Autoantibodies to IA-2β improve diabetes risk assessment in high-risk relatives

Aims/hypothesis The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic significance of autoantibodies to IA-2β (IA2βA) in a large, well-characterised population of islet cell antibody (ICA)-positive relatives followed for 5 years in the European Nicotinamide Diabetes Intervention Trial. Methods Autoantibodies to insulin (IAA), glutamate decarboxylase (GADA) and IA-2 (IA2A) were measured in 549 participants at study entry, and IA2A-positive samples tested for IA2βA. First-phase insulin response (FPIR) and oral glucose tolerance were determined at baseline. Results Of 212 ICA/IA2A-positive participants (median age 12.1 years; 57% male), 113 developed diabetes (5 year cumulative risk 56%), and 148 were also GADA-positive and IAA-positive (4Ab-positive). IA2βA were detected in 137 (65%) ICA/IA2A-positive participants and were associated with an increased 5 year diabetes risk (IA2βA-positive 65 vs 39% in IA2βA-negative, p = 0.0002). The effect was most marked in 4Ab-positive relatives (72% vs 52%, p  = 0.003). Metabolic testing further refined risk assessment. Among 101 4Ab-positive relatives with IA2βA, the 5 year risk was 94% in those with a low FPIR (vs 50% in those with a normal FPIR, p < 0.0001), and 95% in those with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) (vs 66% in those with normal glucose tolerance, p < 0.0001). The median time to diagnosis of 4Ab/IA2βA-positive participants with a low FPIR was 1.5 years. Multivariate analysis confirmed IA2βA status, antibody number, young age, FPIR and IGT as independent determinants of risk. Conclusions/interpretation IA2βA are associated with a very high risk of diabetes in ICA/IA2A-positive relatives. Testing for IA2A/IA2βA compares favourably with the IVGTT in identifying a subgroup of autoantibody-positive relatives at increased risk. IA2βA determination should be added to screening protocols of future intervention trials. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:) contains a list of members of the ENDIT Group, which is available to authorised users.     

Glutamic acid decarboxylase (GAD) autoantibodies are additional predictive markers of Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus in high risk individuals

Summary The prevalence of glutamic acid decarboxylase autoantibodies was determined with an immunotrapping enzyme activity assay in newly-diagnosed Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetic patients as well as in first-degree relatives using rat brain homogenate as a source of glutamate decarboxylase. Twenty-six out of 86 islet-cell cytoplasmic autoantibody positive and one out of 24 islet cell autoantibody negative patients of recent onset, had autoantibodies to glutamate decarboxylase above the upper 99% confidence limit obtained from 89 control sera. Among 27 islet cell autoantibody positive relatives including 19 siblings and 8 parents, antibodies to glutamate decarboxylase were found in 8 of 9 (89%) relatives and 7 of 8 (87.5%) siblings with islet cell autoantibody titres above 20 JDF units, in 1 of 19 (5.2%) relatives with islet cell autoantibody titres between 2 and 5 JDF units, in 2 of 263 (0.7%) siblings and 1 of 139 parents without islet cell autoantibodies. In first-degree relatives, high titre islet cell autoantibodies and autoantibodies to glutamate decarboxylase were tightly associated (X²=182, p=0.0001). None of the relatives with low genetic risk (n=64), i.e. HLA-different to the diabetic proband, was found to be antibody positive. Antibodies to glutamate decarboxylase were present only in those relatives sharing at least one haplotype with the diabetic proband, including two islet cell autoantibody negative but HLA-identical siblings. Autoantibodies to glutamate decarboxylase were present in 7 of 9 (77%) relatives who developed the disease, including one islet cell autoantibody negative sibling. Altogether, the simultaneous presence of autoantibodies to glutamate decarboxylase and high titre islet cell autoantibody increases the positive predictive value for the disease from 66% to 75%. This study indicates therefore that autoantibodies to glutamate decarboxylase detected by an immunotrapping enzyme activity assay are additional predictive markers for future development of Type 1 diabetes and should be now prospectively studied in high risk individuals as well as other autoantibodies to Beta-cell autoantigens.     

