery, and 19,100 copies/mL 7 months after delivery. The absolute CD4+ lymphocyte count had a strong negative correlation with HIV-1 RNA viral load at baseline (r = -.38), time of delivery (r = -.36), and 7 months after delivery (r = -.53). The association between CD4+ lymphocyte count and HIV-1 RNA viral load was modified by the per capita daily food expenditure in the household, although the difference in viral load became small as the food expenditure in the household increased and was marginally significant at the 75th percentile of the per capita food expenditure. The presence of malaria parasites at baseline was associated with an approximate 116% higher viral load at the three evaluation points (p =.007). Although the long-term effects of malaria on viral load are unknown, prevention of malaria among people living with HIV-1 should be given the highest priority.     

Morbidity among HIV-1-infected mothers in Kenya: prevalence and correlates of illness during 2-year postpartum follow-up

BACKGROUND: Much of the burden of morbidity affecting women of childbearing age in sub-Saharan Africa occurs in the context of HIV-1 infection. Understanding patterns of illness and determinants of disease in HIV-1-infected mothers may guide effective interventions to improve maternal health in this setting. METHODS: We describe the incidence and cofactors of comorbidities affecting peripartum and postpartum HIV-1-infected women in Kenya. Women were evaluated by clinical examination and standardized questionnaires during pregnancy and for up to 2 years after delivery. RESULTS: Five hundred thirty-five women were enrolled in the cohort (median CD4 count of 433 cells/mm) and accrued 7736 person-months of follow-up. During 1-year follow-up, the incidence of upper respiratory tract infections was 161 per 100 person-years, incidence of pneumonia was 33 per 100 person-years, incidence of tuberculosis (TB) was 11 per 100 person-years, and incidence of diarrhea was 63 per 100 person-years. Immunosuppression and HIV-1 RNA levels were predictive for pneumonia, oral thrush, and TB but not for diarrhea; CD4 counts <200 cells/mm(3) were associated with pneumonia (relative risk [RR] = 2.87, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.71 to 4.83), TB (RR = 7.14, 95% CI: 2.93 to 17.40) and thrush. The risk of diarrhea was significantly associated with crowding (RR = 1.86, 95% CI: 1.19 to 2.92) and breast-feeding (RR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.19 to 2.44). Less than 10% of women reported hospitalization during 2-year follow-up; mortality risk in the cohort was 1.9% and 4.8% for 1 and 2 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Mothers with HIV-1, although generally healthy, have substantial morbidity as a result of common infections, some of which are predicted by immune status or by socioeconomic factors. Enhanced attention to maternal health is increasingly important as HIV-1-infected mothers transition from programs targeting the prevention of mother-to-child transmission to HIV care clinics.     

Association of HIV-1 viral phenotype in the MT-2 assay with perinatal HIV transmission

A case-control design study was used to investigate the association of maternal HIV-1 phenotype in MT-2 cells at or near the time of delivery with perinatal transmission of HIV-1, controlling for maternal CD4 percentage and duration of rupture of membranes, in 48 transmitting and 96 non-transmitting HIV-1-infected mothers who gave birth between 1990 and 1995. The non-syncytium-inducing (NSI) phenotype was more commonly seen in transmitting mothers compared with non-transmitting mothers (90% vs. 75%, p =.04). In a multivariable logistic regression model, the following maternal characteristics were significantly associated with HIV transmission: NSI phenotype (odds ratio [OR] = 6.08; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.73-21.35) and log(10) viral load (OR = 2.11; CI: 1.19-3.74). Finally, the association of NSI phenotype with transmission was stronger in transmitting women who received azidothymidine during pregnancy compared with transmitters who did not.     

Long-term experience providing antiretroviral drugs in a fee-for-service HIV clinic in Uganda: evidence of extended virologic and CD4+ cell count responses

