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1.

Aim

Although previous studies have reported an association between resting heart rate (RHR) and cancer mortality, the association is contradictory. The relationship between RHR and disease-specific mortality has not been explored in the Chinese population. We examined this relationship in a rural adult Chinese population from a cohort study with a 6-year follow-up.

Subjects and methods

The RHR of a cohort of 20,069 participants was measured between July–August of 2007 and July–August of 2008, and 17,151 participants (85.5 %) were followed up between July–August of 2013 and July –October of 2014. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (95 % CIs) for deaths due to all causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD), stroke, cancer, and other causes in RHR groups.

Results

Males and females with RHR?≥?90 showed the highest all-cause mortality (33,27 and 1,226/100,000 person-years) and adjusted HR for all-cause deaths—2.20 (95 % CI 1.64–2.93) and 1.99 (1.43–2.77). A similar association was observed for deaths due to CVD, stroke and cancer (except for females), and other causes of mortality.

Conclusions

Elevated RHR may be an independent marker of all-cause, CVD and other causes of death for both sexes and stroke and cancer deaths for males.
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2.

Purpose

Although evidence strongly supports that antioxidant-rich diets reduce risk of chronic disease and mortality, findings from the previous studies on the effect of individual antioxidants on mortality have been inconsistent. The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between dietary total antioxidant capacity (TAC) and all-cause and disease-specific mortality in a representative sample of the US population.

Methods

A total of 23,595 US adults aged 30 years and older in NHANES 1988–1994 and 1999–2004 were selected for this study. Dietary TAC was calculated from 1-day 24-h diet recall data at baseline and all-cause, cancer and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality was assessed through December 31, 2011.

Results

During a mean follow-up of 13 years, deaths from all-cause, cancer and CVD were 7157, 1578, and 2155, respectively. Using cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models, inverse associations and linear trends were observed between dietary TAC and all-cause mortality [highest quartile (Q4) versus Q1 ref. HR 0.78; 95% CI 0.71–0.86], cancer mortality (Q4 versus Q1 ref. HR 0.75; 95% CI 0.60–0.93), and CVD mortality (Q4 versus Q1 ref. HR 0.83; 95% CI 0.69–0.99), respectively, after adjusting for age, sex, ethnicity, and total energy intake. The inverse association and linear trend still remained between dietary TAC and all-cause mortality (Q4 versus Q1 ref. HR 0.79; 95% CI 0.71–0.87) and CVD mortality (Q4 versus Q1 ref. HR 0.74; 95% CI 0.61–0.89) when further adjusted for relevant covariates.

Conclusions

These findings support that antioxidant-rich diets are beneficial to reducing risk of death from all-cause and CVD.
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3.

Objective

To investigate the association of obesity and all-cause mortality in a sample of middle-aged and elderly population.

Design and Setting

Information of participants was collected in the Dongfeng-Tongji study, a perspective cohort study of Chinese occupational population. The main outcome was risk of death after 8.5 years of follow-up.

Participants and measurements

We examined the association of BMI, waist circumference (WC, and waist–height ratio (WHtR) with all-cause mortality in the Dongfeng-Tongji cohort study (n=26,143). Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for all-cause mortality. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves and net reclassification improvement (NRI) were used to calculate the power of prediction models.

Results

During a mean of 8.5 years of follow-up, 2,246 deaths were identified. There is a U-shaped association of BMI with all-cause mortality in the middle-aged and elderly Chinese population. Compared with individuals with normal BMI, underweight was positively (HR=2.16, 95% CI: 1.73, 2.69) while overweight (HR=0.75, 95% CI: 0.67, 0.84) and obesity (HR=0.67, 95% CI: 0.56, 0.79) were negatively associated with all-cause mortality after adjustment for potential confounders including WC. In contrast, WC (Q5 vs. Q1, HR=1.55, 95% CI: 1.29, 1.86) and WHtR (Q5 vs.Q1, HR=1.69, 95% CI: 1.40, 2.04) were positively associated with mortality after further adjustment for BMI (P trend < 0.001). Addition of both BMI and WC into the all-cause mortality predictive model significantly increased AUC (P =0.0002) and NRI (NRI = 2.57%, P = 0.0007).

Conclusions

BMI and WC/WHtR were independently associated with all-cause mortality after mutual adjustment. Combination of BMI and WC/WHtR improved the predictive ability of all-cause mortality risk in the middle-aged and elderly population.
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4.

