共查询到15条相似文献,搜索用时 256 毫秒
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目的:基于组合模型预测2022—2030年北京市中医药总费用的变化趋势,为政策制定和调整提供数据支撑和参考。方法:运用ARIMA模型和灰色GM (1,1)模型构建组合模型,对北京市中医药总费用机构流向构成部分及总量进行预测。结果:组合模型拟合精度明显优于GM (1,1)模型和ARIMA模型分别预测的结果;根据预测结果,北京市中医药总费用从2022年的826.23亿元增至2030年的1 447.13亿元,年均增速为7.26%,机构流向优化明显。结论:可探索利用组合模型来提高费用预测精度;突发公共卫生事件对中医药费用存在较大冲击;应合理看待预测研究结果,根据实际情况的变化不断优化预测模型。 相似文献
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目的:通过基层中医费用的发展变化及流向情况分析,研究“十三五”期间北京市基层中医药服务的发展状况。方法:采用基于比例系数的个案库汇总法。结果:“十三五”期间,基层中医药服务能力实现了与卫生系统的协调发展; 社区卫生服务机构是基层中医药服务提供的主体;基层中医药服务主要以提供药品服务为主。结论:北京市应借力发展契机,进一步提升基层医疗卫生机构中医药服务能力;多渠道并进,推动中医门诊部、诊所发展;发展基层中医特色技术服务, 提升基层中医药发展质量。 相似文献
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目的:分析北京市机构法中医总费用的总量、发展及结构等,研究北京市中医药服务能力的发展状况.方法:运用机构法中医总费用、机构法卫生总费用核算方法.结果:北京市中医医疗服务能力整体快于卫生服务的发展;中医药资源在机构间流向逐步优化;中医类医院提供了更多的中医药服务,非中医类医院中医资源发展缓慢;城郊中医药资源差异逐步减小;北京市对中医服务的利用整体优于全国.结论:深化中医医疗服务价格改革,平衡各方利益;引导中医优质资源下沉,使中医药费用继续向基层流动;加强非中医类医院中医科的建设发展;完善郊区中医资源配置,缩小城郊医院中医服务差距;引导社会资本进入中医医疗服务行业,形成多元化办医局面. 相似文献
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目的:了解山东省卫生总费用下的公共卫生机构筹资情况.方法:利用机构流向法测算1998-2012年山东省卫生总费用结果,结合山东卫生财务年报资料,采用定量和对比分析等方法,研究山东省公共卫生机构筹资情况,进而提出解决的方法和相关政策建议.结果:山东省公共卫生机构费用在总费用中的比例偏低;公共卫生筹资模式不合理;公共卫生资源的利用效率不高.结论:继续加强政府在优化卫生资源分配方面的主导作用;逐步改革和优化公共卫生筹资模式;重点提升政府卫生资金分配和绩效管理水平. 相似文献
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Chronic diseases and disabilities increase with age, affecting more than 60% of those over 75 y, and limiting activities in about half of them. Therefore, total energy expenditure (TEE) and its components are assessed separately in health and disease. An analysis of 568 doubly labelled water measurements in 'healthy' subjects (184 measurements in subjects over 65 years) suggests that there is a decrease of 0.69 and 0.43 MJ/day/decade respectively in men (standard weight 75 kg) and women (standard weight 67 kg). Physical activity (PA) accounted for 46% of the decrease in TEE, basal metabolic rate (BMR) for 44% of the decrease and thermogenesis (T) for the remaining 10%. TEE was found to be 10.79+/-2.09 and 8.62+/-1.49 MJ/day in 150 men and 100 women aged over 60 y, respectively. Of the total variance in TEE, measured with doubly labelled water over a 2 week period, 69% was considered to be due to differences between individuals, and 31% to differences within individuals. The variance due to PA plus T was threefold greater than that due to BMR. Physiological factors were far more important than methodological factors in influencing measurements of TEE, BMR and PA+T. An analysis of 136 measurements of TEE (doubly labelled water and bicarbonate-urea methods) in free-living elderly patients suffering from a variety of diseases suggests a frequent decrease in TEE, which may occur despite an increase in BMR. This is largely due to a reduction is PA (eg up to approximately 50% reduction), but in some cases it is also due to a reduction in BMR (loss of body weight). More comprehensive information is required about TEE and its components, partly because of a probable selection bias in recruitment of subjects participating in specific tracer studies, and partly because of the variable effects of different diseases and factors that operate at different times in the course of the same disease. 相似文献
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Hsiao AF Ryan GW Hays RD Coulter ID Andersen RM Wenger NS 《Social science & medicine (1982)》2006,62(12):2973-2987
Consumers often turn to complementary and alternative medicine (CAM) and use it concurrently with conventional medicine to treat illnesses and promote wellness. However, prior studies demonstrate that these two paradigms are often not combined effectively. Consumers often do not tell physicians about CAM treatments or CAM practitioners about conventional treatments that they are using. This can lead to inefficient care and/or adverse interactions. There is also a lack of consensus about the structure and practice of integrative medicine among the various types of practitioners. This qualitative study aimed to identify key domains and develop a conceptual model of integrative medicine at the provider level, using a grounded theory approach. Purposive sampling was used to select 50 practitioners, including acupuncturists, chiropractors, internists/family practitioners, and physician acupuncturists in private practice and at academic medical centers in Los Angeles. We conducted semi-structured, in-depth interviews with practitioners and then identified core statements that describe practitioners' attitudes and behaviors toward integrative medicine. Core statements were free pile sorted to ascertain key domains of integrative medicine. Four key domains of integrative medicine were identified at the provider level: attitudes, knowledge, referral, and practice. Provider age, training, and practice setting also emerged as important factors in determining clinicians' "orientation" toward integrative medicine. "Dual-trained" practitioners, such as physician acupuncturists, exemplified clinicians with a greater orientation toward integrative medicine. They advocated an open-minded perspective about other healing traditions, promoting co-management with and making referrals to practitioners of other paradigms, and treating patients with both CAM and conventional healing modalities. 相似文献
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目的:分析评价北京市基于时间序列的卫生筹资总额、结构变化等。方法:卫生总费用筹资来源法。结果:2000—2016年北京市卫生筹资总额从166.72亿元增长到2 048.99亿元,平均增长速度为13.00%,人均卫生总费用从1 222.65元增长到9 429.73元,卫生总费用占GDP的比重从5.27%增长到7.98%,城乡居民就医负担总体呈下降趋势,但城乡差异较大。结论:北京市卫生总费用变化体现宏观政策变化,社会卫生支出高速增长,政府对卫生筹资贡献的影响力减弱,个人现金卫生支出占总筹资比重下降,城乡居民就医负担有所缓解。建议:保证政府卫生投入的可持续性,规范发展商业健康保险,引导社会资本流入医疗,拓宽社会筹资渠道,控制个人现金卫生支出占比。 相似文献