Predictors of psychological distress following major trauma

AimThe aim of this study was to identify variables that may predict later psychological distress in patients following admission to a Major Trauma Centre (MTC) and to determine whether a psychological screening tool, the Posttraumatic Adjustment Screen (PAS), administered on admission was able to contribute to this.MethodsPatients referred to the MTC clinical psychology service completed the PAS during their inpatient stay over an eight-month period. Following discharge from hospital, patients were telephoned (1 month, 3 months and 6 months post injury) by a member of the clinical psychology team and asked two validated questionnaires; the Impact of Events Scale revised (IES-R) (measure of posttraumatic stress symptoms) and the CORE-10 (measure of global psychological distress). In addition, patients’ data from the local Trauma Audit & Research Network (TARN) database was reviewed to identify information related to injury and other demographic data. Patients were divided into groups for comparison based upon their PAS scores using previously described severity cut offs for posttraumatic stress symptoms and depression. Receiver Operator Characteristic and Multiple Linear Regression analysis was used to examine for significant baseline predictors of psychological distress during follow up according to the IES and CORE-10 scores.ResultsOne hundred and fourteen patients completed the PAS over the study period. Follow-up psychological data was available for 63 (56%) of patients. Except for the patient’s home address, no baseline parameter examined in this study regarding patient demographics, injury or treatment was associated with reported psychological symptoms in the first six months post injury as measured by the IES-R or CORE-10 scores. Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that both PAS-P and PAS-D were significant predictor variables for patients reporting significant symptoms of posttraumatic stress and global psychological distress (according to IES-R and CORE-10 scores) in the first six months post injury.ConclusionsPsychological screening on admission may be helpful in identifying patients admitted to MTCs who are at risk at developing posttraumatic stress symptoms and psychological distress following major trauma.     

Predictors of post-traumatic stress disorder following major trauma

Background: Post‐traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) is a common sequel to physical trauma, but there is disagreement regarding the predictors of this condition. This study aims to examine the role of physical, psychosocial and compensation‐related factors in the development of PTSD following major trauma. Methods: Participants were consecutive adult patients presenting to one major trauma centre with major trauma (Injury Severity Score 16 or higher). Baseline characteristics and clinical data were obtained from the hospital trauma database. The presence of PTSD (as measured by the PTSD Checklist, civilian version) and additional data were obtained from a questionnaire mailed to patients between 1 and 6 years after the injury. Multiple linear regression was used to identify significant independent associations with PTSD. Results: Among 355 patients (61.0% response fraction), 129 (36.3%, 95% confidence interval 43.2–53.2%) were classed as having PTSD. Symptoms of PTSD were not significantly related to measures of injury severity, the time since the injury, education level, household income or employment status at the time of injury. PTSD was significantly associated with younger age (P < 0.0001), the presence of chronic illnesses (P < 0.0001), unemployment at the time of follow up (P < 0.0001), use of a lawyer (P < 0.0001), blaming others for the injury (P = 0.003) and having an unsettled compensation claim (P = 0.007). Conclusion: Post‐traumatic stress disorder after major trauma was not related to measures of injury severity, but was related to other factors, such as blaming others for the accident and the processes involved in claiming compensation.     

Long-term survival in the elderly after trauma

BACKGROUND: In the elderly, trauma has been associated with increased, long-term, all-cause mortality. Functional limitations secondary to injury may be responsible for the reduced survival rate. The objective of this study was to test this hypothesis using data from the Longitudinal Study of Aging (LSOA). METHODS: The LSOA is an extension of the 1984 National Health Interview Survey, which focused on 7,527 persons who were 70 years and older in 1984. Using data from the LSOA, a cohort of elderly patients hospitalized for injury in 1985 (N = 102) was identified from Medicare hospital discharge data. An uninjured cohort (N = 408) was also identified using the LSOA and matched by age (within 1 year) and sex. Deaths in both cohorts were identified using the National Death Index. Hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality within 6 years subsequent to injury, adjusted for demographic, health status, and functional characteristics, were calculated. RESULTS: The injured cohort had a significantly reduced rate of survival compared with the uninjured cohort (HR = 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-2.2), and this relationship persisted after adjusting for demographic and health characteristics (HR = 1.4; 95% CI 1.0-2.0). After additional adjustment for measures of functional decline, the association diminished (HR = 1.2; 95% CI 0.8-1.7). Functional decline remained a strong, independent factor for the risk of mortality. CONCLUSION: Trauma in the elderly has both an acute and long-term influence on mortality; the latter seems to be mediated through a decline in function resulting from the injury. This study suggests that strategies to return the elderly patient to preinjury functional status are of paramount importance. Future research should explore the impact of these interventions on long-term survival.     

