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1.

BACKGROUND:

To compute net cancer‐specific survival rates using population data sources (eg, the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results [SEER] Program), 2 approaches primarily are used: relative survival (observed survival adjusted for life expectancy) and cause‐specific survival based on death certificates. The authors of this report evaluated the performance of these estimates relative to a third approach based on detailed clinical follow‐up history.

METHODS:

By using data from Cancer Cooperative Group clinical trials in breast cancer, the authors estimated 1) relative survival, 2) breast cancer‐specific survival (BCSS) determined from death certificates, and 3) BCSS obtained by attributing cause according to clinical events after diagnosis, which, for this analysis was considered the benchmark “true” estimate. Noncancer life expectancy also was compared between trial participants, SEER registry patients, and the general population.

RESULTS:

Among trial patients, relative survival overestimated true BCSS in patients with lymph node‐negative breast cancer; whereas, in patients with lymph node‐positive breast cancer, the 2 estimates were similar. For higher risk patients (younger age, larger tumors), relative survival accurately estimated true BCSS. In lower risk patients, death certificate BCSS was more accurate than relative survival. Noncancer life expectancy was more favorable among trial participants than in the general population and among SEER patients. Tumor size at diagnosis, which is a potential surrogate for screening use, partially accounted for this difference.

CONCLUSIONS:

In the clinical trials, relative survival accurately estimated BCSS in patients who had higher risk disease despite more favorable other‐cause mortality than the population at large. In patients with lower risk disease, the estimate using death certificate information was more accurate. For SEER data and other data sources where detailed postdiagnosis clinical history was unavailable, death certificate‐based estimates of cause‐specific survival may be a superior choice. Cancer 2009. © 2009 American Cancer Society.  相似文献   

2.
We previously investigated the impact of health area of residence on colon and rectal cancer survival by estimating area-specific relative excess risk of death (RER), stratified by stage at diagnosis. The aims of this study were to quantify errors in colorectal cancer stage obtained from an Australian population-based cancer registry and assess the potential impact of errors in stage on these estimates. For a subset of cases, we compared the cancer registry stage with that from a survey of treating surgeons. We then randomly reallocated all cases to a simulated "corrected" stage according to the estimated misclassification probabilities and repeated the analysis of area variation stratified by simulated stage 1,000 times. We found 70% agreement between the Registry and Survey stage. This reallocation of the Registry cases by stage resulted in substantial variation in area-specific RERs across the simulated samples. Area variation in survival for localized colon and localized rectal cancer, which were previously statistically significant when classified using Registry stage, appeared no longer to be so. Misclassification of cancer registry stage can have an important impact on estimates of spatial variation in stage-specific colon and rectal cancer survival. If population-based cancer registry data are to be effectively used in evaluating and improving cancer care, the quality of the stage data may need to be improved.  相似文献   

3.
Accurate survival estimates are essential for monitoring cancer survival trends, for health care planning and for resource allocation. To obtain precise estimates of survival, full dates (day, month and year) rather than partial dates (month and year) are required. In some jurisdictions, however, cancer registries are constrained from providing full dates on the grounds of confidentiality. The bias resulting from the use of partial dates in the estimation and comparison of survival makes it impossible to determine precisely the differences in the risk of death from cancer between population groups or in successive calendar periods. Important operational arguments also exist against the use of incomplete dates for survival analysis, including increased workload for cancer registry staff and the introduction of avoidable complexity for quality control of survival data. Cancer survival is one of the most widely known outputs produced by population-based cancer registries, and it is a crucial metric for the comparative effectiveness of health services. The bodies that set data access guidelines must take a more balanced view of the risks and benefits of using full dates for the estimation of cancer survival.  相似文献   

