Coffee consumption and cardiovascular diseases and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and dose–response meta-analysis of cohort studies

AimsTo evaluate the long-term consequences of coffee drinking in patients with type 2 diabetes.Data synthesisPubMed, Scopus, and Web of Sciences were searched to November 2020 for prospective cohort studies evaluating the association of coffee drinking with risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. Two reviewers extracted data and rated the certainty of evidence using GRADE approach. Random-effects models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. Dose–response associations were modeled by a one-stage mixed-effects meta-analysis. Ten prospective cohort studies with 82,270 cases were included. Compared to those with no coffee consumption, the HRs for consumption of 4 cups/d were 0.79 (95%CI: 0.72, 0.87; n = 10 studies) for all-cause mortality, 0.60 (95%CI: 0.46, 0.79; n = 4) for CVD mortality, 0.68 (95%CI: 0.51, 0.91; n = 3) for coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality, 0.72 (95%CI: 0.54, 0.98; n = 2) for CHD, and 0.77 (95%CI: 0.61, 0.98; n = 2) for total CVD events. There was no significant association for cancer mortality and stroke. There was an inverse monotonic association between coffee drinking and all-cause and CVD mortality, and inverse linear association for CHD and total CVD events. The certainty of evidence was graded moderate for all-cause mortality, and low or very low for other outcomes.ConclusionsDrinking coffee may be inversely associated with the risk of mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. However, more research is needed considering type of coffee, sugar and cream added to coffee, and history of CVD to present more confident results.Registry and registry numberThe protocol of this systematic review was registered at Open Science Framework (https://osf.io/8uaf3, registered form: osf.io/xur76, registration DOI: 10.17605/OSF.IO/8UAF3).     

Cardiovascular Mortality After Type 1 and Type 2 Myocardial Infarction in Young Adults

BackgroundType 2 myocardial infarction (MI) and myocardial injury are associated with increased short-term mortality. However, data regarding long-term mortality are lacking.ObjectivesThis study compared long-term mortality among young adults with type 1 MI, type 2 MI, or myocardial injury.MethodsAdults age 50 years or younger who presented with troponin >99th percentile or the International Classification of Diseases code for MI over a 17-year period were identified. All cases were adjudicated as type 1 MI, type 2 MI, or myocardial injury based on the Fourth Universal Definition of MI. Cox proportional hazards models were constructed for survival free from all-cause and cardiovascular death.ResultsThe cohort consisted of 3,829 patients (median age 44 years; 30% women); 55% had type 1 MI, 32% had type 2 MI, and 13% had myocardial injury. Over a median follow-up of 10.2 years, mortality was highest for myocardial injury (45.6%), followed by type 2 MI (34.2%) and type 1 MI (12%) (p < 0.001). In an adjusted model, type 2 MI was associated with higher all-cause (hazard ratio: 1.8; 95% confidence interval: 1.2 to 2.7; p = 0.004) and cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio: 2.7; 95% confidence interval: 1.4 to 5.1; p = 0.003) compared with type 1 MI. Those with type 2 MI or myocardial injury were younger and had fewer cardiovascular risk factors but had more noncardiovascular comorbidities. They were significantly less likely to be prescribed cardiovascular medications at discharge.ConclusionsYoung patients who experience a type 2 MI have higher long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality than those who experience type 1 MI, with nearly one-half of patients with myocardial injury and more than one-third of patients with type 2 MI dying within 10 years. These findings emphasize the need to provide more aggressive secondary prevention for patients who experience type 2 MI and myocardial injury.     

Prediabetes and incident heart failure in hypertensive patients: Results from the Swedish Primary Care Cardiovascular Database

Backgrounds and aimsThe cardiovascular risk conferred by concomitant prediabetes in hypertension is unclear. We aimed to examine the impact of prediabetes on incident heart failure (HF) and all-cause mortality, and to describe time in therapeutic blood pressure range (TTR) in a hypertensive real-world primary care population.Methods and resultsIn this retrospective cohort study, 9628 hypertensive individuals with a fasting plasma glucose (FPG) in 2006–2010 but no diabetes, cardiovascular or renal disease were followed to 2016; median follow-up was 9 years. Prediabetes was defined as FPG 5.6–6.9 mmol/L, and in a secondary analysis as 6.1–6.9 mmol/L. Study outcomes were HF and all-cause mortality. Hazard ratios (HR) were compared for prediabetes with normoglycemia using Cox regression. All blood pressure values from 2001 to the index date (first FPG in 2006–2010) were used to calculate TTR. At baseline, 51.4% had prediabetes. The multivariable-adjusted HR (95% confidence intervals) was 0.86 (0.67–1.09) for HF and 1.06 (0.90–1.26) for all-cause mortality. For FPG defined as 6.1–6.9 mmol/L, the multivariable-adjusted HR were 1.05 (0.80–1.39) and 1.42 (1.19–1.70), respectively. The prediabetic group had a lower TTR (p < 0.05).ConclusionsPrediabetes was not independently associated with incident HF in hypertensive patients without diabetes, cardiovascular or renal disease. However, prediabetes was associated with all-cause mortality when defined as FPG 6.1–6.9 mmol/L (but not as 5.6–6.9 mmol/L). TTR was lower in the prediabetic group, suggesting room for improved blood pressure to reduce incident heart failure in prediabetes.     

