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1.
Thyroid cancer incidence in the Bryansk region, the most contaminated area of Russia after the Chernobyl accident, is analyzed for the residents aged 15-69 y at the time of the accident (about 1 million persons according to the 1989 census) for the period from 1986 to 1998. Sex and age standardized incidence rates are presented and compared to the whole Russian population rates (SIR analysis). Also, a geographical correlation analysis is performed for incidence rates and mean thyroid doses at the district level, which provides a basis for preliminary estimation of radiation associated risks for the period 1991-1998 (to allow for a potential five year latent period). Thyroid doses were estimated based on the State official document "Methodology for reconstruction of dose from iodine radioisotopes in residents of the Russian Federation exposed to radioactive contamination as a result of the Chernobyl accident in 1986" (2000). Altogether, 1,051 thyroid cancer cases were detected in the Bryansk oncological dispensary from 1986 to 1998 and 769 from 1991 to 1998. Histological confirmation was available for 87% and 95% of these cases, respectively. Standardized incidence ratios (SIR) were 1.27 (95% CI = 0.92, 1.73) for the period 1986-1990 and 1.45 (95% CI = 1.20, 1.73) for the period 1991-1998 for males and 1.94 (95% CI = 1.70, 2.20) and 1.96 (95% CI = 1.82, 2.1) for females. The excess relative risk per 1 Gy (using external control) estimate for the period 1991-1998 was -0.4 (95% CI = -3.5, 2.7), -1.3 (95% CI = -2.8, 0.1) for males and females, respectively, and -0.6 (95% CI = -2.1, 0.8) for both sexes. Using internal controls, the excess relative risk (ERR(1Gy)) per unit dose of 1 Gy was found to be 0.7 with 95% CI (-2.3, 5.2) for males, -0.9 with 95% CI (-2.4, 0.8) for females and 0.0 with 95% CI (-1.4, 1.7) for males and females together. These results are discussed in the light of the quality of information available on thyroid cancer cases and screening campaigns carried out after the Chernobyl accident.  相似文献   

2.
BACKGROUND: A classification of 12 work categories was used to evaluate the cancer incidence and mortality among a cohort of Swedish rubber tire workers. METHODS: Cancer incidence and mortality in the cohort was compared with expected values from national rates. Standardized incidence and mortality ratios were calculated for the total cohort, for sub-cohorts and with the inclusion of a latency requirement. RESULTS: Among men, increased incidence and mortality risks were found for cancer in the larynx; SIR=2.10; 95% confidence intervals (95% CI): 1.05-3.76, SMR=2.08; 95% CI: 0.42-6.09. Increased risks were also seen for cancer in the trachea, bronchus, and lung; SIR=1.62; 95% CI: 1.28-2.02, SMR=1.54; 95% CI: 1.21-1.94, the incidence risk was highest among those with the longest exposure duration and among workers in compounding/mixing, milling, and maintenance. Decreased incidence risks were seen for cancer of the prostate (SIR=0.74; 95% CI: 059-0.92) and skin (SIR=0.57; 95% CI: 0.36-0.84). CONCLUSIONS: The finding of an excess of tumors in the respiratory system is in agreement with earlier findings in other studies on rubber tire workers. The results on other cancer types are compared to earlier findings and related to work processes and chemical exposures of possible causal importance.  相似文献   

