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1.
OBJECTIVE: A company-wide surveillance program for musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs) based on the assessment of health and risk factors was implemented between 1996 and 2000 in a large shoe factory. The study aimed to compare the results of the surveillance program in 1996 and 1997 with the occurrence of MSDs in 2000. METHODS: A health and ergonomic assessment of workstations was performed for 253 workers in 1996. Of these, 166 were examined again in both 1997 and 2000. A set of criteria was used to predict whether or not a job category could be predicted to have a potentially high risk of MSDs in 1996 and 1997 and the results were compared with the incidence rate of MSDs in the job category in 2000. RESULTS: The criteria based on prevalence data in 1996 were unable to detect the job categories characterized by the occurrence of MSDs in 2000. The criterion based on an incidence rate >1% in 1997 was sensitive and specific. The agreement between the ranking of the job categories according to incidence rate of MSDs in 1997 and 2000 was good (rho=0.57, P=0.11). Agreement of the prediction based on ergonomic exposure was lower than that based on incidence data. CONCLUSION: The efficacy of the surveillance program to predict on a collective basis the job categories in which numerous cases of MSDs occurred in 2000 depended on the decision criteria used. The criteria based on the incidence of MSDs were more reliable to predict the risk of MSDs than those based on prevalence data or on exposure assessment. Because exposure assessment plays a greater role in determining the priorities for ergonomic intervention, surveillance of health and exposure must nevertheless be combined to predict the risk of MSDs in the plant in the short and middle terms.  相似文献   

2.
Objective Questionnaires for assessment of biomechanical exposure are frequently used in surveillance programs, though few studies have evaluated which key questions are needed. We sought to reduce the number of variables on a surveillance questionnaire by identifying which variables best summarized biomechanical exposure in a survey of the French working population. Methods We used data from 2002 to 2003 French experimental network of Upper-limb work-related musculoskeletal disorders (UWMSD), performed on 2,685 subjects in which 37 variables assessing biomechanical exposures were available (divided into four ordinal categories, according to the task frequency or duration). Principal Component Analysis (PCA) with orthogonal rotation was performed on these variables. Variables closely associated with factors issued from PCA were retained, except those highly correlated to another variable (ρ > 0.70). In order to study the relevance of the final list of variables, correlations between a score based on retained variables (PCA score) and the exposure score suggested by the SALTSA group were calculated. The associations between the PCA score and the prevalence of UWMSD were also studied. In a final step, we added back to the list a few variables not retained by PCA, because of their established recognition as risk factors. Results According to the results of the PCA, seven interpretable factors were identified: posture exposures, repetitiveness, handling of heavy loads, distal biomechanical exposures, computer use, forklift operator specific task, and recovery time. About 20 variables strongly correlated with the factors obtained from PCA were retained. The PCA score was strongly correlated both with the SALTSA score and with UWMSD prevalence (P < 0.0001). In the final step, six variables were reintegrated. Conclusion Twenty-six variables of 37 were efficiently selected according to their ability to summarize major biomechanical constraints in a working population, with an approach combining statistical analyses and existing knowledge.  相似文献   

3.
BACKGROUND: The incidence of self-reported diagnosed diabetes may be increasing because of recent changes in the diagnostic criteria for diabetes, enhanced case detection, and a true increase in disease incidence. These factors may also be changing the characteristics of newly diagnosed cases. Therefore, we examined recent trends in the incidence of diagnosed diabetes, changes to the characteristics of incident cases, and factors associated with incidence. METHODS: First, National Health Interview Survey data for 1997 to 2003 were used to examine 7-year trends in the incidence of diagnosed diabetes among U.S. adults aged 18 to 79 years. Second, among 1997-1998 and 2002-2003 incident cases, differences in sociodemographic characteristics, risk factors, and indicators of health status were examined. Lastly, multivariate-adjusted incidence from multiple logistic regression of 2001-2003 survey data were derived. RESULTS: From 1997 to 2003, the incidence of diagnosed diabetes increased 41% from 4.9 to 6.9 per 1,000 population (p <0.01). Incidence increased among men and women, non-Hispanic whites, persons with at least a high school education, nonsmokers, active and inactive persons, and among obese persons (p <0.05). Obesity was more prevalent (p <0.01) and physical limitation was less prevalent (p =0.03) in 2002-2003 versus 1997-1998 incident cases. Multivariate-adjusted incidence increased with age and BMI category, and decreased with education level (p <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Obesity was a major factor in the recent increase of newly diagnosed diabetes. Lifestyle interventions that reduce or prevent the prevalence of obesity among persons at risk for diabetes are needed to halt the increasing incidence of diabetes.  相似文献   

