Critically ill medical patients, their demographics and outcome

There are few reports describing the demographic details and outcome of noncoronary medical patients on adult general intensive care units. It is not known how medical patients differ from other critically ill patients and how this may influence their outcome. Consequently, we recorded the demographic details of 374 critically ill medical patients and followed their survival for up to 3 years. Patients referred from medical specialties are younger, more severely ill and suffer a higher severity-of-illness-adjusted intensive care unit mortality than other patients. The short-term survival of medical patients is poor with a median survival of 40 days. Twenty per cent of medical patients die after discharge from intensive care but before 40 days. However, the long-term survival of medical patients is better than other patients and almost as good as the general population. Further research is required to identify those patients who are likely to survive beyond 40 days.     

Acute subdural hematoma: Outcome and outcome prediction

Patients with traumatic acute subdural hematoma were studied to determine the factors influencing outcome.Between January 1986 and August 1995, we collected 113 patients who underwent craniotomy for traumatic acute subdural hematoma. The relationship between initial clinical signs and the outcome 3 months after admission was studied retrospectively.Functional recovery was achieved in 38% of patients and the mortality was 60%. 91% of patients with a high Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score (9–15) and 23% of patients with a low GCS score (3–8) achieved functional recovery. All of 14 patients with a GCS score of 3 died. The mortality of patients with GCS scores of 4 and 5 was 95% to 75%, respectively. Patients over 61 years old had a mortality of 73% compared to 64% mortality for those aged 21–40 years. 97% of patients with bilateral unreactive pupil and 81% of patients with unilateral unreactive pupil died. The mortality rates of associated intracranial lesions were 91% in intracerebral hematoma, 87% in subarachnoid hemorrhage, 75% in contusion.Time from injury to surgical evacuation and type of surgical intervention did not affect mortality. Age and associated intracranial lesions were related to outcome. Severity of injury and pupillary response were the most important factors for predicting outcome.     

Early prediction of outcome in severe head injury

Summary A survey is given of the development and actual state of the prediction of outcome in severe head injury. Thanks to the data collection in some large databanks it has become possible, in a relatively large number of cases, to estimate reliably the chances of survival and the chance of developing an intracranial haematoma base on clinical data and CT obtained during the first 24 hours. Later during the posttraumatic course prediction is possible of the degree of remaining disability in survivors, and the chances of developing epilepsy and neuro-behavioural sequelae. Due to changing management-regimens further datacollection in international databanks is necessary.Invited Lecture, presented at the European Congress of Neurosurgery, Moscow, June 23–29, 1991.     

Comparison of functional outcome following acute care in young, middle-aged and elderly patients with traumatic brain injury

Primary objective: To compare functional physical and cognitive outcome of patients in three age groups with mild, moderate and severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) at discharge from acute care.

Research design: Retrospective database review.

Methods and procedures: Scores on the Extended Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOSE) and on the FIM™ instrument,1 discharge destination and length-of-stay (LOS) were gathered and compared for 2327 patients with TBI admitted to a level 1 trauma hospital from 1997-2003 divided into three age groups; 971 patients between 18-39 years, 672 between 40-59 years and 684 aged 60-99 years.

Main outcomes and results: Relative to younger adults with similar TBI severity, elderly patients showed worse outcome on the GOSE and FIM™ instrument (physical and cognitive ratings) and longer LOS. No difference was observed between the young and middle-aged groups except for cognitive FIM™ ratings and LOS for severe TBI. A higher percentage of elderly patients went to in-patient rehabilitation, to long-term care facilities or died compared to young and middle-aged patients. A higher number of young and middle-aged patients were discharged home.

Conclusions: Further development of services in early rehabilitation as well as post-rehabilitation geared to the specific needs of the elderly patient with TBI is required as the population ages.     