Objective

The aim of this study was to evaluate adherence to the Mediterranean Diet (MD) and its association with all-cause mortality in an elderly Italian population.

Design

Data analysis of a longitudinal study of a representative, age stratified, population sample.

Setting

Study data is based upon the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging (ILSA) a prospective, community-based cohort study. The baseline evaluation was carried out in 1992 and the follow-up in 1996 and 2000.

Participant

Participant food intake assessment was available at baseline for 4,232 subjects; information on survival was available for 2,665 at the 2000 follow-up.

Measurements

Adherence to the MD was evaluated with an a priori score based on the Mediterranean pyramid components. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the relationship between the MD score and all-cause mortality. Six hundred and sixty five subjects had died at the second follow-up (identified up to the first and second follow-up together; mean follow-up: 7.1±2.6 years).

Results

At the 2000 follow-up, adjusting for other confounding factors, participants with a high adherence to MD (highest tertile of the MD score distribution) had an all-cause mortality risk that was of 34% lower with respect to the subjects with low adherence (Hazard Ratio=0.66; 95% CI: 0.49-0.90; p=0.0144).

Conclusion

According to study results, a higher adherence to the MD was associated with a low all-cause mortality risk in an elderly Italian population.
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5.

Objectives

To examine the association between BMI and all-cause mortality in the oldest old (≥80 years).

Design

The study used a prospective cohort study design.

Setting

Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS) between 1998/99 and 2011.

Population

8026 participants aged 80 years and older were followed every two to three years.

Measurements

Body weight and knee height were measured. Height was calculated based on knee height using a validated equation. Deaths were ascertained from family members during follow-up.

Results

The mean BMI was 19.8 (SD 4.5) kg/m2. The prevalence of underweight, overweight and obese was 37.5%, 10.2% and 4.4%, respectively. There were 5962 deaths during 29503 person-years of follow-up. Compared with normal weight, underweight was associated with a higher mortality risk (HRs: 1.20 (95%CI 1.13-1.27) but overweight (HR 0.89 (95%CI 0.81-0.99)) were associated with a lower risk. Obesity had a HR 0.91 (95%CI 0.78-1.05) for mortality.

Conclusion

Among oldest old Chinese, underweight is associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality but overweight is associated with a reduced risk. Interventions to reduce undernutrition should be given priority among the oldest old Chinese.
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6.

Objective

To evaluate the association between overweight and abdominal obesity with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the elderly aged 80 and over.

Design

A prospective cohort study.

Setting

A population-based study of community-dwelling very elderly adults in a city in southern Brazil.

Participants

236 very elderly adults, number that represents 85% of the population aged 80 and over living in the city in the period (mean age 83.4 ± 3.2).

Measurements

Overweight and abdominal obesity were assessed using recommended cut-off points for body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-hip ratio (WHR) and waist-height ratio (WHtR). The association between these anthropometric measurements and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were independently estimated by Cox proportional hazards model. Kaplan-Meier was used to assess survival time.

Results

Increased WC (>80cm F and >94cm M) and WHtR (>0.53 F and >0.52 M) were associated with lower all-cause mortality, but only WHtR remained associated even after controlling for residual confounding (HR 0.55 CI95% 0.36-0.84; p<0.001). Additionally increased WC was independently associated with lower mortality from cardiovascular diseases (HR 0.57 CI95% 0.34-0.95; p<0.030). BMI and WHR did not show significant independent association with mortality in the main analysis.

Conclusion

Greater abdominal fat accumulation, as estimated by WC and WHtR, presented an association with lower allcause and cardiovascular mortality in the elderly aged 80 and over, but not by BMI and WHR.
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7.

Objectives

To investigate the effect of body weight, waist circumference and their changes on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Design

A nationwide population-based cohort study

Participants

627 community-dwelling older adults.

Measurements

Participants were interviewed for demographic and anthropometric data collected. Blood were drawn for testing biochemistry data. Central obesity was defined as waist circumference is greater than 80 cm for women and 90 cm for men. Obesity, overweight, normal and underweight were defined as BMI ≥27 kg/m2, ≥24 kg/m2,18.5-24 kg/m2 and <18.5 kg/m2. Cox proportion hazard model was used to explore the impact of body weight and its change on mortality.