3.
BACKGROUND: Occupational exposure to asbestos has been widely reported in the Region, but a high risk for non-occupational and environmental contaminations have also been documented. OBJECTIVES: To describe the geographical distribution ofpleural cancer deaths and compensated asbestosis cases from 1980 to 2001 in the Lazio Region. METHODS: For each municipality Standardized Mortality Ratios (SMRs) for pleural cancer and Standardized Incidence Ratios (SIRs) for asbestosis were estimated. Expected cases were estimated from age and gender specific rates in Lazio. SatScan software was used to identify clusters and to verf;j their statistical significance. RESULTS: 789 deaths from pleural cancer (495 males and 294 females) occurred in Lazio from 1980 to 2001. The standardized mortality rate per 100.000 inhabitants is 0,74 (0,95 for males and 0,54 for females). The main excess mortality from pleural cancer occurred in the municipalities of Civitavecchia (SMR: 269,9; 95% CI: 164,9 - 416,8), Colleferro (SMR: 304,9; 95% CI: 139,4-578,8) and Rocca Priora (SMR: 379,2; 95% CI: 103,3-970,9). Significant SIRs for compensated asbestosis cases were found in the industrial areas of the Naples-Rome highway and in the shipyard area of Civitavecchia. Nofemale compensated cases were found. The most important clusters were identified in the municipality of Civitavecchia for pleural cancer (p-value = 0,117) and in the Colleferro industrial area for compensated asbestosis cases (p-value = 0,001). CONCLUSIONS: Epidemiological surveillance of incident cases of malignant mesothelioma in the Lazio Region and the investigation of modalities of asbestos exposure are urgently needed for prevention of occupational diseases.  相似文献   

4.
Alachlor is the active ingredient in a family of preemergence herbicides. We assessed mortality rates from 1968 to 1993 and cancer incidence rates from 1969 to 1993 for manufacturing workers with potential alachlor exposure. For workers judged to have high alachlor exposure, mortality from all causes combined was lower than expected [23 observed, standardized mortality ratio (SMR) = 0.7, 95% CI, 0.4-1.0], cancer mortality was similar to expected (6 observed, SMR = 0.7, 95% CI, 0.3-1.6), and there were no cancer deaths among workers with 5 or more years high exposure and 15 or more years since first exposure (2.3 expected, SMR = 0, 95% CI, 0-1.6). Cancer incidence for workers with high exposure potential was similar to the state rate [18 observed, standardized incidence ratio (SIR) = 1.2, 95% CI, 0.7-2.0], especially for workers exposed for 5 or more years and with at least 15 years since first exposure (4 observed, SIR = 1.0, 95% CI, 0.3-2.7). The most common cancer for these latter workers was colorectal cancer (2 observed, SIR 3.9, 95% CI, 0.5-14.2 among workers). Despite the limitations of this study with respect to small size and exposure estimating, the findings are useful for evaluating potential alachlor-related health risks because past manufacturing exposures greatly exceeded those characteristic of agricultural operations. These findings suggest no appreciable effect of alachlor exposure on worker mortality or cancer incidence rates during the study period.  相似文献   

5.
Aims: To investigate mortality and cancer incidence of cement producing workers.

Methods: A total of 2498 cement workers who have been employed at Portland cement producing departments for at least one year from 1956 to 2000 were followed up from 1 January 1978 to 31 December 2000. The cohort contributed 43 490 person-years to the study. Standardised incidence ratios (SIR) and standardised mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated as ratios between observed and expected numbers of cancers and deaths. The expected numbers were based on sex specific incidence and mortality rates for the total Lithuanian population.

Results: Significantly increased SMRs were found for all malignant neoplasms (SMR 1.3, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.5) and for lung cancer (SMR 1.4, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.9) among male cement workers. SIR for all cancer sites was 1.2 (95% CI 1.0 to 1.4). Excess risk was found for cancer of the lung (SIR 1.5, 95% CI 1.1 to 2.1). The SIR for urinary bladder cancer was also increased (SIR 1.8, 95% CI 0.9 to 3.5). The overall cancer incidence was not increased among females (SIR 0.8, 95% CI 0.6 to 1.1). With increasing cumulated exposure to cement dust, there were indications of an increasing risk of lung and stomach cancers among males.

Conclusions: This study supported the hypothesis that exposure to cement dust may increase the lung and bladder cancer risk. A dose related risk was found for stomach cancer, but no support was found for an increased risk of colorectal cancer.

