Can the suicide rate be used as a performance indicator in mental illness?

This paper follows from an examination of death rates from suicide as a possible performance indicator in mental illness. The wide variations observed in the proportion of undetermined deaths to suicides in Yorkshire district health authorities, suggest that coroners differ in their legal definition of suicide. To counteract the problem of coroner bias it is suggested that deaths from suicide and self-inflicted injury, and deaths from injury undetermined, whether accidentally or purposely inflicted in the 15 and over age group be combined. The paper outlines the advantages of such a performance indicator and stresses that a 'poor' indicator value merely poses questions which lead to a search for reasons for the value and is not an explanation in itself.     

Can a community development model be used for health programmes in an industrialized country?

Injury resulting from accident is a serious public health problem in Sweden, as it is in the rest of the world. Theoretically, almost all incidents can be prevented. However, in practice, injury-prevention is a complex problem. A community-level intervention programme for prevention of accidents was developed in the municipality of Sollentuna, Stockholm County. The primary strategy has been to involve the community through representatives as well as through local organizations and groups. Project organization has been built up in cooperation with the municipal primary health-care department, local authorities, voluntary organizations and citizen agencies. A common opinion is that it is the actual process in a community programme which is important, that alters the type of involvement from a ‘top-down’ to a ‘bottom-up’ approach. Can a local community take over responsibility for running such a programme which has been initiated by an external authority or organization? We think that, at least for Swedish circumstances, the community development approach is far too optimistic in its expectation that community members should and can stay actively involved in programme decisions. Based on our experience, it does not seem possible to maintain a broad self-sustained programme solely with input from community members.     

Could a low-cost audio-visual link be useful in rheumatology?

We have investigated prospectively the diagnostic accuracy, specialist satisfaction and patient-specialist rapport of a low-cost audio-visual link between a junior doctor with a patient and a consultant rheumatologist. Using a telephone link and subsequently a video-phone link, 20 patients, with various rheumatological problems, were presented by a junior doctor to the consultant rheumatologist for provisional diagnosis. All patients were then seen face to face by the consultant, when a final diagnosis was made. An independent consultant rheumatologist made a 'gold standard' diagnosis. Thirty-five per cent of diagnoses were made correctly over the telephone and 40% over the video-phone--there was no significant difference in the diagnostic accuracy between these two methods of communication. Rapport over the video-phone was universally poor. Where it was important, clinical signs could not be visualized over the video-phone and in more than 85% of cases small joint swellings could not be seen clearly.     

Bacillus dysenteriae Sonne as an ætiological agent of dysentery in egypt

A series of cases is recorded of enteritis and enterocolitis occurring in children and adults in Egypt from which the B. dysenteriaeSonne has been isolated. The organism recovered corresponds biochemically and serologically with the classical strains isolated by Sonne.It is not suggested that this organsim is more than one of the bacillary agents responsible for intestinal infections of this type, prevalent in Egypt during the warm season, but it is of importance to note that it was the only ætiological agent isolated in from 35 to 40 per cent. of a series subjected to careful investigation.     

Should adjustment for covariates be used in prevalence estimations?

Background

Adjustment for covariates (also called auxiliary variables in survey sampling literature) is commonly applied in health surveys to reduce the variances of the prevalence estimators. In theory, adjusted prevalence estimators are more accurate when variance components are known. In practice, variance components needed to achieve the adjustment are unknown and their sample estimators are used instead. The uncertainty introduced by estimating variance components may overshadow the reduction in the variance of the prevalence estimators due to adjustment. We present empirical guidelines indicating when adjusted prevalence estimators should be considered, using gender adjusted and unadjusted smoking prevalence as an illustration.

Methods

We compare the accuracy of adjusted and unadjusted prevalence estimators via simulation. We simulate simple random samples from hypothetical populations with the proportion of males ranging from 30% to 70%, the smoking prevalence ranging from 15% to 35%, and the ratio of male to female smoking prevalence ranging from 1 to 4. The ranges of gender proportions and smoking prevalences reflect the conditions in 1999–2003 Behavioral Risk Factors Surveillance System (BRFSS) data for Massachusetts. From each population, 10,000 samples are selected and the ratios of the variance of the adjusted prevalence estimators to the variance of the unadjusted (crude) ones are computed and plotted against the proportion of males by population prevalence, as well as by population and sample sizes. The prevalence ratio thresholds, above which adjusted prevalence estimators have smaller variances, are determined graphically.

Results

In many practical settings, gender adjustment results in less accuracy. Whether or not there is better accuracy with adjustment depends on sample sizes, gender proportions and ratios between male and female prevalences. In populations with equal number of males and females and smoking prevalence of 20%, the adjusted prevalence estimators are more accurate when the ratios of male to female prevalences are above 2.4, 1.8, 1.6, 1.4 and 1.3 for sample sizes of 25, 50, 100, 150 and 200, respectively.

Conclusion

Adjustment for covariates will not result in more accurate prevalence estimator when ratio of male to female prevalences is close to one, sample size is small and risk factor prevalence is low. For example, when reporting smoking prevalence based on simple random sampling, gender adjustment is recommended only when sample size is greater than 200.     

Assessing performance in final year medical students. Can a postgraduate measure be used in an undergraduate setting?

BACKGROUND: The transition between medical school and graduate performance should be a continuum. This study aimed to evaluate an assessment tool developed for practising doctors when applied to undergraduates. METHODS: A 12-item rating form was developed from that used for practising doctors by the Royal Australasian College of Physicians. Over a 2-year period, senior doctors, junior doctors and nurses completed the rating form on final year medical students. Some students completed self-assessments. We performed factor analysis and correlated scores between raters and attachments. Correlating ratings with concurrent traditional assessment results across the year tested construct validity. RESULTS: Ten forms per student were distributed for all 123 students and 856 were returned (70%). Internal consistency was very high. In all, 71.1% of the variance was accounted for by two factors (clinical skills and humanistic). This factor structure is unchanged when restricted to different raters and is the same as that noted previously when rating practising doctors. There were good correlations between raters (including self) and between attachments. Nurse ratings were reliable but nurses rated students significantly lower on humanistic qualities. Correlations with traditional assessments were high when all traditional assessments were combined. Women scored more favourably than men on humanistic qualities. CONCLUSION: A rating instrument for doctors in practice retains the same factor structure and a high degree of reliability and validity for senior medical students. Reliable ratings by nurses have implications for measures of collegiality and teamwork. We believe the instrument could be a useful outcome measure for medical programmes and employers.