Survival and drug discontinuation analyses in a large cohort of methotrexate treated rheumatoid arthritis patients.

OBJECTIVES--To determine the probability of drug continuation in a large cohort of methotrexate treated rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients, the reasons for discontinuation of methotrexate, the overall survival of the members of this cohort, and the causes of death in these patients. METHODS--Yearly follow up was conducted in methotrexate treated RA patients who formed a cohort between 1981 and 1986 at a tertiary care centre. The probability of drug continuation and the patients' survival were calculated using standard statistical procedures; standardised mortality ratios were calculated using death certificate data and USA general population and mortality tables. RESULTS--The probability of methotrexate continuation at 10 years from the time the first members entered the cohort was 30%. Toxicity (and its severity) was the most frequent cause of discontinuing methotrexate. The cumulative probability of survival was 85% for women and 45% for men. A greater than expected number of deaths from infections was observed, but the number of deaths from cancer and cardiovascular diseases were within the range expected. CONCLUSIONS--Toxicity remains the most common cause for methotrexate discontinuation. Survival was comparable to that of other RA cohorts. Methotrexate may be implicated as an associated factor in the deaths from infections.     

Survival in rheumatoid arthritis: a population-based analysis of trends over 40 years

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate trends in and risk factors for mortality among patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) over a 40-year period. METHODS: A population-based inception cohort was assembled from among all Rochester, Minnesota residents ages > or =18 years who were first diagnosed with RA (fulfilling the 1987 American College of Rheumatology criteria for RA) between January 1, 1955 and December 31, 1994. Patients were followed up longitudinally through their entire medical records (including all inpatient and outpatient care by any provider) until death or migration from the county. Survival was described using the Kaplan-Meier method. Observed and expected survival were compared using the log-rank test, and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) with expected survival were based on the sex and age of the study population and death rates from the Minnesota life tables. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the influence of extraarticular manifestations and comorbidities, controlling for age, sex, body mass index (BMI), smoking, and rheumatoid factor positivity. RESULTS: Survival in this RA cohort was significantly lower than that expected in the population (P < 0.001) over the entire time period. Patients with RA were at significantly higher risk of death, with an SMR of 1.27 (95% confidence interval 1.13-1.41). Excess mortality among women was more pronounced than among men, with SMRs of 1.41 and 1.08, respectively. Presence of > or =1 extraarticular manifestation was the strongest predictor of mortality after adjusting for age, sex, BMI, smoking, and rheumatoid factor positivity. CONCLUSION: Survival in RA patients is significantly lower than expected. The strongest predictors of survival appear to be those related to RA disease complications, specifically, extraarticular manifestations of the disease and comorbidities. More attention should be paid to mortality as an outcome measure in RA.     

Mortality trends in rheumatoid arthritis: the role of rheumatoid factor

OBJECTIVE: We previously demonstrated a widening in the mortality gap between subjects with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and the general population. We examined the contribution of rheumatoid factor (RF) positivity on overall mortality trends and cause-specific mortality. METHODS: A population-based RA incidence cohort (1955-1995, and aged >or= 18 yrs) was followed longitudinally until death or January 1, 2006. The underlying cause of death as coded from national mortality statistics and grouped according to ICD-9/10 chapters was used to define cause-specific mortality. Expected cause-specific mortality rates were estimated by applying the age-, sex-, and calendar-year-specific mortality rates from the general population to the RA cohort. Poisson regression was used to model the observed overall and cause-specific mortality rates according to RF status, accounting for age, sex, disease duration, and calendar year. RESULTS: A cohort of 603 subjects (73% female; mean age 58 yrs) with RA was followed for a mean of 16 years, during which 398 died. Estimated survival at 30 years after RA incidence was 26.0% in RF+ RA subjects compared to 36.0% expected (p < 0.001), while in RF- RA subjects, estimated survival was 29.1% compared to 28.3% expected (p = 0.9). The difference between the observed and the expected mortality in the RF+ RA subjects increased over time, resulting in a widening of the mortality gap, while among RF- RA subjects, observed mortality was very similar to the expected mortality over the entire time period. Among RF+ RA subjects, cause-specific mortality was higher than expected for cardiovascular [relative risk (RR) 1.50; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.22, 1.83] and respiratory diseases [RR 3.49; 95% CI 2.51, 4.72]. Among RF- RA subjects, no significant differences were found between observed and expected cause-specific mortality. CONCLUSION: The widening in the mortality gap between RA subjects and the general population is confined to RF+ RA subjects and largely driven by cardiovascular and respiratory deaths.     

