Prospective study of estrogen replacement therapy and risk of breast cancer in postmenopausal women

We prospectively examined the use of estrogen replacement therapy in relation to breast cancer incidence in a cohort of women 30 to 55 years of age in 1976. During 367 187 person-years of follow-up among postmenopausal women, 722 incident cases of breast cancer were documented. Overall, past users of replacement estrogen were not at increased risk (relative risk, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.81 to 1.18), including even those with more than 10 years since last [corrected] use (relative risk after adjustment for established risk factors, 0.70; 95% confidence interval, 0.45 to 1.10). However, the risk of breast cancer was significantly elevated among current users (relative risk, 1.36; 95% confidence interval, 1.11 to 1.67). Among current users, a stronger relationship was observed with increasing age but not with increasing duration of use. These data suggest that long-term past use of estrogen replacement therapy is not related to risk of breast cancer but that current use may modestly increase risk.     

Menopausal estrogen and estrogen-progestin replacement therapy and breast cancer risk

CONTEXT: Whether menopausal hormone replacement therapy using a combined estrogen-progestin regimen increases risk of breast cancer beyond that associated with estrogen alone is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether increases in risk associated with the estrogen-progestin regimen are greater than those associated with estrogen alone. DESIGN: Cohort study of follow-up data for 1980-1995 from the Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project, a nationwide breast cancer screening program. SETTING: Twenty-nine screening centers throughout the United States. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 46355 postmenopausal women (mean age at start of follow-up, 58 years). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident breast cancers by recency, duration, and type of hormone use. RESULTS: During follow-up, 2082 cases of breast cancer were identified. Increases in risk with estrogen only and estrogen-progestin only were restricted to use within the previous 4 years (relative risk [RR], 1.2 [95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0-1.4] and 1.4 [95% CI, 1.1-1.8], respectively); the relative risk increased by 0.01 (95% CI, 0.002-0.03) with each year of estrogen-only use and by 0.08 (95% CI, 0.02-0.16) with each year of estrogen-progestin-only use among recent users, after adjustment for mammographic screening, age at menopause, body mass index (BMI), education, and age. The P value associated with the test of homogeneity of these estimates was .02. Among women with a BMI of 24.4 kg/m2 or less, increases in RR with each year of estrogen-only use and estrogen-progestin-only use among recent users were 0.03 (95% CI, 0.01-0.06) and 0.12 (95% CI, 0.02-0.25), respectively. These associations were evident for the majority of invasive tumors with ductal histology and regardless of extent of invasive disease. Risk in heavier women did not increase with use of estrogen only or estrogen-progestin only. CONCLUSION: Our data suggest that the estrogen-progestin regimen increases breast cancer risk beyond that associated with estrogen alone.     

The risk of breast cancer in postmenopausal women who have used estrogen replacement therapy

We studied the association between estrogen replacement therapy (ERT) and the risk of breast cancer as part of the Cancer and Steroid Hormone Study. All subjects in the analysis were postmenopausal women enrolled from eight geographic areas. Women 25 to 54 years old with newly diagnosed breast cancer were identified through population-based tumor registries and diagnosed between Dec 1, 1980, and Dec 31, 1982. Controls were selected from the same eight geographic areas by the random digit dialing of residential telephone numbers. Analyses included 1369 cases and 1645 controls. Among women with bilateral oophorectomy, the relative risk of breast cancer for women who had ever used ERT was 1.3, compared with women who had never used ERT. Among women who had undergone hysterectomy but who still had at least one ovary, the relative risk was 1.1; among women who reported a natural menopause, the relative risk was 0.8. Overall, the risk of breast cancer did not appear to increase appreciably with increasing ERT duration or latency, even for durations and latencies of 20 years or longer.     

