Bladder cancer mortality in New Jersey counties, and relationship with selected environmental variables

Age-adjusted mortality rates for bladder cancer were calculated for the 21 New Jersey (NJ) counties (USA) during the period 1968-1977, and compared with the period 1950-1969, with the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) survey and with cancer mortality in the US 1973-1977. The county rates were also correlated with: the rates of low birth weight, birth defects, infant mortality; chemical waste disposal sites; annual per capital income; per cent of the population working in the chemical industries; density of population and urbanization indices of 21 NJ counties. Age-adjusted bladder cancer mortality rates in 95% of NJ counties were higher than national and SEER area rates. The overall NJ State rates for four subgroup populations were highly significantly (p less than 0.001) greater than the national rates. There was a statistically significant correlation between bladder and lung cancer mortality among females in 21 NJ counties which may suggest a common risk factor--namely cigarette smoking. There was no such correlation between bladder and lung cancer mortality among males. There was a statistically significant association between bladder cancer mortality in individual counties and the percentage of the adult population working in the chemical industries.     

Gastrointestinal cancer mortality in New Jersey counties, and the relationship with environmental variables

The State of New Jersey (NJ) USA has been thought to have an unusually high cancer mortality rate; this assumption has been based on 1950-1969 mortality data for its 21 counties. This paper presents an analysis of gastrointestinal (GI) cancer mortality rates in New Jersey counties during 1968-1977, a comparison with the 1950-1969 rates, and associations between current GI cancer mortality rates and selected environmental variables. Age-adjusted mortality rates for GI cancers were calculated for the 21 NJ counties during the period 1968-1977, and were compared with the period 1950-1969, with the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) survey and with cancer mortality in the US, 1973-1977. The county rates were also correlated with: the distribution of chemical toxic waste disposal sites; annual per capita income; the rates of low birth weight, birth defects, and infant mortality; chemical industry distribution; percentage of the population employed in chemical industries; the density of population; and the urbanization index for each of the counties. Some of the major findings are: Age-adjusted GI cancer mortality rates (all sites combined) were higher than national rates in 20 of 21 NJ counties. In comparison with national trends, NJ stomach cancer rates have declined less, oesophageal cancer rates have declined more, and pancreatic cancer mortality rates have followed similar patterns. Cancer mortality rates in NJ during the period 1968-1977 significantly (p less than 0.0001) exceeded national rates for cancer of the oesophagus (white male, non-white male), stomach (men and women), colon (white male, white female, non-white female), and rectum (whites only). In 18 of the 21 NJ counties, the observed number of cancer deaths for at least one GI cancer site was significantly greater than expected at the 0.0001 level for at least one population subgroup. Among white men, a significant (p less than 0.0001) excess of observed over expected cancer deaths was observed for three or more GI cancer sites in seven counties. The environmental variables that were most frequently associated with GI cancer mortality rates (except pancreatic cancer) were degree of urbanization, population density, and chemical toxic waste disposal sites. Some of the implications of the study findings are discussed and recommendations made for future investigations.     

Clusters of cancer mortality in New Jersey municipalities; with special reference to chemical toxic waste disposal sites and per capita income

The state of New Jersey (NJ), USA, has been thought to have an unusually high cancer mortality rate; this assumption has been based on 1950-1969 mortality data for NJ counties. This study presents an analysis of mortality from major cancers for NJ municipalities during 1968-1977, and correlates cancer mortality rates with several potentially relevant variables. Age-adjusted mortality rates for 13 major cancer sites for 194 municipalities of 10 000 or more people in 21 NJ counties were compared with cancer mortality in the US. Municipality rates were correlated with: distribution of chemical toxic waste disposal sites (CTWDS); annual per capita income; the rates of low birth weight, birth defects and infant mortality of NJ municipalities. Clusters of cancer mortality were observed in 23 municipalities in 10 counties in which a total of 98 age-adjusted cancer death rates were at least 50% above the national rate, and each of these municipalities had at least two race-sex-specific cancers in which the observed number of cancer deaths was greater than the expected number of deaths at the p less than 0.0005 level. Of these 98 excessive cancer death rates, 72% involved the gastrointestinal tract. Most of the municipalities are located in the highly industrialized densely populated northeastern part of the State. Correlation analyses showed a consistent and significant (p less than 0.05) negative correlation between income and cancer mortality in 11 of 12 cancers studied. These analyses also showed a significant positive association between 8 of 12 cancers studied and CTWDS in one or more subgroup populations and lesser associations with birth defects, low birth weight and infant mortality.     