Adiponectin levels do not predict clinical onset of type 1 diabetes in antibody-positive relatives

Aims/Hypothesis Insulin resistance has been proposed as a risk factor for type 1 diabetes. We investigated whether adiponectin, an insulin sensitiser, can serve as an additional predictive marker for type 1 diabetes in first-degree relatives of known patients. Methods Adiponectin was followed in 211 persistently islet antibody-positive (Ab+) first-degree relatives of type 1 diabetic patients and in 211 age- and sex-matched persistently antibody-negative relatives, and correlated with antibody status, random proinsulin:C-peptide ratio and HLA-DQ genotype. During follow-up, 37 Ab+ relatives developed type 1 diabetes. Results In the group of 422 relatives, baseline adiponectin correlated inversely with age and BMI and was lower in male than in female participants, especially after 15 years of age (p < 0.001). There was no correlation with antibody status or later development of diabetes. In 24 Ab+ relatives sampled fasted, adiponectin levels correlated significantly with homeostasis model assessment of insulin sensitivity (p = 0.006). In Ab+ relatives (n = 211), adiponectin levels could not predict type 1 diabetes nor complement risk assessment based on islet antibodies, HLA-DQ genotype and pancreatic hormones in Cox regression analysis. Conclusions/Interpretation Adiponectin levels do not contribute to the prediction of type 1 diabetes in Ab+ relatives. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorised users. I. Truyen and J. De Grijse contributed equally to this study.     

Autoantibodies and genetic factors associated with the development of Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus in first degree relatives of diabetic patients

Summary Factors associated with diabetes onset were analysed for their predictive value in 708 first-degree relatives of Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetic patients including 374 parents and 308 siblings of Type 1 diabetic patients. Relatives were prospectively followed for 2 304 subject years with blood samples for specific autoantibody evaluation. Islet cell cytoplasmic autoantibody titres were quantified in Juvenile Diabetes Foundation units with a threshold of positivity of 5 units. Insulin autoantibodies were determined using Tyr-A14 iodinated human insulin. HLA typing was performed in 92% of the relatives. During the time of study, 17 of 646 (2.6%) relatives showed islet cell antibodies. During follow-up, eight relatives developed diabetes, including six with high islet cell antibody titre. Taking titres above 20 units increased the positive predictive value from 35% to 75% whereas the presence of insulin autoantibodies did not increase the positive predictive value for the disease. Analysis of metabolic profiles months before the onset of diabetes by either oral or intravenous glucose loads, indicated a considerable level of heterogeneity with relatives with a high islet cell antibody titre who rapidly developed insulin-dependent diabetes, whereas others remained insulin-independent during the same observation period despite comparable titres. This study clearly indicates that initial islet cell antibody titre is not sufficient to predict individual outcome. Follow-up samples are clearly needed to monitor progression of the disease. Few relatives with persistent immunologic positivity progress to clinical Type 1 diabetes, suggesting that non-progressive and sub-clinical Beta-cell dysfunction is common. Despite current knowledge and available genetic and immune markers, early identification of the relatives progressing to clinical diabetes is still difficult and does not allow at the present time aggressive immunointervention at the prediabetic stage.Members of the Lyons' family study also include Prs F.BerthezèneMembers of the Lyons' family study also include Prs F.Berthezène     

Distribution of autoantibodies to insulinoma-associated antigen-2 and zinc transporter 8 in type 1 diabetes and latent autoimmune diabetes: A nationwide,multicentre, cross-sectional study

Aims

This study investigated insulinoma-associated-2 autoantibody (IA-2A) and zinc transporter 8 autoantibody (ZnT8A) distribution in patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D) and latent autoimmune diabetes (LAD) and the autoantibodies' association with clinical characteristics and HLA-DR-DQ genes.

Materials and Methods

This cross-sectional study recruited 17,536 patients with diabetes from 46 hospitals across China. A total of 189 patients with T1D and 58 patients with LAD with IA-2A positivity, 126 patients with T1D and 86 patients with LAD with ZnT8A positivity, and 231 patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) were selected to evaluate islet autoantibodies, clinical phenotypes, and HLA-DR-DQ gene frequency.

Results

IA-2A was bimodally distributed in patients with T1D and LAD. Patients with low IA-2A titre LAD had lower fasting C-peptide (FCP) (p < 0.01), lower postprandial C-peptide (PCP) (p < 0.001), and higher haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels (p < 0.05) than patients with T2D. Patients with high IA-2A titre LAD were younger than patients with low IA-2A titre LAD (p < 0.05). Patients with low IA-2A titre T1D had lower FCP (p < 0.01), lower PCP (p < 0.01), and higher HbA1c levels (p < 0.05) than patients with high IA-2A titre LAD. HLA-DR-DQ genetic analysis demonstrated that the frequency of susceptible HLA haplotypes was higher in IA-2A-positive patients (p < 0.001) than in patients with T2D. Patients with high ZnT8A titre LAD had lower FCP (p = 0.045), lower PCP (p = 0.023), and higher HbA1c levels (p = 0.009) and a higher frequency of total susceptible haplotypes (p < 0.001) than patients with low ZnT8A titre LAD.