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6.
The objective of this paper is to investigate mortality among 1247 male asbestos-cement workers employed in an asbestos-cement plant located in Naples. The cohort included 1247 men hired between 1950 and 1986. The follow-up began on January 1st 1965. The vital status and causes of death were ascertained up to December 31 2005. Cause-specific mortality rates of the Campania Region population were used as reference. Relative risks were estimated using Standardized Mortality Ratios (SMRs), and the confidence intervals were calculated at a 95% level (95% CI). A significant increase in mortality was observed for respiratory disease (81 deaths; SMR = 187; 95% CI = 149- 233), particularly for pneumoconiosis (42 deaths; SMR = 13 313; 95% CI = 9595-17 996) of which 41 deaths for asbestosis (SMR = 43 385; 95% CI = 31 134-58 857), for pleural cancer (24 deaths; SMR = 2617; 95% CI = 1677-3893), for lung cancer (84 deaths; SMR=153; 95% CI = 122-189) and for peritoneal cancer (9 deaths; SMR = 1985; 95% CI = 908-3769). Non-significant increases were also observed for rectum cancer (6 deaths; SMR = 157; 95% CI = 58-342). In conclusion, consistently with other mortality studies on asbestos-cement workers performed in different countries, an increased mortality from asbestosis, lung cancer, pleural and peritoneal mesothelioma was detected in the present cohort.  相似文献   

7.
OBJECTIVE: To examine cancer risks in a cohort of workers employed in the manufacture of semiconductors. METHODS: The mortality (1970-2002) and cancer morbidity (1971-2001) experienced by a cohort of 1807 male and female workforce employees from a semiconductor factory in the West Midlands (UK) have been investigated. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and standardized registration ratios (SRRs) were used to assess mortality and morbidity, respectively. RESULTS: Overall mortality was close to expectation in males [SMR 99, 95% (confidence interval) CI 79-122] and significantly below expectation in females (SMR 74, 95% CI 65-85). Incidence of all sites of cancer was somewhat elevated in males (SRR 130, 95% CI 95-173) but close to expectation in females (SRR 94, 95% CI 82-109). There were significant deficits of deaths from cancer of the oesophagus in males and females combined and from cancer of the breast in females. Significantly elevated SRRs were found in males for cancer of the rectum [Observed (Obs) 6, SRR 284, 95% CI 104-619], in females for cancer of the pancreas (Obs 10, SRR 226, 95% CI 108-415) and malignant melanoma (Obs 11, SRR 221, 95% CI 110-396) and in males and females combined for cancer of the rectum (Obs 19, SRR 199, 95% CI 120-310) and malignant melanoma (Obs 12, SRR 217, 95% CI 112-379). Detailed work history data were unavailable for analysis. The finding of excess morbidity was not mirrored in the corresponding mortality findings. CONCLUSIONS: The study found elevated morbidity for a number of cancer sites that may be unconnected with occupation. Elimination of all possible occupational causes will, however, require more detailed analyses of cancer risks in relation to exposure histories.  相似文献   

8.
Suicide mortality was examined between 1970 and 1998 in a cohort of 19,801 persons categorized as indigenous Sami in Arctic Norway. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated using the suicide rates of the rural population of Arctic Norway as reference. There was a significant moderate increased risk for suicide among indigenous Sami (SMR = 1.27, 95% Confidence interval (CI): 1.02–1.56). In the study period, 89 suicides occurred in the cohort (70 men and 19 women) with increased suicide mortality both for indigenous Sami males (SMR = 1.27; 95% CI: 0.99–1.61) and females (SMR = 1.27; 95% CI: 0.77–1.99). Significant increased suicide mortality was found for young Sami aged 15–24 for both males (SMR = 1.82; 95% CI: 1.13–2.78) and females (SMR = 3.17; 95% CI: 1.17–6.91). Significant increased suicide mortality was found for indigenous Sami males residing in Sami core area (SMR = 1.54; 95% CI: 1.04–2.20) and for indigenous Sami males not belonging to semi-nomadic reindeer herding (SMR = 1.30; 95% CI: 1.00–1.65). Clusters of suicides in Sami core area may explain the increased suicide mortality found in subgroups among indigenous Sami.  相似文献   