4.
To evaluate the use, for studies on survival, of death certificates from population-based cancer registries in Japan, we compared 5-year survival rates by two different methods: passive, derived from death certificates, and active, using family register systems. Registered cancer cases from Aichi Prefectural Cancer Registry were used as a model. The study subjects comprised 9244 cancer patients (3830 males and 5414 females) newly diagnosed at the Aichi Cancer Center Hospital and recorded in the Aichi Prefectural Cancer Registry between 1983 and 1991. The passive follow-up method, using death certificates, identified 87-89% of deaths among the study subjects. The proportion of deaths which were not identified by the passive follow-up method did not vary greatly with age or gender, but was higher among patients in the earlier rather than the later stages of cancer. Overall, the absolute and relative effects of unregistered deaths on apparent survival rate vary with the absolute survival rate. The absolute and relative differences between the survival rates calculated by the two methods are explained more clearly when data are analyzed by cancer site. The results of the present study provide useful information for interpreting the survival rate following diagnosis of cancer estimated by the passive follow-up method, i.e. using death certificates from a population-based cancer registry.   相似文献   

5.
Cervical cancer is the leading cause of cancer death in African women. We sought to estimate population-based survival and evaluate excess hazards for mortality in African women with cervical cancer, examining the effects of country-level Human Development Index (HDI), age and stage at diagnosis. We selected a random sample of 2760 incident cervical cancer cases, diagnosed in 2005 to 2015 from 13 population-based cancer registries in 11 countries (Benin, Cote d'Ivoire, Ethiopia, Kenya, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Seychelles, South Africa, Uganda and Zimbabwe) through the African Cancer Registry Network. Of these, 2735 were included for survival analyses. The 1-, 3- and 5-year observed and relative survival were estimated by registry, stage and country-level HDI. We used flexible Poisson regression models to estimate the excess hazards for death adjusting for age, stage and HDI. Among patients with known stage, 65.8% were diagnosed with Stage III-IV disease. The 5-year relative survival for Stage I-II cervical cancer in high HDI registry areas was 67.5% (42.1-83.6) while it was much lower (42.2% [30.6-53.2]) for low HDI registry areas. Independent predictors of mortality were Stage III-IV disease, medium to low country-level HDI and age >65 years at cervical cancer diagnosis. The average relative survival from cervix cancer in the 11 countries was 69.8%, 44.5% and 33.1% at 1, 3 and 5 years, respectively. Factors contributing to the HDI (such as education and a country's financial resources) are critical for cervical cancer control in SSA and there is need to strengthen health systems with timely and appropriate prevention and treatment programmes.  相似文献   

6.
There have been few studies on cancer incidence and survival among children in Japan. Childhood cancercases in Hiroshima City can be ascertained almost perfectly in terms of completeness and validity as both apopulation-based cancer registry and a tissue registry cover the whole area. We report here recent incidenceand survival of childhood cancer in Hiroshima City. Subjects were cancer patients less than 15 years of age inHiroshima City registered in the Hiroshima City Cancer Registry and/or the Hiroshima Prefecture TumorRegistry (tissue registry) between 1998 and 2000. Cancer incidence in Hiroshima City was calculated for 12diagnostic groups according to the International Classification of Childhood Cancer, and compared with generalincidence in Japan. Five-year survival was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. There were 63 children whohad a cancer newly diagnosed during 1998-2000, with only one death-certificate-only case (1.6%). Agestandardizedincidence rates (per million) was 144.3 for boys and 93.9 for girls. Leukemia was the most frequent(29%) among the 12 diagnostic groups. There were 13 cancer deaths during this period and five-year survivalwas 79% (95% Confidence Interval: 67%-87%). Childhood cancer incidence was slightly higher than that forall of Japan, but the relative distribution of patients by diagnostic group was compatible with the general pattern.Both of these observations might be due to the high quality of the tumor and tissue registries.  相似文献   