Comparison of the ability of adult and pediatric trauma scores to predict pediatric outcome following major trauma

The Pediatric Trauma Score (PTS) has been identified as the only accurate and adequate means of predicting outcome in pediatric trauma. In answer to the increasing number of trauma patients arriving at local hospitals, the ability of the adult Trauma Score (TS) to predict pediatric trauma outcome was tested. Of the total 2,604 pediatric trauma cases in the North Carolina State Trauma Registry, 441 had both a PTS and TS available for analysis. The primary measures of outcome were emergency department and hospital dispositions. Logistic regression demonstrated that TS (R2 = 0.50) was a stronger predictor of pediatric outcome and PTS (R2 = 0.35) for emergency department disposition and TS (R2 = 0.63) with PTS (R2 = 0.51) for hospital disposition. The correlation between TS and PTS was high (R = 0.8). Stepwise discriminant analysis demonstrated that TS was the stronger predictor of outcome and the PTS added only 9% (partial R2 = 0.09) more accuracy to TS for emergency department disposition and only 6% (partial R2 = 0.06) for hospital disposition. The results of this research demonstrate that TS is a useful method of predicting outcome in pediatric trauma. The use of both scores for each patient does not increase the predictive value of the scores.     

Predictors of functional outcome following intracapsular hip fracture in elderly women. A one-year prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES: To explore potential predictors of functional outcome one year after the injury in elderly women who sustained a displaced intracapsular hip fracture and who were treated with internal fixation, hemiarthroplasty, or total hip arthroplasty. PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS: Eighty-four women aged > or =50 years were enrolled on a consecutive basis in this one-year prospective cohort study reflecting standard day-to-day clinical practice. The main outcome measure was the rapid disability rating scale version-2 (RDRS-2) applied at hospital discharge and one year later. RESULTS: At hospital discharge, the total hip arthroplasty group was younger and had a better functional status than the internal fixation or hemiarthroplasty groups. One year later, the best function was still observed in the total arthroplasty group, but the differences were small and failed to achieve the level of statistical significance. During that one-year period, walking ability or mobility did not change significantly after total hip arthroplasty, but a significant proportion of the women developed cognitive impairment, including mental confusion, uncooperativeness, and depression. Overall, the most significant predictors of poor functional status one year after fracture were increasing age, living in an institution at time of injury, and poor functional status at discharge. CONCLUSIONS: In elderly women with a displaced intracapsular hip fracture, total hip arthroplasty is associated with a functional benefit within the first months after surgery. However, the extent to which this functional benefit is maintained over time, is less clear. These results support the need for randomised studies to quantify the extent to which, in elderly women, the early functional benefit of total hip arthroplasty is maintained in the long run or compromised by progressive cognitive impairment and other negative determinants of functional outcome.     

Predictors of outcome following severe head trauma: Follow-up data from the Traumatic Coma Data Bank

Outcome as a function of employment status or return to school was evaluated in severely head-injured patients. A priori we selected the most salient demographic, physiological, neuropsychological and psychosocial outcome predictors with the aim of identifying which of there variables captured at baseline or 6 months would best predict employability at 6 or 12 months. Based on the patients evaluated at 6 months, 18% of former workers had returned to gainful employment and 62% of former students had returned to school. For those not back to work or school at 6 months, 31% of the former workers and 66% of the former students had returned by 12 months. Age, length of coma, speed for both attending and motor movements, spatial integration, and intact vocabulary were all significantly related to returning to work or school. The three most potent predictors for returning to work or school were intactness of the patient's verbal intellectual power, speed of information processing and age.     

Cannabis-related acute brain syndrome following major trauma.

An acute brain syndrome in a cannabis-dependent patient, who sustained multiple injuries, is described. Points of difference between this syndrome and delirium tremens are discussed. Recommendations are made regarding the treatment of this complication, which may follow multiple injuries or operative procedures.     

Predictors of clinical outcome following extended thymectomy in myasthenia gravis.