Estimating the impact of hepatitis C virus therapy on future liver-related morbidity, mortality and costs related to chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Chronic Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is common and often produces a progressive disease. Some studies suggest that HCV related complications will increase in the future. Our aim was to estimate the future morbidity, mortality and costs of chronic HCV infection in a cohort of patients infected by HCV and to evaluate the impact of HCV therapy. METHODS: A mathematical model was used to project over the next 30 years, the HCV related complications and costs in a cohort of 419,895 infected patients representing the HCV infected population in Spain. The impact of HCV therapy with peginterferon and ribavirin in this population was also projected. RESULTS: A gradual decline in the infected population is expected in the future, however, the proportion of patients with cirrhosis will increase by up to 14% and morbidity associated with HCV infection by up to 10% by the year 2030 with a subsequent increment in HCV related costs. However, treating from 10 to 50% of the HCV population will result in a reduction of 6 and 26% in morbidity and 4 and 20% in mortality, respectively. The cost per year of life gained ranges from 6078 for a 29-year-old patient to 8911 for a 59-year-old patient. CONCLUSIONS: In the future, HCV infection mortality, morbidity and associated costs will increase. Treatment of the chronic HCV infected population can eradicate the infection, increase patients' survival and reduce the need for liver transplantation, making this a cost-effective strategy.     

Survival in rheumatoid arthritis: A population‐based analysis of trends over 40 years

Objective

To evaluate trends in and risk factors for mortality among patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) over a 40‐year period.

Methods

A population‐based inception cohort was assembled from among all Rochester, Minnesota residents ages ≥18 years who were first diagnosed with RA (fulfilling the 1987 American College of Rheumatology criteria for RA) between January 1, 1955 and December 31, 1994. Patients were followed up longitudinally through their entire medical records (including all inpatient and outpatient care by any provider) until death or migration from the county. Survival was described using the Kaplan‐Meier method. Observed and expected survival were compared using the log‐rank test, and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) with expected survival were based on the sex and age of the study population and death rates from the Minnesota life tables. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the influence of extraarticular manifestations and comorbidities, controlling for age, sex, body mass index (BMI), smoking, and rheumatoid factor positivity.

Results

Survival in this RA cohort was significantly lower than that expected in the population (P < 0.001) over the entire time period. Patients with RA were at significantly higher risk of death, with an SMR of 1.27 (95% confidence interval 1.13–1.41). Excess mortality among women was more pronounced than among men, with SMRs of 1.41 and 1.08, respectively. Presence of ≥1 extraarticular manifestation was the strongest predictor of mortality after adjusting for age, sex, BMI, smoking, and rheumatoid factor positivity.

Conclusion

Survival in RA patients is significantly lower than expected. The strongest predictors of survival appear to be those related to RA disease complications, specifically, extraarticular manifestations of the disease and comorbidities. More attention should be paid to mortality as an outcome measure in RA.