7.
Background and objective: We aimed to investigate the survival time and its related factors among cancer patients with co-morbid tuberculosis (TB) in Thailand. Methods: We conducted this retro-prospective cohort study on cancer patients without co-morbid TB using the data from population–based cancer registry of Khon Kaen, TB databases from the Khon Kaen Central Hospital, and the Region 7 Office of Disease Prevention and Control from 2001 to 2015 to determine the onset of TB after cancer. The cancer patients were then followed up until 2017 to assess their survival status. The Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazard regression were used to estimate cumulative survival curves, compare various survival distributions, and adjusted hazard ratios. Results: Lung, head and neck, and liver cancers led to a  significantly different survival time between patients with and without co-morbid TB. After adjustment, it was found that patients suffering from lung, head and neck, or liver cancer and co-morbid TB had significantly lower risk of death than those without co-morbid TB. Based on the stratified analysis, lung cancer patients with distant metastasis and co-morbid TB had 3.01-fold and 2.99-fold significantly increased risk of death compared to those without co-morbid TB. Conclusion: We found that cancer patients with co-morbid TB were at lower risk of death compared with those without co-morbid TB. In addition to cancer stage, it seems that cancer comorbidity with TB could modify the risk of death for lung cancer patients.There is a need for further studies to support our findings including other related risk factors.  相似文献   

8.
Background: Chinese and South Asians are among the fastest growing minority populations in Canada;however little is known about the burden of cancer in these populations. Objective:The objective is to examinesurvival rates for breast, cervical and colorectal cancers in women within these two ethnic populations, ascompared to the BC general population. Methods: Survival rates were calculated for three time periods in theChinese, South Asian and BC general populations, using the BC cancer registry. Ethnicity within the registrywas determined using surnames. Results: Survival rates for female breast, cervical and colorectal cancers haveimproved over time in all three population groups, however general differences were found among the groups.Chinese women had higher survival rates than both South Asians and all BC women for breast and cervicalcancer, and intermediate survival rates between South Asians and all BC women for colorectal cancer. SouthAsian women had the highest survival rates for colorectal cancer, similar survival rates to all BC women forbreast cancer, and lower survival rates for cervical cancer. Interpretation: Differences in the observed survivalrates may be explained by variations in screening and early detection, treatment practices, and cancer biology.This is discussed more fully for each cancer site.  相似文献   

9.
A new method of survival analysis, denoted period analysis, has recently been developed, which has been shown to provide more up-to-date estimates of long-term survival rates than traditional methods of survival analysis. We applied period analysis to data from the nationwide Finnish cancer registry to provide up-to-date estimates of 5-, 10-, 15- and 20-year relative survival rates (RSR) achieved by the end of the 20th century. For most forms of cancer, period estimates of long-term survival are much higher than corresponding traditional survival estimates which suggests that for these cancers there has been ongoing major progress in survival rates in recent years which so far has remained undisclosed by traditional methods of survival analysis. For example, period analysis reveals that 10 year RSR have come close to (or even exceed) 80% for cancer of the corpus uteri and melanoma, 75% for breast cancer, 70% for bladder cancer, 65% for cancer of the cervix uteri, and 55% for cancer of the colon and prostate. Period analysis further reveals that 20 year RSR have now come close to (or even exceed) 75% for endometrial cancer and melanoma, 60% for breast cancer and cervical cancer, 55% for colon cancer and bladder cancer, and 40%-50% for cancer of the rectum, the ovaries, kidneys and nervous system.  相似文献   

10.
The Zimbabwe national cancer registry was established in 1985 as a population-based cancer registry covering Harare city. Cancer is not a notifiable disease, and registration of cases is done by active methods. The registry contributed data on randomly drawn sub-samples of Harare resident cases among 17 common cancer sites or types registered during 1993-1997 from black and white populations. Follow-up was carried out predominantly by active methods with median follow-up ranging from 1-54 months for different cancers. The proportion with histologically verified diagnosis for various cancers ranged from 20-100%; death certificate only (DCO) cases comprised 0-34%; 58-97% of total registered cases were included for survival analysis. Complete follow-up at five years ranged from 94-100%. Five-year age-standardized relative survival rates of selected cancers among both races combined were cervix (42%), breast (68%), Kaposi sarcoma (4%), liver (3%), oesophagus (12%), stomach (20%) and lung (14%). Survival was markedly higher among white than black populations for most cancers with adequate cases. Five-year relative survival by age group was fluctuating, with no definite pattern or trend.  相似文献   