4.
BACKGROUND: A prospective study of computer users was performed to determine the occurrence of and evaluate risk factors for neck or shoulder (N/S) and hand or arm (H/A) musculoskeletal symptoms (MSS) and disorders (MSD). METHODS: Individuals (n = 632) newly hired into jobs requiring > or = 15 hr/week of computer use were followed for up to 3 years. At study entry, workstation dimensions and worker postures were measured and medical and psychosocial risk factors were assessed. Daily diaries were used to document work practices and incident MSS. Those reporting MSS were examined for specific MSD. Incidence rates of MSS and MSD were estimated with survival analysis. Cox regression models were used to evaluate associations between participant characteristics at entry and MSS and MSD. RESULTS: The annual incidence of N/S MSS was 58 cases/100 person-years and of N/S MSD was 35 cases/100 person-years. The most common N/S MSD was somatic pain syndrome. The annual incidence of H/A MSS was 39 cases/100 person-years and of H/A MSD was 21 cases/100 person-years. The most common H/A disorder was deQuervain's tendonitis. Forty-six percent of N/S and 32% of H/A MSS occurred during the first month of follow-up. Gender, age, ethnicity, and prior history of N/S pain were associated with N/S MSS and MSD. Gender, prior history of H/A pain, prior computer use, and children at home were associated with either H/A MSS or MSD. CONCLUSIONS: H/A and N/S MSS and MSD were common among computer users. More than 50% of computer users reported MSS during the first year after starting a new job.  相似文献   

5.
OBJECTIVE: To analyze the trends of the meningococcal disease cumulative incidence and case-fatality rate in the region of Campinas, Brazil, an area that encircles five cities and 1.2 million inhabitants, from 1993 to 1998. METHODS: A longitudinal retrospective study of all case records (375) obtained from the regional epidemiological surveillance system was carried out. A logistic regression analysis allowed identifying the risk factors related to fatal outcomes of meningococcal disease. RESULTS: The highest fatality rates (23.8%) were seen in the period of 1996 and 1997, coinciding with the incidence peaks of serogroup B Neisseria and a high percentage of septicemia cases. Also at the same period there was registered a poor etiological investigation of the cases. A seasonal pattern and the predomination of strains B:4:P1.15 and C:2b:P1.3 were observed. In the logistic regression analysis, the risk factors related to fatality were: septicemia with or without meningitis (adjusted odds ratio [OR(aj)] = 13.88 and 95% confidence interval [CI] = 4.68 - 42.13); age over 30 years (OR(aj) = 6.42; CI = 2.32 - 17.80); age under 1 year (OR(aj) = 2.95; CI = 1.55 - 5.63); and serogroup B (OR(aj) = 2.33; CI = 1.14 - 4.79). CONCLUSIONS: Septicemia, age and serogroup were predictive variables related to a fatal outcome. In 1996 and 1997, case-fatality rates were high, indicating the need to further assessment of the quality of the services delivered and their readiness to take preventive action. The lack of etiological identification in many cases precluded more accurate inferences about the epidemiological behavior of Neisseria meningitidis in the region.  相似文献   

6.
Hair relaxers are used by millions of black women, possibly exposing them to various chemicals through scalp lesions and burns. In the Black Women's Health Study, the authors assessed hair relaxer use in relation to uterine leiomyomata incidence. In 1997, participants reported on hair relaxer use (age at first use, frequency, duration, number of burns, and type of formulation). From 1997 to 2009, 23,580 premenopausal women were followed for incident uterine leiomyomata. Multivariable Cox regression was used to estimate incidence rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals. During 199,991 person-years, 7,146 cases of uterine leiomyomata were reported as confirmed by ultrasound (n = 4,630) or surgery (n = 2,516). The incidence rate ratio comparing ever with never use of relaxers was 1.17 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06, 1.30). Positive trends were observed for frequency of use (P(trend) < 0.001), duration of use (P(trend) = 0.015), and number of burns (P(trend) < 0.001). Among long-term users (≥10 years), the incidence rate ratios for frequency of use categories 3-4, 5-6, and ≥7 versus 1-2 times/year were 1.04 (95% CI: 0.92, 1.19), 1.12 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.27), and 1.15 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.31), respectively (P(trend) = 0.002). Risk was unrelated to age at first use or type of formulation. These findings raise the hypothesis that hair relaxer use increases uterine leiomyomata risk.  相似文献   