Estrogen replacement therapy and ovarian cancer mortality in a large prospective study of US women

CONTEXT: Postmenopausal estrogen use is associated with increased risk of endometrial and breast cancer, 2 hormone-related cancers. The effect of postmenopausal estrogen use on ovarian cancer is not established. OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between postmenopausal estrogen use and ovarian cancer mortality and to determine whether the association differs according to duration and recency of use. DESIGN AND SETTING: The American Cancer Society's Cancer Prevention Study II, a prospective US cohort study with mortality follow-up from 1982 to 1996. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 211 581 postmenopausal women who completed a baseline questionnaire in 1982 and had no history of cancer, hysterectomy, or ovarian surgery at enrollment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Ovarian cancer mortality, compared among never users, users at baseline, and former users as well as by total years of use of estrogen replacement therapy (ERT). RESULTS: A total of 944 ovarian cancer deaths were recorded in 14 years of follow-up. Women who were using ERT at baseline had higher death rates from ovarian cancer than never users (rate ratio [RR], 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16-1.96). Risk was slightly but not significantly increased among former estrogen users (RR, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.99-1.37). Duration of use was associated with increased risk in both baseline and former users. Baseline users with 10 or more years of use had an RR of 2.20 (95% CI, 1.53-3.17), while former users with 10 or more years of use had an RR of 1.59 (95% CI, 1.13-2.25). Annual age-adjusted ovarian cancer death rates per 100 000 women were 64.4 for baseline users with 10 or more years of use, 38.3 for former users with 10 or more years of use, and 26.4 for never users. Among former users with 10 or more years of use, risk decreased with time since last use reported at study entry (RR for last use <15 years ago, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.29-3.25; RR for last use >/=15 years ago, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.79-2.17). CONCLUSIONS: In this population, postmenopausal estrogen use for 10 or more years was associated with increased risk of ovarian cancer mortality that persisted up to 29 years after cessation of use.     

Risk of breast cancer with oral contraceptive use in women with a family history of breast cancer

CONTEXT: Oral contraceptive (OC) use is weakly associated with breast cancer risk in the general population, but the association among women with a familial predisposition to breast cancer is less clear. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the association between OC use and risk of breast cancer is influenced by family history of the disease. DESIGN AND SETTING: Historical cohort study of 426 families of breast cancer probands diagnosed between 1944 and 1952 at the Tumor Clinic of the University of Minnesota Hospital. Follow-up data on families were collected by telephone interview between 1991 and 1996. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 394 sisters and daughters of the probands, 3002 granddaughters and nieces, and 2754 women who married into the families. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Relative risk (RR) of breast cancer associated with history of OC use by relationship to proband. RESULTS: After accounting for age and birth cohort, ever having used OCs was associated with significantly increased risk of breast cancer among sisters and daughters of the probands (RR, 3.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6-6.7), but not among granddaughters and nieces of the probands (RR, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8-2.0) or among marry-ins (RR, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8-1.9). Results were essentially unchanged after adjustment for parity, age at first birth, age at menarche, age at menopause, oophorectomy, smoking, and education. The elevated risk among women with a first-degree family history of breast cancer was most evident for OC use during or prior to 1975, when formulations were likely to contain higher dosages of estrogen and progestins (RR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.5-7.2). A small number of breast cancer cases (n = 2) limited the statistical power to detect risk among women with a first-degree relative with breast cancer and OC use after 1975. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that women who have ever used earlier formulations of OCs and who also have a first-degree relative with breast cancer may be at particularly high risk for breast cancer. Further studies of women with a strong family history who have used more recent lower-dosage formulations of OCs are needed to determine how women with a familial predisposition to breast cancer should be advised regarding OC use today. JAMA. 2000;284:1791-1798.     

Hormone replacement therapy after a diagnosis of breast cancer: cancer recurrence and mortality

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether hormone replacement therapy (HRT) after treatment for breast cancer is associated with increased risk of recurrence and mortality. DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. PARTICIPANTS AND SETTING: Postmenopausal women diagnosed with breast cancer and treated by five Sydney doctors between 1964 and 1999. OUTCOME MEASURES: Times from diagnosis to cancer recurrence or new breast cancer, to death from all causes and to death from primary tumour were compared between women who used HRT for menopausal symptoms after diagnosis and those who did not. Relative risks (RRs) were determined from Cox regression analyses, adjusted for patient and tumour characteristics. RESULTS: 1122 women were followed up for 0-36 years (median, 6.08 years); 154 were lost to follow-up. 286 women used HRT for menopausal symptoms for up to 26 years (median, 1.75 years). Compared with non-users, HRT users had reduced risk of cancer recurrence (adjusted relative risk [RR], 0.62; 95% CI, 0.43-0.87), all-cause mortality (RR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.19-0.59) and death from primary tumour (RR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.22-0.72). Continuous combined HRT was associated with a reduced risk of death from primary tumour (RR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.12-0.88) and all-cause mortality (RR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.10-0.73). CONCLUSION: HRT use for menopausal symptoms by women treated for primary invasive breast cancer is not associated with an increased risk of breast cancer recurrence or shortened life expectancy.     