Conclusions

IA-2A in patients with T1D and LAD was bimodally distributed, and the presence of IA-2A could demonstrate partial LAD clinical characteristics. ZnT8A titre had a certain predictive value for islet functions in patients with LAD.

     

Progression to insulin-requiring diabetes in seronegative prediabetic subjects: the role of two HLA-DQ high-risk haplotypes

Aims/hypothesis: Most Caucasians with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus develop an autoimmune form of diabetes known as Type IA diabetes, based on the presence of humoral responses to islet autoantigens. Alleles at the HLA locus account for the strongest susceptibility to this form of diabetes, which requires insulin therapy. Because a number of patients who develop insulin-requiring diabetes are islet autoantibody negative, the HLA class II haplotypes, DQA1 ^* 0501-DQB1*0201 and DQA1 ^* 0301-DQB1*0302, were evaluated to assess whether they are an independent risk factor for progression to insulin requirement in first-degree relatives of Type I diabetic patients. Methods: Both HLA-DQ genotyping and islet cell autoantibody assessment (insulin, GAD65, IA-2 autoantibodies and cytoplasmic islet cell antibodies) were evaluated prospectively in 74 relatives of Type I diabetic patients who developed diabetes treated with insulin (prediabetics) and in 426 control subjects who did not develop insulin-requiring diabetes. Based on the presence of DQA1 ^* 0501-DQB1*0201 and/or DQA1 ^* 0301-DQB1*0302, the number of HLA-DQ high-risk haplotypes was assigned as 0, 1 or 2. Results: A higher prevalence of 2 HLA-DQ high-risk haplotypes was present in seronegative prediabetic subjects as compared to non-diabetic autoantibody negative first-degree relatives (33.3 % vs 10.1 % respectively; p < 0.05). Moreover, in seronegative relatives who developed insulin-requiring diabetes, the presence of 2 HLA-DQ high-risk haplotypes conferred an increased cumulative risk of developing insulin requirement of 27 % at 12.5 years of follow-up, compared to a risk of 6 % for non-diabetic relatives who were antibody-negative and had 0 or 1 HLA-DQ high-risk haplotypes (Log rank p = 0.01). Conclusion/interpretation: These data provide evidence for a phenotype, which is associated with the absence of conventional islet autoantibodies at initial screening, while usually remaining seronegative, and the presence of 2 HLA-DQ high-risk haplotypes with progression to clinical Type I diabetes after a prolonged follow-up. Given the fact that in humans the highest risk-conferring locus associated and linked to the disease is the HLA cluster, and that HLA-DQ molecules play a key role in the development of autoimmune diabetes, our observations imply that as yet unidentified immunologic abnormalities could well exist in seronegative relatives at risk of developing clinical diabetes and carrying 2 HLA-DQ high-risk haplotypes. [Diabetologia (2002) 45: 66–76] Received: 29 May 2001 and in revised form: 28 September 2001     

Proinsulin levels and the proinsulin:c-peptide ratio complement autoantibody measurement for predicting type 1 diabetes

Aims/hypothesis We investigated whether random proinsulin levels and proinsulin:C-peptide ratio (PI:C) complement immune and genetic markers for identifying relatives at high risk of type 1 diabetes.Materials and methods During an initial sampling, random glycaemia, proinsulin, PI:C and HLA DQ genotype were determined in 561 non-diabetic first-degree relatives who had been positive for islet autoantibodies on one or more occasions and in 561 age- and sex-matched persistently antibody-negative relatives.Results During follow-up (median 62 months), 46 relatives with antibodies at entry developed type 1 diabetes. At baseline, antibody-positive relatives (n=338) had higher PI:C values (p<0.001) than antibody-negative subjects with (n=223) or subjects without (n=561) later seroconversion. Proinsulin and PI:C were graded according to risk of diabetes as expressed by positivity for (multiple) antibodies or IA-2 antibodies, especially in persons carrying the high-risk HLA DQ2/DQ8 genotype and in prediabetic relatives. In the presence of multiple or IA-2 antibodies, a PI:C ratio exceeding percentile 66 of all antibody-negative relatives at entry (n=784) conferred a 5-year diabetes risk of 50% and 68%, respectively (p<0.001 vs 13% for same antibody status with PI:C<percentile 66). Cox regression analysis confirmed random PI:C as an independent predictor of the risk of diabetes (p0.001).Conclusions/interpretation Random proinsulin and PI:C represent dynamic markers of the state of beta cell function that complement immune markers in identifying relatives who are at homogeneously high risk of contracting type 1 diabetes and are therefore eligible for secondary prevention trials.     