OBJECTIVE: To describe the long-term experience of providing anti-retroviral (ARV) therapy, including CD4 cell count and virologic response, at St. Francis Hospital, Nsambya, Uganda. METHODS: The HIV clinic established in 1998 is a fee-for-service model where patients pay for ARVs. The care of patients who started ARVs from August 1, 1998 until October 31, 2000 was evaluated through December 31, 2002. Data were collected at the HIV clinic on standardized clinical forms. These patients had free CD4 cell count and viral load testing performed at times determined by the physician. All persons who had >/=1 CD4 cell count or viral load done >/=90 days after starting therapy were evaluated. RESULTS: Three hundred twenty-one patients (49% women, 66% ARV naive, median age = 38 years, median CD4 cell count = 79 cells/mm, and median viral load = 249,489 copies/mL) attended the HIV clinic. Two hundred sixty-three (82%) patients returned at least once after the initial visit, of whom 54 (21%) had an interruption in therapy for >1 year. One hundred thirty-five patients were in care in 2002, 69 were known to have died (9 of whom died in 2002), and 68 were lost to follow-up. The probability of remaining alive and in care at 1 year was 0.56 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.50-0.61), 0.46 (95% CI: 0.41-0.51) at 2 years, 0.40 (95% CI: 0.34-0.45) at 3 years, and 0.35 (95% CI: 0.29-0.41) at 4 years. In an on-treatment analysis, the median CD4 cell count increase during year 1 was +55 cells/mm, +112 cells/mm during year 2, +142 cells/mm during year 3, and +131 cells/mm during year 4. The median log viral load change from baseline during year 1 was -1.4 copies/mL, -1.32 copies/mL during year 2, -1.9 copies/mL during year 3, and -1.51 copies/mL during year 4. CONCLUSIONS: This fee-for-service HIV clinic providing ARV treatment has successfully operated and managed patients for more than 4 years. Those who survived and remained on therapy derived long-term virologic and immunologic responses to ARV drugs in a manner similar to that observed in industrialized countries. Strategies to reduce the financial burden and other barriers to uninterrupted care as well as incentives to increase such practice models should be further explored in the African context.     

Prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1 through breast-feeding by treating infants prophylactically with lamivudine in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania: the Mitra Study

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the possibility of reducing mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of HIV-1 through breast-feeding by prophylactic antiretroviral (ARV) treatment of the infant during the breast-feeding period. DESIGN: An open-label, nonrandomized, prospective cohort study in Tanzania (Mitra). METHODS: HIV-1-infected pregnant women were treated according to regimen A of the Petra trial with zidovudine (ZDV) and lamivudine (3TC) from week 36 to 1 week postpartum. Infants were treated with ZDV and 3TC from birth to 1 week of age (Petra arm A) and then with 3TC alone during breast-feeding (maximum of 6 months). Counseling emphasized exclusive breast-feeding. HIV transmission was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier survival technique. Cox regression was used for comparison with the breast-feeding population in arm A of the Petra trial, taking CD4 cell count and other possible confounders into consideration. RESULTS: There were 398 infants included in the transmission analysis in the Mitra study. The estimated cumulative proportion of HIV-1-infected infants was 3.8% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.0 to 5.6) at week 6 after delivery and 4.9% (95% CI: 2.7 to 7.1) at month 6. The median time of breast-feeding was 18 weeks. High viral load and a low CD4 T-cell count at enrollment were associated with transmission. The Kaplan-Meier estimated risk of HIV-1 infection at 6 months in infants who were HIV-negative at 6 weeks was 1.2% (95% CI: 0.0 to 2.4). The cumulative HIV-1 infection or death rate at 6 months was 8.5% (95% CI: 5.7 to 11.4). No serious adverse events related to the ARV treatment of infants occurred. The HIV-1 transmission rate during breast-feeding in the Mitra study up to 6 months after delivery was more than 50% lower than in the breast-feeding population of Petra arm A (relative hazard=2.61; P=0.001; adjusted values). The difference in transmission up to 6 months was significant also in the subpopulation of mothers with CD4 counts>or=200 cells/microL. CONCLUSIONS: The rates of MTCT of HIV-1 in the Mitra study at 6 weeks and 6 months after delivery are among the lowest reported in a breast-feeding population in sub-Saharan Africa. Prophylactic 3TC treatment of infants to prevent MTCT of HIV during breast-feeding was well tolerated by the infants and could be a useful strategy to prevent breast milk transmission of HIV when mothers do not need ARV treatment for their own health.     

Use of WHO clinical stage for assessing patient eligibility to antiretroviral therapy in a routine health service setting in Jinja, Uganda

In a routine service delivery setting in Uganda, we assessed the ability of the WHO clinical stage to accurately identify HIV-infected patients in whom antiretroviral therapy should be started. Among 4302 subjects screened for ART, the sensitivity and specificity (95% CI) of WHO stage III, IV against a CD4 count < 200 × 10⁶/l were 52% (50, 54%) and 68% (66, 70%) respectively. Plasma viral load was tested in a subset of 1453 subjects in whom ART was initiated. Among 938 subjects with plasma viral load of 100,000 copies or more, 391 (42%, 95% CI 39, 45%) were at WHO stage I or II. In this setting, a large number of individuals could have been denied access to antiretroviral therapy if eligibility to ART was assessed on the basis of WHO clinical stage. There is an urgent need for greater CD4 count testing and evaluation of the utility of plasma viral load prior to initiation of ART to accompany the roll-out of ART.     