OBJECTIVE: Thymectomy remains as the optimal treatment of choice in patients with myasthenia gravis (MG), however, the selection criteria for surgery remains controversial. METHODS: We examined the data charts of patients with MG underwent extended thymectomy. We investigated the possible correlations between the clinicopathologic features and clinical outcomes, and analyzed the data to clarify the effect of prognostic factors on clinical outcome. RESULTS: A total of 61 patients with a mean age of 35.8 +/- 12.2 years (range, 13-66 years) were analyzed. The overall improvement/remission and clinical worsening rates were 81.9 and 18.1%, respectively. Ossermann stage (P = 0.011) and presence of mediastinal ectopic thymic tissue (P = 0.007) showed a significant correlation with the clinical outcome. Multivariate analysis confirmed Ossermann stage (P = 0.0158), and presence of mediastinal ectopic thymic tissue (P = 0.0100) as independent predictors on clinical outcome. CONCLUSION: Ossermann stage and the presence of mediastinal ectopic thymic tissue are potential predictors on clinical outcome in patients with MG undergoing extended thymectomy.     

Predictors of exercise oxygen desaturation following major lung resection.

OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of postoperative exercise oxygen desaturation (EOD) in patients submitted to lobectomy or pneumonectomy for lung carcinoma. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A consecutive series of 227 patients with non-small cell lung cancer submitted to lobectomy or pneumonectomy from January 2000 through October 2002 were prospectively analyzed. Maximal stair-climbing tests were performed preoperatively (the day before the operation) and postoperatively (on average, 9.2 days after operation) in room air for all patients. A fall in oxygen saturation during the exercise below 90% was termed 'desaturation'. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify predictors of postoperative EOD. RESULTS: Thirty-five patients (15.4%) developed postoperative EOD. After multivariate analysis, the only independent predictor of postoperative EOD resulted a reduction in oxygen saturation during the preoperative exercise (P=0.0004). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with a reduction in oxygen saturation during the preoperative exercise test are at increased risk to develop a postoperative EOD below 90%. A postoperative exercise test should be performed in all these patients. Should EOD be confirmed, an intermittent home oxygen therapy is recommended in order to facilitate recovery from operation and improve the quality of life.     

Predictors of outcome in patients requiring surgery for liver trauma

INTRODUCTION: Severe bleeding from liver injury is one of the major causes of mortality in patients with abdominal trauma. The study was undertaken to assess factors that influence outcome following liver trauma. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This is a prospective study of patients with liver injury treated in one surgical ward at King Edward VIII Hospital over a 7-year period (from 1998 to 2004). Data collected included demographics, intra-operative findings, operative management and outcome. RESULTS: Of a total of 478 patients with abdominal trauma, 105 (22%) were found to have liver injuries, of whom only 7 were female. Their mean age was 27.81+/-10.33 years. Injuries were due to firearms (70), stabs (26) and blunt trauma (9). Nineteen patients presented with shock (systolic BP6h in 47 patients. Forty patients required ICU management (38%) and the mean ICU stay was 6.55+/-5.65 days. Twenty patients (19%) needed a re-laparotomy for various reasons. The complication rate was 37% and the mortality rate was 20% (23% for firearms, 44% for blunt trauma and 4% for stabs). The mortality rate in patients with shock was 58% compared to 12% in those who were not shocked (p<0.0001). Mortality rate was 2, 23 and 63% for Injury Severity Score (ISS)20, respectively (group 1 versus group 2 p=0.015; group 1 versus group 3 p<0.0001 and group 2 versus group 3 p=0.001). Mortality rates for delay 6h were 28 and 9%, respectively (p=0.008). Associated injuries led to a higher mortality (3% versus 27%; p=0.006). Hospital stay was 11.27+/-12.09 days. CONCLUSIONS: Liver injuries occurred in 22% of abdominal injuries. Injury mechanism, delay before surgery, shock on admission, grade of injury, associated injury and ISS are significantly associated with outcome.     