Female reproductive organs and breast cancer mortality in New Jersey counties and the relationship with certain environmental variables

Age-adjusted female reproductive organs and breast cancer mortality rates (all sites combined) were higher in 19 of 21 New Jersey counties than the U.S. national rates. Compared with national trends, New Jersey cervical cancer and corpus uteri rates have declined less than the national rate among all races. Ovarian and breast cancer rates have not changed over the years, a pattern similar to that of the nation. New Jersey cancer mortality rates during the period 1968-1977 that highly significantly (P less than 0.0005) exceeded national rates were cancers of the cervix in 2 counties among whites and in one county among nonwhites; of the corpus uteri and uterus not specified in 3 counties among whites; of the ovaries in 3 counties among whites; and of the breast in 10 counties among whites. The overall New Jersey cancer mortality significantly (P less than 0.0005) exceeded national rates for ovarian cancer among whites and nonwhites and for breast cancer among whites. Statistically significant and positive correlations were found between breast cancer mortality and chemical toxic waste disposal sites, annual per capita income, urbanization index, and population density among whites in 21 New Jersey counties. Ovarian cancer mortality was also significantly and positively correlated with annual per capita income, and negatively with birth defects. Cervical cancer mortality showed a significant negative correlation with annual per capita income and a significant positive correlation with birth defects and low birth weight among nonwhites in 21 New Jersey counties.     

Health Disparities in Ischaemic Heart Disease Mortality in Hungary From 1970 to 2010: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis

Background

The objective of this study was to examine long-term trends in rates of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) mortality, a leading cause of mortality in Hungary. The study examined the effects of age, period, and cohort on IHD mortality rates and compared mortality rates between the capital (Budapest) and non-capital counties.

Methods

Data on IHD deaths and population censuses were obtained from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office. Age-period-cohort analysis utilized nine age-group classes for ages 40 to 84 years, eight time periods from 1970 to 2009, and 16 birth cohorts from 1886 to 1969.

Results

Age-adjusted IHD mortality rates for men and for women generally increased from 1970 to 1993 and from 1980 to 1999, respectively, decreasing thereafter for both sexes. IHD mortality rates for men and for women from Budapest were lower from 1991 and from 1970, respectively, than corresponding rates in non-capital counties, with the difference increasing after 1999. Age had a more significant influence on mortality rates for women than for men. The period effect increased from 1972 to 1982 and decreased thereafter for men, while the period effect decreased consistently for women from 1972 to 2007. The decline in period effect for both sexes was larger for individuals from the capital than for those from non-capital counties. The cohort effect for both sexes declined from birth years 1890 to 1965, with a steeper decline for individuals from the capital than for those from non-capital counties.

Conclusions

The findings indicate a need for programs in Hungary for IHD prevention, especially for non-capital counties.Key words: ischaemic heart disease, mortality, age-period-cohort, Hungary     

Age-specific trends in cardiovascular mortality rates in the Netherlands between 1980 and 2009

Recent analyses suggest the decline in coronary heart disease mortality rates is slowing in younger age groups in countries such as the US and the UK. This work aimed to analyse recent trends in cardiovascular mortality rates in the Netherlands. Analysis was of annual all circulatory, ischaemic heart disease (IHD), and cerebrovascular disease mortality rates between 1980 and 2009 for the Netherlands. Data were stratified by sex and 10-year age group (age 35–85+). The annual rate of change and significant changes in the trend were identified using joinpoint Poisson regression. For almost all age and sex groups examined the rate of IHD and cerebrovascular disease mortality in the Netherlands has more than halved between 1980 and 2009. The decline in mortality from both IHD and cerebrovascular disease is continuing for all ages and sex groups, with anacceleration in the decline apparent from the late 1990s/early 2000s. The decline in age-specific all circulatory, coronary heart disease and cerebrovascular disease mortality rates continues for all age and sex groups in the Netherlands.     

