Prognostic value of steroid receptors after long-term follow-up of 2257 operable breast cancers.

The prognostic value of oestrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) was estimated through a multicentric study of 2257 operable breast cancer patients followed up for a median of 8.5 years. None of the patients had received adjuvant therapy. The series included 33.3% stage I patients, 57.1% stage II, 5.7% stage IIIa and 2.4% stage IIIb. At the end point of the study 589 metastases and 537 deaths from cancer were recorded. Receptor measurements were performed by radiolgand assay according to a uniform protocol. A total of 68.8% of the tumous were ER positive and 54.0% PR positive ( > or = 10 fmol mg-1 cytosol protein). In univariate analysis, ER and PR status (positive/negative) were of prognostic value (P < 0.001) for the disease-free interval (DFI), the metastases-free interval (MFI) and the overall survival (OS). The OS of the patients after a first metastasis was also significantly different between ER-positive and -negative tumours (P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis (Cox proportional hazard model, 1665 patients), only the ER status showed a significant difference (P < 0.01) between positive and negative groups regarding the DFI, MFI and OS. By using Cox non-proportional, time-dependent models, we show that the predictive value of ER status of the primary tumour decreases by approximately 20% per year, losing its significance after 8 years of follow-up. Overall, when compared with TNM and histological grading, ER and PR status have a low prognostic value, their major interest remaining solely in the domain of therapeutic decision.     

Breast cancer prognosis is poor when total plasminogen activator activity is low.

Plasminogen activator (PA) is a serine protease which exists in two forms: tissue-type (t-PA) and urokinase-type (u-PA). The total PA activity was measured in tumour extracts of 235 breast cancer patients who were followed for a median of 8.5 years after surgery. Patients were initially divided into three groups with low (< 60 units mg-1 protein), intermediate (60-300 unit mg-1 protein), or high (> 300 unit mg-1 protein) total PA activity in tumour extracts. The PA activity was not significantly associated with the recognised prognostic factors of age, menstrual status, tumour size, lymph node involvement, histologic type, grade of anaplasia, and/or vessel involvement. A significant association was found between total PA activity and the oestrogen receptor (ER) or progesterone receptor (PgR) status. Among receptor-positive tumours, a significantly greater proportion of patients had high PA activity in their tumour extracts. Breast cancer patients with low total PA activity had a significantly shorter disease-free and overall survival rate when compared to those with intermediate or high PA activity. In univariate and multivariate analyses, total PA activity (< 60 unit mg-1 vs > or = 60 unit mg-1 protein) was found to be a significant prognostic factor for disease-free and overall survival of about the same import as lymph node involvement. Furthermore, the combination of total PA activity and nodal status could be even more precise in predicting survival times and probabilities in individual patients. This retrospective study demonstrates the total PA activity is a valuable prognostic factor in determining prognosis in human breast cancer.     

Association of genetic alterations on chromosome 17 and loss of hormone receptors in breast cancer.

To investigate possible relationships between genetic alterations and hormonal deregulation during breast cancer development and/or progression, we examined 616 primary breast cancers for loss of heterozygosity (LOH) at chromosomal regions 16q24, 17p13.3 and 17q21, and for amplifications of the ERBB2 and c-MYC loci. A comparison of oestrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PgR) status in tumour cells with data concerning these genetic alterations revealed that LOH at 17q21 was significantly correlated with absence of oestrogen receptors (ER) (P < 0.0003) or progesterone receptors (PgR) (P < 0.0001), and with the absence of both (P < 0.0001). Similarly, a significant association was observed between amplification of ERBB2 and the absence of either ER or PgR. LOH at 17p13.3 was associated with the absence of PgR (P < 0.01). These data suggest a possible relationship between specific genetic changes on chromosome 17 and hormonal deregulation in the progression of breast cancer.     

Oestrogen-regulated genes in breast cancer: association of pLIV1 with response to endocrine therapy.