7.
The authors examined the association between pesticide use and breast cancer incidence among farmers' wives in a large prospective cohort study in Iowa and North Carolina. Participants were 30,454 women with no history of breast cancer prior to cohort enrollment in 1993-1997. Information on pesticide use and other information was obtained by self-administered questionnaire at enrollment from the women and their husbands. Through 2000, 309 incident breast cancer cases were identified via population-based cancer registries. Rate ratios were calculated for individual pesticides using Poisson regression, controlling for confounding factors. Breast cancer standardized incidence ratios were 0.87 (95% confidence interval: 0.74, 1.02) for women who reported ever applying pesticides and 1.05 (95% confidence interval: 0.89, 1.24) for women who reported never applying pesticides. There was some evidence of increased risk associated with use of 2,4,5-trichloro-phenoxypropionic acid (2,4,5-TP) and possibly use of dieldrin, captan, and 2,4,5-trichlorophenoxyacetic acid (2,4,5-TP), but small numbers of cases among those who had personally used the pesticides precluded firm conclusions. The authors found no clear association of breast cancer risk with farm size or washing of clothes worn during pesticide application, but risk was modestly elevated among women whose homes were closest to areas of pesticide application. Further follow-up of this cohort should help clarify the relation between pesticide exposure and breast cancer risk.  相似文献   

8.
Eighty-one adult patients with Salmonella enterica serotype Choleraesuis (S. Choleraesuis) bacteraemia treated at a university hospital from 1996 to 2004 were evaluated. Multivariate analysis with a logistic regression model was used to characterize risk factors for primary bacteraemia and mycotic aneurysm and to determine the association of clinical characteristics of patients based on ciprofloxacin susceptibility of the causative organism. The incidence per 100,000 discharges was 0.76 in 1996 and 3.9 in 2004. The overall rate of ciprofloxacin resistance among these isolates was 59% (87 isolates) and the annual rate increased with time from 0% prior to 2000 to 80% in 2004. Among these patients, 48 (59%) had primary bacteraemia and 13 (16%) had secondary bacteraemia with mycotic aneurysm. Seventy (86%) patients had fever at presentation, 22 (27%) developed shock during hospitalization, and eight (10%) died of S. Choleraesuis bacteraemia. Patients with immunocompromised conditions had a higher risk of developing primary bacteraemia (OR 18.442, P < 0.001). Hypertension (OR 15.434, P = 0.002) and male gender (OR 7.422, P = 0.039) were associated with mycotic aneurysm. Patients with mycotic aneurysm were more frequently infected with ciprofloxacin-susceptible isolates (P = 0.028) and ciprofloxacin-susceptible isolates were also more frequently associated with recurrent infection than ciprofloxacin-resistant isolates (P = 0.038). The incidence of S. Choleraesuis bacteraemia has increased in the past 8 years, and this increase is associated with the upsurge of ciprofloxacin-resistant isolates.  相似文献   

9.
BACKGROUND: Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is associated in cross-sectional studies with a decreased prevalence of lens opacities. We explored the associations of HRT and reproductive factors with the incidence and progression of lens opacities over a 2-year period. METHODS: Data were derived from 1458 women ages 65 years and older from the Salisbury Eye Evaluation population-based prospective cohort study in Salisbury, MD, 1993-1997. RESULTS: HRT was not associated with incident nuclear, cortical, or posterior subcapsular opacities, or with progression of nuclear or cortical opacification. Women who had an early menopause had a higher risk of nuclear progression, whereas those who had a later menopause had a lower risk (linear trend P = 0.013). Other variables related to reproduction, such as oral contraceptive use, age at menarche, number of births, and history of hysterectomy, were not associated with any of the outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest no evidence of protection against the incidence or progression of lens opacities with HRT.  相似文献   