Results

The distribution of weight changes and mortality was right skewed, but U-shape of waist change for all-cause mortality was observed. Compared to normal BMI at baseline, the association between underweight (HR: 1.7, 95% CI: 0.7-4.0), overweight (HR:0.7, 95% CI:0.4-1.2) and obesity (HR:1.3,95% CI:0.8-2.3) showed insignificantly associated with all-cause mortality. The HR of those weight loss >5% (HR: 1.7, 95% CI: 1.1-2.8) and waist decrease >5% (HR: 1.7, 95% CI: 1.0-2.8) were higher than those of stable weight/waist +/- 5% over a 6-year period. Compared to those stable weight/waist, the mortality risk was similar in those of weight gain or waist increase (HR 0.7,95%CI: 0.4-1.5 and HR:0.9, 95%CI:0.4-1.6).

Conclusion

Weight loss and waist decrease were significantly associated with long-term mortality risk, a life-course approach for body weight management is needed to pursuit the most optimal health benefits for the middle-aged and older adults.
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8.

Background

Selenium has a wide range of pleiotropic effects, influencing redox homeostasis, thyroid hormone metabolism, and protecting from oxidative stress and inflammation. Serum selenium levels are reduced in the older population.

Objectives

to investigate the association of serum selenium levels with all-cause mortality in a sample of community-dwelling older adults.

Design and Setting

Data are from the ‘Invecchiamento e Longevità nel Sirente’ (Aging and Longevity in the Sirente geographic area, ilSIRENTE) study, a prospective cohort study that collected information on individuals aged 80 years and older living in an Italian mountain community (n=347). The main outcome was risk of death after ten years of follow-up.

Participants and measurements

Participants were classified according to the median value of selenium (105.3 μg/L) in two groups: high selenium and low selenium.

Results

A total of 248 deaths occurred during a 10-year follow-up. In the unadjusted model, low levels of selenium was associated with increased mortality (HR, 0.66; 95% CI 0.51-0.85). After adjusting for potential confounders the relationship remained significant (HR, 0.71; 95% CI 0.54-0.92).

Conclusions

Low serum levels of selenium are associated with reduced survival in elderly, independently of age and other clinical and functional variables.
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9.

Background

Early breastfeeding is defined as the initiation of breastfeeding within twenty four hours of birth. While the benefits of breastfeeding have been known for decades, only recently has the role of time to initiation of breastfeeding in neonatal mortality and morbidity been assessed.

Objective

To review the evidence for early breastfeeding initiation practices and to estimate the association between timing and neonatal outcomes.

Methods

We systematically reviewed multiple databases from 1963 to 2011. Standardized abstraction tables were used and quality was assessed for each study utilizing the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology. Three meta-analyses were conducted for mortality among babies surviving to 48 hours.

Results

We identified 18 studies reporting a direct association between early breastfeeding initiation and neonatal mortality and morbidity outcomes. The results of random effects analyses of data from 3 studies (from 5 publications) demonstrated lower risks of all-cause neonatal mortality among all live births (RR = 0.56 [95% CI: 0.40 – 0.79]) and among low birth weight babies (RR=0.58 [95% CI: 0.43 – 0.78]), and infection-related neonatal mortality (RR = 0.55 [95% CI: 0.36 – 0.84]). Among exclusively breastfed infants, all-cause mortality risk did not differ between early and late initiators (RR = 0.69 [95% CI: 0.27 – 1.75]).

Conclusions

This review demonstrates that early breastfeeding initiation is a simple intervention that has the potential to significantly improve neonatal outcomes and should be universally recommended. Significant gaps in knowledge are highlighted, revealing a need to prioritize additional high quality studies that further clarify the specific cause of death, as well as providing improved understanding of the independent or combined effects of early initiation and breastfeeding patterns.
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10.

Background/Objective

There is little epidemiological evidence demonstrating that dynapenic abdominal obesity has higher mortality risk than dynapenia and abdominal obesity alone. Our main aim was to investigate whether dynapenia combined with abdominal obesity increases mortality risk among English and Brazilian older adults over ten-year follow-up.

Design

Cohort study.

Setting

United Kingdom and Brazil.

Participants

Data came from 4,683 individuals from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) and 1,490 from the Brazilian Health, Well-being and Aging study (SABE), hence the final sample of this study was 6,173 older adults.