Respiratory organs cancer mortality in New Jersey counties and the relationship with selected demographic and environmental variables

The state of New Jersey (N.J.) has been thought to have an unusually high overall cancer mortality rate; this assumption has been based on national 1950–1969 mortality data for N.J. counties. This study presents an analysis of more recent rates of respiratory cancer mortality in 21 N.J. counties during 1968–1977, a comparison with the 1950–1969 rates, and associations between current respiratory cancer mortality rates and selected demographic and environmental variables. Age-adjusted mortality rates for cancer of respiratory organs were calculated for the N.J. counties during the period 1968–1977 and compared with the period 1950–1969, with the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) survey, and with cancer mortality in the United States, 1973–1977. The county rates were also correlated with chemical toxic-waste disposal sites (CTWDS), annual per capita income, percentage of the population employed in chemical industries, the density of population, and the urbanization index of each of 21 N.J. counties. The lung, bronchus, trachea, and pleura cancer mortality rates among white and nonwhite males and females in N.J. were substantially higher than the national rates during the period 1950–1969. In more recent years, the increases in U.S. mortality rates for lung, bronchus, trachea, and pleura cancers were significantly greater (P < 0.01) than those found in most of the 21 N.J. counties. As a consequence, the national rates are now more comparable to N.J. rates. Although the gaps between N.J. and the United States in these rates have narrowed, the observed number of laryngeal and lung cancer deaths remained significantly higher (P < 0.01 to P < 0.0001) than expected cancer deaths, based on U.S. rates, among one or more subgroup populations (white and nonwhite males and females) in several N.J. counties. Among white men in Middlesex, Camden, Burlington, and Ocean counties, the observed number of deaths for lung cancer was found to be significantly (P < 0.0001) greater than the expected number of deaths. In Hudson county observed deaths from both laryngeal and lung cancer among white men were significantly greater than the expected number of deaths from these cancers (P < 0.0001). Statistically significant and positive correlations were found between laryngeal cancer mortality and CTWDS, urbanization index, and population density. Lung cancer mortality also correlated significantly with CTWDS in N.J. Both larynx and lung cancer mortality showed significant and consistent negative correlations with annual per capita-income in N.J. Some of the implications of the study findings are discussed and recommendations made for future investigations.     

Exposure to carbon disulphide and ischaemic heart disease in a viscose rayon factory

The cohort of viscose rayon workers previously described by Tiller et al has been reconstructed and followed up to the end of 1982. The pattern of mortality at ages 45 to 64 for the extended period 1950-82 is similar to that described by Tiller et al for 1950-64. The spinners, the workers most heavily exposed to carbon disulphide, have a significantly higher mortality from all causes than the least exposed group. The excess mortality is largely accounted for by ischaemic heart disease (IHD) for which the spinners have an SMR of 172. When mortality is related to an exposure score in the same group, both all cause (p less than 0.01) and IHD (p less than 0.001) mortality increase with increasing exposure level. When this analysis is repeated covering all ages these trends become much less strong and only that for IHD remains significant (p less than 0.05). Over the age of 65 there is a tendency for mortality to decline with increasing exposure. This is contrary to expectation under the usual hypothesis that carbon disulphide promotes atherosclerosis. Instead it suggests that carbon disulphide has some type of reversible, direct cardiotoxic or thrombotic effect. This is supported by the findings that there is a strong trend (p less than 0.01) for IHD mortality to increase with increasing exposure in the previous two years. Further, both IHD (p less than 0.001) and total (p less than 0.01) mortality show highly significant trends with exposure among current workers but no such trends among workers who have left the industry.     

Exposure to carbon disulphide and ischaemic heart disease in a viscose rayon factory.

The cohort of viscose rayon workers previously described by Tiller et al has been reconstructed and followed up to the end of 1982. The pattern of mortality at ages 45 to 64 for the extended period 1950-82 is similar to that described by Tiller et al for 1950-64. The spinners, the workers most heavily exposed to carbon disulphide, have a significantly higher mortality from all causes than the least exposed group. The excess mortality is largely accounted for by ischaemic heart disease (IHD) for which the spinners have an SMR of 172. When mortality is related to an exposure score in the same group, both all cause (p less than 0.01) and IHD (p less than 0.001) mortality increase with increasing exposure level. When this analysis is repeated covering all ages these trends become much less strong and only that for IHD remains significant (p less than 0.05). Over the age of 65 there is a tendency for mortality to decline with increasing exposure. This is contrary to expectation under the usual hypothesis that carbon disulphide promotes atherosclerosis. Instead it suggests that carbon disulphide has some type of reversible, direct cardiotoxic or thrombotic effect. This is supported by the findings that there is a strong trend (p less than 0.01) for IHD mortality to increase with increasing exposure in the previous two years. Further, both IHD (p less than 0.001) and total (p less than 0.01) mortality show highly significant trends with exposure among current workers but no such trends among workers who have left the industry.     