Long-term outcome of elderly patients requiring intensive care admission for abdominal pathologies: survival and quality of life

BACKGROUND: Medical developments have allowed the management of patients aged over 70 years with severe abdominal pathologies requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission. These patients require enhanced life support and present a high ICU mortality. We investigated the outcome and quality of life (QOL) of elderly patients 2 years after their ICU stay for abdominal pathologies. METHODS: Patients aged 70 years or over with abdominal pathologies, admitted to our ICU over a period of 2 years, were included. Two years following their ICU stay, a letter informed the patients about the present study. Consent to participate was obtained by telephone. QOL was assessed by the Euro-QOL and Short Form-36 questionnaires. Other patient-centered outcomes were evaluated. RESULTS: Overall, 2780 patients were admitted to the ICU during the study period; 141 (5%) patients were eligible; 112 of the 141 (79%) survived their ICU stay, 95 (67%) survived their hospital stay and 52 (37%) were alive 2 years after their ICU stay; 36 of the 52 survivors (69%) answered the questionnaire. Their QOL 2 years after their ICU stay was decreased in comparison with an age-matched population. Eighty-one per cent of patients lived at home and 57% were totally independent. They perceived their ICU stay as positive and 75% stated that they would agree to go through intensive care again. Factors associated with 2-year survival were the absence of co-morbidity, absence of malignancy and a lower Simplified Acute Physiology II score on ICU admission. CONCLUSIONS: A high mortality rate and a decrease in QOL were observed in elderly patients with severe abdominal pathologies. Nonetheless, these patients were able to adapt well to their physical disabilities.     

Acute kidney injury in the elderly hospitalized patients

Objective: We aimed to evaluate acute kidney injury (AKI), occurrence of recovery and risk factors associated with permanent kidney injury and mortality in the elderly individuals. Design: Evidence for this study was obtained from retrospective cohort study from our center. Patients: A total of 193 patients (>65 years, mean age: 79.99?±?6.93) with acute kidney injury were enrolled in this study between 2011 and 2012. Patients with kidney failure or renal replacement therapy (RRT) history at admission were excluded. Intervention: Main outcome measurements: serum creatinine (SCr), estimated GFR (with CKD-Epi) and complete blood counts were evaluated at baseline and daily basis thereafter. The AKI was defined based on Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) classification. Results: Among 193 patients, 43 (22%) patients required RRT. Mortality rate was 18% (n?=?36) SCr levels were restored within 9.9?±?6.7days on average (8–39 days). Sixteen patients (12.7%) required RRT after discharge. The mean hospital stay was 10.1?±?8.6 days (7–41 days). Mortality rate of patients who have no renal recovery was higher (44.8% vs. 4.8%) than renal recovery group (p?0.01). Conclusion: The AKI represents a frequent complication in the elderly patients with longer hospital stay and increased mortality and morbidity. Our results show that dialytic support requirement is an independent predictor of permeant kidney injury in the elderly AKI patients. Older age, low diastolic blood pressure, high CRP and low hemoglobin levels were independent risk factors for mortality.     

Routine clinical adoption of magnetic resonance imaging was associated with better outcome after surgery in elderly patients with a malignant astrocytic tumour: a retrospective review

Summary Background. There is controversy about extensive surgical treatment for a malignant astrocytic tumour in more elderly patients who may have poorer outcomes and higher complication rates. This retrospective study investigated outcome in elderly patients with malignant astrocytic tumour before and after the adoption of routine clinical use of magnetic resonance (MR) imaging.Methods. During 1982 through 1999, 88 patients with malignant astrocytic tumour aged 60 years or over were treated in our institute. Thirty-seven patients had an anaplastic astrocytoma and 51 had a glioblastoma. Thirty-seven patients treated from 1982 to 1988 did not have pre-operative evaluation by MR imaging (Group A), 26 patients treated from 1989 to 1995 had preoperative MR imaging evaluation (Group B), and 25 patients treated after 1996 underwent preoperative MR imaging with functional brain mapping and intra-operative navigation system monitoring (Group C).Findings. The median survival time was 8.8 months in Group A, 12.7 months in Group B, and 17.6 months in Group C. Patients with glioblastoma in Group B (11.7 months, n = 15) and Group C (16.0 months, n = 19) had significantly longer median survival time than in Group A (6 months, n = 17) (P = 0.0054 between Groups A and B, P = 0.0024 between Groups A and C). Better preoperative performance status, more thorough surgical resection, and better performance status after the initial treatment was obtained after the introduction of MR imaging, and patients with the optimal indicators showed significantly longer survival time compared with the patients without these factors.Interpretation. Pre-operative MR imaging may contribute to longer survival time by providing an earlier diagnosis in patients with better performance status, by allowing more thorough surgical resection, and resulting in better performance status after the treatment.     