Northern hybridization analyses of the oestrogen-inducible mRNAs pLIV1 and pS2 were compared with oestrogen receptor (ER) immunocytochemistry assessments in 40 untreated primary or early recurrent breast tumours. Significant associations were observed between pLIV1/ER (P < 0.03), pS2/ER (P < 0.001) and pLIV1/pS2 (P < 0.04) status. After disease recurrence, patients were treated with assessable courses of endocrine therapies. Positive pLIV1, pS2 and ER statuses in primary disease were consequently found to be predictive of endocrine responsiveness in the secondary lesions (P < 0.03, P < 0.02, P < 0.005 respectively). However, despite these associations, a number of pLIV1- and/or pS2-positive tumours failed to respond to therapy.     

pS2 protein: a marker improving prediction of response to neoadjuvant tamoxifen in post-menopausal breast cancer patients.

Tamoxifen as sole initial therapy is gaining importance in the management of post-menopausal breast cancer patients. Age oestrogen (ER) and progesterone (PR) receptor status are accurately considered to select patients for hormonal treatment. However, additional markers are needed. By immunohistochemistry (IHC), we studied tumour expression of ER, PR, pS2, c-erbB-2 and glutathione S-transferase pi (GST pi) on initial core biopsies of 208 post-menopausal patients with a non-metastatic invasive ductal carcinoma, treated by neoadjuvant tamoxifen therapy. A good response to tamoxifen was defined as tumoral regression > or = 50% (110 patients). Relationship between response and age, tumour size, T, N, histological grade, ER and PR contents evaluated by radioimmunoassay, ER, PR, pS2, c-erbB-2 and GST pi expression evaluated by IHC were studied. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that tumoral regression was linked only to pS2 (P = 0.004) and ER (P = 0.018) IHC expression. According to the immunohistochemical profile, three groups could be defined: pS2- and ER-positive tumours, pS2- or ER-positive tumours and pS2- and ER-negative tumours with response rates of 60%, 45% and 8% respectively. Although prospective studies are needed to confirm these results, we conclude that pS2 and ER immunohistochemical status are useful tools for predicting tumour regression with neoadjuvant tamoxifen in post-menopausal breast carcinoma patients.     

Prognostic significance of epidermal growth factor receptor in laryngeal squamous cell carcinoma.

Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) content was determined by a radioligand receptor assay in 140 primary laryngeal squamous cell carcinomas (median value of 8.4 fmol mg-1 protein, range 0-169.9 fmol mg-1 protein). Cox univariate regression analysis using EGFR as a continuous variable showed that EGFR levels are directly associated with the risk of death (chi 2 = 14.56, P-value = 0.0001) and relapse (chi 2 = 7.77, P-value = 0.0053). A significant relationship between EGFR status and survival was observed at the different arbitrary cut-off values chosen (8, 16 and 20 fmol mg-1 protein). The cut-off value of 20 fmol mg-1 protein was the best prognostic discriminator. In fact, the 5 year survival was 81% for patients with EGFR- tumours compared with 25% for patients with EGFR+ tumours (P < 0.0001). The 5 year relapse-free survival was 77% for patients with EGFR- tumours compared with 24% for patients with EGFR+ tumours (P < 0.010). When clinicopathological parameters and EGFR status were examined in the multivariate analysis, T classification and EGFR status retained an independent prognostic value. In this study we demonstrated that high EGFR levels single out patients with poor prognosis in laryngeal cancer.     

Comparison of immunohistochemical and biochemical assay of steroid receptors in primary breast cancer--clinical associations and reasons for discrepancies