Generational and regional differences in trends of mortality from ischemic heart disease in Japan from 1969 to 1992.

The authors compared generational and regional trends of premature mortality from ischemic heart disease (IHD) from 1969 to 1992 for persons aged 30-69 years. They selected Tokyo and Osaka prefectures as the most urbanized and compared them with the rest of Japan. The data were divided into two periods: period I (1969-1978, International Classification of Diseases, Eight Revision) and period II (1979-1992, International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision). In both populations, IHD mortality decreased for both sexes, but mortality from nonspecific heart disease remained constant in men and decreased in women. In Tokyo and Osaka prefectures, the percentage decline per year in IHD mortality for both sexes was significantly smaller in period II than in period I. However, in the rest of Japan, it did not decrease for either sex. Age-specific analysis showed that the percentage decline per year in period II was smallest for the group aged 30-49 years (men, 0.05%; women, 0.76%) in Tokyo and Osaka prefectures, while it was similar for all age groups in the rest of Japan. For men, the IHD mortality rate in 1991-1992 for those aged 30-49 years was higher in Tokyo and Osaka prefectures (9.4/100,000) than in the rest of Japan (5.4/100,000).     

The Impact of US County-Level Factors on COVID-19 Morbidity and Mortality

The effect of socio-economic factors, ethnicity, and other factors, on the morbidity and mortality of COVID-19 at the sub-population-level, rather than at the individual level, and their temporal dynamics, is only partially understood. Fifty-three county-level features were collected between 4/2020 and 11/2020 from 3,071 US counties from publicly available data of various American government and news websites: ethnicity, socio-economic factors, educational attainment, mask usage, population density, age distribution, COVID-19 morbidity and mortality, presidential election results, and ICU beds. We trained machine learning models that predict COVID-19 mortality and morbidity using county-level features and then performed a SHAP value game theoretic importance analysis of the predictive features for each model. The classifiers produced an AUROC of 0.863 for morbidity prediction and an AUROC of 0.812 for mortality prediction. A SHAP value-based analysis indicated that poverty rate, obesity rate, mean commute time, and mask usage statistics significantly affected morbidity rates, while ethnicity, median income, poverty rate, and education levels heavily influenced mortality rates. Surprisingly, the correlation between several of these factors and COVID-19 morbidity and mortality gradually shifted and even reversed during the study period; our analysis suggests that this phenomenon was probably due to COVID-19 being initially associated with more urbanized areas and, then, from 9/2020, with less urbanized ones. Thus, socio-economic features such as ethnicity, education, and economic disparity are the major factors for predicting county-level COVID-19 mortality rates. Between counties, low variance factors (e.g., age) are not meaningful predictors. The inversion of some correlations over time can be explained by COVID-19 spreading from urban to rural areas.Supplementary InformationThe online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11524-021-00601-7.     

All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality among US Youth: Socioeconomic and Rural–Urban Disparities and International Patterns

We analyzed international patterns and socioeconomic and rural–urban disparities in all-cause mortality and mortality from homicide, suicide, unintentional injuries, and HIV/AIDS among US youth aged 15–24 years. A county-level socioeconomic deprivation index and rural–urban continuum measure were linked to the 1999–2007 US mortality data. Mortality rates were calculated for each socioeconomic and rural–urban group. Poisson regression was used to derive adjusted relative risks of youth mortality by deprivation level and rural–urban residence. The USA has the highest youth homicide rate and 6th highest overall youth mortality rate in the industrialized world. Substantial socioeconomic and rural–urban gradients in youth mortality were observed within the USA. Compared to their most affluent counterparts, youth in the most deprived group had 1.9 times higher all-cause mortality, 8.0 times higher homicide mortality, 1.5 times higher unintentional-injury mortality, and 8.8 times higher HIV/AIDS mortality. Youth in rural areas had significantly higher mortality rates than their urban counterparts regardless of deprivation levels, with suicide and unintentional-injury mortality risks being 1.8 and 2.3 times larger in rural than in urban areas. However, youth in the most urbanized areas had at least 5.6 times higher risks of homicide and HIV/AIDS mortality than their rural counterparts. Disparities in mortality differed by race and sex. Socioeconomic deprivation and rural–urban continuum were independently related to disparities in youth mortality among all sex and racial/ethnic groups, although the impact of deprivation was considerably greater. The USA ranks poorly in all-cause mortality, youth homicide, and unintentional-injury mortality rates when compared with other industrialized countries.     