Time trends in the outcome of elderly patients with breast cancer

Abstract:  Mortality rates for breast cancer are improving in most countries. Life expectancy is also improving, and as age is the major risk factor for the development of breast cancer, we sought to determine whether survival of elderly women with breast cancer has improved over the past 20 years in our institution. In a retrospective study using a prospectively maintained database, we identified 950 women aged ≥70 years diagnosed with breast cancer between 1980 and 2000. Overall survival of patients was compared between two different time cohorts—those diagnosed from 1980 to1990 and from 1991 to 2000—and between three age cohorts, 70–74, 75–79, and 80+ years. In all age groups, advanced stage, the need for mastectomy, and having chemotherapy were associated with a worse outcome on univariate analysis. Endocrine therapy (tamoxifen) was given to 60–70% of all age groups. After adjustment for clinical stage, we found no significant improvement in survival between the two time cohorts in any age groups. Compared with an age-matched group in the general population, these elderly breast cancer patients have a 62% increased risk of death. The results are likely to reflect lack of data to promote treatment guidelines. More clinical trials for older women are needed, if the benefits of recent advances in the management of this disease are to be extended to the over 70s. These data should, however, act as a benchmark for future audits.     

Validation of risk prediction tools in elderly patients who initiate dialysis

Purpose

The number of elderly patients with end-stage renal disease on maintenance dialysis therapy is gradually increasing. The elderly population has difficulties in making decisions regarding initiation of dialysis treatment because of their high morbidity and frailty. The purpose of this study was to determine the best prognostic tool in predicting short-term mortality in elderly patients undergoing dialysis.

Methods

This study is a multicenter retrospective study. We enrolled patients, aged ≥ 75 years, who began hemodialysis at three university hospitals in Korea from January 2010 to December 2016. We applied two comorbidity-based score tools (Thamer and Wick, each consisting of seven variables) and the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS, seven scales), which were validated for mortality prediction in elderly incident patients. Patient’s information was obtained from electronic medical records in the participating center, and mortality data (up to December 2016) were obtained from the Korean National Statistical Office. Models were compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

Results

Among the 219 patients enrolled in this study, the 3- and 6-month mortality rates were 31 (14.4%) and 48 (22.4%), respectively. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that both score systems and the CFS showed similar performance while predicting 3- and 6-month mortality. The scores from these indices correlated with survival time.

Conclusion

Predicting short-term mortality and long-term survival time for elderly patients is possible using the Thamer and Wick scores and the CFS.

     

The effect of tracheostomy on outcome in intensive care unit patients

BACKGROUND: Percutaneous dilatation tracheostomy (PDT) is increasingly being used in the intensive care unit (ICU), and has probably increased the number of procedures performed. The primary aim of this study was to document the short- and long-term outcome of patients with a tracheostomy performed during an ICU stay. METHODS: Patients in our ICU who underwent an unplanned tracheostomy between 1997 and 2003 were included in this analysis. The type of tracheostomy (PDT or surgical tracheostomy) and time of the procedure were registered prospectively in our ICU database. Survival was followed using the People's Registry of Norway and morbidity data from the individual hospital record. These patients were also compared with a group of ICU patients ventilated for more than 24 h, but managed without a tracheostomy. We also compared patients who had early tracheostomy (less than median time to procedure) with those who had late tracheostomy. RESULTS: Of the 2844 admissions (2581 patients), unplanned tracheostomy was performed during 461 admissions (16.2%) on 454 patients (17.6%). The median time to tracheostomy was 6 days. The ICU, hospital and 1-year mortality rates were 10.8, 27.1 and 37.2%, respectively, significantly less than those of the group ventilated without tracheostomy. The median time to decannulation was 14 days. Patients who had early tracheostomy had a more favourable long-term survival than those who had late tracheostomy. No procedure-related mortality was registered. CONCLUSIONS: In our ICU, having a tracheostomy performed was associated with a favourable long-term outcome with regard to survival, and early tracheostomy improved survival in addition to consuming less ICU resources.     