9.
OBJECTIVE: To follow up cancer incidence and mortality in a group of Swedish battery workers exposed to nickel hydroxide and cadmium oxide. METHODS: 869 workers, employed at least one year between the years 1940 and 1980 were followed up until 1992. Vital status and causes of death were obtained from the Swedish cause of death registry. Cancer morbidity was retrieved from the Swedish cancer registry. Regional reference rates were used to compute the expected numbers of deaths and cancers. RESULTS: Up to 31 December, 1992, a total of 315 deaths (292 in men and 23 in women) had occurred in the cohort. For men, the overall standardised mortality ratio (SMR) was 106 (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 93.7 to 118) and for women 83.8 (95% CI 53.1 to 126). The SMRs for total cancer mortality were 125 (95% CI 98.2 to 157) for men and 69.5 (95% CI 25.5 to 151) for women. The SMR for lung cancer in men was 176 (95% CI 101 to 287). No lung cancers were found among female workers. Up to 31 December, 1991, a total of 118 cancers had occurred in the cohort. A significantly increased standardised incidence ratio (SIR) was found for cancer of the nose and nasal sinuses in men, three cases v 0.36 expected, yielding an SIR of 832 (95% CI 172 to 2430). Applying a 10 year latency period in cohort members exposed to > or = 1000 micrograms cadmium/m3, the SIR was 1107 (95% CI 134 to 4000). Similarly, for cohort members exposed to 2000 micrograms nickel/m3, the SIR was 1080 (95% CI 131 to 3900). CONCLUSION: There was an increased overall risk for lung cancer, but no exposure-response relation between cumulative exposure to cadmium or nickel and risk of lung cancer. There was a highly significant increased risk of cancer of the nose and nasal sinuses, which may be caused by exposure to nickel or cadmium or a combination of both exposures.

 

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10.
A historical cohort mortality study was conducted in three neighborhoods of Essex County, New Jersey, to investigate the mortality patterns of persons who had inhabited 45 homes documented to be contaminated by radon gas emanating from radium processing waste. Residency history and vital status were collected for 752 persons, comprising 91% of the subjects enumerated who had resided in the index homes for at least one year during the years 1923-1983. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were used to compare the death rates of the study group with the death rates of the United States and New Jersey. While there were no statistically significant excesses of lung cancer for the cohort or its subgroups, an elevated mortality rate for lung cancer was found for white males in the comparison of lung cancer mortality rates in the United States (SMR = 1.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.7-2.7) and New Jersey (SMR = 1.7, 95% CI 0.8-3.2). No excess of lung cancer was observed in females or nonwhites. The small size of the cohort and the inability to collect smoking histories or complete occupational data limited the study. Nevertheless, the degree of excess lung cancer among white males was in agreement with both the attributable and relative risk estimates per unit of exposure derived for radon from mining studies.  相似文献   

11.
Cancer incidence and mortality risks were evaluated in a combined cohort of patients who were hospitalized for porphyria in Denmark (1977-1989) and Sweden (1965-1983). Patients were identified by using population-based hospitalization registries. The unique individual identification numbers of 530 patients with porphyria cutanea tarda (PCT) and 296 with acute intermittent porphyria (AIP) were linked to the nationwide cancer and death registries. Among patients with both types of porphyria, the authors found small but significantly elevated risks of all cancers combined (PCT: standardized incidence ratio (SIR) = 1.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.3-2.2; AIP: SIR = 1.8, 95% CI 1.1-2.8) due to pronounced excesses of primary liver cancer (PCT: SIR = 21.2, 95% CI 8.5-43.7; AIP: SIR = 70.4, 95% CI 22.7-164.3) and moderate increases in lung cancer (PCT: SIR = 2.9, 95% CI 1.5-5.2; AIP: SIR = 2.8, 95% CI 0.3-10.2). PCT patients had a significantly increased risk of mortality from liver cirrhosis (standardized mortality ratio (SMR) = 8.4, 95% CI 3.1-18.4) or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (SMR = 3.1, 95% CI 1.1-6.7). The increased risk of primary liver cancer and the increased risk of mortality from cirrhosis of the liver are consistent with findings from previous clinical surveys, but the new observations of excess lung cancer and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease require confirmation.  相似文献   

