Prospective validation of the Glasgow Meningococcal Septicaemia Prognostic Score. Comparison with other scoring methods

A prospective observational study was done to derive performance characteristics for the Glasgow Meningococcal Septicaemia Prognostic Score (GMSPS) and compare it with nine other severity scores (Stokland, Stiehm and Damrosch, Ansari, Niklasson, Leclerc, Kahn and Blum, Lewis, Istanbul and Bjark) and laboratory markers of disease severity. In the paediatric departments of six hospitals in Merseyside, UK, 278 children with confirmed or probable meningococcal disease were admitted between November 1988 and August 1990 ( n=152) and between September 1992 and April 1994 ( n=126); 26 of whom died. GMSPS was recorded on admission and again if there was clinical deterioration. Laboratory markers of disease severity (including endotoxin and cytokine levels) were measured on admission. The nine other scores were recorded on the first cohort. "Maximum" GMSPS (before referral to the paediatric intensive care unit) was achieved within 12 h of arrival in 97% of children. A GMSPS > or =8 had sensitivity 100%, specificity 75% and positive predictive value for death of 29%, GMSPS > or =10 had 100%, 88% and 46% respectively. All 26 who died scored >10, before referral to the paediatric intensive care unit. GMSPSs calculated by other medical staff had similar characteristics to those calculated by research fellows. All scores correlated significantly with white cell count, coagulopathy, endotoxin and cytokine levels. However, the predominantly clinical scores were the most robust. GMSPS had amongst the best performance characteristics of all scores and was more sensitive than laboratory markers. CONCLUSION: the Glasgow Meningococcal Septicaemia Prognostic Score is an easily performed, repeatable, clinical score that can rapidly identify children with fulminant meningococcal disease. When performed prospectively, a score > or =8 had a positive predictive value for death of 29%. This score can identify those children who should be offered intensive care and can select those who may benefit from novel therapies.     

Prediction of mortality by application of PRISM score in intensive care unit.

OBJECTIVE: Prediction of mortality by application of Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) score in Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) patients under Indian circumstances. DESIGN: Prospective study. SETTING: PICU of a tertiary care multi-specialty hospital. METHODS: 100 sick pediatric patients admitted consecutively in PICU were taken for this study. PRISM score was calculated. Hospital outcome was recorded as (died/survived). The predicted death was calculated by the formula: RESULTS: Of 100 patients, 18 died and 82 survived. By PRISM score 49 children had the score of 1-9. The expected death in this group was 10.3% (n = 5.03) and the observed death was 8.2% (n = 4). Among 45 children with the score of 10-19, the expected mortality was 21.2% (n = 9.6) and observed was 24.4% (n = 11). There were 3 patients with the score of 20-29, the expected mortality in this group was 39.3% (n = 1.18) and observed mortality 33.3% (n = 1). There were 3 patients with score > or = 30, observed death 66.3% (n = 2) and expected mortality was 74.7% (n = 2.24). There was no significant difference between expected and observed mortality in any group. (p > 0.5). ROC analysis showed area under the curve of 72%. CONCLUSION: PRISM score has good predictive value in assessing the probability of mortality in relation to children admitted to a PICU under Indian circumstances.     

Evaluation of the outcome of patients admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit in Alexandria using the pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) score

The aim of this prospective study was to evaluate the use of pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) score to predict the patient outcome in Alexandria Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU). The study included all admissions to a tertiary care teaching hospital for 13 months. All patients were subjected to thorough history taking and clinical examination. The PRISM score was obtained within 8 h from admission (including 14 parameters with 34 variables). The primary affected system, referral site, number of organ failure on admission, length of hospital stay (LOS) and outcome of patients were recorded. The bed occupancy rate, turnover rate, average LOS, total and adjusted death rates were also recorded. Results showed that the total and adjusted mortality rates were 50 and 38 per cent respectively (n = 205/406 and 125/326, respectively). The mean PRISM score on admission was 26. Non-survivors showed a significantly higher mean score compared with survivors (36 vs. 17). Non-survivors compared with survivors, were significantly younger (12 vs. 23 months), had shorter LOS (3.8 vs. 5.3 days), three or four organ system failure on admission (77 vs. 25 per cent, and 9 vs. 0 per cent of patients) and had significantly higher percentage of sepsis syndrome and neurological diseases, as the primary affected system (20 vs. 10 per cent and 26 vs. 16 per cent). The PRISM score showed a significant positive correlation only with the number of organ failure on admission (r = 0.8104; p < 0.001). The cut-off point of survival was a PRISM score 26 with expected/observed ratio of 1.05 for non-survivors with 91.6 per cent accuracy. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that PRISM score, LOS, and the primary affected system were relevant predictors of patient outcome in PICU. In conclusion, the PRISM score is proved to be a good predictor of outcome for children admitted to a PICU with a cut-off point of 26. The mortality in the PICU is affected by LOS, primary system affected, and number of organ failure on admission.     