Renal tumour surgery in elderly patients

OBJECTIVE

To analyse morbidity, renal function and oncological outcome in patients aged ≥80 years who had surgery for renal tumours, as in the elderly such surgery is controversial in relation to life‐expectancy and other causes of death.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between 1990 and 2006, in our institution 1625 patients had surgery to treat solid renal tumours suspected to be renal cell carcinoma (RCC); 62 (4%) were aged ≥80 years (mean 82.5), and 73% of these elderly patients had radical nephrectomy (RN) and 27% nephron‐sparing surgery (NSS). Results The median (range) follow‐up was 3.1 (0.2–14.1) years (89% of the patients). There was no perioperative mortality. There were only minor complications in 47% of patients, most (34%) being temporary increases in serum creatinine level. Histopathologically, 10% of the 62 patients had benign lesions and 90% had RCC. Of the 56 patients with RCC, the stage was pT1a in 34%, pT1b in 25%, pT2 in 5% and pT3 in 36%. For those treated with RN the median (range) serum creatinine level before and after RN was 1.0 (0.7–1.8) and 1.4 (1.0–2.8) mg/dL (P < 0.05), and for those treated with NSS were 1.1 (0.7–4.4) and 1.2 (0.7–4.8) mg/dL (not significant), respectively. The 5‐year overall survival was 68% and the cancer‐specific survival was 85%.

CONCLUSIONS

Surgery for renal tumours is safe in elderly patients, with a low perioperative morbidity and a good overall survival rate. Patients should be selected carefully according to comorbidities, biological age and social support.     

Impact of gender on treatment and outcome of ICU patients

BACKGROUND: Gender modifies immunologic responses caused by severe trauma or critical illness. The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of gender on hospital mortality, length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, and intensity of care of patients treated in ICUs. METHODS: Data on 24,341 ICU patients were collected from a national database. We measured severity of illness with Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores and intensity of care with Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System (TISS) scores. We used logistic regression analysis to test the independent effect of gender on hospital mortality. We compared the lengths of ICU stay and the intensity of care of men and women. RESULTS: Male gender was associated with increased hospital mortality among postoperative ICU patients [adjusted odds ratio 1.33 (95% confidence interval 1.12-1.58, P = 0.001)] but not among medical patients [adjusted odds ratio 1.02 (95% confidence interval 0.92-1.13, P = 0.74)]. Male gender was associated with an increased risk of death particularly in the oldest age group (75 years or older) and among the patients with relatively low APACHE II scores (<16). Mean length of ICU stay was 3.2 days for men and 2.6 days for women (P < 0.001). Male patients comprised 61.7% of the study population but consumed 66.0% of days in intensive care. CONCLUSION: Male gender contributes to poor outcome in postoperative ICU patients. Approximately two-thirds of ICU resources are consumed by male patients.     

ICU admission in patients infected with the human immunodeficiency virus — a multicentre survey

We conducted a retrospective study to assess the reasons for admission to the intensive care unit, and subsequent outcome, in patients infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Four hospitals in the south of England participated, all with specialist HIV units. Data were collected on 127 patients admitted to ICU on 133 separate occasions between June 1993 and October 1997. The mean age on admission was 38 years (range 23-60 years). Ninety-four patients (70.7%) were documented HIV-positive before admission and 36 (27%) were diagnosed HIV-positive for the first time during admission; 36.1% were admitted with Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia. Overall ICU mortality was 33%, in-hospital mortality was 56% and the eventual mortality at the end of follow-up (March 1998) was 72%. Survival was highest in those admitted with respiratory HIV-related disease or HIV-unrelated illness. Associations with poor outcome included a prior AIDS-defining illness, a CD4 cell count of less than 100 cells.ml-1 and admission secondary to sepsis.     

Preoperative prediction of long-term outcome following laparoscopic fundoplication