Predicting type 1 diabetes

Predicting type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) is a prerequisite for disease prevention. Prediction is currently performed on three levels, which include the genetic susceptibility for disease, the identification of preclinical T1DM by way of circulating islet autoantibodies, and the use of metabolic tests to stage preclinical disease into late or early prediabetes. Combinations of genetic markers such as HLA genotype, INS genotype, and if and how much family history of T1DM is present can stratify disease risk more than 1000-fold, and can be used for selection of first-degree relatives of patients with T1DM for primary intervention trials. Measurement of autoantibodies in genetically at-risk subjects identifies future cases of T1DM. Further stratification of diabetes risk in autoantibody-positive subjects can be made on the basis of autoantibody characteristics that correspond to the magnitude of the autoantibody response.     

Association between anti-ZnT8 autoantibody specificities and SLC30A8 Arg325Trp variant in Japanese patients with type 1 diabetes

Aims/hypothesis  We analysed the association between humoral autoreactivity to zinc transporter-8 (ZnT8) and the SLC30A8 rs13266634 polymorphism (Arg325Trp), which is located at the most distal loop in the ZnT8 protein. Methods  Autoantibodies to ZnT8 were determined by RIA in 270 patients with type 1 diabetes using ZnT8 carboxy-terminal constructs (amino acids 268–369) carrying 325Trp(CW) and 325Arg(CR) and a hybrid construct (CW-CR). Forty-four ZnT8 autoantibody-positive sera with genomic DNA were used to examine the association between reactivity to ZnT8 constructs and the rs13266634 genotype. Results  Seventy-five patients reacted to the CW-CR hybrid construct, whereas 37 and 36 patients reacted to the CW and CR constructs, respectively. All sera positive for either CW or CR autoantibodies were positive for CW-CR autoantibodies. Among 19 patients with a 325Arg(CC) genotype, 5% had CW-specific autoantibodies, 42% had CR-specific autoantibodies and 32% had dual reactivity. Conversely, 73% of 15 patients with the 325Trp(TT) genotype had CW-specific autoantibodies, no patients had CR-specific autoantibodies and 13% had dual reactivity. Nine of the ten patients (90%) with the CT genotype reacted with either CR or CW constructs. The titre of CR autoantibodies in patients carrying the C allele was significantly higher than that in TT homozygotes (p < 0.0001). In contrast, the titre of CW autoantibodies in patients carrying a T allele was significantly higher than that in CC homozygotes (p < 0.005). No evidence of an association between rs13266634 and type 1 diabetes was observed. Conclusions/interpretation  These results indicate that variant residue at amino acid 325 is a key determinant of humoral autoreactivity to ZnT8 and that the SLC30A8 genotype is an important determinant of autoantibody specificity.     

Combined screening for autoantibodies to IA-2 and antibodies to glutamic acid decarboxylase in first degree relatives of patients with IDDM

Summary To determine the value of antibodies to the intracytoplasmic domain of the tyrosine phosphatase IA-2 (anti-IA-2 ic) and glutamic acid decarboxylase (GADA) for identification of subjects at risk for insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) we investigated 1238 first degree relatives of patients with IDDM for the presence of anti-IA-2 ic and GADA and compared the results with cytoplasmic islet cell antibodies (ICA). Anti-IA-2 ic were observed in 54 (4.4 %) first degree relatives, in 51 of 86 (59.3 %) ICA positive relatives and in 3 of 4 individuals who developed overt IDDM within a follow-up period of 1 to 28 months. GADA were found in 78 of 1238 (6.3 %) first degree relatives. They were detected in 22 of 35 (62.9 %) sera with ICA alone and in 1 of 3 subjects with anti-IA-2 ic in the absence of ICA. Of the 1238 subjects 37 (3.0 %) sera were positive for all three antibodies. Both anti-IA-2 ic and GADA were positively correlated with high levels of ICA. Anti-IA-2 ic and GADA were detected in 39.1 and 47.8 % of subjects with ICA of less than 20 Juvenile Diabetes Foundation units (JDF-U) but in 66.7 and 76.2 % of individuals with ICA of 20 JDF-U or more, respectively (p < 0.05). The levels of ICA and GADA in first degree relatives with at least one additional marker were significantly higher than in subjects with ICA alone (p < 0.005) or GADA alone (p < 0.03). The combination of anti-IA-2 ic and GADA identified 84.9 % of all ICA positive subjects and 93.7 % of individuals with high level ICA (≥ 20 IDF-U). All 4 individuals who progressed to IDDM had either IA-2 ic or GADA. Our data indicate that primary screening for anti-IA-2 ic and GADA provides a powerful approach with which to identify subjects at risk for IDDM in large-scale population studies which may represent the basis for the design of new intervention strategies. [Diabetologia (1996) 39: 1351–1356] Received: 8 March 1996 and in revised form: 29 May 1996     