11.
Cancer survival among American Indians is worse than among other races in some regions of the United States, but has not been studied among American Indians in Washington state. Our purpose was to evaluate cancer survival among American Indians included in the Seattle-Puget Sound Cancer Registry. We compared site-specific survival among American Indians (n=551) and Whites (n=110,899) diagnosed from 1974 to 1989 for five cancer sites. For all sites except prostate, the distribution of cancer stage at diagnosis for American Indians was not significantly different from the distribution for Whites, and a similar proportion of American Indians and Whites received cancer treatment. After adjustment for age differences between American Indians and Whites, American Indians experienced poorer survival from prostate, breast, cervical, and colorectal cancer. Poorer survival among American Indians persisted after adjustment for differences in cancer stage at diagnosis, lack of cancer treatment, and residence in a non-urban county. The survival experience among American Indians who were recorded as non-American Indians in the cancer registry but whe were listed as American Indians in Indian Health Service records was more favorable than that among persons initially coded as American Indians in the cancer registry. We conclude that cancer survival among American Indians in western Washington is poorer than that among Whites in the same region, and that factors other than age, differences in stage at diagnosis, lack of cancer treatment, and residence in non-urban counties account for this.This work was supported in part by finding from the US National Cancer Institute (grant Y02-CN-90667). The opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Indian Health Service.  相似文献   

12.
Background: Cancer-related causes of death (cancer CoD) are the main etiologies of death in cancer patients. Recent increase in survival rates of cancer patients resulted in higher risk of dying from causes other than cancer, called competing causes of death (competing CoD). We aim to characterize competing CoD among cancer patients in Golestan province, Northern Iran. Methods: Data on cancer incidence was obtained from the Golestan population-based cancer registry (GPCR) dataset. Data on causes of death was obtained from the Golestan death registry (GDR) dataset. Using a linkage method between the GPCR and GDR dataset, we prepared the study dataset including data on vital status and causes of death in our cancer patients. The proportions of cancer CoD and competing CoD were calculated. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was considered to assess the relationship between competing CoD and other variables. Results: Overall, 4,184 cancer patients died in the study population, including 2,488 men (59.9%). Cause of death in 3,455 cases was cancer and 729 cases (17.4%) died due to competing CoD. Ischemic heart disease (40.7%) was the most common competing CoD in our population. Higher survival rate was the strongest variable related to the competing CoD (adjusted OR=1.91; 95%CI: 1.61-2.26). Residence area, age group and year of death were other indicators of competing CoD in our population. Conclusion: Our results suggest high rates of competing CoD in our cancer patients. Competing CoD should be mentioned in cancer control planning both in clinical practice as well as in public health policy making.  相似文献   

13.
The Singapore Cancer Registry has provided comprehensive population-based incidence data since 1968. This paper describes the population-based survival analysis of the registry data. All invasive primary cancers diagnosed from January 1, 1968 to December 31, 1992 were passively followed up until December 31, 1997. Only 5.8% were lost to follow-up. Cumulative and observed survival rates were calculated using Hakulinen's method. Overall 5-year relative survival rates have increased dramatically over the 25-year period in both genders. Significant increases are seen with nasopharynx, stomach and colo-rectum cancers, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, leukemias and cancers of the testis, cervix, ovaries and breast. When compared with the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) rates in the United States, the 5-year relative survival rates in Singapore are generally lower. However, the rate of change between the two countries is fairly similar. On the average, the rates are 10 to 15 years behind the SEER rates and 5 to 10 years behind Finland, Switzerland and Japan, but they are close to the UK rates. The age-standardized 5-year survival rate for Singapore is higher for most sites compared with other developing countries like Qidong (China), Madras (India), Bombay (India) and Chiang Mai (Thailand). The 25-year trend in cancer survival in Singapore showed two extreme groups: those showing no change and those showing significant improvements. Reducing the incidence of cancers belonging to the first group remains the only viable mode of cancer control. For cancers in the second group, improvement in survival is due to a combination of successful early detection measures and effective treatment services in Singapore.  相似文献   