Predictors of the outcome following peritoneal dialysis-related bacterial-complicating peritonitis

Objective To investigate the risk factors predicting the outcome of peritoneal dialysis (PD)-related bacterial-complicating peritonitis. Methods In this retrospective study, all the episodes of PD-related bacterial peritonitis presenting during Jan 2009 to Dec 2013 in our center were reviewed. Clinical and laboratory parameters at the onset of peritonitis, including patient demographic information, age, gender, duration of PD, residual renal function, local and systemic inflammation state, daily exchange number, peritoneal glucose exposure and so on, were recorded. Patients episodes were divided into three groups according to the outcome: complete cure (complete resolution of peritonitis without relapse or recurrence or repeat), peritonitis-related catheter removal/death group, and relapse (relapse or recurrence or repeat) group. Results 187 CAPD patients with 27.15(11.15, 53.13) PD duration were enrolled in the study. Total of 347 episodes of bacterial peritonitis in these patients were analyzed, with 130 episodes of gram-positive bacterial infection, 71 episodes of gram-negative bacterial infection, 15 episodes of polymicrobial and 131 episodes of cultured negative. Compared to the complete cure group and the relapse group, gram negative bacterial infection was more prevalent in the peritonitis-related catheter removal/death group. Furthermore, patients in the peritonitis-related catheter removal/death group showed longer PD age (P﹤0.01) and higher serum hs-CRP (P﹤0.01). Compared to the complete cure group, the serum albumin concentration was lower in the peritonitis-related catheter removal/death group (P﹤0.01). Kt/V was significantly lower in the relapse group than that in the complete cure group (P﹤0.05). Logistic analysis indicated age, non gram positive bacterial infection and increased hs-CRP were independent predictors for peritonitis-related catheter removal or death. Conclusions Age, non gram positive bacterial infection and hs-CRP are risk factors predicting peritonitis-related catheter removal or death in CAPD patients.     

Validation of the geriatric trauma outcome scores in predicting outcomes of elderly trauma patients

BackgroundUsing three patient characteristics, including age, Injury Severity Score (ISS) and transfusion within 24 h of admission (yes vs. no), the Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score (GTOS) and Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score II (GTOS II) have been developed to predict mortality and unfavourable discharge (to a nursing home or hospice facility), of those who were ≥65 years old, respectively.ObjectivesThis study aimed to validate the GTOS and GTOS II models. For the nested-cohort requiring intensive care, we compared the GTOS scores with two ICU prognostic scores – the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) III and Australian and New Zealand Risk of Death (ANZROD).MethodsAll elderly trauma patients admitted to the State Trauma Unit between 2009 and 2019 were included. The discrimination ability and calibration of the GTOS and GTOS II scores were assessed by the area under the receiver-operating-characteristic (AUROC) curve and a calibration plot, respectively.ResultsOf the 57,473 trauma admissions during the study period, 15,034 (26.2%) were ≥65 years-old. The median age and ISS of the cohort were 80 (interquartile range [IQR] 72–87) and 6 (IQR 2–9), respectively; and the average observed mortality was 4.3%. The ability of the GTOS to predict mortality was good (AUROC 0.838, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.821–0.855), and better than either age (AUROC 0.603, 95%CI 0.581–0.624) or ISS (AUROC 0.799, 95%CI 0.779–0.819) alone. The GTOS II's ability to predict unfavourable discharge was satisfactory (AUROC 0.707, 95%CI 0.696–0.719) but no better than age alone. Both GTOS and GTOS II scores over-estimated risks of the adverse outcome when the predicted risks were high. The GTOS score (AUROC 0.683, 95%CI 0.591–0.775) was also inferior to the APACHE III (AUROC 0.783, 95%CI 0.699–0.867) or ANZROD (AUROC 0.788, 95%CI 0.705–0.870) in predicting mortality for those requiring intensive care.ConclusionsThe GTOS scores had a good ability to discriminate between survivors and non-survivors in the elderly trauma patients, but GTOS II scores were no better than age alone in predicting unfavourable discharge. Both GTOS and GTOS II scores were not well-calibrated when the predicted risks of adverse outcome were high.     

Predictors of functional outcome in elderly patients undergoing posterior lumbar spine surgery.

To ascertain the predictors of functional outcome in elderly patients undergoing posterior lumbar spinal decompression and fusion, a modified low back outcome score questionnaire survey in 83 elderly patients (49 men, 34 women) was carried out at our hospital. The average follow-up was 35.8 months (range: 22-57 months). The outcomes were as follows: excellent to good, 83%; fair, 7%; and poor, 10%. Multiple regression analysis revealed that significant predictors of unfavorable outcome included coexistence of other bone and joint degenerative disorders (p < 0.001) and history of heart disease (p < 0.01). Patients who had undergone previous lumbar surgery had significantly lower modified low back outcome score than those without previous lumbar spine surgery (p < 0.05). The modified low back outcome score questionnaire system is a reliable method in elderly patients.     