HIV-1 viral load and other risk factors for mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1 in a breast-feeding population in Cote d'Ivoire

Short-course antiretroviral regimens have been evaluated to reduce mother-to-child transmission of HIV in resource-limited settings. This report from Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire, examines the risk factors for HIV transmission by 1 and 24 months among breast-feeding women. Eligible HIV-1-seropositive pregnant women enrolled in this randomized double-blind clinical trial were randomly assigned to receive either oral zidovudine (ZDV) (n = 126) prophylaxis or placebo (n = 124). Maternal prophylaxis began at 36 weeks of gestation (300 mg ZDV twice daily antepartum and 300 mg every 3 hours intrapartum); there was no neonatal prophylaxis component. The cumulative risk of transmission in the treatment group was 11.9% and 22.1% by 1 and 24 months, respectively. In adjusted analyses, viral load at enrollment was the strongest predictor of transmission (per log increment: odds ratio [OR] = 4.8, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.5-9.5 at 1 month; OR = 5.7; 95% CI: 3.1-10.8 at 24 months). Overall, ZDV prophylaxis was not significantly protective for infection at 1 or 24 months. Comparing ZDV with placebo following dichotomization of viral load (<50,000 vs. > or =50,000 copies/mL) at enrollment, however, there was a significant effect of ZDV seen only among those women with a low viral load at enrollment. The substantial risk of transmission despite ZDV prophylaxis, particularly among those with higher viral loads, underscores the need to find more effective regimens appropriate for use in resource-limited settings.     

Suppressive acyclovir therapy reduces HIV cervicovaginal shedding in HIV- and HSV-2-infected women, Chiang Rai, Thailand

BACKGROUND: Herpes simplex virus type 2 infection is important in the HIV epidemic and may contribute to increased HIV transmission. We evaluated the effect of suppressive acyclovir therapy on cervicovaginal HIV-1 shedding. METHODS: HIV-1- and herpes simplex virus type 2-coinfected women aged 18-49 years with CD4 counts >200 cells/microL were enrolled in a randomized crossover trial of suppressive acyclovir therapy (NCT00362596, http://www.clinicaltrials.gov). For each woman, monthly plasma and weekly cervicovaginal lavage specimens were collected; the mean of the monthly median cervicovaginal lavage HIV-1 viral load and plasma HIV-1 viral load was compared. RESULTS: Sixty-seven women were enrolled; at baseline, median CD4 count was 366 cells/microL, and median HIV-1 plasma viral load was 4.6 log10 copies/mL. The mean cervicovaginal lavage HIV-1 viral load was 1.9 (SD 0.8) log10 copies/mL during the acyclovir month and 2.2 (SD 0.7) log10 copies/mL during the placebo month (P < 0.0001); the mean decrease in HIV was 0.3 log10 copies/mL. The mean plasma HIV viral load during the acyclovir month (3.78 log10 copies/mL) was reduced compared with the placebo month (4.26 log10 copies/mL, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Acyclovir reduced HIV genital shedding and plasma viral load among HIV-1- and herpes simplex virus type 2-coinfected women. Further data from clinical trials will examine the effect of suppressive therapy on HIV transmission.     

Comparison of Prognostic Importance of Latest CD4+ Cell Count and HIV RNA Levels in Patients with Advanced HIV Infection on Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy

Abstract

The comparative prognostic importance of latest plasma HIV RNA levels (viral loads) and CD4+ cell counts among patients prescribed highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) has not been well characterized. Method: We assessed the prognostic value of latest CD4+ cell counts and latest viral loads for progression to AIDS or death and explored their interaction among 432 HIV-infected persons with advanced HIV who were prescribed a protease inhibitor (PI) as their first HAART regimen. Results: Pre-HAART median CD4+ cell count and viral load were 41 cells/mm³ and 126,331 copies/mL, respectively. After 12 months of HAART, the median CD4+ cell count was 154 cells/mm³; 39% of patients had a viral load of 400 copies/mL or lower. Over a median follow-up of 33 months, 109 (25%) of the 432 patients experienced an AIDS event or died. The hazard ratio for AIDS or death for those with latest CD4+ cell count <50 cells/mm³ versus ≥200 cells/mm³ was 13.9 (95% CI 6.5 to 29.7) without adjustment for latest viral load measurements and 9.5 (95% CI 4.0 to 22.5) after adjustment for latest viral load. In contrast, the hazard ratio for AIDS or death for those with viral load ≥100,000 versus <400 copies/mL was 4.2 (95% CI 2.3 to 7.7) without adjustment for latest CD4+ level and 1.2 (95% CI 0.6 to 2.4) with adjustment for latest CD4+ cell count. Conclusion: We conclude that when latest CD4+ cell count and viral load are considered separately, both are significantly related to AIDS or death; when these markers are jointly considered, the association of viral load with AIDS or death is substantially diminished. Latest CD4+ levels are more strongly related to AIDS or death than latest viral load levels in patients on HAART.     

Abacavir once or twice daily combined with once-daily lamivudine and efavirenz for the treatment of antiretroviral-naive HIV-infected adults: results of the Ziagen Once Daily in Antiretroviral Combination Study

The long intracellular half-life of abacavir (ABC) supports its once-daily use, and this would be expected to simplify treatment if ABC could be given as part of a complete once-daily regimen. A randomized double-blind clinical trial compared the efficacy and safety of 600 mg of ABC administered once daily (n = 384) versus 300 mg of ABC administered twice daily (n = 386) in combination with 300 mg of lamivudine (3TC) and 600 mg of efavirenz (EFV) administered once daily in antiretroviral-naive patients over 48 weeks. The baseline median plasma HIV-1 RNA level was 4.89 log10 copies/mL (44% with viral load >100,000 copies/mL), and the median CD4 cell count was 262 cells/mm. ABC administered once daily was non-inferior to the twice-daily regimen, with 66% and 68% of patients in these respective treatment arms achieving a confirmed plasma HIV-1 RNA level <50 copies/mL (95% confidence interval: -8.4%, 4.9%). The ABC once-daily and twice-daily regimens were similar with respect to infrequency of virologic failure (10% vs. 8%), emergence of resistance mutations, CD4 cell increases from baseline (median, 188 vs. 200 cells/mm), safety profile, and incidence of ABC-related hypersensitivity reactions (9% vs. 7%). ABC administered once daily in combination with 3TC and EFV administered once daily was non-inferior to the ABC twice-daily dosing schedule when combined with 3TC and EFV over 48 weeks.     

Long-term CD4+ T-cell response to highly active antiretroviral therapy according to baseline CD4+ T-cell count

Current treatment guidelines for HIV infection recommend a relatively late initiation of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). Nevertheless, there is still a concern that immune recovery may not be as complete once CD4+ T cells have decreased below a certain threshold. This study addressed the long-term response of CD4+ T-cell counts in patients on HAART and analyzed the influence of baseline CD4+ T-cell counts, baseline viral load, and age. An observational analysis of evolution of CD4+ T cells in 861 antiretroviral therapy-naive chronic HIV-1-infected patients who started treatment consisting of at least 3 drugs in or after 1996 was performed. Patients were classified in 4 groups according to baseline CD4+ T cells: <200 cells/mm3, 200-349 cells/mm3, 350-499 cells/mm3, and >or=500 cells/mm3. The main outcome measures were proportion of patients with CD4+ T cells <200/mm3 and >500/mm3 at last determination and rate of CD4+ T-cell recovery. Patients were followed-up for a median of 173 weeks (interquartile range [IQR], 100-234). There were no differences in follow-up between the 4 groups. CD4+ T cells increased in the whole cohort from a median of 214 cells/mm3 (IQR, 90-355) to 499 cells/mm3 (IQR, 312-733) (P<0.001). Compared with the group with a baseline CD4+ T-cell count of >or=500/mm3, the relative risk of having a last determination of CD4+ T-cell counts >200 cells/mm3 was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.75-0.83), 0.92 (95% CI, 0.89-0.96) and 1 for baseline CD4+ T cells <200 cells/mm3, 200-349 cells/mm3, and 350-499 cells/mm3, respectively. The relative risk of having a last determination of CD4+ T-cell counts >500 cells/mm3 was 0.32 (95% CI, 0.27-0.39, P<0.001), 0.69 (95% CI, 0.60-0.79, P<0.001), and 0.94 (95% CI, 0.83-1.06, P=0.38) for baseline CD4+ T-cell counts <200 cells/mm3, 200-349 cells/mm3, and 350-0499 cells/mm3, respectively, compared with a baseline CD4+ T-cell count of >or=500 cells/mm3. The increase in CD4+ T cells from baseline was statistically significant and was maintained for up to 4 years of follow-up. This increase seemed to slow down after approximately 3 years and reached a plateau after 4-5 years of follow-up even in patients who achieved and maintained viral suppression in plasma. Long-term immune recovery is possible regardless of baseline CD4+ T-cell count. However, patients who start therapy with a CD4+ T-cell count <200 cells/mm3 have poorer immunologic outcome as measured by the proportion of patients with CD4+ T cells <200/mm3 or >500/mm3 at last determination. It seems that the immune recovery slows down after approximately 3 years of HAART and reaches a plateau after 4-5 years of HAART.     