The pediatric risk of mortality score in infants and children with fulminant liver failure

The pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) score as a severity scoring system has never been assessed in infants and children with fulminant liver failure (FLF). A retrospective case study of 109 infants and children admitted in a 22-bed pediatric and neonatal intensive care unit of a tertiary university hospital, National Referral Center for Pediatric Liver Transplantation, from March 1986 to August 1997 was carried out. PRISM score was not significantly different within etiologic FLF categories, or between infants and children. However, PRISM score (mean +/- SD) showed significant difference (p = 0.001) between the 27 patients who spontaneously recovered with supportive care (8.8 +/- 5.0) and 82 patients who underwent emergency liver transplantation (ELT) or those who died before (14.9 +/- 7.7). PRISM score-based probability of mortality was underestimated when compared with observed mortality. A death probability higher than 20% had a 24% sensitivity and 95% specificity for severe outcome. Reciever operating characteristic curve for PRISM score showed elevated discriminative power (Az = 0.91) for discerning children with severe outcome from those who spontaneously recovered with supportive care. A PRISM score more than 10 showed an odds ratio of 2.69 for predicting severe outcome (95% CI: 1.11-6.55; p = 0.038). In conclusion, the PRISM score is an accurate means of severity assessment in pediatric FLF. However, PRISM score-based mortality was of low predictive value.     

Gastric tonometry in septic shock

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the prognostic value of intramucosal pH (pHi) and the relation among pHi, arterial pH, base excess, and lactate in children with septic shock. DESIGN: Children admitted to the paediatric intensive care unit with a diagnosis of septic shock were prospectively enrolled. A gastrointestinal tonometer (Tonometrics Division, Instrumentarium Corporation, Helsinki, Finland) was placed into the stomach and intramucosal pH, arterial pH, base deficit, and lactate were measured on admission and six hours later. Sequential data were analysed on 24 patients (17 survivors, seven non-survivors), median age 46 months (range: 2.8-168 months). RESULTS: Median pHi on admission was 7.39 (interquartile range 7.36-7.51) in survivors compared with 7.2 (interquartile range 7.18-7.35) in non-survivors (p = 0.01). There was no significant difference in arterial pH, base excess, or lactate among survivors and non-survivors. Admission pHi < 7.32 predicted mortality with sensitivity (57%), specificity (94%), and positive predictive value (80%). Patients with admission pHi < 7.32 who failed to improve > or = 7.32 within six hours (n = 3) had 100% mortality. CONCLUSION: In children with septic shock the admission pHi is significantly lower in non-survivors. pHi is a better prognostic indicator of mortality than either standard acid-base values or lactate. pHi < 7.32 that does not improve within six hours is associated with a poor prognosis.     

Mortality Risk Prediction by Application of Pediatric Risk of Mortality Scoring System in Pediatric Intensive Care Unit

Objective

The Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) score is one of the scores used by many pediatricians for prediction of the mortality risk in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). Herein, we intend to evaluate the efficacy of PRISM score in prediction of mortality rate in PICU.

Methods

In this cohort study, 221 children admitted during an 18-month period to PICU, were enrolled. PRISM score and mortality risk were calculated. Follow up was noted as death or discharge. Results were analyzed by Kaplan-Meier curve, ROC curve, Log Rank (Mantel-Cox), Logistic regression model using SPSS 15.

Findings

Totally, 57% of the patients were males. Forty seven patients died during the study period. The PRISM score was 0-10 in 71%, 11-20 in 20.4% and 21-30 in 8.6%. PRISM score showed an increase of mortality from 10.2% in 0-10 score patients to 73.8% in 21-30 score ones. The survival time significantly decreased as PRISM score increased (P≤0.001). A 7.2 fold mortality risk was present in patients with score 21-30 compared with score 0-10. ROC curve analysis for mortality according to PRISM score showed an under curve area of 80.3%.

Conclusion

PRISM score is a good predictor for evaluation of mortality risk in PICU.     