Systolic Blood Pressure and Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

BackgroundNational guidelines recommend that systolic blood pressure (SBP) in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and hypertension be maintained below 130 mm Hg.ObjectivesThis study sought to determine associations of SBP <130 mm Hg with outcomes in patients with HFrEF.MethodsOf the 25,345 patients in the Medicare-linked OPTIMIZE-HF registry, 10,535 had an ejection fraction (EF) ≤40%. Of these, 5,615 had stable SBP (≤20 mm Hg admission to discharge variation), and 3,805 (68%) had a discharge SBP <130 mm Hg. Propensity scores for SBP <130 mm Hg, estimated for each of the 5,615 patients, were used to assemble a matched cohort of 1,189 pairs of patients with SBP <130 versus ≥130 mm Hg, balanced on 58 baseline characteristics (mean age 76 years; mean EF 28%, 45% women, 13% African American). This process was repeated in 3,946 patients, after excluding 1,669 patients (30% of 5,615) with a discharge SBP <110 mm Hg and assembled a second matched balanced cohort of 1,099 pairs of patients with SBP 110 to 129 mm Hg versus ≥130 mm Hg.ResultsThirty-day all-cause mortality occurred in 7% and 4% of matched patients with SBP <130 mm Hg versus ≥130 mm Hg, respectively (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.76; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24 to 2.48; p = 0.001). HRs (95% CIs) for all-cause mortality, all-cause readmission, and HF readmission at 1 year, associated with SBP <130 mm Hg, were 1.32 (1.15 to 1.53; p < 0.001), 1.11 (1.01 to 1.23; p = 0.030), and 1.24 (1.09 to 1.42; p = 0.001), respectively. HRs (95% CIs) for 30-day and 1-year all-cause mortality associated with SBP 110 to 129 mm Hg (vs. ≥130 mm Hg) were 1.50 (1.03 to 2.19; p = 0.035), and 1.19 (1.02 to 1.39; p = 0.029), respectively.ConclusionsAmong hospitalized older patients with HFrEF, SBP <130 mm Hg is associated with poor outcomes. This association persisted when the analyses were repeated after excluding patients with SBP <110 mm Hg. There is an urgent need for randomized controlled trials to evaluate optimal SBP reduction goals in patients with HFrEF.     

The interaction between hyperuricemia and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol increases the risk of 1-year post-discharge all-cause mortality in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction patients

Background and aimsHyperuricemia is a known risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, but little is known on whether the association between hyperuricemia and poor outcomes in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is modified by low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c). This study aimed to investigate the effect of the interaction between hyperuricemia and LDL-c on the risk of 1-year post-discharge all-cause mortality in STEMI patients.Methods and resultsA total of 1396 STEMI patients were included. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the association between hyperuricemia and 1-year all-cause mortality in the overall population and subgroups stratified based on LDL-c levels (<3.0 mmol/L or ≥3.0 mmol/L). Multivariate analysis indicated that hyperuricemia was associated with 1-year mortality (HR: 2.66; 95% CI: 1.30–5.47; p = 0.008). However, the prognostic effect of hyperuricemia was only observed in patients with LDL-c level ≥3.0 mmol/L (HR: 12.90; 95% CI: 2.98–55.77; p < 0.001), but not in those with LDL-c level <3.0 mmol/L (HR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.30–2.79, p = 0.875). The interaction between hyperuricemia and LDL-c levels had a significant effect on 1-year mortality.ConclusionHyperuricemia was associated with increased 1-year post-discharge mortality in patients with LDL-c level≥ 3.0 mmol/L, but not in those with LDL-c level< 3.0 mmol/L.     