Oral contraceptive agents and breast cancer: a population-based case-control study

In this population-based case-control study that was conducted in Adelaide, South Australia, and which involved 395 case subjects and 386 control subjects who were aged 20 years to 69 years, the adjusted relative risk of breast cancer for women who had ever used oral contraceptive agents was 1.06 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.70-1.60). Relative risks that were associated with use of oral contraceptive agents for one month to 18 months and for 19 months or more before a first pregnancy were 1.09 (95% CI, 0.45-2.62) and 1.67 (95% CI, 0.63-4.42), respectively, but the trend was not statistically significant. Relatively-little variation in risk was found in association with the total duration of the use of oral contraceptive agents and with years since the first and the last use of oral contraceptive agents. When the risk of breast cancer in association with the use of oral contraceptive agents was examined across levels of risk factors of breast cancer (history of benign breast disease, family history of breast cancer and parity), the only relative risk which deviated markedly from unity was that which was associated with use of oral contraceptive agents in women with a history of benign breast disease; however, the relative risk of 1.77 (95% CI, 0.35-8.97) was not statistically significant. In conclusion, the results of this study support those of the majority of previous studies in showing no overall relationship between the use of oral contraceptive agents and the risk of breast cancer.     

Reproductive events and family history as risk factors for breast cancer in northern Alberta.

Reproductive events and family history as risk factors for breast cancer in northern Alberta were investigated with the use of data from a computerized population-based registry. Women aged 30 to 79 years attending diagnostic breast clinics at the Cross Cancer Institute from 1971 through 1975 constituted the two study groups; 1232 women had diagnosed breast cancer (malignant disease group) and 602 women were clinically free of all types of breast disease (control group). An increased relative risk of breast cancer was found in women with a family history of breast cancer, those who gave birth to their first term infant at age 30 years or older, those in whom more than 15 years elapsed between menarche and that birth, and those with a late natural menopause. There was a decreased risk, relative to nulliparity, in the postmenopausal women who first gave birth to a term infant 5 years or less after menarche. Artificial menopause (bilateral oophorectomy), parity and age at menarche had no apparent effect on the risk. The pattern of risk factors in northern Alberta differed from that reported for other geographic areas, including other provinces of Canada, thus emphasizing the need for local studies in the planning of screening programs.     

Estrogen use and cancer of the uterine corpus in Alberta

The case group in this Alberta, Canada, study consisted of 202 interviewed women (55-74 years old) with histologically confirmed cancer of the uterine corpus; comparison group was 1243 women with other than urogenital or breast cancer. The women had been interviewed to determine estrogen usage. Estrogen use (current or past) was reported by 47.2% of women in the case group but only 26.3% in the controls (P .001). Among the women who had used estrogens at some time, use for at least 5 years was reported by 23.9% of cases but by only 5.5% of comparison controls (P .001). Relative risks of cancer of the uterine corpus by status and duration of estrogen use show that women who had used estrogens at some time had a significantly high relative risk (2.2, P .01), and the risk was higher for current users than for former users (2.7 vs. 2); the risk increased as the duration of hormone use increased, and was especially high among women who reported use for 5 years or more (5.2, P .05). The trend of increasing risk as duration of use increased was significant (P .001). Analysis of attributable risk indicated that about 24% of cases of cancer of the uterine corpus may have been caused by current or past estrogen use. Trends of incidence of uterine cancer in Alberta and Saskatchewan women are shown figuratively; linear regression analysis indicated significant positive trends (P .001) for the age groups 35-54 and 55-74 years in each province. However, the rate of increase of the incidence over time was substantially greater for the age group 55-74 years than for the 35-54 year old group.     