Meningococcal bacterial DNA load at presentation correlates with disease severity.

AIMS: To determine bacterial loads in meningococcal disease (MCD), their relation with disease severity, and the factors which determine bacterial load. METHODS: Meningococcal DNA quantification was performed by the Taqman PCR method on admission and sequential blood samples from patients with MCD. Disease severity was assessed using the Glasgow Septicaemia Prognostic Score (GMSPS, range 0-15, severe disease > or =8). RESULTS: Median admission bacterial load was 1.6 x 10(6) DNA copies/ml of blood (range 2.2 x 10(4) to 1.6 x 10(8)). Bacterial load was significantly higher in patients with severe (8.4 x 10(6)) compared to milder disease (1.1 x 10(6), p = 0.018). This difference was greater in septicaemic patients (median 1.6 x 10(7) versus 9.2 x 10(5), p < 0.001). Bacterial loads were significantly higher in patients that died (p = 0.017). Admission bacterial load was independent of the duration of clinical symptoms prior to admission, with no difference between the duration of symptoms in mild or severe cases (median, 10.5 and 11 hours respectively). Bacterial loads were independent of DNA elimination rates following treatment. CONCLUSION: Patients with MCD have higher bacterial loads than previously determined with quantitative culture methods. Admission bacterial load is significantly higher in patients with severe disease (GMSPS > or =8) and maximum load is highest in those who die. Bacterial load is independent of the duration of clinical symptoms or the decline in DNA load.     

Life-threatening heart failure in meningococcal septic shock in children: non-invasive measurement of cardiac parameters is of important prognostic value

Heart failure is a life-threatening complication of fulminant meningococcal septic shock (MSS). Depression of left ventricular function, in particular, is thought to be due to circulating meningococcal endotoxin. Myocardial failure leads to ventricular dilation expressed by an increased left-ventricle end-diastolic diameter (LVED). With ultrasonography, LVED can be accurately measured as well as the shortening fraction (SF). In an evaluative study we investigated the accuracy of the SF and compared it to the accuracy of the Glasgow meningococcal septicemia prognostic score (GMSPS) in the prediction of mortality in children with fulminant MSS. In 27 children admitted in a 4-year period with a presumptive clinical diagnosis of fulminant MSS, hypotension persisted for more than 1 h despite volume loading and inotropic therapy. Seven of these children died (26%); all had an SF <0.30 and a GMSPS ≥10 (the sensitivity of both scores was 100%). Positive predictive values of the SF and GMSPS were 41% and 58% respectively. Conclusions SF can be used in addition to other severity scores in clinical decision-making and contribute to the selection of children with the worst prospects for inclusion in experimental treatment studies. Received: 18 February 1999 and in revised form: 4 May 1999 / Accepted: 11 October 1999     

Endothelial cell adhesion molecules in meningococcal disease.

BACKGROUND: Endothelial damage is important in meningococcal disease. Cell adhesion molecules, including P selectin, E selectin, and intercellular cell adhesion molecule 1 (ICAM-1), are expressed by activated endothelium and then subsequently shed. METHODS: ICAM-1, P selectin, and E selectin were measured on admission to hospital in children with meningococcal infections. RESULTS: Concentrations of shed cell adhesion molecules are reported for 78 children. Eleven did not have meningococcal disease. Of the 67 with meningococcal disease, 40 had mild disease (Glasgow meningococcal septicaemia prognostic score (GMSPS) < 8) and 27 had severe disease (GMSPS > or = 8). E selectin and ICAM-1 values were higher in those with meningococcal disease. The E selectin values in those with severe disease were higher than in those with mild disease. P selectin concentrations were not altered in meningococcal disease, but those who died had lower concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: Endothelial activation in meningococcal disease is reflected by shed ICAM-1 and E selectin concentrations.     