Combination antiretroviral strategies for the treatment of pregnant HIV-1-infected women and prevention of perinatal HIV-1 transmission

CONTEXT: The Women and Infants Transmission Study is a prospective natural history study that has been enrolling HIV-1-infected pregnant women and their infants since 1989. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of different antiretroviral regimens on perinatal HIV-1 transmission at the population level. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. Plasma HIV-1 RNA levels were serially measured in 1542 HIV-1-infected women with singleton live births between January 1990 and June 2000. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: HIV-1 status of the infant. RESULTS: HIV-1 transmission was 20.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 16.1%-23.9%) for 396 women who not receiving prenatal antiretroviral therapy; 10.4% (95% CI, 8.2%-12.6%) for 710 receiving zidovudine monotherapy; 3.8% (95% CI, 1.1%-6.5%) for 186 receiving dual antiretroviral therapy with no or one highly active drug (Multi-ART); and 1.2% (95% CI, 0-2.5%) for 250 receiving highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). Transmission also varied by maternal delivery HIV RNA level: 1.0% for <400; 5.3% for 400 to 3499; 9.3% for 3500 to 9999; 14.7% for 10,000 to 29,999; and 23.4% for >30,000 copies/mL (p =.0001 for trend). The odds of transmission increased 2.4-fold (95% CI, 1.7-3.5) for every log10 increase in delivery viral load. In multivariate analyses adjusting for maternal viral load, duration of therapy, and other factors, the odds ratio for transmission for women receiving Multi-ART and HAART compared with those receiving ZDV monotherapy was 0.30 (95% CI, 0.09-1.02) and 0.27 (95% CI, 0.08-0.94), respectively. CONCLUSION: Levels of HIV-1 RNA at delivery and prenatal antiretroviral therapy were independently associated with transmission. The protective effect of therapy increased with the complexity and duration of the regimen. HAART was associated with the lowest rates of transmission.     

HIV-1 RNA in plasma and genital tract secretions in women infected with HIV-1

To assess antiretroviral therapy, all compartments, including the genital tract, need to be evaluated. HIV-1 RNA was quantified in whole cervicovaginal lavage fluid (CVL) and plasma of 56 women and in the cellular and supernatant fractions of 27 of these women. Overall, we detected HIV-1 RNA in 59% of whole CVL samples and in 61% and 44% of cellular and supernatant fractions of the subset of women, respectively. Detectability of HIV-1 RNA in CVL increased with increasing level of plasma RNA in both unfractionated and cell-associated CVL components (p = .0004 and .002, respectively), but not in the cell-free fraction (p = .29). Mean HIV-1 RNA levels in CVL increased with decreasing CD4 counts (p = .002,) and with increasing plasma HIV-1 RNA (p < .001). Adjusted odds ratios (OR) for detectable CVL RNA were highest for women with CD4 counts <200 cells/mm3 (OR, 10.1; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.6-82.7; p = .02) and >50,000 copies/ml of plasma RNA (OR, 25.2; 95% CI, 3.2-554; p = .01). Treatment did not seem to affect RNA detection in CVL after adjusting for plasma RNA and CD4. In conclusion, we found that detectability and level of CVL RNA were closely associated with the cellular fraction of genital secretions in women and strongly correlated with the level of plasma RNA and CD4. Genital tract secretions may need to be tested in the assessment of treatment efficacy and this can easily be accomplished with this rapid and easy procedure using whole CVL.