Interplay of Coronary Artery Calcium and Risk Factors for Predicting CVD/CHD Mortality: The CAC Consortium

ObjectivesThis study sought to evaluate the association and burden of coronary artery calcium (CAC) with long-term, cause-specific mortality across the spectrum of baseline risk.BackgroundAlthough CAC is a known predictor of short-term, all-cause mortality, data on long-term and cause-specific mortality are inadequate.MethodsThe CAC Consortium cohort is a multicenter cohort of 66,636 participants without coronary heart disease (CHD) who underwent CAC testing. The following risk factors (RFs) were considered: 1) current cigarette smoking; 2) dyslipidemia; 3) diabetes mellitus; 4) hypertension; and 5) family history of CHD.ResultsDuring the 12.5-years median follow-up, 3,158 (4.7%) deaths occurred; 32% were cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths. Participants with CAC scores ≥400 had a significantly increased risk for CHD and CVD mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 5.44; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.88 to 7.62; and HR: 4.15; 95% CI: 3.29 to 5.22, respectively) compared with CAC of 0. Participants with ≥3 RFs had a smaller increased risk for CHD and CVD mortality (HR: 2.09; 95% CI: 1.52 to 2.85; and HR: 1.84; 95% CI: 1.46 to 2.31, respectively) compared with those without RFs. Across RF strata, CAC added prognostic information. For example, participants without RFs but with CAC ≥400 had significantly higher all-cause, non-CVD, CVD, and CHD mortality rates compared with participants with ≥3 RFs and CAC of 0.ConclusionsAcross the spectrum of RF burden, a higher CAC score was strongly associated with long-term, all-cause mortality and a greater proportion of deaths due to CVD and CHD. Absence of CAC identified people with a low risk over 12 years of follow-up, with most deaths being non-CVD in nature, regardless of RF burden.     

Remnant cholesterol as a risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in incident peritoneal dialysis patients

Background and aimsRemnant cholesterol (RC) adversely contributes to cardiovascular disease (CVD) and overall survival in various diseases. However, its role in CVD outcomes and all-cause mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD) is limited. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the association between RC and all-cause and CVD mortality in patients undergoing PD.Methods and resultsBased on lipid profiles recorded using standard laboratory procedures, fasting RC levels were calculated in 2710 incident patients undergoing PD who were enrolled between January 2006 and December 2017 and followed up until December 2018. Patients were divided into four groups according to the quartile distribution of baseline RC levels (Q1: <0.40 mmol/L, Q2: 0.40 to <0.64 mmol/L, Q3: 0.64 to <1.03 mmol/L, and Q4: ≥1.03 mmol/L). Associations between RC and CVD and all-cause mortality were evaluated using multivariable Cox models. During the median follow-up period of 35.4 months (interquartile range, 20.9–57.2 months), 820 deaths were recorded, of which 438 were CVD-related. Smoothing plots showed non-linear relationships between RC and adverse outcomes. The risks of all-cause and CVD mortality increased progressively through the quartiles (log-rank, p < 0.001). Using adjusted proportional hazard models, a comparison of the highest (Q4) to lowest (Q1) quartiles revealed significant increases in the hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality (HR 1.95 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.51–2.51]) and CVD mortality risk (HR 2.60 [95% CI, 1.80–3.75]).ConclusionAn increased RC level was independently associated with all-cause and CVD mortality in patients undergoing PD, suggesting that RC was important clinically and required further research.     

Deep Learning to Estimate Biological Age From Chest Radiographs

ObjectivesThe goal of this study was to assess whether a deep learning estimate of age from a chest radiograph image (CXR-Age) can predict longevity beyond chronological age.BackgroundChronological age is an imperfect measure of longevity. Biological age, a measure of overall health, may improve personalized care. This paper proposes a new way to estimate biological age using a convolutional neural network that takes as input a CXR image and outputs a chest x-ray age (in years) as a measure of long-term mortality risk.MethodsCXR-Age was developed using CXR from 116,035 individuals and validated in 2 held-out testing sets: 1) 75% of the CXR arm of PLCO (Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial) (N = 40,967); and 2) the CXR arm of NLST (National Lung Screening Trial) (N = 5,414). CXR-Age was compared to chronological age and a multivariable regression model of chronological age, risk factors, and radiograph findings to predict all-cause and cardiovascular mortality with a maximum 23 years and 13 years of follow-up, respectively. The primary outcome was observed mortality; results are provided for the testing datasets only.ResultsIn the PLCO testing dataset, a 5-year increase in CXR-Age carried a higher risk of all-cause mortality than a 5-year increase in chronological age (CXR-Age hazard ratio [HR]: 2.26 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.24 to 2.29] vs. chronological age HR: 1.77 [95% CI: 1.75 to 1.78]; p < 0.001). A similar pattern was found for cardiovascular mortality (CXR-Age cause-specific HR: 2.45 per 5 years [95% CI: 2.34 to 2.56] vs. chronological age HR: 1.82 per 5 years [95% CI: 1.74 to 1.90]). Similar results were seen for both outcomes in the NLST external testing dataset. Adding CXR-Age to the multivariable model resulted in significant improvements for predicting both outcomes in both testing datasets (p < 0.001 for all comparisons).ConclusionsBased on a CXR image, CXR-Age predicted long-term all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.     