Postmenopausal estrogen replacement therapy and increased rates of cholecystectomy and appendectomy

BACKGROUND: Several studies have indicated that estrogen may prime inflammatory and nociceptive pathways, leading to symptoms that mimic cholecystitis. We set out to confirm the relation between recent estrogen use and cholecystectomy in postmenopausal women and to test the novel hypothesis that a similar relation exists for appendectomy. METHODS: We developed a retrospective cohort using prescribing and surgical procedure information from health administrative databases for approximately 800,000 female residents of Ontario who were over 65 years of age between July 1, 1993, and Mar. 31, 1998. We compared the incidence of cholecystectomy and appendectomy among women recently prescribed estrogen replacement therapy, levothyroxine and dihydropyridine calcium-channel antagonists (DCCA) using age-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Patients were followed for a mean of 540 (standard deviation [SD] 449) days. RESULTS: Compared with women taking DCCA, those who had recently begun taking estrogen were significantly more likely to undergo cholecystectomy (age-adjusted risk ratio [aRR] 1.9, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.6-2.2) and appendectomy (aRR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1-3.0). No significant difference in either outcome measure was found between the levothyroxine users and the DCCA users. INTERPRETATION: This study identifies an increased risk of cholecystectomy and appendectomy among postmenopausal women who have recently begun estrogen replacement therapy.     

A prospective study of folate intake and the risk of breast cancer

CONTEXT: Folate is involved in DNA synthesis and methylation and may reduce breast cancer risk, particularly among women with greater alcohol consumption. OBJECTIVES: To assess the association between folate intake and risk of breast cancer and whether higher folate intake may reduce excess risk among women who consume alcohol. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study performed in 1980, with 16 years of follow-up. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A total of 88818 women who completed the dietary questionnaire section of the Nurses' Health Study in 1980. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incidence of invasive breast cancer by levels of folate and alcohol intake. RESULTS: A total of 3483 cases of breast cancer were documented. Total folate intake was not associated with overall risk of breast cancer. However, among women who consumed at least 15 g/d of alcohol, the risk of breast cancer was highest among those with low folate intake. For total folate intake of at least 600 microg/d compared with 150 to 299 microg/d, the multivariate relative risk (RR) was 0.55 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.39-0.76; P for trend = .001). This association was only slightly attenuated after additional adjustment for intake of beta carotene, lutein/zeaxanthin, preformed vitamin A, and total vitamins C and E. The risk of breast cancer associated with alcohol intake was strongest among women with total folate intake of less than 300 microg/d (for alcohol intake > or =15 g/d vs <15 g/d, multivariate RR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.15-1.50). For women who consumed at least 300 microg/d of total folate, the multivariate RR for intake of at least 15 g/d of alcohol vs less than 15 g/d was 1.05 (95% CI, 0.92-1.20). Current use of multivitamin supplements, the major source of folate, was associated with lower breast cancer risk among women who consumed at least 15 g/d of alcohol (for current users of supplements vs never users, RR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.59-0.93). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the excess risk of breast cancer associated with alcohol consumption may be reduced by adequate folate intake.     

Oral contraceptives and breast cancer. A prospective cohort study

In 1976, information on oral contraceptive (OC) use as well as numerous risk factors for breast cancer was provided by 121,964 married female registered nurses aged 30 to 55 years. Ninety-two percent of women in the cohort completed follow-up questionnaires, and vital records were systematically searched to ascertain deaths among nonrespondents. After four years of follow-up, 592 incident cases of breast cancer were identified. Compared with never users, the age-adjusted relative risk (RR) of breast cancer, regardless of menopausal status, among all women who had ever used OCs was 1.0. Among premenopausal women compared with those who had never used OCs, the RR of breast cancer was 1.5 for current use of OCs in 1976 and 1.0 for past use. Among postmenopausal women, the RR for past use of OCs was 1.0. These estimates were essentially unaltered after controlling for other known risk factors for breast cancer in multiple logistic regression analysis. Furthermore, there was no modification of these effects by family history of breast cancer, age at first use, timing of the first birth, or other breast cancer risk factors. Data on past use of OCs provide substantial reassuring evidence that there is no large excess risk of breast cancer within a few years of cessation of pill use. The observed moderate elevation of breast cancer risk with current use was of borderline statistical significance. However, the observation was based on 29 cases and may reflect the effect of sampling variability, as most other studies have not observed a relationship between current use of OCs and breast cancer in women of this age.     