12.
Previous studies of copper-zinc workers have primarily observed significant increases in lung and other respiratory cancers. This study concurrently examined cancer incidence and cause-specific mortality for a cohort of workers at a copper-zinc producer in Ontario, Canada, from 1964 to 2005. Significant elevations in lung cancer incidence were observed for males in the overall cohort (standardized incidence ratio [SIR] = 124, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 102-150) and for surface mine (SIR = 272, 95% CI = 124-517), concentrator (SIR = 191, 95% CI = 102-327), and central maintenance (SIR = 214, 95% CI = 125-343) employees. Significant elevations of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma incidence were observed for male underground mine employees (SIR = 232, 95% CI = 111-426). Occupational etiology cannot be ascertained with the current exploratory study design. Future studies could (1) incorporate exposure assessment for subgroups within the existing cohort and (2) determine the efficacy of wellness programs in partnership with the local health unit.  相似文献   

13.
OBJECTIVES: The objectives of this study were to determine the mortality for pancreatic cancer in the 47 prefectures of Japan and to reveal the geographical distribution of the mortality and incidence for pancreatic cancer in Niigata. METHODS: Standardized mortality ratio (SMR) for pancreatic cancer in the 47 prefectures from 1998 to 2002 was calculated on the basis of the census and vital statistics of Japan. The same SMR in the 36 cities and counties in Niigata from 1995 to 2002 was calculated. These SMRs were compared with that of the national population. Then, standardized incidence ratio (SIR) for pancreatic cancer in the 36 cities and counties in Niigata from 1995 to 2002 was calculated on the basis of the Niigata Cancer Registry, compared with that of the general population of Niigata. RESULTS: The SMRs for pancreatic cancer for both sexes in Hokkaido, Aomori, Akita, Miyagi and Shimane were significantly higher than that of the national population (p<0.05). The SMR for males in Niigata was significantly high, whereas that for females was near the SMR of the national population. Among the 36 cities and counties in Niigata, significantly high SMRs for both sexes were observed only in Higashikanbara county; the SMRs [95% confidence interval (CI)] were 158.4 (104.4-230.5) and 172.2 (114.4-248.9) for males and females, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Significantly high SMRs for pancreatic cancer were observed in Hokkaido and most of the Tohoku region. A geographical clustering of pancreatic cancer in Higashikanbara county was found. Further studies are needed to clarify the determinants of the clustering.  相似文献   

14.
15.
OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated mortality during 1962 through 2003 and cancer incidence during 1995 through 2003 at a tire manufacturing plant. METHODS: The mortality study included 3425 men and women, employed for at least one year. Of these, 3069 were eligible for the cancer incidence study. RESULTS: Employees experienced 390 deaths compared with 608 expected (standardized mortality ratio (SMR)=64; 95% confidence interval (CI)=58-71). Total cancer mortality (123 observed, SMR=75, CI=62-89) and lung cancer mortality (47 observed, SMR=72, CI=53-96) were lower than expected. Hourly white men had small increases in stomach cancer, bladder cancer, and leukemia deaths. During 1995 through 2003, 169 incident cancers were observed compared with 197 expected (SIR=86, 95% CI=74-100). Three mesothelioma cases occurred among hourly white men (SIR=653, CI=135-1907); all were exposed potentially to asbestos before starting at the rubber plant. CONCLUSIONS: Small numbers and limited information on jobs, occupational agents, and lifestyle preclude attribution of observed increases to workplace exposures.  相似文献   