Estrogen (ER) and progesterone receptor (PgR) status was analysed in paraffin-embedded breast cancer material with immunohistochemical (IHC) technique and compared with corresponding analyses in cytosols (CYT). ER showed the same status (positive/negative) with both methods in 88% of the samples (352/402). The concordance was also high for PgR status (81% [321/394]). Besides values near cut-off, heterogeneity in the distribution of receptor positive and negative nuclei within a tumour sample was the main reason for discordances. Histological type, presence of sclerosis, necrosis and non-invasive cells, and technical artefacts seem to be of only limited importance for explaining discordances All patients have been treated with adjuvant tamoxifen for two years. The two subgroups, which were ER(CYT)+/ ER(IHC) + or ER(CYT)-/ER(IHC) +, both had a significantly better progression-free survival (PFS; median follow-up: almost 6 years) than the ER(CYT)-/ER(IHC)- group (p < 0.001 and p = 0.007, respectively). The remaining group, ER(CYT)+/ER(IHC)-, had an intermediate PFS. For PgR, the associations with PFS were weaker, with significantly better PFS than the PgR(CYT)-/PgR(IHC)- group being found only for the PgR(CYT) +/PgR(IHC)- group (p = 0.03).     

The relationship between hormone receptor content and the effect of adjuvant tamoxifen in operable breast cancer

The relationship between hormone receptor status and the effect of adjuvant tamoxifen in early breast cancer remains controversial. This article presents the results of a randomized trial of adjuvant tamoxifen (40 mg daily for 2 years) versus no adjuvant endocrine therapy in postmenopausal patients. During 1976 to 1984, 1,407 patients were included in the study. Of these, 427 (30%) had high-risk tumors (pN + or pT greater than 30 mm) and were included in a concurrent randomized comparison of postoperative radiotherapy versus adjuvant polychemotherapy. The mean follow-up time was 61/2 years. Tamoxifen improved the recurrence-free survival (RFS) (P less than .01), but the overall survival difference in favor of the tamoxifen-allocated patients was not significant. Data on estrogen (ER) and progesterone receptor (PgR) content were available in 750 patients. Their mean follow-up time was 41/2 years. The effect of tamoxifen was significantly related to ER level (P less than .01). No benefit with tamoxifen was observed among ER-negative patients. The relation to PgR level was of borderline significance (P = .06). Multivariate analysis indicated that most of the interaction between treatment and receptor content was explained by the interaction with ER (P less than .01). The PgR status appeared to modify the effect of tamoxifen among the ER-positive patients and the greatest effect was observed among patients who were positive for both receptors. However, the additional predictive information provided by the PgR assay did not help to identify an unresponsive subgroup of patients.     

Letrozole inhibits tumor proliferation more effectively than tamoxifen independent of HER1/2 expression status

BACKGROUND: The biological basis for the superior efficacy of neoadjuvant letrozole versus tamoxifen for postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive locally advanced breast cancer was investigated by analyzing tumor proliferation and expression of estrogen-regulated genes before and after the initiation of therapy. METHODS: Tumor samples were obtained at baseline and at the end of treatment from 185 patients participating in a double blind randomized Phase III study of neoadjuvant endocrine therapy. These paired specimens were simultaneously analyzed for Ki67, ER, progesterone receptor (PgR), trefoil factor 1 (PS2), HER1 (epidermal growth factor receptor), and HER2 (ErbB2 or neu) by semiquantitative immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: The treatment-induced reduction in geometric mean Ki67 was significantly greater with letrozole (87%) than tamoxifen (75%; analysis of covariance P = 0.0009). Differences in the average Ki67 reduction were particularly marked for ER-positive tumors that overexpressed HER1 and/or HER2 (88 versus 45%, respectively; P = 0.0018). Twenty-three of 92 tumors (25%) on tamoxifen and 14 of 93 on letrozole (15%) showed a paradoxical increase in Ki67 with treatment, and the majority of these cases was HER1/2 negative. Letrozole, but not tamoxifen, significantly reduced expression of the estrogen-regulated proteins PgR and trefoil factor 1, regardless of HER1/2 status (P < 0.0001). ER down-regulation occurred with both agents, although levels decreased more with tamoxifen (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Letrozole inhibited tumor proliferation to a greater extent than tamoxifen. The molecular basis for this advantage appears complex but includes possible tamoxifen agonist effects on the cell cycle in both HER1/2+ and HER1/2- tumors. A pattern of continued proliferation despite appropriate down-regulation of PgR expression with estrogen deprivation or tamoxifen was also documented. This observation suggests the estrogenic regulation of proliferation and PgR expression may be dissociated in endocrine therapy resistant cells.     