Association between body mass index and mortality in atrial fibrillation patients with and without diabetes mellitus: Insights from a multicenter registry study in China

Background and aimsThe aim of this study was to evaluate the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with and without diabetes mellitus (DM).Methods and resultsA total of 1991 AF patients were enrolled and divided into two groups according to whether they have DM at recruitment. Baseline information was collected and a mean follow-up of 1 year was carried out. The primary outcome was defined as all-cause mortality with the secondary outcomes including cardiovascular mortality, stroke and major adverse events (MAEs). Univariable and multivariable Cox regression were performed to estimate the association between BMI and 1-year outcomes in AF patients with and without DM. 309 patients with AF (15.5%) had comorbid DM at baseline. Patients with DM were more likely to have cardiovascular comorbidities, receive relevant medications but carry worse 1-year outcomes. Multivariable Cox regressions indicated that elevated BMI was related with reduced risk of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and major adverse events. Compared to normal weight, overweight [HR (95% CI): 0.548 (0.405–0.741), p < 0.001] and obesity [HR (95% CI): 0.541 (0.326–0.898), p = 0.018] were significantly related with decreased all-cause mortality for the entire cohort. Remarkably reduced all-cause mortality in the overweight [HR (95% CI): 0.497 (0.347–0.711), p < 0.001] and obesity groups [HR (95% CI): 0.405 (0.205–0.800), p = 0.009] could also be detected in AF patients without DM, but not in those with DM.ConclusionElevated BMI was associated with reduced mortality in patients with AF. This association was modified by DM. The obesity paradox confined to AF patients without DM, but could not be generalized to those with DM.     

Concurrence of hyperinsulinemia and hyperuricemia significantly augmented all-cause mortality

Background and aimsHyperinsulinemia and hyperuricemia are known to increase the risk of mortality due to certain complications, such as Type 2 Diabetes and cardiovascular disease. However, despite their common comorbidities, their combined effect has not been evaluated. The study's aim was to evaluate the combine effect of hyperinsulinemia and hyperuricemia on all-cause mortality.Methods and resultsNHANES datasets (cycles 2003–2018) were examined. Differences between groups were evaluated using Rao-Scott Chi-square and General Linear Model for categorical and continuous data, respectively. Hazard Ratios (HR) were calculated using Cox regression with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). There was significant difference (p < 0.05) in the mortality rate between the control group (2.3 ± 0.2%), the hyperinsulinemia only group (3.1 ± 0.3%), the hyperuricemia only group (4.0 ± 0.8%), and both conditions (5.1 ± 0.8%). Individually, when compared to the control group, there was a significant increase in mortality risk for hyperinsulinemia (HR: 1.50, 95%CI: 1.12–2.01, p = 0.007) and hyperuricemia (HR: 1.80, 95%CI:1.18–2.75, p = 0.006). However, when both conditions were present, there appeared an additive effect in the mortality risk (HR: 2.32, 95%CI: 1.66–3.25, p < 0.001). When stratified by BMI class, only normal weight participants presented with a significant risk (HR: 7.00, 95%CI: 2.50–20.30, p < 0.001). Also, when stratified by age, only participants older than 40 years presented a risk (HR: 2.22, 95%CI: 1.56–3.16, p < 0.001).ConclusionAlone, hyperuricemia and hyperinsulinemia significantly increased the mortality rate; however, the combined presence of both pathologies was associated with a significantly augmented mortality rate. Normal weight participant or that were >40 years old had a greater risk for mortality.     