10.
The objective of this US study was to assess the association of toenail nicotine level as a novel biomarker with lung cancer risk independent of reported smoking history. A nested case-control study of 210 male lung cancer cases and 630 matched controls aged 40-75 years participating in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study was conducted. Toenail samples collected in 1987 were analyzed for nicotine levels, and incident lung cancer cases were diagnosed between 1988 and 2000. Mean toenail nicotine level among cases was 0.95 ng/mg compared with 0.25 ng/mg among controls (P < 0.0001). In univariate analyses, the relative risk of lung cancer for the highest versus lowest quintiles of toenail nicotine level was 10.50 (95% confidence interval: 5.61, 19.64; P for trend < 0.0001). When the authors adjusted for pack-years from reported smoking history in multivariate analyses, the relative risk for toenail nicotine levels in the highest quintile was still significant in predicting lung cancer risk: 3.57 (95% confidence interval: 1.73, 7.37; P for trend < 0.0001). In conclusion, the toenail nicotine biomarker was found to be a strong predictor of lung cancer independent of smoking history, suggesting that the adverse effects of cigarette smoke may be underestimated in studies based on smoking history only.  相似文献   

11.
The role of maternal smoking as a causal factor for the incidence of childhood asthma is still not clearly established. It was investigated among 3- and 4-year-old-child incident cases confirmed by a 6-year follow-up (n = 294) and cases who no longer had symptoms after diagnosis (n = 110). The study took place in Montréal, Canada, between 1988 and 1997. Persistent and transient cases were compared with their respective controls from the original case-control study of incidence. The odds ratio for heavy maternal smoking adjusted for known risk factors for asthma was 3.84 (95% confidence interval: 1.68, 8.76) among persistent cases and close to one among transient cases.  相似文献   

12.
OBJECTIVES: To determine the changes since 1996 in knowledge of folate for the prevention of neural tube defects (NTDs) among women of child-bearing age and measure the residual effect of an earlier consumer-directed information campaign. DESIGN: A community, randomised trial with three matched pairs of geographically distinct local government areas in Victoria. INTERVENTION: Printed information recommending folate intake to decrease the risk of NTDs was disseminated in 1997 to women of child-bearing age. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: The proportion of women aware of the association between folate and spina bifida was established in 1996, 1997 and 2000 (approximately 200 respondents per local government area in each survey). RESULTS: 12.5% (adjusted for population sampling fraction) of 1,196 women interviewed in 1996, prior to the intervention, were aware of folate and NTDs. Independent surveys after the intervention in 1997 and again in 2000 showed that this had increased to 17.4% (n=1204) and 30.2% (n=1227) respectively. The intervention had a significant impact on folate awareness (a 4% difference in 1997 and a residual 3.3% in 2000, ORadj=1.24, 95% CI 1.19-1.37, p=0.007). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: There has been a continuing increased awareness of folate in women of child-bearing age since 1996. Within this setting, the provision of printed educational material in a brief intervention in 1997 has caused enduring increased awareness of the association between folate and NTDs. The need for ongoing health promotion action on folate remains.  相似文献   

13.
Improved survival after myocardial infarction (MI) could result in MI survivors' contributing to the US heart failure epidemic. Conversely, since the severity of MI is declining over time, a decline in post-MI heart failure might also be anticipated. This study tested the hypothesis that the incidence of post-MI heart failure was declining over time in a geographically defined MI incidence cohort. Between 1979 and 1994, 1,537 patients with incident MI and no prior history of heart failure were hospitalized in Olmsted County, Minnesota. Framingham Heart Study criteria were used to ascertain the incidence of inpatient and outpatient heart failure over a mean follow-up period of 7.6 years (standard deviation 5.5). Overall, 36% of patients experienced heart failure. After adjustment for factors related to post-MI heart failure (age, hypertension, smoking, and biomarkers), the incidence of heart failure declined by 2% per year (relative risk = 0.98, 95% confidence interval: 0.96, 0.99; p = 0.01). The relative risk of developing heart failure among persons with MIs occurring in 1994 versus 1979 was 0.72 (95% confidence interval: 0.55, 0.93), indicating a 28% reduction in the incidence of heart failure. Administration of reperfusion therapy within 24 hours after MI was associated with lower risk of post-MI heart failure and accounted for most of the temporal decline in heart failure. This suggests that improved survival after MI is unlikely to be a major contributor to the heart failure epidemic.  相似文献   