Anti-p53 autoantibody in colorectal cancer: prognostic significance in long-term follow-up

Background The prognostic significance of anti-53 autoantibody in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients is unclear due to measurement of overall rather than disease-specific survival and generally short follow-up periods in many studies. We aim to investigate prognostic significance of anti-p53 auto-antibodies in a study with long-term follow-up (minimum 5 years). Methods ELISA for anti-p53 autoantibody was assayed in serum from 92 patients with CRC and 28 controls. Results Anti-p53 autoantibody was found in 20 patients (21.7%) and none of the controls. No difference in Dukes’ (A/B vs. C/D), Stage (I/II vs. III/IV), T1/2 vs. T3/4, N0 vs. N1/2, M0 vs. M1, poor vs. well/moderate differentiation and proximal vs. distal CRC was observed. Median overall survival was 62 months and median disease-specific survival was 73 months. Dukes’ C/D, Stage III/IV, N1/2 and M1 were associated with poor disease-specific survival in univariate analysis. Stage III/IV was an independent prognostic factor in overall and disease-free survival in multivariate analysis. Anti-p53 autoantibody sero-positivity did not influence overall (p = 0.980) or disease-specific survival (p = 0.874). Median overall survival in anti-p53 autoantibody positive patients was 62 months vs. 60 months in anti-53 autoantibody negative patients. Median disease-specific survival in anti-p53 autoantibody positive patients was 73 months vs. 82 months. Conclusion Anti-p53 autoantibody is not related to clinical parameters of CRC and has no prognostic significance in long-term follow-up.     

Autoantibodies to zinc transporter 8 and SLC30A8 genotype stratify type 1 diabetes risk

Aims/hypothesis  Our aim was to determine the relationships between autoantibodies to zinc transporter 8 (ZnT8), genotypes of the ZnT8-encoding gene SLC30A8 and type 1 diabetes risk. Methods  ZnT8 autoantibodies (ZnT8A) were measured in sera of 1,633 children with a first-degree family history of type 1 diabetes and who were prospectively followed from birth. Antibodies were measured by Protein A-based radiobinding assays and COOH-terminal (R325, W325 or Q325 variants) or NH₂-terminal constructs of human ZnT8. SLC30A8 genotyping at single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) rs13266634 was performed on 1,170 children. Results  Antibodies against COOH-terminal ZnT8 constructs (ZnT8A-COOH) developed in 58 children as early as 9 months of age (median 3 years). They were detected in 55 of 128 (43%) children with autoantibodies to insulin, GAD and/or insulinoma-associated protein 2 and 34 of 42 (81%) who progressed to diabetes. The additional presence of ZnT8A-COOH stratified diabetes risk in islet autoantibody-positive children (p < 0.0001). SLC30A8 genotype strongly influenced ZnT8A type and diabetes risk in ZnT8A-COOH-positive children. Antibody binding against the ZnT8 R325 variant was strictly correlated with the number of the corresponding SLC30A8 R325-encoding alleles, whereas binding against the W325 variant was highest in children who had SLC30A8 W325-encoding alleles (p = 0.001). Moreover, ZnT8A-COOH-positive children who carried homozygous SLC30A8 SNP rs13266634 genotypes progressed faster to diabetes than those who were heterozygous (59% [95% CI 42.3–75.7%] vs 22% [95% CI 0–44.3%] within 5 years; p = 0.01). Conclusions/interpretation  Autoimmunity against the COOH-terminal region of ZnT8 is a highly relevant prognostic feature in childhood type 1 diabetes. Risk stratification in ZnT8A-COOH-positive children is further improved by SLC30A8 genotyping. Electronic supplementary material  The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorised users. P. Achenbach and V. Lampasona contributed equally to this study     

Islet autoantibodies, nationality and gender: a multinational screening study in first-degree relatives of patients with Type I diabetes