Measurements

The study population was categorized into the following groups: nondynapenic/ non-abdominal obese, abdominal obese, dynapenic, and dynapenic abdominal obese according to their handgrip strength (< 26 kg for men and < 16 kg for women) and waist circumference (> 102 cm for men and > 88 cm for women). The outcome was all-cause mortality over a ten-year follow-up. Adjusted hazard ratios by sociodemographic, behavioural and clinical characteristics were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. Results: The fully adjusted model showed that dynapenic abdominal obesity has a higher mortality risk among the groups. The hazard ratios (HR) were 1.37 for dynapenic abdominal obesity (95% CI = 1.12–1.68), 1.15 for abdominal obesity (95% CI = 0.98–1.35), and 1.23 for dynapenia (95% CI = 1.04–1.45).

Conclusions

Dynapenia is an important risk factor for mortality but dynapenic abdominal obesity has the highest mortality risk among English and Brazilian older adults.
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11.

Objectives

To investigate whether supplementation with low-dose dairy protein plus micronutrients augments the effects of resistance exercise (RE) on muscle mass and physical performance compared with RE alone among older adults.

Design

Randomized controlled trial.

Setting

Tokyo, Japan.

Participants

Eighty-two community-dwelling older adults (mean age, 73.5 years) were randomly allocated to an RE plus dairy protein and micronutrient supplementation group or an RE only group (n = 41 each).

Intervention

The RE plus supplementation group participants ingested supplements with dairy protein (10.5 g/day) and micronutrients (8.0 mg zinc, 12 μg vitamin B12, 200 μg folic acid, 200 IU vitamin D, and others/day). Both groups performed the same twice-weekly RE program for 12 weeks.

Measurements

Whole-body, appendicular, and leg lean soft-tissue mass (WBLM, ALM, and LLM, respectively) with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry, physical performance, biochemical characteristics, nutritional intake, and physical activity were measured before and after the intervention. Data were analyzed by using linear mixed-effects models.

Results

The groups exhibited similar significant improvements in maximum gait speed, Timed Up-and-Go, and 5-repetition and 30-s chair stand tests. As compared with RE only, RE plus supplementation significantly increased WBLM (0.63 kg, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.31-0.95), ALM (0.37 kg, 95% CI: 0.16-0.58), LLM (0.27 kg, 95% CI: 0.10-0.46), and serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (4.7 ng/mL, 95% CI: 1.6-7.9), vitamin B12 (72.4 pg/mL, 95% CI: 12.9-131.9), and folic acid (12.9 ng/mL, 95% CI: 10.3-15.5) (all P < 0.05 for group-by-time interactions). Changes over time in physical activity and nutritional intake excluding the supplemented nutrients were similar between groups.

Conclusion

Low-dose dairy protein plus micronutrient supplementation during RE significantly increased muscle mass in older adults but did not further improve physical performance.
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12.

Objectives

To identify main prognostic factors for 5-year mortality among age-related comorbidities (ARCs) in older people living with HIV (PLHIV).

Design

A prospective, multicentre cohort study with a 5-year follow-up period in the late HAART era (from January 2008 to December 2012).

Setting

The Dat’AIDS cohort involving 12 French hospitals.

Participants

All actively followed HIV-1 infected patients aged 60 or older.

Measurements

The study endpoint was all-cause five-year mortality. The following ARCs were considered: chronic renal disease, cardiovascular diseases, cancer, chronic pulmonary disease, cirrhosis, diabetes and nutritional status. Hepatitis C (HCV), hepatitis B (HBV) co-infection and sociodemographic characteristics were also evaluated. Cox’s Proportional Hazards model was used for multivariate analysis.

Results

Among 1415 PLHIV aged 60 or more patients included, mean age was 66±5.5 years; 154 died (mortality rate 2.47/100 patientyears). The most prevalent ARCs were chronic renal disease (20.1%), diabetes (14.2%) and cardiovascular diseases (12.2%). By multivariate analysis, chronic renal disease (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR)=2.25; 95% confidence interval (CI) [1.58-2.21]; p<10-4), cardiovascular diseases (aHR=2.40; 95%CI[1.64-3.52]; p<10-4), non-HIV related cancer (aHR=1.91; 95%CI[1.20-3.05]; p=0.007), cirrhosis (aHR=2.99; 95%CI[1.68-5.33]; p<10-3), HCV co-infection (aHR=2.00; 95%CI[1.18-3.38]; p=0.009), low body mass index (aHR=2.42; 95%CI[1.46-4.01]; p<10-3) and CD4 cell count < 200cells/μl (aHR=2.23; 95%CI[1.36-3.65]; p=0.002) were independently associated with 5 year mortality.