小儿死亡危险评分的临床应用

目的观察小儿死亡危险评分(PRISM评分)与PICU急性危重症患儿预后的关系。方法对2003年2-10月PICU收治急性危重症45例,回顾性评定PRISM评分,并依据评分分组,记录患儿临床资料和住院时间、预后。结果PRISM 评分<15分24例,>15分21例。两组年龄、体质量和院内感染率均无显著差异(P均>0.05)。两组死亡率分别为8.1%(2/ 24例)和38.1%(8/21例),PRISM评分<15分组死亡率明显低于>15分组(x2=4.14 P<0.05)。PRISM>15分组存活病例住院天数(13.2±6.1)d显著长于PRISM<15分组(9.7±8.5)d(t=1.74.P<0.05)。结论PRISM评分越高,死亡率随之增加。PRISM评分增高,患儿住院时间越长。PRISM评分能够准确评估急性危重症病人的严重程度和预后。     

Severe upper airway obstruction in the tropics requiring intensive care

BACKGROUND: The clinical profile of severe upper airway obstruction, a challenging acute pediatric emergency, has not been extensively documented in the developing nations of the tropics. METHODS: The diagnostic categories, severity of illness and outcome from 63 episodes of severe upper airway obstruction in 56 children admitted to the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit between January 1994 and December 1999 were reviewed. Outcome variables studied included requirement for ventilation, mortality and complications. Severity of illness was determined with the Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) II score. RESULTS: Viral croup (29%) was the most common diagnosis, followed by mediastinal malignancy (13%), bacterial tracheitis (11%) and Pierre Robin syndrome (11%). There were no admissions for acute epiglottitis. Thirty episodes (48%) required ventilation for a median duration of 4.0 days. Bacterial tracheitis (100%) and subglottic stenosis (100%) were the most likely diagnoses requiring ventilation. Difficulty in intubation was encountered in 13 episodes (43%) involving, in particular, patients with bacterial tracheitis (83%; P = 0.006). Only two patients required a tracheostomy. The overall mortality was 11%. The PRISM score for all categories was generally low (mean 10.3 +/- 1.0; median 9.0). Non-survivors had a significantly higher PRISM II score than survivors (27.4 +/- 9.7 vs 8.1 +/- 4.9, respectively; P = 0.002) and were more likely to include children with bacterial tracheitis and mediastinal malignancy. CONCLUSIONS: There is marked heterogeneity in the causes of upper airway obstruction in the tropics with viral croup remaining the most common. A significant proportion required ventilation, but outcome is generally favorable, except in those with bacterial tracheitis and mediastinal malignancy.     

Hyperglycemia is associated with morbidity in critically ill children with meningococcal sepsis

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between hyperglycemia and outcome in children ventilated for meningococcal sepsis. DESIGN: Retrospective case notes review. SETTING: Eight bedded pediatric intensive care unit in London. PATIENTS: Consecutive children ventilated for meningococcal sepsis 2001-2004. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS: Peak glucose for the entire admission was determined and mean glucose was calculated for the following three epochs: 1) first 24 hrs, 2) second 24 hrs, and 3) the entire pediatric intensive care unit admission. Patients were also grouped according to whether their blood glucose rose to >7 mmol/L (126 mg/dL), >10 mmol/L (180 mg/dL), or remained below these levels during the pediatric intensive care unit admission. Outcome measures were predicted mortality (based on pediatric risk of mortality score), ventilator free days at 30 days, nosocomial infection, use of renal replacement therapy, use of inotropes, and skin necrosis. MAIN RESULTS: Ninety-seven patients were identified with a median age of 2.1 yrs and a median length of stay of 4 days. Four patients died. Peak glucose significantly correlated with predicted mortality and negatively correlated with ventilator free days at 30 days (p < 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively). Patients who received renal replacement therapy or inotropic support, or developed a nosocomial infection or skin necrosis had significantly higher peak glucose than those who did not (p = 0.006, p < 0.0001, p = 0.022, and p < 0.0001, respectively). Patients who received renal replacement therapy or who developed skin necrosis had significantly higher mean blood glucose in the second 24 hrs of admission (p = 0.017 and p = 0.004, respectively). However, mean blood glucose in the first 24 hrs and over the entire admission did not correlate with outcome. Patients defined as hyperglycemic with blood glucose either >7 mmol/L or >10 mmol/L also had a significantly worse outcome than those who maintained blood glucose below these levels. CONCLUSIONS: There was a significant association between hyperglycemia and outcome. Our results support a trial of tight glycemic control in this group of critically ill children.     

Mortality in severe meningococcal disease

AIM—To evaluate mortality of critically ill children admitted with meningococcal disease.METHODS—Prospective study of all children admitted to a regional paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) between January 1995 and March 1998 with meningococcal disease. Outcome measures were actual overall mortality, predicted mortality (by PRISM), and standardised mortality ratio.RESULTS—A total of 123 children were admitted with meningococcal disease. There was an overall PICU mortality of 11 children (8.9%). The total mortality predicted by PRISM was 24.9. The standardised mortality ratio (SMR) was 0.44. Results were compared with those from four previously published meningococcal PICU studies (USA, Australia, UK, Netherlands) in which PRISM scores were calculated. The overall PICU mortality and SMR were lower than those in the previously published studies.CONCLUSION—Compared with older studies and calibrating for disease severity, this study found a decrease in the mortality of critically ill children with meningococcal disease.     