Aims/hypothesis: First-degree relatives of patients with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus diagnosed at 20 years of age or under were screened for islet cell antibodies (ICA) in the course of recruitment to an international diabetes prevention trial. Our aim was to evaluate the influence of age, gender, proband characteristics and nationality on the prevalence of ICA and co-existence of autoantibodies to GAD, IA-2 and insulin. Methods: A central laboratory screened samples from 10 326 non-diabetic relatives who were aged less than 40 years, from eight European countries for ICA. Antibodies to GAD and IA-2 were measured in all samples with ICA of 10 JDF units or more. Results: Overall, 8.9 % of relatives had ICA of 10 JDF units or more, 3.8 % with ICA of 20 JDF units or more. Of 921 relatives with ICA of 10 JDF units or more, 29 % had co-existing antibodies to GAD or IA-2 or both. ICA of 10 JDF units or more were more prevalent in males (10.8 %) than females (7.3 %). ICA with GAD or IA-2 antibodies or both were also more common in males (3.4 %) than females (1.9 %) and in relatives under 20 years of age (3.5 % vs 1.5 %). Multiple regression analysis showed nationality to be a determinant of ICA of 10 JDF units or more but not of ICA of 20 JDF units or more or of ICA with co-existing islet antibodies, and confirmed the importance of age and gender as determinants of islet autoimmunity. Conclusions/interpretation: Relatives from different European countries have similar rates of islet autoimmunity despite wide variation in the background incidence of childhood diabetes, and male excess is equally evident in all populations. The male excess of ICA and islet autoimmunity over 10 years of age reflects the higher male incidence of Type I diabetes in this age group, and suggests that boys may be more likely than girls to develop islet autoimmunity during adolescence. [Diabetologia (2002) 45: 217–223] Received: 9 August 2001 and in revised form: 16 October 2001     

Development of autoimmunity to transglutaminase C in children of patients with type 1 diabetes: relationship to islet autoantibodies and infant feeding

Aims/hypothesis  Coeliac disease and transglutaminase antibodies are common in patients with type 1 diabetes and their relatives. We investigated the development of transglutaminase antibodies and analysed potential risk factors for coeliac disease autoimmunity in first-degree relatives of patients with type 1 diabetes. Methods  The study was conducted by prospective observational follow-up from birth of 1,511 children at increased risk of type 1 diabetes or coeliac disease born in Germany between 1989 and 2000. Mean follow-up was to age 7.6 years. Children were tested for transglutaminase and islet autoantibodies. Children were classified as transglutaminase antibody-positive if antibodies were detected by both ELISA and radiobinding assays. Results  The risk of developing transglutaminase antibodies was 4.9% by age 8 years (n=63; 95% CI, 3.7–6.1%). Transglutaminase antibodies developed at an older age than islet autoantibodies (median age, 4.9 vs 2.3 years; p<0.005), and only three children developed both transglutaminase antibodies and islet autoantibodies. Multivariate analysis indicated an increased risk of transglutaminase antibodies in children with the HLA-DRB1*03 allele (hazard ratio for heterozygous DR3, 5.5; 95% CI, 2.9–10.2; hazard ratio for homozygous DR3, 16.2; 95% CI, 6.7–39; p<0.0001) and in children with impaired uterine growth (birth weight ≤ 1st percentile, hazard ratio, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.1–7.8, p=0.03). Neither breast-feeding or its duration nor the age of first exposure to gluten was associated with the risk of developing transglutaminase antibodies. Conclusions/interpretation  Coeliac disease autoimmunity is initiated later than islet autoimmunity in children who are at risk. An influence of infant nutrition on the development of coeliac disease autoimmunity could not be confirmed in this prospective study.     