14.
Pemphigus is a severe, autoimmune, blistering disorder with a high incidence among young women in rural Tunisia. The authors investigated explanatory environmental factors. A multicenter case-control study was conducted prospectively from 1992 to 1996 in Tunisia. Sixty-eight incident female cases of pemphigus and 166 controls matched on age, hospital, and geographic area were included. Data collected concerned socioeconomic status, medical history, drug intakes, lifestyle, and environment. Several factors were significantly associated with pemphigus in multivariate logistic regression analyses: traditional cosmetics (odds ratio (OR) = 4.0, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.1, 14.8); Turkish baths (OR = 3.2, 95% CI: 1.4, 7.3); cutting up raw poultry (OR = 5.1, 95% CI: 1.3, 19.4); contact with ruminants (OR = 2.7, 95% CI: 1.3, 5.8); and wasp, bee, and spider stings (OR = 3.1, 95% CI: 1.5, 6.4). A dose-dependent relation was observed for traditional cosmetics. All risks except insect bites were higher when analysis was restricted to younger women, the demographic group with higher incidence. The strength of the associations, the dose-dependent relation for traditional cosmetics, and the increase of risk estimates for younger women support a causal relation. Traditional cosmetics widely used by Tunisian women could play a major role in excess of cases of pemphigus.  相似文献   

15.
BACKGROUND: Despite the long history of tuberculosis (TB) research, population-based studies from developing countries are rare. METHODS: In a prospective community study in Bissau, the capital of Guinea-Bissau, we assessed the impact of demographic, socioeconomic and cultural risk factors on active TB. A surveillance system in four districts of the capital identified 247 adult (>or=15 years) cases of intrathoracic TB between May 1996 and June 1998. Risk factors were evaluated comparing cases with the 25,189 adults living in the area in May 1997. RESULTS: The incidence of intrathoracic TB in the adult population was 471 per 100 000 person-years. Significant risk factors in a multivariate analysis were increasing age (P < 0.0001), male sex (odds ratio [OR] = 2.58, 95% CI: 1.85, 3.60), ethnic group other than the largest group (Pepel) (OR = 1.64, 95% CI: 1.20, 2.22), adult crowding (OR = 1.68, 95% CI: 1.18, 2.39 for >2 adults in household), and poor quality of housing (OR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.24, 2.22). Household type was important; adults living alone or with adults of their own sex only, had a higher risk of developing TB than households with husband and wife present, the adjusted OR being 1.76 (95% CI: 1.11, 2.78) for male households and 3.80 (95% CI: 1.69, 8.56) for female households. In a multivariate analysis excluding household type, child crowding was a protective factor, the OR being 0.68 (95% CI: 0.51, 0.90) for households with >2 children per household. CONCLUSIONS: Bissau has a very high incidence of intrathoracic TB. Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), increasing age, male sex, ethnicity, adult crowding, family structure, and poor housing conditions were independent risk factors for TB. Apart from HIV prevention, TB control programmes need to emphasize risk factors such as socioeconomic inequality, ethnic differences, crowding, and gender.  相似文献   

16.
Endemic cryptosporidiosis in Ontario was studied using notifiable disease data from the Ontario Ministry of Health for the years 1996-1997 inclusive. For this study period, 451 endemic cases were identified, corresponding to a provincial mean annual age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate of 2.13 cases per 100,000. Children under five years of age had the highest incidence of disease. Males had a higher incidence than females, except for those 15-19 years of age. Five percent of cases were reported as HIV-positive or having AIDS. The proportion of cases occurring between July and November inclusive (63%) was significantly higher than expected (42%) assuming no seasonal variation (p < 0.01). The proportion of rural cases observed (29%) was significantly higher than expected (17%) based on the Ontario population (p < 0.01). Travel to or prior residence in an endemic area was identified in 22% of the cases where a risk setting was reported (n = 265).  相似文献   

17.
Although physical activity (PA) has been inversely associated with depressive symptoms, it is not clear whether regular PA and television watching are associated with clinical depression risk. The authors conducted a prospective analysis involving 49,821 US women from the Nurses' Health Study who were free from depressive symptoms at baseline (1996). Information on PA was obtained from validated questionnaires completed in 1992, 1994, 1996, 1998, and 2000; analyses were conducted using the cumulative average of PA (minutes/day) with a 2-year latency period applied. Participants were asked about television-watching habits in 1992. Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for multiple risk factors were used to estimate relative risks of clinical depression (self-reported physician-diagnosed depression or use of antidepressants). During 10 years of follow-up (1996-2006), 6,505 incident cases of depression were documented. Higher levels of PA were associated with lower depression risk. The multivariate relative risk comparing the highest level of PA (≥ 90 minutes/day) with the lowest (<10 minutes/day) was 0.80 (95% confidence interval: 0.70, 0.92; P(trend) < 0.001). In contrast, the risk of depression increased with increasing television-watching time. The multivariate relative risk comparing women who spent 21 hours/week or more watching television with those who spent 0-1 hour/week was 1.13 (95% confidence interval: 1.00, 1.27; P(trend) = 0.01). Analyses simultaneously considering PA and television watching suggested that both contributed independently to depression risk.  相似文献   