     

Empirical laws of survival and evolution: their universality and implications

Presented analysis of human and fly life tables proves that with the specified accuracy their entire survival and mortality curves are uniquely determined by a single point (e.g., by the birth mortality q(0)), according to the law, which is universal for species as remote as humans and flies. Mortality at any age decreases with the birth mortality q(0). According to life tables, in the narrow vicinity of a certain q(0) value (which is the same for all animals of a given species, independent of their living conditions), the curves change very rapidly and nearly simultaneously for an entire population of different ages. The change is the largest in old age. Because probability to survive to the mean reproductive age quantifies biological fitness and evolution, its universal rapid change with q(0) (which changes with living conditions) manifests a new kind of an evolutionary spurt of an entire population. Agreement between theoretical and life table data is explicitly seen in the figures. Analysis of the data on basic metabolism reduces it to the maximal mean lifespan (for animals from invertebrates to mammals), or to the maximal mean fission time (for bacteria), and universally scales them with the total number of body atoms only. Phenomenological origin of this unification and universality of metabolism, survival, and evolution is suggested. Their implications and challenges are discussed.     

Relative survival: what can cardiovascular disease learn from cancer?

AIMS: To illustrate the application of relative survival to observational studies in coronary heart disease (CHD) and potential advantages compared with all-cause survival methods. Survival after myocardial infarction (MI) is generally assessed using all-cause or cause-specific methods. Neither method is able to assess the impact of the disease or condition of interest in comparison with expected survival in a similar population. Relative survival, the ratio of the observed and the expected survival rates, is applied routinely in cancer studies and may improve on current methods for assessment of survival in CHD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using a cohort of subjects after a first recorded acute MI, we discuss the application of relative survival in CHD and illustrate a number of the key issues. We compare the findings from relative survival with those obtained using Cox proportional and non-proportional hazards models in standard all-cause survival. Estimated survival rates are higher using relative survival models compared with all-cause methods. CONCLUSION: Estimates obtained from all-cause mortality fail to disentangle mortality associated with the condition of interest from that due to all other causes. Relative survival gives an estimate of survival due to the disease of interest without the need for cause of death information.     

Excess mortality emerges after 10 years in an inception cohort of early rheumatoid arthritis

Objective

To investigate mortality rates, causes of death, time trends in mortality, prognostic factors for mortality, and the relationship between disease activity and mortality over a 23‐year period in an inception cohort of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients.

Methods

A prospective inception cohort of RA patients diagnosed between January 1985 and October 2007 was followed for up to 23 years after diagnosis. Excess mortality was analyzed by comparing the observed mortality in the RA cohort with the expected mortality based on the general population of The Netherlands, matched for age, sex, and calendar year. Period analysis was used to examine time trends in survival across calendar time. Prognostic factors for mortality and the influence of the time‐varying Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (DAS28) on mortality were analyzed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Causes of death were analyzed.

Results

Of the 1,049 patients in the cohort, 207 patients died. Differences in observed and expected mortality emerged after 10 years of followup. No improvement in survival was noted over calendar time. Significant baseline predictors of survival were sex, age, rheumatoid factor, disability, and comorbidity. Higher levels of DAS28 over time, adjusted for age, were associated with lower survival rates, more so in men (hazard ratio [HR] 1.58, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.35–1.85) than in women (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.04–1.42).

Conclusion

Excess mortality in RA emerged after 10 years of disease duration. Absolute survival rates have not improved in the last 23 years and a trend toward a widening mortality gap between RA patients and the general population was visible. Higher disease activity levels contribute to premature death in RA patients.     

Long-term mortality of patients admitted to the hospital with alcohol withdrawal syndrome