Background: Although long‐term outcomes following laparoscopic fundoplication for gastro‐oesophageal disease have now been reported as very satisfactory, a small, but important, minority of patients are unhappy with the outcome, often due to recurrent reflux symptoms or new‐onset dysphagia. In this study, we sought to establish whether various parameters that can be determined before surgery, can predict the long‐term outcome of surgery. Methods: Data collected prospectively were evaluated to determine factors that were associated with outcome at 5 years following laparoscopic fundoplication. Inclusion criteria were complete preoperative assessment data and 5‐year follow‐up data. Data examined included information on preoperative age, sex, weight, home address, health insurance status, duration of reflux symptoms, previous surgery, operating surgeon, endoscopy and 24‐h pH monitoring. In addition, lower oesophageal sphincter resting and residual relaxation pressures were evaluated before and after surgery. The postoperative symptoms of heartburn and dysphagia, as well as overall satisfaction 5 years following surgery was determined using a 0?10 visual analogue scale. The association of the pre‐ and perioperative factors and outcome at 5 years was determined by univariate and linear regression analysis. Results: Two hundred and sixty‐two patients from an overall experience of over 1000 laparoscopic anti‐reflux procedures met the entry criteria. There was no association between patient address, age, weight, duration of symptoms, the presence of endoscopically proven oesophagitis, operating surgeon, the necessity for conversion to an open procedure, change in lower oesophageal sphincter residual relaxation pressure and the outcome parameters. Using univariate analysis, a higher heartburn score was associated with previous abdominal surgery, female sex, no private health insurance, and a normal preoperative 24‐h pH study. A higher dysphagia score was associated with a normal preoperative pH study, a postoperative increase in lower oesophageal sphincter resting pressure of more than 6 mmHg, and previous abdominal surgery. Overall satisfaction with the outcome at 5 years was higher among male patients, private patients, patients who had a hiatus hernia, and patients who had an abnormal preoperative pH study. Linear regression analysis confirmed that private insurance, male sex, and the absence of previous abdominal surgery, were the strongest predictors of an improved heartburn score, whereas male sex and private health insurance were the strongest predictors of greater satisfaction with the overall outcome. Conclusions: There are parameters that can be assessed before or during laparoscopic Nissen fundoplication that correlate with late outcome parameters. In particular, male patients and those from higher socioeconomic groups appear to have a better long‐term outcome.     

Postoperative outcome among elderly patients after general anesthesia

BACKGROUND: Preoperative decision-making for elderly patients requires a long-term perspective. The aim of this study was to identify preoperative risk factors for decreased 1- to 5-year survival rates and to compare the survival rates of stratified risk groups with those of the sex- and age-matched general population. METHODS: Subjects were 406 patients, aged 80 years or older, who underwent surgery with general anesthesia. Higher age, male sex, dependency in daily living, low serum albumin level, malignancy, abdominal surgery, emergency surgery and high ASA class were analyzed for survival using univariate and multivariate analysis with Cox's proportional hazard model. One- to 5-year survival rates were estimated using life table analysis for patients divided by risk factors. The survival data were also compared with the cumulative survival rates of the sex- and age-matched general population. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis identified three factors that were significantly associated with decreased survival rates: male sex, dependency in daily living and abdominal surgery. Long-term survival among patients older than 90 years was comparable to those of the general population. Although improved in recent years, overall survival rates were much lower than expected due to poor outcome among patients dependent in daily living and those who underwent abdominal surgery. CONCLUSIONS: In patients 80 years or older who underwent surgery with general anesthesia, independent risk factors for decreased survival are male sex, dependency in daily living and abdominal surgery. Only patients independent in daily living who underwent non-abdominal surgery had survival rates comparable to those of the general population.     

Associations between comorbidities, treatment choice and outcome in the elderly with end-stage renal disease.

BACKGROUND: New patients treated for end-stage renal disease are increasingly elderly: in France, 38% are 75 years or older. The best treatment choices for the elderly are still debated. METHODS: We studied case-mix factors associated with choice of initial dialysis modality and 2-year survival in the 3512 patients aged 75 years or older who started dialysis between 2002 and 2005 and were included in the French REIN registry. RESULTS: Overall, 18% began with peritoneal dialysis (PD), 50% with planned haemodialysis (planned HD) and 32% with unplanned HD, that is, HD that started on an emergency basis. At least one comorbid condition was reported for 85%, and three or more for 36%, but case-mix varied with age. PD was chosen significantly more often than planned HD for the oldest (> or =85) compared with the youngest (75-79) patients: odds ratio 2.1 (95% confidence interval, 1.5-2.8), in those with congestive heart failure: 1.8 (1.5-2.3) and severe behavioural disorder: 2.2 (1.3-3.5), but less often for obese patients: 0.5 (0.3-0.8) and smokers: 0.4 (0.2-0.9). Two-year survival rates were 58, 52 and 39% in patients aged 75-79, 80-84 and > or =85, respectively. Compared with planned HD, unplanned HD was associated with a risk of mortality 50% higher, and PD with a risk 30% higher, independent of patient case-mix. CONCLUSION: PD is a common treatment option in French elderly patients, but our study suggests the need for caution in the long-term use. The high frequency of unplanned HD would require further attention.     