Ticagrelor Monotherapy Versus Dual-Antiplatelet Therapy After PCI: An Individual Patient-Level Meta-Analysis

ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to compare ticagrelor monotherapy with dual-antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) with drug-eluting stents.BackgroundThe role of abbreviated DAPT followed by an oral P2Y₁₂ inhibitor after PCI remains uncertain.MethodsTwo randomized trials, including 14,628 patients undergoing PCI, comparing ticagrelor monotherapy with standard DAPT on centrally adjudicated endpoints were identified, and individual patient data were analyzed using 1-step fixed-effect models. The protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42019143120). The primary outcomes were the composite of Bleeding Academic Research Consortium type 3 or 5 bleeding tested for superiority and, if met, the composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, or stroke at 1 year, tested for noninferiority against a margin of 1.25 on a hazard ratio (HR) scale.ResultsBleeding Academic Research Consortium type 3 or 5 bleeding occurred in fewer patients with ticagrelor than DAPT (0.9% vs. 1.7%, respectively; HR: 0.56; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.41 to 0.75; p < 0.001). The composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, or stroke occurred in 231 patients (3.2%) with ticagrelor and in 254 patients (3.5%) with DAPT (HR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.76 to 1.10; p < 0.001 for noninferiority). Ticagrelor was associated with lower risk for all-cause (HR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.52 to 0.96; p = 0.027) and cardiovascular (HR: 0.68; 95% CI: 0.47 to 0.99; p = 0.044) mortality. Rates of myocardial infarction (2.01% vs. 2.05%; p = 0.88), stent thrombosis (0.29% vs. 0.38%; p = 0.32), and stroke (0.47% vs. 0.36%; p = 0.30) were similar.ConclusionsTicagrelor monotherapy was associated with a lower risk for major bleeding compared with standard DAPT, without a concomitant increase in ischemic events.     

Moderate Aortic Stenosis in Patients With Heart Failure and Reduced Ejection Fraction

BackgroundThe study investigators previously reported that moderate aortic stenosis (AS) is associated with a poor prognosis in patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (HFrEF). However, the respective contribution of moderate AS versus HFrEF to the outcomes of these patients is unknown.ObjectivesThis study sought to determine the impact of moderate AS on outcomes in patients with HFrEF.MethodsThe study included 262 patients with moderate AS (aortic valve area >1.0 and <1.5 cm²; and peak aortic jet velocity >2 and <4 m/s, at rest or after dobutamine stress echocardiography) and HFrEF (LVEF <50%). These patients were matched 1:1 for sex, age, estimated glomerular filtration rate, New York Heart Association functional class III to IV, presence of diabetes, LVEF, and body mass index with patients with HFrEF but no AS (i.e., peak aortic jet velocity <2 m/s). The endpoints were all-cause mortality and the composite of death and HF hospitalization.ResultsA total of 262 patients with HFrEF and moderate AS were matched with 262 patients with HFrEF and no AS. Mean follow-up was 2.9 ± 2.2 years. In the moderate AS group, mean aortic valve area was 1.2 ± 0.2 cm², and mean gradient was 14.5 ± 4.7 mm Hg. Moderate AS was associated with an increased risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.98; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.08 to 4.31; p < 0.0001) and of the composite of HF hospitalization and mortality (HR: 2.34; 95% CI: 1. 72 to 3.21; p < 0.0001). In the moderate AS group, aortic valve replacement (AVR) performed in 44 patients at a median follow-up time of 10.9 ± 16 months during follow-up was associated with improved survival (HR: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.35 to 0.98; p = 0.04). Notably, surgical AVR was not significantly associated with improved survival (p = 0.92), whereas transcatheter AVR was (HR: 0.43; 95% CI: 0.18 to 1.00; p = 0.05).ConclusionsIn this series of patients with HFrEF, moderate AS was associated with a marked incremental risk of mortality. AVR, and especially transcatheter AVR during follow-up, was associated with improved survival in patients with HFrEF and moderate AS. These findings provide support to the realization of a randomized trial to assess the effect of early transcatheter AVR in patients with HFrEF and moderate AS.     

Recovery of Left Ventricular Systolic Function and Clinical Outcomes in Young Adults With Myocardial Infarction

BackgroundLeft ventricular ejection fraction (EF) recovery is associated with better long-term outcomes after myocardial infarction (MI). However, the association between long-term outcomes and EF recovery among young MI patients has not been investigated.ObjectivesThis study sought to evaluate the prevalence of left ventricular systolic dysfunction among patients who experience their first MI at a young age and to compare outcomes between those who recovered their EF versus those who did not.MethodsThe YOUNG-MI registry is a retrospective cohort study of patients who experienced an MI at ≤50 years of age. EF at the time of MI and within 180 days post-MI were determined from all available medical records. The primary outcomes were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.ResultsThere were 1,724 patients with baseline EF data: 503 (29%) had EF <50%, whereas 1,221 (71%) had a normal baseline EF. Patients with lower EF were more likely to have experienced ST-segment elevation MI, have higher troponin values, and have more severe angiographic coronary artery disease. Among patients with abnormal baseline EF, information on follow-up EF was available for 216, of whom 90 (42%) recovered their EF to ≥50%. Patients who experienced EF recovery had less severe angiographic disease, lower alcohol use, and a lower burden of comorbidities. Over a median follow-up of 11.1 years, EF recovery was associated with an ∼8-fold reduction in all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.12; p = 0.001) and a ∼10-fold reduction in cardiovascular mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.10; p = 0.025).ConclusionsNearly one-third of young patients presented with left ventricular dysfunction post-MI. Among them, EF recovery occurred in more than 40% and was independently associated with a substantial decrease in all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.     