Background: Although it is well known that alcoholism increases long‐term mortality, there is a paucity of data regarding long‐term prognosis in alcoholic patients who have an episode of alcohol withdrawal syndrome (AWS). Methods: We studied a cohort of 1,265 individuals with severe AWS who were admitted to a single university hospital between 1996 and 2006. Median age was 49 years (range 18 to 89 years). A total of 1,085 (85.8%) were men. Median follow‐up was 34 months (range 0 to 121 months). Survival of patients with AWS was compared with that of a reference cohort of 1,362 individuals from the same area. In addition, age‐ and sex‐standardized mortality ratios were calculated using the general population from the region (Galicia, Spain) as the reference. Results: The risk of mortality was higher in the cohort of patients with AWS than in the reference cohort after adjusting for age, sex, and smoking (hazard ratio 12.7; 95% CI 9.1 to 17.6; p < 0.001). The standardized mortality ratio in patients with AWS was 8.6 (95% CI 7.7 to 9.7). Age, smoking, serum creatinine, serum bilirubin, and prothrombin time at baseline were independently associated with mortality among patients with AWS. Conclusions: Long‐term mortality is highly increased in patients who have a history of AWS. Liver and kidney dysfunction are independent predictors of long‐term mortality in patients with AWS.     

Patterns of mortality in a cohort of workers followed during 28 years: the Manresa study

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: To describe mortality patterns in a cohort of workers followed for 28 years, to estimate possible trends, and to compare the findings with those for the general population. SUBJECTS AND METHOD: The cohort included 1059 healthy male workers aged 30 to 59 years and followed for 28 years. Physical examinations and structured interviews were carried out every 5 years. Deaths were recorded from death certificates. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was calculated using sex- and age-specific mortality rates for the Catalan population as a reference for the same time period. RESULTS: The number of observed deaths in this cohort was 259 (24%). The main causes of death were cardiovascular diseases (n = 90, 35%) and cancer (n = 90, 35%). No excess mortality was observed in the cohort in comparison to the general population. All-cause mortality was lower, and cause-specific mortality was lower than or similar to rates in the general population. Overall, 382 deaths were expected, resulting in a significantly lower standardized mortality ratio of 67.7% (95% CI: 59.7%-76.5%). CONCLUSIONS: The patterns of mortality in this cohort of male workers were similar to those in the general population. Total mortality was lower than expected--evidence of the "healthy worker effect" which was particularly strong during the early part of the follow-up period.     

All cause mortality in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study from 1990 to 2001 in comparison with the Swiss population

DESIGN: Mortality within the Swiss HIV Cohort Study for the years 1990-2001 was compared with the mortality of the general Swiss population. METHODS: Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) and life tables were calculated for strata defined by combinations of gender and HIV transmission group. The effect of dropouts was investigated with a sensitivity analysis and by analysing CD4 cell counts before dropout. RESULTS: During the study period 10 977 individuals had at least one cohort visit with a median observation time of 46 months. A total of 3630 patients died and 2290 dropped out. SMR decreased from 79.3 [95% confidence interval (CI), 77.2-81.5] before the introduction of highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART) in 1996 to 15.3 (95% CI, 14.2-16.4) thereafter. For persons who acquired HIV infection by injecting drug use (IDUs), the SMR decreased from 98.2 (95% CI, 94.9-103.5) to 40.9 (95% CI, 37.0-44.8) after 1996; for all other HIV transmission groups the SMR decreased from 69.2 (95% CI, 66.9-71.6) to 9.4 (95% CI, 8.5-10.4). Thus, IDUs had significantly lower survival in comparison with other patient groups after 1996. Patients who had started HAART during the time period in which this treatment was available, had even lower SMRs. CONCLUSIONS: Although overall survival has improved considerably since the introduction of HAART, cohort life expectancy remains below that of the Swiss population. We noted, however, substantial differences in mortality among subgroups, and the results indicate that the additional risk related to injection drug use before 1996 had been masked by HIV-associated mortality.     

A convenient approximation of life expectancy (the “DEALE”): II. Use in medical decision-making

We show how to use a bedside approximation of life expectancy in quantitative decision-making. This method, the declining exponential approximation of life expectancy (DEALE), enables the physician to collate various survival data with information on morbidity to determine a quality-adjusted expected survival for a potential management plan. The keystone in the DEALE approach is the approximation of survival by a simple exponential function. This approximation makes it possible to translate data from various literature sources (life expectancy tables, five-year survival rates, survival curves, median survival) into a single, unified mortality scale. In this paper, we use the DEALE method to obtain approximations of quality-adjusted life expectancy and illustrate the application of the method in a quantitative analysis of a clinical decision.     