Prognostic value of bcl-2 expression in invasive breast cancer.

Expression of the bcl-2 proto-oncogene was studied immunohistochemically in 251 invasive ductal breast carcinomas (median follow-up time 91 months, range 24-186 months) and the results were correlated with clinicopathological data and prognostic variables. Sixty-three (25%) tumours were scored bcl-2 negative and 188 (75%) tumours were bcl-2 positive. No relationship could be observed between bcl-2 status and tumour grade, pTNM staging or menopausal status. A strong positive relationship was demonstrated between bcl-2 immunoreactivity and oestrogen receptor status (P < 0.001) and progesterone receptor status (P < 0.001). No prognostic value was demonstrated for bcl-2 expression on disease-free survival and overall survival in axillary node-negative breast cancer patients. However, in axillary node-positive breast cancer patients multivariate analysis demonstrated absence of bcl-2 expression to be independently related to shortened disease-free survival (P = 0.003) and shortened overall survival (P < 0.001). Our results suggest a potential important role for bcl-2 expression as a modulator of response to adjuvant therapy in breast cancer.     

Results of two or five years of adjuvant tamoxifen correlated to steroid receptor and S-phase levels

A Swedish cooperative trial demonstrated that 5 years of adjuvant tamoxifen was more beneficial than 2 years of tamoxifen in the treatment of postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor (ER) positive, early stage, invasive breast cancer. The main aim of the present study was to investigate the importance of progesterone receptor (PgR) and ER concentration levels for patients participating in the trial and still distant recurrence free two years after the primary operation. Subgroup analyses revealed that only patients with ER positive and PgR positive breast cancer had improved distant recurrence free survival (DRFS) by prolonged tamoxifen therapy (p=0.0016). Patients with ER negative and PgR negative as well as ER positive and PgR negative tumors showed no significant effect of prolonged tamoxifen (p=0.53 and p=0.80, respectively). The percentage of ER negative and PgR positive breast cancers was too small (2.2%) for any meaningful subgroup analysis. There was a significant positive trend that the concentration level of PgR (high positive vs. low positive vs. negative) decreased the recurrence rate for those with prolonged therapy. No corresponding pattern was found for the ER content. S-phase fraction did not correlate to the recurrence rate of PgR positive breast cancers. Patients recurring during tamoxifen therapy had receptor negative tumors to a greater extent than those recurring after tamoxifen treatment.In conclusion, prolonged tamoxifen therapy for 5 years instead of 2 years was found to be beneficial for patients with ER positive and PgR positive breast cancer, whereas three extra years of tamoxifen had little or no effect for patients with ER positive but PgR negative tumors as well as for steroid receptor negative patients.     

Prognostic value of cytosolic tyrosine kinase activity in 249 node-positive breast cancer patients.

Tyrosine-specific protein kinase (TPK) has been associated with the cytoplasmic domain of growth factor receptors as well as oncoproteins. Enzymatic activation appears to be a major initial event in these signal transduction pathways. In this study, TPK was determined in the cytosols of 249 node-positive primary breast tumours. Enzyme activity was measured using [32P]ATP and poly(glutamic acid-tyrosine) (4:1) as an artificial substrate. Levels of TPK varied from 0 to 35.9 pmol ATP min-1 mg-1 protein (median 11.4). No correlation was found with tumour size or number of positive lymph nodes. In contrast, levels of TPK were negatively associated with age (P = 0.01) and menopausal status (P < 0.05) of the patients. Higher concentrations of TPK were in addition found in tumours negative for oestradiol (P < 0.01) and progesterone (P < 0.05) receptors. Finally, a positive correlation was found between TPK and urokinase plasminogen activator (UPA) (P < 0.05). Patients whose tumours contained high levels of TPK had reduced disease-free (P = 0.01) and overall survival (P < 0.05). In Cox multivariate analysis, including patient''s age, menopausal status, tumour size, number of positive lymph nodes, steroid receptors and UPA, TPK retained its independent prognostic importance.     