Death from cardiovascular disease in Italy, 1972-1981: decline in mortality rates and possible causes

Mortality rates for cardiovascular disease vary widely between countries, and epidemiological patterns (trends in incidence rates, prevalence of risk factors, availability of medical care) are heterogeneous even among industrialized nations. We studied mortality from cardiovascular disease in Italy from 1972 to 1981 and compared mortality to trends in risk factors during the same period. Age-adjusted mortality rates for acute ischaemic heart disease (IHD) have increased in Italy from 1972 to reach a peak in 1978 (180.53/100,000 in males, 51.55/100,000 in females), then declined between 1978 and 1981, by 7% in males and 5% in females. The decline was more evident in males and in the younger age groups. Deaths from chronic IHD reached a peak in 1973 in females and in 1975 in males, then decreased, respectively by 24.8% and 35.7% until 1981. Mortality for cerebrovascular disease declined from 1972 to 1981 by 16.2% in males and 21.5% in females. Data from national statistics and sample surveys in different areas of Italy show an increase in total calorie intake, in animal proteins, fats and dairy products and raised average serum cholesterol levels plus an increase in smoking prevalence but a possible decline in blood pressure levels. The roles of hypertension treatment and of access to specialized medical care are discussed as possible contributors to the new declining trend of IHD, and the need is stressed for preventive strategies in health promotion.     

Ischaemic heart disease mortality among men in Norway: reversal of urban-rural difference between 1966 and 1989.

OBJECTIVE--This study aimed to examine regional urban-rural differences in mortality from ischaemic heart disease, including sudden death of unknown cause (IHD/SUD) in Norway from 1966-89, for men and women aged 30-69 years. DESIGN--Analysis was based on vital statistics. Regional mortality rates were obtained by aggregating the 443 municipalities in Norway into urban, rural, and intermediate municipalities. SETTINGS AND SUBJECTS--Norway. RESULTS--In 1966-70 the age adjusted IHD/SUD mortality in the age group 30-69 years was higher in urban than in rural areas; for men by 31% (95% CI 27%, 36%) and for women by 28% (95% CI 19%, 36%). In 1986-89 the IHD/SUD mortality for men showed a reversed urban-rural gradient: it was 8% (95% CI 2%, 13%) higher in rural than in urban areas. The mortality rates for women were equal for both these aggregates. For men the results indicate that IHD/SUD mortality peaked first in urban municipalities and then, but at a lower level, in rural areas. For women there was a substantial decline in IHD/SUD mortality between 1966 and 1989, but an actual peak could not be demonstrated in any of the three aggregates during the period. The decline in IHD/SUD mortality among women was steepest in urban municipalities and least noticeable in rural municipalities, but the decline tapered off towards the end of the study period. CONCLUSION--The results confirm a phase-shifted peak in IHD/SUD mortality, which began in towns and ended in rural areas, and provides clues to the main underlying factors in the IHD epidemic at the population level.     

Breast cancer mortality in Appalachia: reversing patterns of disparity over time

Breast cancer death rates in the U.S. have decreased in recent decades, however areas such as Appalachia with fewer cancer care resources may not have experienced comparable mortality declines. This study examines trends in breast cancer mortality rate disparities in Appalachian states and the continental U.S. using data from SEER mortality files 1969-2007 and the Area Resource File. Overall breast cancer mortality rates decreased significantly, with a smaller decline in Appalachian counties (17.5%) compared with non-Appalachian counties in Appalachian states (30.5%), and compared with non-Appalachia U.S. counties (28.3%). After accounting for poverty, rural/urban status, education, health care resources, and proportion White in the population, residence in Appalachian counties except for those in the Northern subregion was significantly associated with smaller reduction in breast cancer mortality rates. Lower levels of education, physician density, and percent White in the population were also associated with smaller reductions in breast cancer mortality.     

