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《Pancreatology》2023,23(5):449-455
BackgroundWe investigated the short- and long-term risks of pancreatic cancer after the diagnosis of acute pancreatitis.MethodsThis population-based matched-cohort study used data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. Patients with acute pancreatitis (n = 25,488) were matched with the control group (n = 127,440) based on age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, and diabetes. We estimated the hazard ratios for developing pancreatic cancer in both groups using Cox regression analysis.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 5.4 years, pancreatic cancer developed in 479 patients (1.9%) in the acute pancreatitis group and 317 patients (0.2%) in the control group. Compared with the control group, the risk of pancreatic cancer in the acute pancreatitis group was very high within the first 2 years, which gradually decreased over time. The hazard ratio for the risk of developing pancreatitis was 8.46 (95% confidence interval, 5.57–12.84) at 1–2 years, and then decreased to 3.62 (95% confidence interval, 2.26–4.91) at 2–4 years. However, even after 8–10 years, the hazard ratio was still statistically significantly increased to 2.80 (95% confidence interval, 1.42–5.53). After 10 years, there was no significant difference in the risk of pancreatic cancer between the two groups.ConclusionsThe risk of pancreatic cancer increases rapidly after acute pancreatitis diagnosis, gradually declines after 2 years, and remains elevated for up to 10 years. Further studies are needed to determine the long-term effects of acute pancreatitis on the risk of pancreatic cancer.  相似文献   

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Although community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains a major cause of hospitalization and death, few studies on risk factors have been performed. A population-based case-control study of risk factors for CAP was carried out in a mixed residential-industrial urban area of 74,610 adult inhabitants in the Maresme (Barcelona, Spain) between 1993 and 1995. All patients living in the area and clinically suspected of having CAP at primary care facilities and hospitals were registered. In total, 205 patients with symptoms, signs and radiographic infiltrate compatible with acute CAP participated in the study. They were matched by municipality, sex and age with 475 controls randomly selected from the municipal census. Risk factors relating the subject's characteristics and habits, housing conditions, medical history and treatments were investigated by means of a questionnaire. In the univariate analysis, an increased risk of CAP was associated with low body mass index, smoking, respiratory infection, previous pneumonia, chronic lung disease, lung tuberculosis, asthma, treated diabetes, chronic liver disease, and treatments with aminophiline, aerosols and plastic pear-spacers. In multivariate models, the only statistically significant risk factors were current smoking of >20 cigarettes x day(-1) (odds ratio (OR)=2.77; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14-6.70 compared with never-smokers), previous respiratory infection (OR=2.73; 95% CI 1.75-4.26), and chronic bronchitis (OR=2.22; 95% CI 1.13-4.37). Benzodiazepines were found to be protective in univariate and multivariate analysis (OR=0.46; 95% CI 0.23-0.94). This population-based study provides new and better established evidence on the factors associated with the occurrence of pneumonia in the adult community.  相似文献   

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Over the period 1989–1991 a case-control study was carried out in the area of Naples comparing 162 subjects with acute hepatitis B and 788 hospitalized control subjects. The results of multivariate analysis showed that surgical intervention (odds ratio 3.8; 95% CI 1.2–11.7), household contact with an hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) positive carrier (odds ratio 2.7; 95% CI 1.1–6.7) and intravenous drug use (odds ratio 13.0; 95% CI 3.2–52.7) were risk factors independently associated with hepatitis B. No association was found with the other risk factors considered, such as blood transfusion, hospitalization, other percutaneous exposures, dental therapy, contact with an icteric case, barber shop shaving and two or more sexual partners. As a significant proportion of the general population undergoes surgical intervention, efficient procedures for sterilization of instruments should be implemented, together with the use of disposable materials, to control the spread of HBV infection in surgical settings.  相似文献   