Benefit from adjuvant tamoxifen therapy in primary breast cancer patients according oestrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, EGF receptor and HER2 status.

BACKGROUND: Most women with oestrogen receptor (ER) positive primary breast cancer receive adjuvant tamoxifen after surgery. The measurement of tumour biomarkers should allow better selection of patients for such treatment or for therapies such as aromatase inhibitors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Histopathological blocks of primary breast cancer patients who had been randomized to receive 2-years tamoxifen or no adjuvant therapy in two mature randomised clinical trials were retrieved. Immunohistochemical staining for ER, progesterone receptor (PgR), HER2 and epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) was undertaken. The primary endpoint was relapse free survival. RESULTS: 813 patients were included in the study. Benefit from tamoxifen was seen in ER-positive patients [Relative risk (rr) 0.77, ci 0.63-0.93]. ER-negative patients also showed a strong trend to benefit from tamoxifen (rr 0.73, ci 0.52-1.02) which was largely confined to the PgR-positive group. Amongst the ER-positive group, PgR-positive and PgR-negative patients showed similar benefit (rr 0.81; ci 0.65-1.02 and 0.70; ci 0.49-0.99, respectively). Patients positive for HER2 did not benefit significantly (rr 1.14; ci 0.75-1.73) but this group was small. CONCLUSIONS: Measurement of PgR status in ER-negative patients defines a group of patients that benefit from tamoxifen but would be excluded from tamoxifen therapy on the basis of ER status alone. The data are consistent with HER2 positive tumours being resistant to tamoxifen.     

Changes in hormone receptors and proliferation markers in tamoxifen treated breast cancer patients and the relationship with response

Aim: To determine the effects of tamoxifen on the levels of hormone receptors and proliferation markers in the early phase of treatment and the relationship of the changes with tumor response in patients with primary breast cancer. Methods: Twenty-one women with primary, operable breast carcinomas were treated with tamoxifen 20 mg daily. Fine needle aspiration (FNA) was used to obtain samples prior to the start and at 14 days and 8-weeks post-treatment. From these samples estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PgR), and Ki67 levels were determined using immunocytochemistry and ploidy and S-phase fraction (SPF) using flow cytometry. Tumor response was measured clinically according to UICC criteria. Results: There were 12 responders (2 CR, 10 PR) and 9 non-responders (2 NC, 7 PD). Responders were more likely to be ER + (p=0.002), PgR + (p=0.006), and low SPF (p=0.06). At 14 days post-tamoxifen, the median decrease in Ki67 (% cells staining) for responders was – 4.8 and for non-responders – 0.15 (p=0.005). This decrease was seen predominantly in ER + tumours. The difference in SPF was not significant. A decrease in ER was seen in 3/15 patients all of whom were responders. A rise in PgR was seen in 7/17 patients and all but one were responders. Similar changes for ER and PgR were seen at 8-weeks post-tamoxifen, although the reductions in Ki67 and SPF at that time point were not related to response. Conclusion: We have observed a decrease in Ki67 and ER and a rise in PgR after 14 days of treatment with tamoxifen that was related to subsequent response. This is the first study in which an early decrease in a proliferation marker has been shown to relate to subsequent clinical response.     

Hormone receptor status of a contralateral breast cancer is independent of the receptor status of the first primary in patients not receiving adjuvant tamoxifen.