Family history and the risk of breast cancer

To investigate whether a family history of breast cancer increases a woman's risk of developing breast cancer, we analyzed data from the Centers for Disease Control's Cancer and Steroid Hormone Study. The 4,735 cases were women 20 to 54 years old with a first diagnosis of breast cancer ascertained from eight population-based cancer registries; the 4,688 controls were women selected at random from the general population of these eight areas. Compared with women without a family history of breast cancer, women who had an affected first-degree relative had a relative risk of 2.3; women with an affected second-degree relative had a relative risk of 1.5; and women with both an affected mother and sister had a relative risk of 14. The risk of breast cancer for a woman was higher if her first-degree relative had unilateral rather than bilateral breast cancer or had breast cancer detected at a younger rather than older age. For women aged 20 to 39, 40 to 44, and 45 to 54 years, the estimated annual incidence of breast cancer per 100,000 women attributable to a first-degree family history of breast cancer was 51.9, 115.1, and 138.6, respectively, and that attributable to a second-degree family history of breast cancer was 12.1, 19.2, and 92.4, respectively.     

Breast cancer and oral contraceptives: findings in Oxford-Family Planning Association contraceptive study

Among the 17 032 women taking part in the Oxford-Family Planning Association contraceptive study, 72 were first diagnosed as having breast cancer between the date they were admitted to the study and 1 September 1980. The relative risk of developing the disease in women who had used oral contraceptives in comparison with those who had never used them was estimated to be 0.96 (95% confidence limits 0.59 to 1.63). Among women aged under 35 years, the corresponding relative risk (based on only 14 women with breast cancer) was estimated to be 0.61. No relation was apparent between the risk of developing breast cancer and duration of oral-contraceptive use or interval since first oral-contraceptive use in any age group. The data in this study are thus reassuring; but observations based on women with long-term use of oral contraceptives, especially those starting to use the preparations at an early age, are few.     

More critics raise voices against estrogen therapy

Estrogen use for treating symptoms of menopause and in oral contraception is under growing attack Recent findings have shown negative correlations between oral contraceptive (OC) use and myocardial infarction, elevated risk of breast cancer, endometrial cancers among wo men between 21 and 39 years of age (especially among those using sequent ial pills) and benign tumors of the liver. Studies have also linked prolonged estrogen therapy in menopausal women with increasing incidence of endometrial cancer. An estimated 5.6-fold increase in endometrial cancer risk has been figured for women who have been using estrogen from 1 to 4.9 years. Consequently, the FDA has announced plans to label all estrogen products with strong restrictive warnings. There is a possibility that sequentials will be removed completely from the market The increasing number of reports of various effects of estrogen still await resolution.     

The postmenopausal estrogen/breast cancer controversy.

OBJECTIVE--To provide an overview of the postmenopausal estrogen/breast cancer controversy emphasizing the sources of disagreement in the literature and their clinical and research implications. DATA SOURCE AND SELECTION--A MEDLINE search of the English-language literature and a review of bibliographies of meta-analyses describing the association between postmenopausal estrogen use and breast cancer risk. DATA EXTRACTION--Twenty-four original articles and three meta-analyses were reviewed. In addition, five studies that attempted to minimize detection bias were reviewed to assess the potential role of this bias on risk estimates. DATA SYNTHESIS--Among the original articles, risk estimates ranged from a protective to an adverse effect in women who ever used estrogens; no consistent quantitative effects of estrogens on breast cancer risk were found. In the meta-analyses, summary risk estimates were not significantly elevated in women who ever used estrogen. Findings from European-based studies may account for the increased risk associated with increasing duration of use reported in one meta-analysis. In studies that controlled for detection bias, risk estimates were 1 or less in the ever-used category; there was no consistent effect across other categories of use. CONCLUSION--These findings do not support an overall increased risk of breast cancer in women who ever used postmenopausal estrogens or a conclusive or consistent effect across other measures of use. Cross-national differences in estrogen use and inequalities in breast cancer detection between estrogen users and nonusers may account for the increased risk estimates reported in some studies. Newer estrogen and progestin-opposed regimens need to be evaluated further.     

Oral contraceptives and cervical cancer risk in Costa Rica. Detection bias or causal association?