Conclusion

Due to a high prevalence, chronic renal disease and cardiovascular disease are main prognostic factors for 5-year mortality among aged PLHIV.
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13.

Background

Complex humanitarian emergencies are characterised by a break-down of health systems. All-cause mortality increases and non-violent excess deaths (predominantly due to infectious diseases) have been shown to outnumber violent deaths even in exceptionally brutal conflicts. However, affected populations are very heterogeneous and refugees, internally displaced persons (IDPs) and resident (non-displaced) populations differ substantially in their access to health services. We aim to show how this translates into health outcomes by quantifying excess all-cause mortality in emergencies by displacement status.

Methods

As standard data sources on mortality only poorly represent these populations, we use data from CEDAT, a database established by aid agencies to share operational health data collected for planning, monitoring and evaluation of humanitarian aid. We obtained 1759 Crude Death Rate (CDR) estimates from emergency assessments conducted between 1998 and 2012. We define excess mortality as the ratio of CDR in emergency assessments over ‘baseline CDR’ (as reported in the World Development Indicators). These death rate ratios (DRR) are calculated separately for all emergency assessments and their distribution is analysed by displacement status using non-parametric statistics.

Results

We found significant excess mortality in IDPs (median DRR: 2.5; 95 % CI: [2.2, 2.93]) and residents (median DDR: 1.51; 95 % CI: [1.47, 1.58]). Mortality in refugees however is not significantly different from baseline mortality in the host countries (median DRR: 0.94, 95 % CI: [0.73, 1.1]).

Conclusions

Aid agencies report the highest excess mortality rates among IDPs, followed by resident populations. In absolute terms however, due to their high share in the total number of people at risk, residents are likely to account for most of the excess deaths in today’s emergencies. Further research is needed to clarify whether the low estimates of excess mortality in refugees are the result of successful humanitarian interventions or due to limitations of our methods and data.
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14.

Background

Monitoring national mortality among persons with a disease is important to guide and evaluate progress in disease control and prevention. However, a method to estimate nationally representative annual mortality among persons with and without diabetes in the United States does not currently exist. The aim of this study is to demonstrate use of weighted discrete Poisson regression on national survey mortality follow-up data to estimate annual mortality rates among adults with diabetes.

Methods

To estimate mortality among US adults with diabetes, we applied a weighted discrete time-to-event Poisson regression approach with post-stratification adjustment to national survey data. Adult participants aged 18 or older with and without diabetes in the National Health Interview Survey 1997–2004 were followed up through 2006 for mortality status. We estimated mortality among all US adults, and by self-reported diabetes status at baseline. The time-varying covariates used were age and calendar year. Mortality among all US adults was validated using direct estimates from the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS).

Results

Using our approach, annual all-cause mortality among all US adults ranged from 8.8 deaths per 1,000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI]: 8.0, 9.6) in year 2000 to 7.9 (95% CI: 7.6, 8.3) in year 2006. By comparison, the NVSS estimates ranged from 8.6 to 7.9 (correlation?=?0.94). All-cause mortality among persons with diabetes decreased from 35.7 (95% CI: 28.4, 42.9) in 2000 to 31.8 (95% CI: 28.5, 35.1) in 2006. After adjusting for age, sex, and race/ethnicity, persons with diabetes had 2.1 (95% CI: 2.01, 2.26) times the risk of death of those without diabetes.

Conclusion

Period-specific national mortality can be estimated for people with and without a chronic condition using national surveys with mortality follow-up and a discrete time-to-event Poisson regression approach with post-stratification adjustment.
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15.

Objective

Older patients with diabetes mellitus are at a higher risk of developing diabetic macro- and micro-vascular complications and cardiovascular diseases than younger diabetes mellitus patients. However, older diabetes mellitus patients are very heterogeneous in their clinical characteristics, diabetes mellitus-related complications and age at disease onset. This study aimed to evaluate the all-cause mortality rates and adverse health outcomes among older adults with new-onset diabetes mellitus through a nationwide population-based study.

Design

A retrospective cohort study.

Setting

2001-2011 data of the National Health Insurance database.

Population

Nationally representative sample of Taiwanese adults aged 65 years and older with propensity score-matched controls.

Main outcome measures

All-cause mortality and adverse health outcomes.