Long-term mortality outcome of victims of major trauma

Introduction

Although trauma is associated with major acute morbidity and mortality, its long-term outcome is less well defined. We sought to define the rate of readmission to hospital and long-term mortality of victims of major trauma.

Patients and Methods

All Calgary Health Region residents presenting to the regional trauma program with an injury severity score (ISS) ≥12 between April 1, 2002 and March 31, 2006 were included. Readmission to hospital within one-year and deaths occurring on or before September 30, 2008 were identified using regional and provincial databases.

Results

A total of 2652 incident major trauma episodes occurred among 2630 residents; the median age was 41.3 [interquartile range (IQR); 23.1-59.2] years, 1,915 (72%) were male, the median ISS was 19 (IQR; 16-25), and 717 (27%) required intensive care unit admission. Among 2350 survivors to hospital discharge, 537 readmissions occurred (median length of stay 4.0; IQR; 1.6-7.5 days) among 386 patients within one-year of the incident trauma episode, and 323 (60%) required surgery. Re-admitted patients were older, had higher ISS, had longer initial admission length of stay, and were less likely to have sports related injuries. Two hundred and fifteen (8%) of 2350 survivors to hospital discharge died during the median study follow-up duration of 1543 (IQR; 1181-1934) days. Case-fatality rates for 28 days, 90 days, and 365 days were 304 (11%), 327 (12%), and 370 (14%), respectively. Among survivors to 28 days (n = 2348), 66 (3%) suffered delayed one-year mortality (i.e. death occurred between 28 days and 365 days post-trauma). Age ≥65 years of age, initial hospitalisation for ≥28 days, and unintentional falls were independently associated with delayed one-year mortality.

Conclusions

Patients with major trauma are at risk for both acute and delayed adverse outcomes.     

Cardiopulmonary resuscitation in pediatric trauma patients: survival and functional outcome.

BACKGROUND: Although injury is the leading cause of cardiac arrests in children older than 1 year, few studies have examined the survival and functional outcome of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) in pediatric trauma patients. METHODS: A historical cohort of 957 trauma patients younger than 15 years who received CPR at the scene of injury or at the admitting hospital was constructed on the basis of the National Pediatric Trauma Registry. The rate of survival to discharge and factors related to survival were examined. Functional impairments were documented for surviving patients. RESULTS: The overall survival rate was 23.5%. With adjustment for the Injury Severity Score, the risk of fatality after CPR increased for children with systolic blood pressure below 60 mm Hg at admission (odds ratio [OR] 24.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] 8.6-69.3), for those who were comatose at admission (OR, 4.7; 95% CI, 1.9-11.6), for those with penetrating injury (OR, 4.4; 95% CI, 1.5-13.3), and for those with CPR initiated at the hospital (OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.5-3.9). Surviving patients stayed in hospitals for an average of 24.3 days; at discharge, 64% had at least one impairment in the functional activities of daily living. CONCLUSIONS: Survival outcome of CPR in pediatric trauma patients appears to be comparable to that reported in adults of mixed arrest causes. Future research needs to identify factors underlying the excess mortality associated with penetrating trauma.     

Predictors of 5 year survival following hip fracture

Background

This study aims to assess the mortality associated with hip fracture at 5 years in a geriatric population, and evaluate the influence of age, cognitive state, mobility and residential status on long term survival after hip fracture.

Methods

A prospective audit was carried out of all patients with a hip fracture admitted to a university hospital over a 4 year period. Data from 2640 patients were analysed and multivariate analysis used to indicate the important variables predicting mortality. Patients fulfilling the criteria of age < 80 years, Abbreviated Mental Test Score (AMT) ≥ 7/10, independently mobile and admitted from own home were put into group A (low risk group). Patients not meeting the criteria were placed into group B (high risk group).

Results

2640 patients fitted the inclusion criteria, 482 in group A and 2158 in group B. 850 patients (43.1%) died in their first year following hip fracture. 302 patients (63%) of group A were still alive at 5 years in comparison with only 367 (17%) of group B. Overall, 669 (25%) patients survived for 5 years. Increased survival was shown for the following variables: age < 80 years RR 5.27 (p < 0.01), AMT ≥ 7/10 RR 6.03 (p < 0.01), independent mobility RR 2.63 (p < 0.01) and admitted from own home RR 4.52 (p < 0.01).

Conclusions

These findings will allow for early recognition of those patients with an increased chance of long-term survival following hip fracture. Such patients may be suitable for surgical treatment, such as total hip replacement, which has a good long-term outcome.