Persistent clusters of mortality in the United States

We explored how place shapes mortality by examining 35 consecutive years of US mortality data. Mapping age-adjusted county mortality rates showed both persistent temporal and spatial clustering of high and low mortality rates. Counties with high mortality rates and counties with low mortality rates both experienced younger population out-migration, had economic decline, and were predominantly rural. These mortality patterns have important implications for proper research model specification and for health resource allocation policies.     

Cohort-specific trends in stroke mortality in seven European countries were related to infant mortality rates

OBJECTIVES: To assess, in a population-based study, whether secular trends in cardiovascular disease mortality in seven European countries were correlated with past trends in infant mortality rate (IMR) in these countries. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Data on ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke mortality in 1950-1999 in the Netherlands, England & Wales, France, and four Nordic countries were analyzed. We used Poisson regression to describe trends in mortality according to birth cohort, for the cohorts born between 1860 and 1939. Pearson correlation coefficients were calculated to determine associations between IMR and IHD, or stroke mortality. RESULTS: IHD mortality increased for successive cohorts up to 1900, and then started to decline. Stroke mortality levels were virtually stable among birth cohorts up to 1880, but declined rapidly among later cohorts. A strong positive association was found between cohort-specific IMR levels and stroke mortality rates. There were no strong cohort-wise associations between IMR and IHD mortality. CONCLUSION: These results support other studies in suggesting that living conditions in early childhood may influence population levels of stroke mortality. Future studies should determine the contribution of specific early life factors to the mortality decline in IHD and especially stroke.     

Patterns of Mortality in California Hmong, 1988–2002

Background From mid-1980s to early 1990s, there were several studies evaluating a condition known as “nocturnal sudden death syndrome” among the healthy, young Hmong (immigrants from Laos) individuals who mysteriously died from unknown causes during the night. To date, very little has been reported on the mortality patterns in the Hmong. The purpose of the present study is to examine causes of death (COD) and compare age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) in the Hmong with those of non-Hispanic white (NHW) population in California, which may yield useful data for health prevention and planning purposes. Methods This study was based on 2,744 Hmong deaths occurred in California from 1988 to 2002. To calculate AAMR, Hmong population at risk of dying was derived by interpolating Hmong population counts from the 1990 and 2000 decennial censuses. For comparison, AAMR were calculated for both Hmong and NHW, and the statistical test, incidence rate ratio, was used to examine differences in relative mortality risk of each major COD between Hmong and NHW. Results AAMR are highest in neoplasm (184.0/100,000), circulatory (277.9/100,000) and respiratory (100.0/100,000) diseases for both Hmong and NHW. The AAMR for all COD during the entire study time period was 879.5/100,000 in males and 736.0/100,000 in females. AAMR for all other COD range from 4.9/100,000 to 67.2/100,000. Hmong experienced 1.3–1.9 times higher mortality rates for certain COD, compared to NHW. Conclusion The interesting findings of this study are the differences in AAMR observed for lower ranking COD between Hmong and NHW. Hmong were found to be experiencing 1.3–1.9 times higher mortality rates for injuries and poisonings, digestive diseases, prenatal conditions, ENMID (endocrine, nutritional, metabolic, immunity disorders), infections and parasitic illnesses, and congenital anomalies when compared to NHW. However, while Hmong women were found to have statistically significantly higher mortality risk for injuries and poisonings (P-value < 0.05), ENMID (P-value < 0.05), and infections and parasitic ailments (P-value < 0.05) when compare to NHW women, Hmong men were observed to be at statistically significantly higher mortality risk for just infections and parasitic diseases (P-value < 0.05) when compared to NHW men     

Deaths from ischaemic heart disease and infant mortality in England and Wales.

Death rates from ischaemic heart disease (IHD) in English and Welsh counties are correlated, in both men and women, with the infant mortality rates of those counties when the individuals whose deaths are considered were young, thus confirming previous findings in Norway. In England and Wales, however, there is an equally good correlation between deaths from IHD and infant mortality patterns up to and including that for the same time period as the IHD deaths. The British data provide no grounds for concluding from these relationships that living conditions during early life per se bear a causal relationship to deaths from IHD.