Comparison of the risk of fatal coronary heart disease in treated xanthomatous and non-xanthomatous heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia: a prospective registry study

BACKGROUND: A clinical diagnosis of familial hypercholesterolaemia (FH) is often made in the absence of tendon xanthomata (TX), which are not usually present before the fourth decade of life. The prognosis of treated non-xanthomatous (TX-) FH is uncertain and the objective of this study was to compare mortality from coronary heart disease (CHD) in patients with treated TX+ (definite) and TX- (possible) heterozygous FH. METHODS: A diagnosis of definite or possible FH was based on raised cholesterol levels (>7.5 mmol/l) and a family history of premature CHD or hypercholesterolaemia. Patients were recruited from 21 outpatient lipid clinics in the UK from 1980 to 1998. The cohort of 1569 patients with TX+ FH were followed for 12754 person years and the cohort of 1302 patients with TX- FH for 10238 person years. The standardised mortality ratio (SMR) was calculated from the ratio of the number of deaths observed to the number expected in the general population of England and Wales (SMR=100 for reference population). FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION: CHD accounted for 64 (63%) of the 102 deaths in the TX+ cohort and 38 (57%) of the 67 deaths in the TX- cohort with the SMR for a fatal coronary event being, respectively, 294 (95% confidence interval 228, 380, P<0.00001) and 205 (95% CI 145, 282, P=0.0001). The similarly elevated CHD mortality risk suggests that, in adulthood, both groups of patients should be treated equally aggressively with HMG Co A reductase inhibitors (statins).     

No increased mortality in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: up to 10 years of follow up from disease onset

OBJECTIVE: To investigate mortality, functional capacity, and prognostic factors for mortality in an inception cohort of patients with recently diagnosed RA followed up for up to 10 years. METHODS: The observed mortality of this inception cohort with recently diagnosed RA, was analysed in relation to the expected mortality, calculated with the aid of life tables of the general population of the Netherlands (matched for age and sex). Functional capacity was measured by the Health Assessment Questionnaire. Prognostic factors for mortality were analysed multivariately by the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Between January 1985 and April 1997, 622 patients entered the study, and were included in the analysis of mortality. The death rate in the first 10 years of the disease was not significantly different from that of the general population. Fifty five patients from the study group died (16% up to 10 years of follow up). The most commonly reported causes of death were of cardiovascular and respiratory origin. The other causes of death could be classified into cancer, sepsis, amyloidosis, leukaemia, renal insufficiency of unknown cause, perforation of the oesophagus, probably related to the treatment with non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, and pancytopenia during aurothioglucose treatment. Functional capacity improved significantly during the first six years compared with the value at start. Statistically significant predictors for death were age at the start and male sex. CONCLUSIONS: In contrast with earlier studies performed, no excess mortality in the first 10 years of an inception cohort of patients with RA was seen. In addition, the functional capacity was relatively constant during the first six years after an initial improvement from baseline. Age at start and male sex were the only statistically significant predictors for death.     

Hip fracture in three elderly populations of central Spain: data from the NEDICES study