Results

During the study period, 45.3% of patients in the diabetes mellitus cohort and 38.8% in the non-diabetes mellitus cohort died. The adjusted relative risk for mortality in the diabetes mellitus cohort compared to the non-diabetes mellitus cohort was 1.23 (95% Confidence Interval [CI]=1.16-1.30) for males and 1.27 (95%CI=1.19-1.35) for females. During the follow-up period, 8.9% of the diabetes mellitus cohort and 5.8% of the non-diabetes mellitus cohort developed cardiovascular diseases; the diabetes mellitus cohort had an adjusted relative risk of cardiovascular complications compared to the non-diabetes mellitus cohort of 1.54 (95%CI=1.36-1.75) for men and 1.70 (95%CI=1.43-2.02) for women. The adjusted relative risk of mortality in the patients with hypoglycemia compared to non-hypoglycemia patients in the diabetes mellitus cohort was 2.33 (95%CI=1.81-3.01) for men and 2.73 (95%CI=2.10-3.52) for women after adjustment for age, Charlson comorbidity index, acute coronary syndrome, respiratory disease, cancer, infectious disease and nervous system disease at baseline.

Conclusions

New-onset diabetes in older adults is associated with an increased risk of mortality, and hypoglycemia is an important marker of this association. Individualized care plans stratified by age at onset, duration of disease, comorbidity and functional status, as well as hypoglycemia avoidance, would benefit the management of diabetes in older adults.
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16.

Objectives

In older adults, nutritional health is essential for good quality of life and living independently at home. Especially in cancer patients, malnutrition is common and known to complicate treatment. This study aims to evaluate the nutritional status and its associated factors in community-dwelling older adults with and without cancer.

Design

This is an observational study.

Setting

This study focuses on older community-dwelling people.

Participants

This study included older people with and without cancer (≥70 years). Cancer patients included patients with a new diagnosis of breast, lung, prostate, or colorectal cancer.

Measurements

Data collection included measures of nutritional status, quality of life, depression, fatigue, distress and functional status. We used multivariate logistic regression analysis to assess the association between personal characteristics and malnutrition.

Results

Data were available for 657 people; 383 people without cancer and 274 with a cancer diagnosis. Overall, malnutrition was detected in 245 (37.5%) people; in cancer patients this was 66.1%. Multivariate analysis showed that having cancer (OR 14.4, 95% CI: 8.01 - 23.3), being male (OR 2.38, 95% CI: 1.49–3.70), having depression (OR 13.5, 95% CI: 6.02-30.0), distress (OR 2.60, 95% CI: 1.55–4.37) and impaired instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) (OR 2.63, 95% CI: 1.63–4.24) were associated with a higher risk of malnutrition.

Conclusion

The prevalence of malnutrition in community-dwelling older people is high, particularly in patients with cancer. Benchmarking and routine screening of older patients may be helpful strategies to increase awareness of (risk of) malnutrition among professionals.
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17.

Purpose

Serum calcium and phosphorus abnormalities are associated with cardiovascular disorders in general population, but evidence among patients with established coronary heart disease (CHD) is limited and controversial. This study aimed to investigate the associations of baseline serum calcium and phosphorus levels with long-term mortality risk among patients with CHD.

Methods

We conducted a prospective cohort study among 3187 patients with CHD from October 2008 and December 2011 in China. Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the associations of serum calcium and phosphorus at baseline with the risk of death.

Results

During follow-up (mean, 4.9 years), 295 patients died, 193 of which resulted from cardiovascular causes. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for each 1 mmol/L increase in serum calcium at baseline were 0.27 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.14–0.51) for all-cause mortality and 0.26 (95% CI 0.12–0.54) for cardiovascular mortality. Patients in the highest compared to the lowest quartile of serum calcium were at lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 95% CI 0.57, 0.40–0.82) and cardiovascular mortality (0.50, 0.32–0.79) (both P trend < 0.001). This inverse association between serum calcium and the risk of mortality did not change when participants were stratified by sex, age groups, level of overweight, types of CHD, and history of diabetes. We also observed a graded positive association between baseline serum phosphorus and the risks of mortality.

Conclusions

The present study is the first to report that lower serum calcium at baseline is associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a Chinese coronary heart disease cohort. Further studies are required to investigate the causal relationship and actual mechanisms.
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18.