Mortality in severe meningococcal disease.

AIM: To evaluate mortality of critically ill children admitted with meningococcal disease. METHODS: Prospective study of all children admitted to a regional paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) between January 1995 and March 1998 with meningococcal disease. Outcome measures were actual overall mortality, predicted mortality (by PRISM), and standardised mortality ratio. RESULTS: A total of 123 children were admitted with meningococcal disease. There was an overall PICU mortality of 11 children (8.9%). The total mortality predicted by PRISM was 24.9. The standardised mortality ratio (SMR) was 0.44. Results were compared with those from four previously published meningococcal PICU studies (USA, Australia, UK, Netherlands) in which PRISM scores were calculated. The overall PICU mortality and SMR were lower than those in the previously published studies. CONCLUSION: Compared with older studies and calibrating for disease severity, this study found a decrease in the mortality of critically ill children with meningococcal disease.     

Low serum cortisol in combination with high adrenocorticotrophic hormone concentrations are associated with poor outcome in children with severe meningococcal disease

OBJECTIVES: To study the correlation between serum concentrations of adrenocorticotrophic hormone (ACTH) and cortisol in relation to severity of disease in children with meningococcal sepsis. METHODS: Subjects were children with meningococcal sepsis, admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit. Clinical data, laboratory values and blood samples were selected. Arterial cortisol, ACTH, interleukin 6 and tumor necrosis factor alpha concentrations were measured on admission and studied for their relation to severity of disease (sepsis, septic shock/survivors, septic shock/nonsurvivors). RESULTS: Seventy-two patients fulfilled the criteria for meningococcal sepsis. Sixty-two of these children with positive blood cultures of Neisseria meningitidis, who were not treated with corticosteroids before admission, were included. Fifty of the 62 patients had septic shock. Twelve of those children (24%) died. The median age of the subjects was 2.6 years (range, 0.3 to 16.1 years). Cortisol values were significantly lower in non-survivors (median, 654 nmol/l) than in survivors (median, 2184 nmol/l) (P < 0.01). ACTH values were significantly higher in children who died (median, 1271 ng/l) than in survivors (85 ng/l) (P < 0.01). The median cortisol:ACTH ratio decreased significantly depending on the disease severity categories. CONCLUSIONS: Low serum cortisol concentrations in combination with high ACTH concentrations are associated with poor outcome in children with severe meningococcal disease.     

Paediatric intensive care in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia: a developing subspecialty

Paediatric intensive care in Malaysia is a developing subspecialty with an increasing number of specialists with a paediatric background being involved in the care of critically ill children. A part prospective and part retrospective review of 118 consecutive non-neonatal ventilated patients in University Hospital, Kuala Lumpur was carried out from 1 June 1995 to 31 December 1996 to study the clinical epidemiology and outcome in our paediatric intensive case unit (PICU). The mean age of the patients was 33.9 +/- 6.0 months (median 16 months). The main mode of admission was emergency (96.6 per cent) with an overall mortality rate of 42 per cent (50/118). The mean paediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) score was 20 +/- 0.98 SEM, with 53 per cent of patients having a score of over 30 per cent. Multiorgan dysfunction (MODS) was identified in 71 per cent of patients. Admission efficiency (mortality risk > 1 per cent) was 97 per cent. Standardized mortality rate using PRISM was an acceptable 1.06. The main diagnostic categories were respiratory (32 per cent), neurology (22 per cent), haematology-oncology (18 per cent); the aetiology of dysfunction was mainly infective. Non-survivors were older (29.5 vs. 13.8 months, p < 0.0001), had more severe illness (mean PRISM score 30 vs. 14, p < 0.0001), were more likely to develop MODS (96 vs. 53 per cent, p < 0.0001) and required more intervention and monitoring. Paediatric intensive care in Malaysia differs widely from that in developed countries in patient characteristics, severity of illness, and care modalities provided.     