Incident Clinical and Mortality Associations of Myocardial Native T1 in the UK Biobank

BackgroundCardiac magnetic resonance native T1-mapping provides noninvasive, quantitative, and contrast-free myocardial characterization. However, its predictive value in population cohorts has not been studied.ObjectivesThe associations of native T1 with incident events were evaluated in 42,308 UK Biobank participants over 3.17 ± 1.53 years of prospective follow-up.MethodsNative T1-mapping was performed in 1 midventricular short-axis slice using the Shortened Modified Look-Locker Inversion recovery technique (WIP780B) in 1.5-T scanners (Siemens Healthcare). Global myocardial T1 was calculated using an automated tool. Associations of T1 with: 1) prevalent risk factors (eg, diabetes, hypertension, and high cholesterol); 2) prevalent and incident diseases (eg, any cardiovascular disease [CVD], any brain disease, valvular heart disease, heart failure, nonischemic cardiomyopathies, cardiac arrhythmias, atrial fibrillation [AF], myocardial infarction, ischemic heart disease [IHD], and stroke); and 3) mortality (eg, all-cause, CVD, and IHD) were examined. Results are reported as odds ratios (ORs) or HRs per SD increment of T1 value with 95% CIs and corrected P values, from logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression models.ResultsHigher myocardial T1 was associated with greater odds of a range of prevalent conditions (eg, any CVD, brain disease, heart failure, nonischemic cardiomyopathies, AF, stroke, and diabetes). The strongest relationships were with heart failure (OR: 1.41 [95% CI: 1.26-1.57]; P = 1.60 × 10^-9) and nonischemic cardiomyopathies (OR: 1.40 [95% CI: 1.16-1.66]; P = 2.42 × 10^-4). Native T1 was positively associated with incident AF (HR: 1.25 [95% CI: 1.10-1.43]; P = 9.19 × 10^-4), incident heart failure (HR: 1.47 [95% CI: 1.31-1.65]; P = 4.79 × 10^-11), all-cause mortality (HR: 1.24 [95% CI: 1.12-1.36]; P = 1.51 × 10^-5), CVD mortality (HR: 1.40 [95% CI: 1.14-1.73]; P = 0.0014), and IHD mortality (HR: 1.36 [95% CI: 1.03-1.80]; P = 0.0310).ConclusionsThis large population study demonstrates the utility of myocardial native T1-mapping for disease discrimination and outcome prediction.     

Clonal Hematopoiesis and Risk of Progression of Heart Failure With Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction

BackgroundClonal hematopoiesis driven by somatic mutations in hematopoietic cells, frequently called clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), has been associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes in population-based studies and in patients with ischemic heart failure (HF) and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Yet, the impact of CHIP on HF progression, including nonischemic etiology, is unknown.ObjectivesThe purpose of this study was to assess the clinical impact of clonal hematopoiesis on HF progression irrespective of its etiology.MethodsThe study cohort comprised 62 patients with HF and LVEF <45% (age 74 ± 7 years, 74% men, 52% nonischemic, and LVEF 30 ± 8%). Deep sequencing was used to detect CHIP mutations with a variant allelic fraction >2% in 54 genes. Patients were followed for at least 3.5 years for various adverse events including death, HF-related death, and HF hospitalization.ResultsCHIP mutations were detected in 24 (38.7%) patients, without significant differences in all-cause mortality (p = 0.151). After adjusting for risk factors, patients with mutations in either DNA methyltransferase 3 alpha (DNMT3A) or Tet methylcytosine dioxygenase 2 (TET2) exhibited accelerated HF progression in terms of death (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.79; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.31 to 5.92; p = 0.008), death or HF hospitalization (HR: 3.84; 95% CI: 1.84 to 8.04; p < 0.001) and HF-related death or HF hospitalization (HR: 4.41; 95% CI: 2.15 to 9.03; p < 0.001). In single gene-specific analyses, somatic mutations in DNMT3A or TET2 retained prognostic significance with regard to HF-related death or HF hospitalization (HR: 4.50; 95% CI: 2.07 to 9.74; p < 0.001, for DNMT3A mutations; HR: 3.18; 95% CI: 1.52 to 6.66; p = 0.002, for TET2 mutations). This association remained significant irrespective of ischemic/nonischemic etiology.ConclusionsSomatic mutations that drive clonal hematopoiesis are common among HF patients with reduced LVEF and are associated with accelerated HF progression regardless of etiology.     