Objective

To describe the health characteristics of individuals with low HbA1c levels and evaluate the association between HbA1c level and disability or all-cause mortality in non-diabetic older adults.

Design

Prospective observational cohort study.

Setting

Seongnam, Gyeongi Province, Korea.

Participants

Among the 1,000 community-dwelling Koreans ≥ 65 years of age who were followed for 5 years, 760 non-diabetic individuals were analyzed.

Measurements

Activities of Daily Living (ADL) and Instrumental ADL (IADL) were evaluated and mortality data were obtained from the National Statistics Office of Korea.

Results

The mean age was 76.3 (SD 9.0) years, and 319 subjects (42.0%) were male. Lower level of HbA1c was associated with less frequent hypertension and less frequent use of aspirin or statin, and lower values of body mass index, hematocrit, total iron-binding capacity, albumin, and cholesterol level. The participants were categorized into 3 groups according to their HbA1c (group I, < 5.5%; group II, 5.5~5.9%; and group III, 6.0 ~ 6.4%). Although, there was no significant difference in functional status according to baseline HbA1c level, disability was more frequently observed as the HbA1c level decrease (18.3% in group I, 12.5% in group II, and 5.3% in group III, p=0.029) at the 5-year follow-up evaluation. There were 172 deaths (22.6%) during the follow-up period. There was no significant difference in mortality among the groups, however, group I had a 2.071-fold higher risk for the incident disability or mortality over group III after adjusting age, gender, and possible confounder (95% CI: 1.040 ~ 4.124, p=0.038).

Conclusions

Lower level of HbA1c was associated with an increased risk of disability in non-diabetic older adults.
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19.

Background

Heterocyclic aromatic amines (HAAs) may confer prostate cancer risk; however, the evidence is inconclusive and the activity of HAA-metabolizing enzymes is modulated by gene variants. The purpose of our study was to determine whether there was evidence of an association between HAA intake, polymorphisms in NAT2, CYP1A1, and CYP1A2 and prostate cancer risk in Japanese men.

Methods

Secondary data analysis of an observational case control study was performed. Among 750 patients with prostate cancer and 870 healthy controls, 351 cases and 351 age-matched controls were enrolled for analysis. HAA intake was estimated using a food frequency questionnaire and genotypes were scored by TaqMan real-time PCR assay. Logistic regression analysis was conducted according to affected/control status.

Results

We found that high HAA intake was significantly associated with an increased risk of prostate cancer (odds ratio (OR), 1.90; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.40–2.59). The increased risk of prostate cancer was observed among individuals with the NAT2 slow acetylator phenotype (OR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.04–2.61), CYP1A1 GA + GG genotype (OR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.02–1.59), and CYP1A2 CA + AA genotype (OR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.03–2.00). In addition, CYP1A1 GA + GG genotypes were associated with increased cancer risk in low (OR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.19–3.63), moderate (OR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.07–2.76), and high (OR, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.83–4.47) HAA intake groups.

Conclusions

Our results suggest that high HAA intake is a risk factor of prostate cancer, and genotypes related to HAA metabolic enzymes can modulate the degree of the risk.
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20.

Introduction

Conflicting results in the literature exist on the role of dairy products in the context of a Nordic Healthy Diet (NHD). Two recent Swedish studies indicate both negative and positive associations with total mortality when comparing key dairy products. There is no consensus about how to include these foods into the NHD.

Purpose

To study consumption of cheese and milk products (milk, sour milk and unsweetened yoghurt) by 70-year-old Swedes in relation to all-cause mortality.

Methods

Cox proportional hazard models, adjusted for potential confounders and stratified by follow-up duration, were used to assess the prediction of all-cause mortality by the above foods. The associations of fat from cheese and milk products with mortality were tested in separate models.

Results

Cheese intake inversely predicted total mortality, particularly at high protein intakes, and this association decreased in strength with increasing follow-up time. Milk products predicted increased mortality with stable HRs over follow-up. The association between milk products and mortality was strongly influenced by the group with the highest consumption. Fat from cheese mirrored the protective association of cheese intake with mortality, whereas fat from milk products predicted excess mortality, but only in an energy-adjusted model.

Conclusion

Based on our results, it may be argued that the role of dairy products in the context of a Nordic healthy diet should be more clearly defined by disaggregating cheese and milk products and not necessarily focusing on dairy fat content. Future epidemiological research should consider dairy products as disaggregated food items due to their great diversity in health properties.
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