14.
Breast cancer is the leading cancer diagnosis and second most common cause of cancer deaths in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Yet, there are few population-level survival data from Africa and none on the survival differences by stage at diagnosis. Here, we estimate breast cancer survival within SSA by area, stage and country-level human development index (HDI). We obtained data on a random sample of 2,588 breast cancer incident cases, diagnosed in 2008–2015 from 14 population-based cancer registries in 12 countries (Benin, Cote d'Ivoire, Ethiopia, Kenya, Mali, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Seychelles, South Africa, Uganda and Zimbabwe) through the African Cancer Registry Network. Of these, 2,311 were included for survival analyses. The 1-, 3- and 5-year observed and relative survival (RS) were estimated by registry, stage and country-level HDI. We equally estimated the excess hazards adjusting for potential confounders. Among patients with known stage, 64.9% were diagnosed in late stages, with 18.4% being metastatic at diagnosis. The RS varied by registry, ranging from 21.6%(8.2–39.8) at Year 3 in Bulawayo to 84.5% (70.6–93.5) in Namibia. Patients diagnosed at early stages had a 3-year RS of 78% (71.6–83.3) in contrast to 40.3% (34.9–45.7) at advanced stages (III and IV). The overall RS at Year 1 was 86.1% (84.4–87.6), 65.8% (63.5–68.1) at Year 3 and 59.0% (56.3–61.6) at Year 5. Age at diagnosis was not independently associated with increased mortality risk after adjusting for the effect of stage and country-level HDI. In conclusion, downstaging breast cancer at diagnosis and improving access to quality care could be pivotal in improving breast cancer survival outcomes in Africa.  相似文献   

15.
The aim of this study was to compare trends in prognostic factors and survival from cutaneous melanoma between 1993 and 2003 in 2 populations with dramatically different underlying incidence rates [Yorkshire, UK, and New South Wales (NSW), Australia] and to look at whether the greater investment in melanoma prevention and early detection in Australia has resulted in any relative differences in survival. Patients diagnosed with invasive melanoma between 1993 and 2003 in Yorkshire (n = 4,170) and NSW (n = 30,520) were identified from cancer registry databases and prognostic information (age, sex, socioeconomic background, tumour site and Breslow thickness) was extracted. Age-standardised incidence rates, 5-year relative survival and relative excess risk of death were calculated. Between 1993-1995 and 2001-2003, the incidence of melanoma increased in both areas. These increases were mainly seen in tumours with thickness 相似文献   

16.
In this article, the American Cancer Society estimates the number of new cancer cases and deaths for African Americans and compiles the most recent data on cancer incidence, mortality, survival, and screening prevalence based upon incidence data from the National Cancer Institute, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries and mortality data from the National Center for Health Statistics. It is estimated that 176,620 new cases of cancer and 64,880 deaths will occur among African Americans in 2013. From 2000 to 2009, the overall cancer death rate among males declined faster among African Americans than whites (2.4% vs 1.7% per year), but among females, the rate of decline was similar (1.5% vs 1.4% per year, respectively). The decrease in cancer death rates among African American males was the largest of any racial or ethnic group. The reduction in overall cancer death rates since 1990 in men and 1991 in women translates to the avoidance of nearly 200,000 deaths from cancer among African Americans. Five‐year relative survival is lower for African Americans than whites for most cancers at each stage of diagnosis. The extent to which these disparities reflect unequal access to health care versus other factors remains an active area of research. Overall, progress in reducing cancer death rates has been made, although more can and should be done to accelerate this progress through ensuring equitable access to cancer prevention, early detection, and state‐of‐the‐art treatments. CA Cancer J Clin 2013. © 2013 American Cancer Society.  相似文献   