PURPOSE: To determine whether the hormone receptor status of the primary breast cancer (PBC) is predictive of the hormone receptor status of the subsequent contralateral breast cancer (CBC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We identified patients in our database with known estrogen receptor (ER; n = 193) and/or progesterone receptor (PgR; n = 178) status in their PBC and in their subsequent CBC. One hundred twenty-six of these patients had received no adjuvant therapy, 34 had received adjuvant tamoxifen, and 33 had received adjuvant chemotherapy alone. The median interval between the first diagnosis of PBC and the development of the subsequent CBC was 3 years. ER and PgR assays were assessed biochemically in two central reference laboratories using identical quality-controlled ligand-binding methods. RESULTS: Among systemically untreated patients (n = 126), 88% of patients with ER-positive PBC and 75% of patients with ER-negative PBC developed an ER-positive CBC (P = .11). Among the tamoxifen-treated patients, those with an ER-positive PBC were almost equally likely to develop an ER-positive (47%) or ER-negative (53%) CBC (P = .99). PgR status was similar. In the untreated group (n = 112), 59% of patients with a PgR-positive PBC and 66% with a PgR-negative PBC developed a PgR-positive CBC (P = .48). Among tamoxifen-treated patients (n = 33), 50% of patients with a PgR-positive PBC versus 27% of patients with a PgR-negative PBC developed a PgR-positive CBC (P = .28). CONCLUSION: ER and PgR status of the primary tumor does not predict the hormone receptor status of the subsequent CBC in the absence of selective pressure of adjuvant therapy. Thus, other reasons should be considered to clarify the failure of tamoxifen to reduce the incidence of CBC in patients with a receptor-negative PBC.     

Immunoradiometric detection of pS2 and total cathepsin D in primary breast cancer biopsies: their correlation with steroid receptors.

Commercially available immunoradiometric assays were used for pS2 and total cathepsin D determination in the cytosol fraction obtained from 266 primary breast cancers. We show that pS2 and cathepsin D values were significantly associated (Spearman''s rank correlation: P < 0.0001) in tumours from lymph node-positive patients (N+), while such association did not reach significance in tumours taken from patients with negative lymph nodes (N-). Moreover, cathepsin D concentrations in pS2-rich tumours (pS2 above the median value, 5 ng mg-1 protein) were significantly higher (Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon''s rank-sum test: P = 0.00001) than those obtained in the samples expressing less than 5 ng of pS2 per mg of protein. pS2 was also correlated to both the oestrogen receptor (ER) (Spearman''s rank correlation: P < 0.0001) and the progesterone receptor (PR) (Spearman''s rank correlation: P = 0.022). No significant differences in the expression of pS2 and cathepsin D taken from N+ and N- patients were found. Furthermore, no significant differences in pS2 and cathepsin D expression were obtained by stratifying tumours on the basis of their size (T). pS2 and cathepsin D values obtained in ER-positive/PR-positive tumours did not significantly differ from the values obtained in ER-positive/PR-negative and in ER-negative/PR-positive tumours. We conclude that pS2 could have a role in cathepsin D expression, and that it can be used in the assessment of a functioning oestrogen response machinery in those tumours that express only ER.     

Expression of Bcl-2 in node-negative breast cancer is associated with various prognostic factors, but does not predict response to one course of perioperative chemotherapy.

The aim of this study was to assess relationships between Bcl-2 expression, response to chemotherapy and a number of pathological and biological tumour parameters in premenopausal, lymph node-negative breast cancer patients. Expression of Bcl-2 was determined using immunohistochemistry on paraffin-embedded sections in a series of 441 premenopausal, lymph node-negative breast cancers of patients randomised to receive perioperative chemotherapy (5-fluorouracil, doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide) or no perioperative chemotherapy. Immunohistochemistry of Bcl-2 was evaluated by scoring both staining intensity (0-3) and number of positive cells (0-2). Using these scores tumours were grouped into categories 0-6. It was found that 9.2% of the tumours were completely negative (0), 17.2% weakly (1 + 2), 41.6% moderately (3 + 4) and 31.9% strongly positive (5 + 6) for Bcl-2. A positive correlation was found between high Bcl-2 expression and oestrogen (P < 0.001) and progesterone receptor positivity (P < 0.001) and low tumour grade (P < 0.001), whereas high Bcl-2 expression was negatively correlated with p53 (P < 0.001) and c-erb-B-2 positively (P < 0.001), high Ki-67 index (P < 0.001), mitotic index (P < 0.001) and large tumour size (P = 0.006). Patients with tumours expressing high levels of Bcl-2 (overall score 3-6) had a significantly better disease-free (P = 0.004) and overall (P = 0.009) survival. However, in a multivariate model this association no longer remained significant. There was a trend for an effect of adjuvant chemotherapy on disease-free survival both for patients with Bcl-2-positive (HR-0.61, 95% CI 0.35-1.06, P = 0.07) and negative (HR = 0.55, 95% CI 0.27-1.12, P = 0.09) breast tumours at a median follow-up of 49 months. The level of Bcl-2 expression does not seem to predict response to perioperative chemotherapy in premenopausal, lymph node-negative breast cancer patients. High levels of Bcl-2 are preferentially expressed in well-differentiated tumours and are associated with favourable prognosis. However, Bcl-2 expression is not an independent prognostic factor in this patient series.     

Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFr); results of a 6 year follow-up study in operable breast cancer with emphasis on the node negative subgroup

More accurate criteria are required for the selection of patients with node-negative breast cancer for systemic adjuvant therapy. Expression of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFr) has been shown previously to be inversely related to oestrogen receptor (ER) in patients with operable breast cancer and to be associated with a poorer prognosis. Analysis of EGFr and ER was performed on tumour samples from 231 patients with operable breast cancer followed for up to 6 years after surgery. The median duration of follow-up in patients still alive at the time of analysis was 45 months. Thirty-five percent of patients (82) had tumours with greater than 10 fmol mg-1 I125-EGF binding (EGFr+) and 47% (109) and cystolic ER concentrations greater than 5 fmol mg-1 (ER+), with a marked inverse relationship between EGFr and ER (P less than 0.00001). In a univariate analysis EGFr was second only to axillary node status as a prognostic marker for all patients both in terms of relapse-free and overall survival (P less than 0.001, log rank). For patients with histologically negative axillary nodes EGFr was superior to ER in predicting relapse and survival (P less than 0.01 and P less than 0.005 respectively compared to P less than 0.1 and P less than 0.1, log rank). In a multivariate (Cox model) analysis only EGFr, out of EGFr, ER, size and grade, was predictive for either relapse-free or overall survival for patients with node-negative disease (P = 0.05 and P = 0.026 respectively). EGFr has been shown to be a marker of poor prognosis for patients with node-negative breast cancer. Since patients with EGFr+ tumours are unlikely to respond to hormone therapy it may be possible to select them for trials of systemic adjuvant chemotherapy.     

Prediction of clinical outcome from primary tamoxifen by expression of biologic markers in breast cancer patients.

The aim of this study was to evaluate pretreatment clinical features and biological markers together with changes in these factors as predictors of response and relapse in patients receiving tamoxifen for primary breast cancer. Fine-needle aspiration cytology of the primary breast cancer was performed before tamoxifen treatment in 54 patients and repeated after therapy on day 14, day 60, or on both days in a subset of 35 patients. These samples were evaluated for estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PgR), Ki67, S-phase fraction and ploidy. The overall response to tamoxifen was 57% (31 of 54 patients). Pretreatment ER and PgR significantly predicted for response by univariate analysis (P < 0.0001 and P < 0.003, respectively). By multivariate analysis, ER expression was the only independent predictor of response, and it was associated with 27 times the likelihood of response (95% confidence interval, 6-136). Increase in PgR and decrease in Ki67 on day 14 significantly predicted for response to tamoxifen (P < 0.03 and P < 0.04, respectively). Lack of ER, clinical node-positive disease, and failure to decrease Ki67 on day 14 were significantly associated with increased risk of relapse (P < 0.05). By multivariate analysis, ER expression was the only independent predictor of relapse (P < 0.005). Pretreatment and early changes in molecular marker expression may assist in the prediction of response and clinical outcome in primary breast cancer patients receiving tamoxifen.