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Over the period 1989–1991 a case-control study was carried out in the area of Naples comparing 162 subjects with acute hepatitis B and 788 hospitalized control subjects. The results of multivariate analysis showed that surgical intervention (odds ratio 3.8; 95% CI 1.2–11.7), household contact with an hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) positive carrier (odds ratio 2.7; 95% CI 1.1–6.7) and intravenous drug use (odds ratio 13.0; 95% CI 3.2–52.7) were risk factors independently associated with hepatitis B. No association was found with the other risk factors considered, such as blood transfusion, hospitalization, other percutaneous exposures, dental therapy, contact with an icteric case, barber shop shaving and two or more sexual partners. As a significant proportion of the general population undergoes surgical intervention, efficient procedures for sterilization of instruments should be implemented, together with the use of disposable materials, to control the spread of HBV infection in surgical settings.  相似文献   

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BACKGROUND: Reported risk factors for venous thromboembolism (VTE) vary widely, and the magnitude and independence of each are uncertain. OBJECTIVES: To identify independent risk factors for deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism and to estimate the magnitude of risk for each. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We performed a population-based, nested, case-control study of 625 Olmsted County, Minnesota, patients with a first lifetime VTE diagnosed during the 15-year period from January 1, 1976, through December 31, 1990, and 625 Olmsted County patients without VTE. The 2 groups were matched on age, sex, calendar year, and medical record number. RESULTS: Independent risk factors for VTE included surgery (odds ratio [OR], 21.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 9.4-49.9), trauma (OR, 12.7; 95% CI, 4.1-39.7), hospital or nursing home confinement (OR, 8.0; 95% CI, 4.5-14.2), malignant neoplasm with (OR, 6.5; 95% CI, 2.1-20.2) or without (OR, 4.1; 95% CI, 1.9-8.5) chemotherapy, central venous catheter or pacemaker (OR, 5.6; 95% CI, 1.6-19.6), superficial vein thrombosis (OR, 4.3; 95% CI, 1.8-10.6), and neurological disease with extremity paresis (OR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.3-7.4). The risk associated with varicose veins diminished with age (for age 45 years: OR, 4.2; 95% CI, 1.6-11.3; for age 60 years: OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.0-3.6; for age 75 years: OR, 0.9; 95% CI, 0.6-1.4), while patients with liver disease had a reduced risk (OR, 0.1; 95% CI, 0.0-0.7). CONCLUSION: Hospital or nursing home confinement, surgery, trauma, malignant neoplasm, chemotherapy, neurologic disease with paresis, central venous catheter or pacemaker, varicose veins, and superficial vein thrombosis are independent and important risk factors for VTE.  相似文献   

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OBJECTIVES: To explore the association between use of antipsychotics and risk of cerebrovascular accident (CVA) in individuals with dementia aged 65 and older. DESIGN: Population‐based case–control study. SETTING: UK‐based electronic primary care records in the General Practice Research Database (GPRD). PARTICIPANTS: Individuals with dementia aged 65 and older registered in the database between January 1, 1995, and June 22, 2007. MEASUREMENTS: Odds ratio (OR) of CVA in users versus nonusers of antipsychotics (typical or atypical) and in users of typical versus atypical antipsychotics. Multivariate analyses were performed using logistic regression models to adjust for potential confounders: demographic variables, comorbidity, and concomitant treatments. RESULTS: After adjusting for confounding variables, the OR of CVA associated with use of only typical antipsychotics versus no antipsychotics in individuals with dementia aged 65 and older was 1.16 (95% confidence interval (CI)=1.07–1.27) and for use of only atypical antipsychotics versus no antipsychotics was 0.62 (95% CI=0.53–0.72). In the comparison of typical versus atypical antipsychotics, the OR was 1.83 (95% CI=1.57–2.14). CONCLUSION: No reasons were found to question the cerebrovascular safety of atypical antipsychotics in older adults with dementia. The typical antipsychotics appear to be associated with a higher risk of CVA, although the risk disappears after use is discontinued.  相似文献   