Insulin resistance is a risk factor for progression to Type 1 diabetes

Aims/hypothesis Glucose homeostasis is determined by an interplay between insulin secretion and insulin action. In Type 1 diabetes, autoimmune destruction of pancreatic beta cells leads to impaired insulin secretion. However, the contribution of impaired insulin action (insulin resistance) to the development of Type 1 diabetes has received little attention. We investigated whether insulin resistance was a risk factor for progression to Type 1 diabetes.Methods Islet-antibody-positive first-degree relatives of Type 1 diabetes probands were followed for 4.0 years (median). Insulin secretion was measured as first-phase insulin response (FPIR) to intravenous glucose. Insulin resistance was estimated by homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-R). We compared subjects who progressed (n=43) and subjects who did not progress (n=61) to diabetes, including 21 pairs matched for age, sex, islet antibodies and FPIR.Results Progressors had higher insulin resistance relative to insulin secretion at baseline (median HOMA-R : FPIR 0.033 vs 0.013, p<0.0001). According to Cox proportional hazards analysis, islet antibody number, FPIR, fasting plasma glucose, fasting serum insulin, HOMA-R and log(HOMA-R : FPIR) were each predictive of progression to diabetes. However, log(HOMA-R : FPIR) (hazard ratio 2.57 per doubling, p<0.001) was the only metabolic variable independently associated with progression. In the matched comparison, progressors had higher fasting glucose, fasting insulin, HOMA-R and HOMA-R : FPIR, both at baseline and during the follow-up pre-clinical phase.Conclusions/interpretation Relatives positive for islet antibodies who progress most rapidly to diabetes have a subtle disturbance of insulin–glucose homeostasis years before the onset of symptoms, distinguished by greater insulin resistance for their level of insulin secretion. Taking steps to reduce this insulin resistance could therefore delay the development of Type 1 diabetes.An erratum to this article can be found at     

Psychological impact of childhood islet autoantibody testing in families participating in the BABYDIAB study.

AIMS: To determine anxiety in parents of children undergoing testing for islet autoantibodies. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Children of parents with Type 1 diabetes (T1DM) were tested at birth, age 9 months, 2 years and 5 years for islet autoantibodies. Families were informed about islet autoantibody status in the child after each visit. The psychological impact of islet autoantibody testing was assessed in parents before and after the 5 years visit. Anxiety was measured using a subscale of the State-Trait-Anxiety Inventory (STAI) and structured single-item questions. Four hundred and sixty-three parents were evaluated before blood drawing and 317 parents at notification of islet autoantibody status. RESULTS: Before blood withdrawal, anxiety was increased in mothers and in particular in mothers of islet autoantibody-positive offspring compared with a normative control group. At notification of islet antibody status, anxiety significantly decreased in parents of islet autoantibody-negative offspring, and increased in parents of islet autoantibody-positive offspring. Blood withdrawal was considered a burden for parents and offspring (15% and 48%, respectively). Most parents from islet autoantibody-negative and -positive offspring wished to know the diabetes risk of their child (95% and 100%, respectively) and were glad to be informed about their child's islet antibody status (97% and 87%). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, islet autoantibody testing in early childhood reduces anxiety in T1DM families. The increased anxiety associated with islet autoantibody-positive status suggests, however, that testing should be performed in centres which can provide accurate risk information and counselling if required.     

Amyloid formation results in recurrence of hyperglycaemia following transplantation of human IAPP transgenic mouse islets

Aims/hypothesis  Islet transplantation is a potential cure for diabetes; however, rates of graft failure remain high. The aim of the present study was to determine whether amyloid deposition is associated with reduced beta cell volume in islet grafts and the recurrence of hyperglycaemia following islet transplantation. Methods  We transplanted a streptozotocin-induced mouse model of diabetes with 100 islets from human IAPP (which encodes islet amyloid polypeptide) transgenic mice that have the propensity to form islet amyloid (n = 8–12) or from non-transgenic mice that do not develop amyloid (n = 6–10) in sets of studies that lasted 1 or 6 weeks. Results  Plasma glucose levels before and for 1 week after transplantation were similar in mice that received transgenic or non-transgenic islets, and at that time amyloid was detected in all transgenic grafts and, as expected, in none of the non-transgenic grafts. However, over the 6 weeks following transplantation, plasma glucose levels increased in transgenic but remained stable in non-transgenic islet graft recipients (p < 0.05). At 6 weeks, amyloid was present in 92% of the transgenic grafts and in none of the non-transgenic grafts. Beta cell volume was reduced by 30% (p < 0.05), beta cell apoptosis was twofold higher (p < 0.05), and beta cell replication was reduced by 50% (p < 0.001) in transgenic vs non-transgenic grafts. In summary, amyloid deposition in islet grafts occurs prior to the recurrence of hyperglycaemia and its accumulation over time is associated with beta cell loss. Conclusions/interpretation  Islet amyloid formation may explain, in part, the non-immune loss of beta cells and recurrence of hyperglycaemia following clinical islet transplantation. J. Udayasankar and K. Kodama contributed equally to this study.     