Mechanisms Underlying the Association of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease With Heart Failure

ObjectivesThe purposes of this study were to determine why chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with heart failure (HF). Specific objectives included whether COPD is associated with myocardial fibrosis, whether myocardial fibrosis is associated with hospitalization for HF and death in COPD, and whether COPD and smoking are associated with myocardial inflammation.BackgroundCOPD is associated with HF independent of shared risk factors. The underlying pathophysiological mechanism is unknown.MethodsA prospective, multicenter, longitudinal cohort study of 572 patients undergoing cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR), including 450 patients with COPD and 122 age- and sex-matched patients with a median: 726 days (interquartile range: 492 to 1,160 days) follow-up. Multivariate analysis was used to examine the relationship between COPD and myocardial fibrosis, measured using cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR). Cox regression analysis was used to examine the relationship between myocardial fibrosis and outcomes; the primary endpoint was composite of hospitalizations for HF or all-cause mortality; secondary endpoints included hospitalizations for HF and all-cause mortality. Fifteen patients with COPD, 15 current smokers, and 15 healthy volunteers underwent evaluation for myocardial inflammation, including ultrasmall superparamagnetic particles of iron oxide CMR.ResultsCOPD was independently associated with myocardial fibrosis (p < 0.001). Myocardial fibrosis was independently associated with the primary outcome (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.14; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08 to 1.20; p < 0.001), hospitalization for HF (HR: 1.25 [95% CI: 1.14 to 1.36]); p < 0.001), and all-cause mortality. Myocardial fibrosis was associated with outcome measurements more strongly than any other variable. Acute and stable COPD were associated with myocardial inflammation.ConclusionsThe associations between COPD, myocardial inflammation and myocardial fibrosis, and the independent prognostic value of myocardial fibrosis elucidate a potential pathophysiological link between COPD and HF.     

Cardiac Radiation Dose,Cardiac Disease,and Mortality in Patients With Lung Cancer

BackgroundRadiotherapy-associated cardiac toxicity studies in patients with locally advanced non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) have been limited by small sample size and nonvalidated cardiac endpoints.ObjectivesThe purpose of this analysis was to ascertain whether cardiac radiation dose is a predictor of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and all-cause mortality (ACM).MethodsThis retrospective analysis included 748 consecutive locally advanced NSCLC patients treated with thoracic radiotherapy. Fine and Gray and Cox regressions were used to identify predictors for MACE and ACM, adjusting for lung cancer and cardiovascular prognostic factors, including pre-existing coronary heart disease (CHD).ResultsAfter a median follow-up of 20.4 months, 77 patients developed ≥1 MACE (2-year cumulative incidence, 5.8%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.3% to 7.7%), and 533 died. Mean radiation dose delivered to the heart (mean heart dose) was associated with a significantly increased risk of MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.05/Gy; 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.08/Gy; p < 0.001) and ACM (adjusted HR: 1.02/Gy; 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.03/Gy; p = 0.007). Mean heart dose (≥10 Gy vs. <10 Gy) was associated with a significantly increased risk of ACM in CHD-negative patients (178 vs. 118 deaths; HR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.06 to 1.69; p = 0.014) with 2-year estimates of 52.2% (95% CI: 46.1% to 58.5%) versus 40.0% (95% CI: 33.5% to 47.4%); but not among CHD-positive patients (112 vs. 82 deaths; HR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.70 to 1.25; p = 0.66) with 2-year estimates of 54.6% (95% CI: 46.8% to 62.7%) versus 50.8% (95% CI: 41.5% to 60.9%), respectively (p for interaction = 0.028).ConclusionsDespite the competing risk of cancer-specific death in locally advanced NSCLC patients, cardiac radiation dose exposure is a modifiable cardiac risk factor for MACE and ACM, supporting the need for early recognition and treatment of cardiovascular events and more stringent avoidance of high cardiac radiotherapy dose.     