18.
BACKGROUND: The role of dietary factors in non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) risk is not yet well understood. Dietary flavonoids are polyphenolic compounds proposed to be anticarcinogenic. Flavonoids are well-characterized antioxidants and metal chelators, and certain flavonoids exhibit antiproliferative and antiestrogenic effects. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate the hypothesis that higher flavonoid intake is associated with lower NHL risk. DESIGN: During 1998-2000, we identified incident NHL cases aged 20-74 y from 4 US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cancer registries. Controls without history of NHL were selected by random-digit dialing or from Medicare files and frequency-matched to cases by age, center, race, and sex. Using 3 recently developed US Department of Agriculture nutrient-specific databases, flavonoid intake was estimated from participant responses to a 117-item food-frequency questionnaire (n = 466 cases and 390 controls). NHL risk in relation to flavonoid intake in quartiles was evaluated after adjustment for age, sex, registry, education, NHL family history, and energy intake. RESULTS: Higher total flavonoid intake was significantly associated with lower risk of NHL (P for trend < 0.01): a 47% lower risk in the highest quartile of intake than in the lowest (95% CI: 31%, 73%). Higher intakes of flavonols, epicatechins, anthocyanidins, and proanthocyanidins were each significantly associated with decreased NHL risk. Similar patterns of risk were observed for the major NHL subtypes--diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (n = 167) and follicular lymphoma (n = 146). CONCLUSION: A higher intake of flavonoids, dietary components with several putative anticarcinogenic activities, may be associated with lower NHL risk.  相似文献   

19.
Oral contraceptive use and risk of fractures   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
INTRODUCTION: Prior studies have suggested that oral contraceptives (OCs) may be associated with an increased fracture risk. However, the previous studies have only performed a limited adjustment for other potential risk factors. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: All women with a fracture (n=64,548) in the year 2000 in Denmark served as cases. For each case, three age-matched controls were randomly drawn from the general population (n=193,641). Exposure was use of OCs between January 1, 1996, and December 31, 2000. Adjustments were made for use of other drugs, pregnancy, prior fracture, other diseases and social variables. RESULTS: In the unadjusted analysis, use of OCs in low dose was associated with a small increase in overall fracture risk. However, upon adjustment, no increase in fracture risk could be demonstrated in any age or dose group. CONCLUSION: Oral contraceptives are not associated with an increase or a decrease in fracture risk. Any change in fracture risk may be due to confounders.  相似文献   

20.
Ivanov VK 《Health physics》2007,93(5):470-479
The presented work summarizes data on estimated radiation risks among Chernobyl emergency workers of the Russian Federation. In 1991-1998, the excess relative risk (ERR) of death from malignant neoplasm was statistically significant: excess relative risk per 1 Gy (ERR/Gy)=2.11 with 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.31-2.92). In 1991-2001, the ERR estimation for incident solid cancers gives a positive, but statistically insignificant value: ERR/Gy=0.34 with 95% CI (-0.39; 1.22). In 1986-2003, radiation risk for leukemia incidence was investigated. During the first 10 y after the Chernobyl accident (1986-1996) the relative risk (RR) of leukemia (excluding chronic lymphocytic leukemia) was statistically significant: RR=2.2 with 95% CI (1.3-3.8) for emergency workers with doses>0.15 Gy in comparison with less exposed workers. In 1986-2000, a statistically significant dose response was observed for incident cerebrovascular diseases: ERR/Gy=0.39, 95% CI=(0.004; 0.77). For doses>0.15 Gy a statistically significant risk of cerebrovascular diseases as a function of mean daily dose was observed: ERR per 0.1 Gy d(-1)=2.17 with 95% CI=(0.64; 3.69). Different but overlapping cohorts of Russian emergency workers were used for these estimations. No adjustments were made for recognized risk factors for cerebrovascular diseases. All results should be considered as preliminary.  相似文献   

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