To examine the relationship between cervical cancer and oral contraceptive (OC) use, we analyzed data from a population-based, case-control study in Costa Rica. Women aged 25 to 58 years in whom cervical cancer was diagnosed and reported to the National Tumor Registry were examined as two separate case groups: invasive cervical cancer and carcinoma in situ (CIS). Controls were women aged 25 to 58 years identified through a national survey. Women who had used OCs had no increased risk of invasive cervical cancer compared with women who had never used OCs (relative risk, 0.8; 95% confidence interval, 0.5 to 1.3). Women who had used OCs had an increased risk of CIS compared with those who had never used OCs (relative risk, 1.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.2 to 2.2). However, further analyses indicated that this increased risk was confined to those who had recently used OCs. Also, the risk of CIS was not elevated in subgroups in which a history of cervical smears was not strongly linked to OC use. The elevated risk of CIS among OC users may therefore reflect a bias caused by enhanced detection of disease rather than a causal association.     

Changes in breast density associated with initiation, discontinuation, and continuing use of hormone replacement therapy

CONTEXT: Initiation of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) has been shown to increase breast density. Evidence exists that increased breast density decreases mammographic sensitivity. The effects on breast density of discontinuing and continuing HRT have not been studied systematically. OBJECTIVE: To examine the effects of initiation, discontinuation, and continued use of HRT on breast density in postmenopausal women. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Observational cohort study of 5212 naturally postmenopausal women aged 40 to 96 years and enrolled in a large health maintenance organization in western Washington State who had 2 screening mammograms between 1996 and 1998. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Breast density, assessed using the clinical radiologists' BI-RADS 4-point scale, compared among women who did not use HRT before either mammogram (nonusers); who used HRT before the first but not before the second mammogram (discontinuers); who used HRT before the second but not before the first mammogram (initiators); and who used HRT prior to both mammograms (continuing users). RESULTS: Relative to nonusers, women who initiated HRT were more likely to show increases in breast density (relative risk [RR], 2.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.12-3.08), while women who discontinued HRT use were more likely to show decreases in density (RR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.06-2.98) and women who continued to use HRT were more likely to show both increases in density (RR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.13-1.55) and sustained high density (RR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.33-1.58). CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that breast density changes associated with HRT are dynamic, increasing with initiation, and decreasing with discontinuation.     

Sex steroid hormones and breast cancer: is there a link with oral contraceptives and hormone replacement therapy?

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether use of sex steroid hormones for contraception and hormone replacement therapy alters the risk of breast cancer, and whether the risk varies with their composition, duration of use, the period of a woman's life when the hormones are used, and after successful treatment for breast cancer. DATA SOURCES: The results of important epidemiological reports, readily available from the English literature and published since 1981, were evaluated, using reports of basic scientific work as a background to the problem. STUDY SELECTION: An attempt was made to obtain most of the relevant reports. Twenty case-control and seven cohort studies were available on the oral contraceptive pill (OCP) and eleven case-control and five cohort studies on hormone replacement therapy (HRT). DATA EXTRACTION: The relative risk estimates for breast cancer (and their 95% confidence intervals) determined by each report were tabulated according to the specific conditions of analysis, for example users under age 25, duration of use. Results by meta-analysis from previous studies were also used to determine risk. A significant positive association was present when the risk estimate exceeded 1.0 and the 95% confidence interval did not cross 1.0. DATA SYNTHESIS: Among OCP users, the vast majority of reports showed no significant risk of breast cancer--overall, longest duration of use, and use before first full-term pregnancy. However, a positive association between breast cancer and users under age 25 was found in three of eight reports. Similarly, the majority of reports showed no significant risk of breast cancer among HRT users, overall as well as in relation to duration of use and interval since first use. There was no increased risk with additional progestogen; it may be protective. An improved prognosis was found in users who developed breast cancer. On the limited data, use of hormones for postmenopausal symptoms did not appear to be harmful to women who had been successfully treated for breast cancer. CONCLUSIONS: The review revealed good evidence that use of sex steroid hormones had no significant effect on the risk of breast cancer, whether given for contraception or hormone replacement. There was some concern about increased risk with prolonged use of the OCP, especially in younger women. At present, use of these hormones is a matter of informed choice, with individual considerations of the risk-benefit ratio.