The male perineal sling: assessment and prediction of outcome

PURPOSE: The male perineal sling has become an option for treating male stress incontinence. We evaluated its overall efficacy and determined preoperative parameters that could predict success. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 62 men with stress incontinence were prospectively evaluated and underwent a male perineal sling. Preoperatively 24-hour pad weight, urodynamics and a number of validated incontinence questionnaires were completed. At a minimum of 3 months of followup 24-hour pad weight and questionnaires were repeated. Success was assessed using the 1 question Patient Global Impression of Improvement. The Patient Global Impression of Improvement was compared to a number of other subjective and objective measures of outcome. Finally, preoperative parameters were evaluated to determine predictors of outcome. RESULTS: As determined by the Patient Global Impression of Improvement, the success rate was 58%. The only preoperative factor predictive of success was 24-hour pad weight. An individual had a 71% chance of successful surgery if preoperative pad weight was less than 423 gm. There was a statistically significant difference between successes and failures in terms of postoperative pad weight and certain questionnaires, including the UCLA/RAND Prostate Cancer Index urinary function score, International Consultation on Incontinence short form, Incontinence Impact Questionnaire, Urogenital Distress Index and International Prostate Symptom Score. The overall complication rate was 21% and the reoperation rate was 14.5%. CONCLUSIONS: The male perineal sling can be an effective surgical treatment for stress incontinence in the appropriate patient. The procedure is most successful in patients with lesser objective degrees of incontinence. The Patient Global Impression of Improvement is an effective tool for assessing outcome for this population.     

The acute physiology and chronic health evaluation III outcome prediction in patients admitted to the intensive care unit after pneumonectomy

PURPOSE: The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) III prognostic system has not been previously validated in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) after pneumonectomy. The purpose of this study was to determine if the APACHE III predicts hospital mortality after pneumonectomy. METHODS: A retrospective review of all adult patients admitted to a single thoracic surgical intensive care unit after pneumonectomy between October 1994 and December 2004. Patient demographics, ICU admission day APACHE III score, actual and predicted hospital mortality, and length of hospital and ICU stay data were collected. Data on preoperative pulmonary function tests and smoking habits were also collected. Univariate statistical methods and logistic regression were used. The performance of the APACHE III prognostic system was assessed by the Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic for calibration and area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for discrimination. RESULTS: There were 417 pneumonectomies performed during the study period, of which 281 patients were admitted to the ICU. The mean age was 61.1 years, and 67.2% were men; 88.2% were smokers with a median of 40.0 (interquartile range, 18-62) pack-years of tobacco use. The mean APACHE III score on the day of ICU admission was 37.7 (+/- standard deviation 17.8), and the mean predicted hospital mortality rate was 6.4% (+/-10.4). The median (and interquartile range) lengths of ICU and hospital stay were 1.7 (0.9-3.1) and 9.0 (7.0-17.0) days, respectively. The observed ICU and hospital mortality rates were 4.6% (13/281 patients) and 8.2% (23/281), respectively. The standardized ICU and hospital mortality ratios with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were 1.55 (0.71-2.39) and 1.27 (0.75-1.78), respectively. There were significant differences in the mean APACHE III score (p < 0.001) and the predicted mortality rate (p < .001) between survivors and nonsurvivors. In predicting mortality, the AUC of APACHE III prediction was 0.801 (95% CI, 0.711-0.891), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic was 9.898 with a p value of 0.272. Diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO) and percentage predicted DLCO were higher in survivors, but the addition of either of these variables to a logistic regression model did not improve APACHE III mortality prediction. CONCLUSIONS: In patients admitted to the ICU after pneumonectomy, the APACHE III discriminates moderately well between survivors and nonsurvivors. The calibration of the model appears to be good, although the low number of deaths limits the power of the calibration analysis. The use of APACHE III data in outcomes research involving patients who have undergone pneumonectomy is acceptable.