There is a paucity of data concerning the specific associations between hip fracture in the elderly and other age-related conditions, as well as its impact on long-term survival. This study was aimed to estimate the prevalence, risk factors, and outcome of self-reported hip fracture (srHF) in a cohort of Spanish elderly individuals. Neurological Disorders in Central Spain (NEDICES) is a census population-based survey of the prevalence and incidence of major age-associated conditions in three areas of central Spain. Data on health status and several chronic conditions were evaluated in the baseline questionnaire (1994–1995). Odds ratios for the association between srHF and other comorbidities and health-related variables were assessed by logistic regression. A Cox model estimated the impact of srHF on 13-year all-cause mortality. The final cohort comprised 5,278 community-living elderly subjects. A total of 166 participants (3.1%) had srHF. Prevalence was associated with higher age, female gender, degree of urbanisation of residence place, lower body mass index (BMI), higher number of chronic medications, higher Pfeffer FAQ score, being unmarried (P < 0.001 for all), and infantile living conditions (P = 0.007). Participants with srHF had a higher number of associated chronic conditions (P < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, self-reported osteoporosis, lower BMI category, rural environment during childhood, and higher age were identified as independent risk factors for srHF. Adjusted hazard ratio for mortality in the srHF group was 1.40 (95% confidence interval 1.15–1.71; P = 0.001). srHF is a common condition among community-living elderly population in Spain, and has a significant impact upon long-term all-cause mortality.     

Ten-year survival of a cohort of 736 patients with a first myocardial infarction. Sex-related differences?]

The survival of a cohort of 736 patients (617 men and 119 women) with a first acute myocardial infarction is reported. All patients were admitted and diagnosed at a referral center of six areas of the province of Girona, Spain. The results of a follow-up period of 10 years are analyzed. The overall 10-year survival rate was 55% (57% in men and 43% in women). The survival curves for males and females were significantly different (p = 0.0001). In the acute phase of infarction, the mortality amongst women was higher than amongst men. Women suffered from myocardial infarction at an older age than men. When the study population was stratified by age groups, no statistically significant differences in the survival rates between men and women were observed. We conclude that age is the confounding variable that all other survival-related variables have to be adjusted for. Sex was not found to be a determinant factor for long-term survival after myocardial infarction. The worse hemodynamic condition amongst women prior to the infarction may account for the greater mortality in the acute phase observed in females.     

[Translated article] Lung Cancer Screening: Survival in an Extensive Early Detection Program in Spain (I-ELCAP)

IntroductionLung cancer (LC) is usually diagnosed at advanced stages with only a 12% 5-year survival. Trials as NLST and NELSON show a mortality decrease, which justifies implementation of lung cancer screening in risk population. Our objective was to show survival results of the largest LC screening program in Spain with low dosage computed tomography (LDCT).MethodsClinical records from International Early Lung Cancer Detection Program (IELCAP) at Valencia, Spain were analyzed. This program recruited volunteers, ever-smokers aged 40–80 years, since 2008. Results are compared to those from other similar sizeable programs.ResultsA total of 8278 participants were screened with at least two-rounds until November 2020. A mean of 6 annual screening rounds were performed. We detected 239 tumors along 12-year follow-up. Adenocarcinoma was the most common histology, being 61.3% at stage I. The lung cancer prevalence and incidence proportion was 1.5% and 1.4%, respectively with an annual detection rate of 0.17. One-year survival and 10-year survival were 90% and 80.1%, respectively. Adherence was 96.84%.ConclusionLargest lung cancer screening in Spain shows that survival is improved when is performed in multidisciplinary team experienced in management of LC, and is comparable to similar screening programs.     

Cribado de cáncer de pulmón: Supervivencia en un amplio programa de detección precoz en España (I-ELCAP)

IntroductionLung cancer (LC) is usually diagnosed at advanced stages with only a 12% 5-year survival. Trials as NLST and NELSON show a mortality decrease, which justifies implementation of lung cancer screening in risk population. Our objective was to show survival results of the largest LC screening program in Spain with low dosage computed tomography (LDCT).MethodsClinical records from International Early Lung Cancer Detection Program (IELCAP) at Valencia, Spain were analysed. This program recruited volunteers, ever-smokers aged 40-80 years, since 2008. Results are compared to those from other similar sizeable programs.ResultsA total of 8278 participants were screened with at least two-rounds until November 2020. A mean of 6 annual screening rounds were performed. We detected 239 tumours along 12-year follow-up. Adenocarcinoma was the most common histology, being 61.3% at stage I. The lung cancer prevalence and incidence proportion was 1.5% and 1.4%, respectively with an annual detection rate of 0.17. One-year survival and 10-year survival were 90% and 80.1%, respectively. Adherence was 96.84%.ConclusionLargest lung cancer screening in Spain shows that survival is improved when is performed in multidisciplinary team experienced in management of LC, and is comparable to similar screening programs.     