16.
BACKGROUND: In the mid-1970's an excess of malignant melanoma of the skin was noted among employees at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL). A 1984 cancer incidence study showed a non-significant excess of total cancers among female employees with significant excesses for melanoma, rectum and anus, and salivary gland cancers. For male employees, there was a non-significant deficit of total cancer with significant excesses in melanoma and non-brain nervous system cancers. This paper reports the results of a surveillance effort to update our understanding of the patterns of cancer incidence in this population. METHODS: We used California Cancer Registry (CCR) data to ascertain employees who had worked for six or more consecutive months at LLNL during the 24-year period of 1974 through 1997 who were diagnosed weith cancer during that time frame. We used the Standardized Incidence Ratio (SIR) in our analyses. RESULTS: There were 17,785 employees who provided 186,558 person-years of observation: 145,203 were from males and 41,355 were from females. The CCR, through its linkage techniques, identified 541 individuals with invasive cancer and 96 with in situ cancer. A total of 404 males had invasive cancer and 33 had in situ cancer whereas there were 137 females with invasive cancer and 63 with in situ cancer. The SIR for invasive cancer in males was 69 (95% CI 62-76). The overall cancer SIR for males was unaffected by calendar time. There were only two invasive cancer sites with significant excess: melanoma and cancer of the testes. For eight categories or cancer sites, we found a statistical deficit in cancer incidence. The most striking deficit occurred in cancer of the lungs and bronchus with a SIR of 36 (95% CI 26-50). The SIR for invasive cancer in females was 80 (95% CI 67-94). The overall cancer SIR for females decreased over calendar time. There was a statistically significant deficit for cancers of the female genital organs. There were 84 cases of invasive and in situ melanoma in both genders. Time-trend analyses for melanoma showed a significant excess during the years 1974-1985 but a reduction to community rates from 1986 through 1997. There were 21 individuals with testicular cancer with a SIR of 207 (95% CI 129-317). There were no differences in age at diagnosis or cell type with the comparison population. We analyzed the data using the same radiosensitive cancer categories used in the 1984 study. There were no increases in SIRs in any of these categories. CONCLUSIONS: We found that the LLNL employees had less cancer than expected with males having relatively fewer cancers than females. The lung cancer rate for males was remarkably low. Since 1986 the melanoma rates resemble the community rates. Testicular cancer rates are modestly elevated and appear to have been so for the past 20 years. Lifestyle patterns, including smoking, and cancer screening activities are probably important contributors to the observed low cancer rates.  相似文献   

17.
A physician's alert prompted us to investigate workers' cancer risk at a paperboard printing manufacturer. We conducted a retrospective cohort mortality study of all 2,050 persons who had worked at the facility for more than 1 day, calculated standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for bladder and renal cell cancer, and conducted a nested case-control study for renal cell cancer. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) from all causes [SMR = 1.0, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.9-1.2] and all cancers (SMR = 0.6, 95% CI = 0.3-1.0) were not greater than expected. One bladder cancer and one renal cell cancer were included in the mortality analysis. Six incident renal cell cancers were observed, however, compared with less than two renal cell cancers expected (SIR = 3.7, 95% CI = 1.4-8.1). Based on a nested case-control analysis, the risk of renal cell cancer was associated with overall length of employment but was not limited to any single department or work process. Although pigments containing congeners of dichlorobenzidine and o-toluidine had been used at the plant, environmental sampling could not confirm any current exposure. Several limitations and a potential selection bias limit the inferences that can be drawn.  相似文献   

18.
We evaluated mortality among subjects employed in an oil refinery plant in Rome, Italy. We studied two subgroups of refinery employees: blue collar and white collar workers. A total of 682 men (505 blue collars, 148 white collars, 29 unknown) employed between 1965 and 1992, were followed up for mortality since employment in the plant to July 1999. Standardized Mortality Ratios (SMR), and their 90% Confidence Intervals (90% CI), comparing mortality rates of the cohort members with those of the general population of the Lazio region. For blue collar workers, we performed analyses by latency since first employment and by duration of employment for selected cancer sites. We observed 94 total deaths (100.8 expected) (SMR = 0.93; 90% CI = 0.78-1.11) among blue collar workers and 16 total deaths (31.7 expected) (SMR = 0.50; 90% CI = 0.32-0.77) among white collar workers, and a large deficit of deaths from non-neoplastic cardiovascular diseases (respectively SMR = 0.60; 90% CI = 0.41-0.86 and SMR = 0.18; 90% CI = 0.03-0.56). All cancer mortality was slightly increased only in blue collars (SMR = 1.27 CI = 0.97-1.65). There was an excess risk from cancer of the lung (20 obs SMR = 1.80, 90% CI = 1.19-2.62), bladder (5 obs SMR = 3.19, 90% CI = 1.26-6.72), and benign/unspecified cancer of the brain (4 obs SMR = 4.11, 90% CI = 1.12-10.6). The lower mortality from cardiovascular disease indicates the presence of a strong healthy worker effect. The findings of elevated mortality from cancer of the lung and bladder in blue collar workers are in agreement with those of other studies. Confounding factors from cigarette smoking might have played only a marginal role in influencing the results. Exposure to polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) is a plausible explanation for the excesses found.  相似文献   