17.
目的:分析启东市2001年-2007年全人群胃癌患者的观察生存率和相对生存率。方法:2839例胃癌登记病例的生存(死亡)情况随访截止于2009年12月31日;剔除DCO(death certificate only)病例,实际纳入分析2824例。用SURV3.01软件计算观察生存率(OS)及相对生存率(RS)。结果:启东胃癌1、3、5年OS分别为41.86%、27.59%和24.41%,1、3、5年RS分别为43.82%、31.68%和30.88%。其中男性1、3、5年OS分别为44.04%、31.00%、29.99%,女性1、3、5年RS分别为43.45%、32.86%、32.42%,男女性生存率差别无显著意义(P〉0.05)。15-34岁、35-44岁、45-54岁、55-64岁、65-74岁及75岁以上各年龄组的5年RS分别为27.79%、37.91%、34.18%、29.41%、29.61%及29.85%,年龄组生存率差异有显著意义(P〈0.001)。5年相对生存率与启东20世纪70年代相比,有了显著的提高。结论:启东市全人群胃癌生存率呈上升趋势,应当继续重视胃癌的生存率研究,为人群综合防治服务。  相似文献   

18.
In this article, the American Cancer Society provides the estimated number of new cancer cases and deaths for blacks in the United States and the most recent data on cancer incidence, mortality, survival, screening, and risk factors for cancer. Incidence data are from the National Cancer Institute, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries, and mortality data are from the National Center for Health Statistics. Approximately 189,910 new cases of cancer and 69,410 cancer deaths will occur among blacks in 2016. Although blacks continue to have higher cancer death rates than whites, the disparity has narrowed for all cancers combined in men and women and for lung and prostate cancers in men. In contrast, the racial gap in death rates has widened for breast cancer in women and remained level for colorectal cancer in men. The reduction in overall cancer death rates since the early 1990s translates to the avoidance of more than 300,000 deaths among blacks. In men, incidence rates from 2003 to 2012 decreased for all cancers combined (by 2.0% per year) as well as for the top 3 cancer sites (prostate, lung, and colorectal). In women, overall rates during the corresponding time period remained unchanged, reflecting increasing trends in breast cancer combined with decreasing trends in lung and colorectal cancer rates. Five‐year relative survival is lower for blacks than whites for most cancers at each stage of diagnosis. The extent to which these disparities reflect unequal access to health care versus other factors remains an active area of research. Progress in reducing cancer death rates could be accelerated by ensuring equitable access to prevention, early detection, and high‐quality treatment. CA Cancer J Clin 2016;66:290‐308. © 2016 American Cancer Society  相似文献   

19.
Summary Longer survival for white women than black women with breast cancer has been observed even when relative survival rates are used and stage at diagnosis is controlled. This study compared prognostic factors in relation to survival for 144 white women and 67 black women with breast cancer diagnosed 1969 to 1979 and identified through the tumor registry. Data were obtained from medical records, the registry, death certificates, and pathology files. Median survival was 7.5 years for whites, vs. 5.6 years for blacks. Significant differences between races were also observed for histological type and grade of tumor, presenting symptoms, and health status at diagnosis. Although Cox multiple regression analyses showed pathological stage at diagnosis and number of positive nodes to be the best predictors of survival in both whites and blacks, the differences in histological type observed in this sample merits further research; blacks have fewer well-differentiated tumors, the type associated with positive estrogen receptors and with better survival.  相似文献   

20.
The Kampala cancer registry was established in 1954 as a population-based cancer registry, and registration of cases is done by active methods. The registry contributed data on survival for 15 cancer sites or types registered in 1993-1997. For Kaposi sarcoma, only a random sample of the total incident cases was provided for survival study. Follow-up has been carried out predominantly by active methods, with median follow-up ranging from 4-26 months. The proportion with histologically verified diagnosis for various cancers ranged between 36-83%; death certificate only (DCO) cases were negligible; 58-92% of total registered cases were included for survival analysis. Complete follow-up at five years ranged between 47-87% for different cancers. Five-year age-standardized relative survival rates for selected cancers were Kaposi sarcoma (22%), cervix (19%), oesophagus (5%), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (26%), breast (36%) and prostate (46%). None survived beyond 5 years for cancers of the stomach and lung. Five-year relative survival by age group was fluctuating with no definite pattern or trend emerging and no survivors in many age intervals.  相似文献   

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