The widening mortality gap between rheumatoid arthritis patients and the general population

OBJECTIVE: Overall mortality rates in the general US population have declined substantially over the last 4-5 decades, but it is unclear whether patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have experienced the same improvements in survival. The purpose of this study was to determine the mortality trends among RA patients compared with those in the general population. METHODS: A population-based incidence cohort of RA patients was assembled, comprising all residents of Rochester, Minnesota ages > or = 18 years in whom RA was first diagnosed (according to the American College of Rheumatology [formerly, the American Rheumatism Association] 1987 criteria) between 1955 and 1995 and all residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota in whom RA was first diagnosed between 1995 and 2000. The patients were followed up longitudinally through their complete (inpatient and outpatient) medical records until death or January 1, 2007. Expected mortality was estimated from the National Center for Health Statistics life tables on the white population in Minnesota, using person-year methods. Poisson regression was used to model the observed mortality rates, adjusting for age, sex, and disease duration. RESULTS: A cohort of 822 RA patients (72% women, mean age at RA incidence 58 years) was followed up for a median of 11.7 years, during which 445 of the RA patients died. Between 1965 and 2005, the mortality rates across the calendar years for female and male RA patients were relatively constant at 2.4 and 2.5 per 100 person-years, respectively. In contrast, the expected mortality rate in the Minnesota white population decreased substantially over the same time period in both sexes. Mortality in the female general population declined from 1.0 per 100 person-years in 1965 to 0.2 per 100 person-years in 2000. Mortality in the male general population decreased from 1.2 per 100 person-years in 1965 to 0.3 per 100 person-years in 2000. Therefore, the difference between the observed and expected mortality rates increased in more recent years, resulting in a widening of the mortality gap. CONCLUSION: Our findings show that RA patients have not experienced improvements in survival over the past 4 decades, despite dramatic improvements in the overall rates of mortality in the general US population. Further research into the causes of the widening gap in mortality between RA patients and the general population, and the influence of current therapeutic strategies on mortality, is needed in order to develop strategies to reduce the excess mortality observed in RA patients.     

A retrospective cohort study of cancer incidence among patients treated with radiosynoviorthesis

Summary. Radiosynoviorthesis (RS) is an intra-articular injection of a radioactive colloid for the treatment of synovitis administered most often to patients with rheumatoid arthritis or haemophilia. Although highly cost-effective in comparison with surgical or arthroscopic synovectomy, the risk of cancer associated with this treatment is not well known. We evaluated the incidence of cancer in a group of patients treated with RS. A cohort of 2412 adult patients with a variety of underlying conditions (mainly rheumatoid arthritis) and treated with at least one RS between January 1976 and December 2001, was recruited from two centres in Montréal. Cancer incidence and mortality data for cohort members over that time period were obtained from regulatory agencies using linkage. Background rates for all and specific types of cancer were obtained for the provincial (Québec) and national (Canada) population according to age, gender and calendar period categories. Category-specific rates in the cohort were compared with rates in similar categories from the general population generating standardized incidence ratios (SIR). The effects of specific isotope doses and of number of RS treatments were analysed using a Cox-regression model. No increase in the risk of cancer was observed (SIR 0.96; 95% confidence interval 0.82-1.12). There was no dose-response relationship with the amount of radioisotope administered or number of RS treatments. The study provides some indication for the safety of the procedure but homogenous diagnostic groups of younger patients (such as haemophilic patients) receiving RS will need more evaluation.