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AIM:To investigate the association of alcohol dose, duration of drinking and obesity with abnormal alcohol-related liver injury indicators, the prevalence of alcohol-related liver injury in the island population of China.METHODS:Randomized multistage stratified cluster sampling from the island population of China was used in the population-based case-control study. Then interview, physical examination, laboratory assessments and ultrasonography were done. RESULTS:Daily alcohol intake ≥ 20 g, duration of drinking ≥ 5 years and obesity were closely related to alcohol-related liver injury (P 〈 0.05). The odds-ratio (OR) (95% CI) was 1.965 (1.122-3.442), 3.412 (1.789-6.507) and 1.887 (1.261-2.824), respectively. The prevalence rate of alcohol-related liver injury in ≥ 20 g daily alcohol intake group and 〈 20 g daily alcohol intake group was 37.14% and 12.06%, respectively. The prevalence rate of alcohol-related liver injury in ≥ 5 years drinking group and 〈 5 years drinking group was 34.44% and 8.53%, respectively. No significant dose-response relation was found between daily alcohol intake and abnormal alcohol-related liver injury indicators as well as between duration of drinking and abnormal alcohol-related liver injury indicators. There was no significant difference in the prevalence of alcohol-related liver injury between beer drinking group and yellow rice wine drinking group, hard liquor drinking group, multiple drinking group.CONCLUSION:The risk threshold of daily alcohol intake is 20 g and duration of drinking inducing alcohol-related liver injury 5 years in the island population of China. Liver injury induced by obesity should be concerned.  相似文献   

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Abstract

Background and aims: Few studies have been conducted in Asia on the recurrence of acute pancreatitis (AP). This study was designed to investigate characteristics of the disease to predict recurrence.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 617 patients that experienced a first AP attack between January 2009 and December 2014. Based on reviews of clinical and follow-up data, we attempted to identify risk factors of recurrence using Cox regression analysis.

Results: During a median follow-up of 3.2?years (range 3–72?months), 100(16.2%) of the 617 study subjects experienced one or more episodes of recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP). Of these 100 patients, 75(75%) experienced one relapse, 12(12%) two relapses, and 13(13%) three or more relapses. The etiologies of RAP were an alcohol (48%), gallstone (31%), idiopathic (14%), and others (7%). Univariate analysis showed that an age of <60?years, male gender, smoking, an alcohol-associated etiology, and a local complication at index admission were significant risk factors of RAP. Cox regression analysis showed that an age of <60?years (HR = 1.602, 95% CI: 1.029–2.493), male gender (HR = 1.927, 95% CI: 1.127–3.295), and the presence of a local complication (HR = 3.334, 95% CI: 2.211–5.026) were significant risk factors of RAP development.

Conclusion: A local complication at index admission was found to be the strongest risk factor of RAP, and a male gender and an age of <60?years were significantly associated with RAP. Special attention and close follow-up should be afforded to patients with a local complication at index admission or male patients <60?years old.  相似文献   

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Skin and soft-tissue abscesses, a common problem among injection drug users (IDUs), result in serious morbidity for the patient and costly hospitalizations for incision and drainage; however, there has been little etiologic or preventive epidemiologic research on this problem. We performed a case-control study that enrolled 151 IDUs who had been given a new diagnosis of abscess requiring incision and drainage (cases) and 267 IDUs who did not have abscess or other bacterial infection during the previous year and who were stratum-matched to cases according to age, sex, and race (controls). Subcutaneous or intramuscular, instead of intravenous, injection is a major risk factor for abscess among IDUs. The injection of a cocaine and heroin mixture, or "speedball," may predispose patients to develop abscess by inducing soft-tissue ischemia. Cleaning the skin with alcohol before injection was found to have a protective effect. Neither human immunodeficiency virus nor human T-lymphotropic virus type II seropositivity was significantly associated with abscess.  相似文献   

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