Long-Term Outcomes in Women and Men Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

BackgroundStudies examining sex-related outcomes following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) have reported conflicting results.ObjectivesThe purpose of this study was to examine the sex-related risk of 5-year cardiovascular outcomes after PCI.MethodsThe authors pooled patient-level data from 21 randomized PCI trials and assessed the association between sex and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) (cardiac death, myocardial infarction [MI], or ischemia-driven target lesion revascularization [ID-TLR]) as well as its individual components at 5 years.ResultsAmong 32,877 patients, 9,141 (27.8%) were women. Women were older and had higher body mass index, more frequent hypertension and diabetes, and less frequent history of surgical or percutaneous revascularization compared with men. By angiographic core laboratory analysis, lesions in women had smaller reference vessel diameter and shorter lesion length. At 5 years, women had a higher unadjusted rate of MACE (18.9% vs. 17.7%; p = 0.003), all-cause death (10.4% vs. 8.7%; p = 0.0008), cardiac death (4.9% vs. 4.0%; p = 0.003) and ID-TLR (10.9% vs. 10.2%; p = 0.02) compared with men. By multivariable analysis, female sex was an independent predictor of MACE (hazard ratio [HR:]: 1.14; 95% confidence interval [CI:]: 1.01 to 1.30; p = 0.04) and ID-TLR (HR: 1.23; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.44; p = 0.009) but not all-cause death (HR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.75 to 1.09; p = 0.30) or cardiac death (HR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.73 to 1.29; p = 0.85).ConclusionsIn the present large-scale, individual patient data pooled analysis of contemporary PCI trials, women had a higher risk of MACE and ID-TLR compared with men at 5 years following PCI.     

Association between the visceral adiposity index and risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in a large cohort: Findings from the UK biobank

Background and aimsThe visceral adiposity index (VAI) has been recently established as a measure of visceral fat distribution and is shown to be associated with a wide range of adverse health events. However, the precise associations between the VAI score and all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in the general population remain undetermined.Methods and resultsIn this large-scale prospective epidemiological study, 357,457 participants (aged 38–73 years) were selected from the UK Biobank. We used Cox competing risk regression models to estimate the association between the VAI score and all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and other mortalities. The VAI score was significantly correlated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.200; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.148–1.255; P < 0.0001), cancer mortality (HR, 1.224; 95% CI, 1.150–1.303; P < 0.0001), CVD mortality (HR, 1.459; 95% CI, 1.148–1.255; P < 0.0001), and other mortalities (HR, 1.200; 95% CI, 1.148–1.255; P < 0.0001) after adjusting for a series of confounders. In addition, the subgroup analyses showed that HRs were significantly higher in participants who were male, aged below 65 years, and body mass index less than 25.ConclusionIn summary, VAI was positively associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in a nationwide, well-characterised population identified in a UK Biobank. The VAI score might be a complementary traditional predictive indicator for evaluating the risk of adverse health events in the population of Western adults aged 38 years and older.     

Long-Term Prognostic Value of Stress CMR in Patients With Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction

ObjectivesThe objectives of this study were to investigate the long-term prognostic value of inducible myocardial ischemia assessed by vasodilator stress cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) in patients with HFpEF.BackgroundSome studies suggest that ischemia could play a key role in HF in patients with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).MethodsBetween 2008 and 2019, consecutive patients prospectively referred for stress CMR with HFpEF as defined by current guidelines, without known coronary artery disease (CAD), were followed for the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), as defined by cardiovascular mortality or nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI). Secondary composite outcomes included cardiovascular mortality or hospitalization for acute HF. Cox regression analysis was performed to determine the prognostic value of inducible ischemia or late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) by CMR.ResultsAmong the 1,203 patients with HFpEF (73 ± 13 years of age; 29% males) who underwent stress CMR and completed follow-up (6.9 years interquartile range [IQR]: 6.7 to 7.7 years]), 108 experienced a MACE (9%). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed inducible ischemia and LGE were significantly associated with MACE (HR: 6.63; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.54 to 9.69; and HR: 2.56; 95% CI: 1.60 to 4.09, respectively; both p < 0.001) and secondary outcomes (HR: 8.40; 95% CI: 6.31 to 11.20; p < 0.001; and HR: 1.87; 95% CI: 1.27 to 2.76, respectively; p = 0.002). In multivariate analysis, inducible ischemia and LGE were independent predictors of MACE (HR: 6.10; 95% CI: 4.14 to 9.00; p < 0.001 and HR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.06 to 2.49; p = 0.039; respectively).ConclusionsStress CMR-inducible myocardial ischemia and LGE have accurate discriminative long-term prognostic value in HFpEF patients without known CAD to predict the occurrence of MACE.