19.
Despite 200 years of efforts to regulate safety in this occupation, chimney sweeps have increased mortality from cancer, ischaemic heart disease, and respiratory disease. Mortality and incidence of cancer were examined in a cohort of 5542 Swedish chimney sweeps employed through their national trade union at any time between 1918 and 1980. Previous studies of this cohort found increased risks of ischaemic heart disease, respiratory disease, accidental deaths, and various neoplasms. By increasing follow up, we sought to increase the power of the study and examine disease time trends. Mortality analysis was extended 7.5 years to cover the period 1951-90; cancer incidence analysis was extended six years to cover the period 1958-87. New findings include increased incidence and mortality of prostate cancer (SMR 169, 95% CI 106-256, 22 observed) and increased incidence of total haematolymphatic cancers (SIR 151, 95% CI 106-209, 36 observed). When only the most recent follow up period was analysed, previously observed risks persisted for total lung cancer (SIR 178, 95% CI 99-293), oat cell lung cancer (SIR 240, 95% CI 103-472), bladder cancer (SIR 247, 95% CI 131-422), and oesophageal cancer (Obs/Exp = 2/1.1). Mortality from ischaemic heart disease (SMR 98, 95% CI 76-123) and respiratory disease (SMR 111, 95% CI 56-199) declined during recent follow up, although significant excess mortality remained during analysis of the entire study period (ischaemic heart disease SMR 128, 95% CI 112-145; respiratory disease SMR 159, 95% CI 115-213). In analyses of the entire study period, risks of ischaemic heart disease and lung, bladder, and oesophageal cancer were adjusted for smoking; oesophageal cancer was also adjusted for use of alcohol. All risks remained significantly raised. Exposure-response analyses showed significant positive associations between duration of employment and risks for mortality from lung, oesophageal, and total cancer. Chimney sweeps remain at increased risk for cancers of the lung, oesophagus, and bladder. Our study supports a casual role for exposure to chimney soot, which contains carcinogens including polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. Extended follow up of this cohort now shows increased risks of prostate and haematolymphatic cancers.  相似文献   

20.
OBJECTIVE: To analyze the risk of cancer in the population of Weurt, a village near Nijmegen, the Netherlands, using long-term data (13 years). DESIGN: Cluster analysis. METHOD: Anonymous data on newly diagnosed cases of cancer in the years 1989-2001 were obtained from the regional cancer registry. The region had about 1 million inhabitants and 263 postal code areas. The Dutch Central Statistical Office (Statistics Netherlands) provided age- and sex-specific population data for each postal code area. Ratios of observed and expected numbers of cancer cases were calculated (uncorrected standardized mortality ratio; SMR). A Bayesian analysis with a random effects model with spatial correlation was used to adjust the SMRs for cancer incidence in neighbouring postal code areas. RESULTS: In the years 1989-2001, a total number of 167 cases of cancer (97 in males and 70 in females) were diagnosed in Weurt. The number of cancers in the entire area was 58,126. In Weurt the adjusted SMR for all cancers was 1.18 (95% CI: 0.95-1.44) in males and 1.10 (95% CI: 0.86-1.39) in females. For lung cancer the adjusted SMR was 1.35 (95% CI: 0.88-1.94) in males and 1.00 (95% CI: 0.29-2.13) in females. None of the other types of cancer showed a statistically significant increase in incidence in Weurt. CONCLUSIONS: Although based on relatively small numbers of diagnosed cancers, these results are not suggestive of a real cancer cluster in Weurt. Lung cancer incidence was slightly increased in males and not in females, which may indicate that chance, lifestyle or occupational factors were more obvious causes than environmental factors. In general, it is advised to be reluctant to perform cluster analyses. Such analyses may only be valuable if specific hypotheses regarding causes of specific types of cancer are present.  相似文献   

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