Use of the Pediatric Risk of Mortality Score as predictor of death and serious neurologic damage in children after submersion.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the Pediatric Risk of Mortality score (PRISM score) as a tool to evaluate the vital and neurologic prognosis of patients after submersion. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of the clinical histories of patients admitted to a tertiary pediatric hospital, Hospital Sant Joan de Déu, Barcelona, Spain from December 1977 to December 1999 as a consequence of near-drowning. PRISM score was calculated for each patient with data obtained upon arrival at the hospital. The probability of death was calculated using this score. RESULTS: There were 60 patients, divided into two groups as they were admitted to the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU group, n = 41) or to the Short Stay Unit (SSU group, n = 19). All patients in the SSU group survived without impairments, with PRISM scores or=24 or with probability of death >or=42% either died or had serious neurologic impairment. One third of patients with PRISM scores between 17 and 23 and/or probability of death between 16 and 42% either presented serious neurologic impairment or died. CONCLUSIONS: PRISM score enables the determination of either absence or presence of serious impairment or death in pediatric patients after submersion, if they present extreme values on this scale. However, in patients with intermediate PRISM scores, it is not possible to establish a reliable prognosis.     

Pneumococcal meningitis in Taiwanese children: emphasis on clinical outcomes and prognostic factors

Pneumococcal meningitis causes high morbidity or mortality in childhood despite the progress in medicine. Children with pneumococcal meningitis were identified and retrospectively reviewed. Forty-nine children were eligible, with mortality in 24.5% of all and neurological sequelae in 40.5% of survivors. In the analysis of clinical profiles, ventilator support (p = 0.001), septic shock (p < 0.001), multiple organ failure (p < 0.001) and lower cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) leukocyte count (p = 0.001) were more frequently found in non-survivors. Besides, CSF protein (p = 0.006) was higher in survivors with neurological sequelae. Initial dexamethasone usage and disease severity did not affect the occurrence of neurological sequelae. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that CSF leukocyte count or=330 g l(-1) (p = 0.022) were significantly risk factors associated with poor outcomes, and physicians should be cautious if such conditions occur.     

Procalcitonin as a diagnostic marker of meningococcal disease in children presenting with fever and a rash.

BACKGROUND: Procalcitonin (PCT), a precursor of calcitonin, is a recognised marker of bacterial sepsis, and high concentrations correlate with the severity of sepsis. PCT has been proposed as an earlier and better diagnostic marker than C reactive protein (CRP) and white cell count (WCC). This comparison has never been reported in the differentiation of meningococcal disease (MCD) in children presenting with a fever and rash. AIM: To determine if PCT might be a useful marker of MCD in children presenting with fever and rash. METHODS: PCT, CRP, and WCC were measured on admission in 108 children. Patients were classified into two groups: group I, children with a microbiologically confirmed clinical diagnosis of MCD (n = 64); group II, children with a self limiting illness (n = 44). Median ages were 3.57 (0.07-15.9) versus 1.75 (0.19-14.22) years respectively. Severity of disease in patients with MCD was assessed using the Glasgow Meningococcal Septicaemia Prognostic Score (GMSPS). RESULTS: PCT and CRP values were significantly higher in group I than in group II (median 38.85 v 0.27 ng/ml and 68.35 v 9.25 mg/l; p < 0.0005), but there was no difference in WCC between groups. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were higher for PCT than CRP and WCC. In group I, procalcitonin was significantly higher in those with severe disease (GMSPS >/=8). CONCLUSIONS: PCT is a more sensitive and specific predictor of MCD than CRP and WCC in children presenting with fever and a rash.     

Ferritin levels in children with severe sepsis and septic shock

AIM: To evaluate serum ferritin level in children with severe sepsis and septic shock and its association with mortality. METHOD: A cohort study of 36 children aged 1 month-16 years with severe sepsis or septic shock requiring intensive care was conducted. Serum ferritin levels were measured at the time of diagnosis of sepsis and a ferritin index (FI=observed serum ferritin divided by the upper limit of normal ferritin for age and gender) was calculated. RESULTS: The median age (range) of the children was 6 (2-100) months. Ferritin was <200 ng/mL in 13 children, 200-500 ng/mL in 11 children and >500 ng/mL in 12 children. The mortality associated with these groups was 23%, 9% and 58%, respectively. A ferritin>500 ng/mL was associated with a 3.2 (1.3-7.9) relative risk of death (p=0.01). FI of 1.7 was the best cutoff value for identifying those who died. In a logistic regression analysis, ferritin level and PRISM were independently associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Ferritin is raised in children with septic shock and high ferritin level is associated with poorer outcome.