Plasma sex steroid hormones and risk of developing type 2 diabetes in women: a prospective study

Aims/hypothesis Prospective data directly investigating the role of endogenous sex hormones in diabetes risk have been scant, particularly in women. We aimed to examine comprehensively plasma sex hormones in connection with risk of developing type 2 diabetes in postmenopausal women. Methods We conducted a prospective, nested case–control study of plasma oestradiol, testosterone and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate and risk of type 2 diabetes in a cohort of women health professionals with a mean age of 60.3 and 12.2 years since menopause. Among women not using hormone therapy and free of baseline cardiovascular disease, cancer and diabetes, 359 incident cases of type 2 diabetes were matched with 359 controls during an average follow-up of 10 years. Results Oestradiol and testosterone were each strongly and positively associated with risk of type 2 diabetes. After adjustment for BMI, family history, lifestyle and reproductive variables, the multivariable relative risks (95% CI) comparing the highest vs lowest quintile were 12.6 (2.83–56.3) for total oestradiol (p = 0.002 for trend), 13.1 (4.18–40.8) for free oestradiol (p < 0.001 for trend), 4.15 (1.21–14.2) for total testosterone (p = 0.019 for trend) and 14.8 (4.44–49.2) for free testosterone (p < 0.001 for trend). These associations remained robust after adjusting and accounting for other metabolic syndrome components and baseline HbA_1c levels. Conclusions/interpretation In postmenopausal women, higher plasma levels of oestradiol and testosterone were strongly and prospectively related to increased risk of developing type 2 diabetes. These prospective data indicate that endogenous levels of sex hormones may play important roles in the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes. ClinicalTrials.gov ID no.: NCT00000479.     

A strategy to find gene combinations that identify children who progress rapidly to type 1 diabetes after islet autoantibody seroconversion

We recently developed a novel approach capable of identifying gene combinations to obtain maximal disease risk stratification. Type 1 diabetes has a preclinical phase including seroconversion to autoimmunity and subsequent progression to diabetes. Here, we applied our gene combination approach to identify combinations that contribute either to islet autoimmunity or to the progression from islet autoantibodies to diabetes onset. We examined 12 type 1 diabetes susceptibility genes (INS, ERBB3, PTPN2, IFIH1, PTPN22, KIAA0350, CD25, CTLA4, SH2B3, IL2, IL18RAP, IL10) in a cohort of children of parents with type 1 diabetes and prospectively followed from birth. The most predictive combination was subsequently applied to a smaller validation cohort. The combinations of genes only marginally contributed to the risk of developing islet autoimmunity, but could substantially modify risk of progression to diabetes in islet autoantibody-positive children. The greatest discrimination was provided by risk allele scores of five genes, INS, IFIH1, IL18RAP, CD25, and IL2 genes, which could identify 80 % of islet autoantibody-positive children who progressed to diabetes within 6 years of seroconversion and discriminate high risk (63 % within 6 years; 95 % CI 45–81 %) and low risk (11 % within 6 years; 95 % CI 0.1–22 %; p = 4 × 10^?5) antibody-positive children. Risk stratification by these five genes was confirmed in a second cohort of islet autoantibody children. These findings highlight genes that may affect the rate of the beta-cell destruction process once autoimmunity has initiated and may help to identify islet autoantibody-positive subjects with rapid progression to diabetes.     

Predictive value of islet cell and insulin autoantibodies for Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus in a population-based study of newly-diagnosed diabetic and matched control children

Summary Most studies evaluating immune markers for prediction of Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus have focused on first degree relatives, although only 10 % of newly-diagnosed patients have an affected first degree relative. The Swedish Childhood Diabetes Register identifies 99 % of all diabetic children at diagnosis. In this population-based study, islet cell antibodies and insulin autoantibodies in 0–14-year-old Swedish consecutively-diagnosed patients and control subjects were analysed to define their sensitivity and specificity. Over 16 months (1986–1987), 515 Swedish children developed diabetes. Plasma samples were obtained from 494 (96 %) patients, and 420 matched control children. Among patients, the frequency of islet cell antibodies was 84 % (415 of 494), insulin autoantibodies 43 % (145 of 334); 40 % (135 of 334) were positive for both and 88 % (294 of 334) were positive for one or both. Among control children, 3 % (14 of 420) had islet cell antibodies, 1 % (4 of 390) insulin autoantibodies, and 4 % (16 of 390) had either autoantibody marker. The predictive value of finding a patient with the disease was only 7% since 4 % of the control children were antibody-positive and the cumulative incidence rate up to 15 years of age is 0.38 %. None of the autoantibody-positive (n = 21) or negative control children developed diabetes during 3 to 5 years of follow-up. Longitudinal investigations of islet cell or insulin-autoantibody-positive healthy children are necessary to accurately determine the conversion rate from marker positivity to disease onset.