Left ventricular filling pressure by Doppler echocardiography in patients with end-stage renal disease

Left ventricular hypertrophy and systolic dysfunction predict mortality in patients with end-stage renal disease. However, the prognostic value of left ventricular filling pressure has remained uncertain in this population. We evaluated whether the early mitral inflow velocity to peak mitral annulus velocity (E/Em) ratio, an estimate of left ventricular filling pressure by tissue Doppler imaging, has significant additional prognostic value to conventional echocardiographic parameters and other clinical and biochemical parameters in 220 patients with end-stage renal disease. The E/Em ratio was elevated (>15) in 62% of the patients. Multivariate analysis showed that an elevated E/Em ratio had the highest correlation with left ventricular volume index, followed by loss of residual glomerular filtration rate, increasing age, worsening ejection fraction, and diabetes. During the median follow-up of 48 months, the E/Em ratio emerged as an independent predictor of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.027; 95% CI: 1.003 to 1.051; P=0.026) and cardiovascular death (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.033; 95% CI: 1.002 to 1.065; P=0.035) in the multivariable Cox regression analysis. In addition, the E/Em ratio added significant incremental prognostic value for all-cause mortality (P=0.035) and cardiovascular death (P=0.035) beyond the standard clinical, biochemical, and dialysis parameters and echocardiographic measurements. In conclusion, the E/Em ratio displayed important additional long-term prognostic information above and beyond that of left ventricular mass and systolic function. Our data suggest that left ventricular filling pressure should be estimated during echocardiographic examination for additional prognostication in patients with end-stage renal disease.     

Comparison of usefulness of echocardiographic Doppler variables to left ventricular end-diastolic pressure in predicting future heart failure events

We sought to determine whether the echocardiographic Doppler parameters of left ventricular diastolic dysfunction predict future heart failure (HF) events and, if so, which parameters best predict HF. We also examined whether the predictive ability of echocardiographic Doppler parameters was related to their prediction of left ventricular end-diastolic pressure (LVEDP). We studied patients who underwent cardiac catheterization and echocardiography performed within a 30-day period. The end point was HF, defined as new-onset or recurrent HF diagnosed by a physician and requiring the initiation or modification of treatment of HF. We identified 289 patients (mean age 63.5 +/- 12.6 years) with a mean follow-up of 10.9 +/- 10.2 months. A total of 24 HF events occurred. LVEDP was a significant predictor of HF univariately and independently in multiple regression models after adjustment for ejection fraction. In Cox models adjusted for age, gender, LVEDP, and ejection fraction, only the left atrial volume index and early mitral inflow to early diastolic tissue velocity (E/e') ratio remained predictive of HF. A multiple regression model, including all echocardiographic variables, showed a persistent, although attenuated, relation of early to late mitral inflow velocity (E/A) ratio and E/e' with LVEDP (p = 0.06 and p = 0.002, respectively). The addition of E/e' or the left atrial volume indexed to body surface area, but not E/A, to the clinical history and left ventricular ejection fraction provided incremental prognostic information. A LVEDP of > or =20 mm Hg, E/e' ratio of > or =15, and left atrial volume index of > or =23 ml/m(2) identified those with a higher risk of HF. In conclusion, invasively determined LVEDP is an independent predictor of future HF events. E/e' and the left atrial volume indexed to body surface area are the best independent predictors of future HF and provide prognostic information incremental to the clinical history and left ventricular ejection fraction.     

Prognostic role of left atrial volume in elderly patients with symptomatic stable chronic heart failure: comparison with left ventricular diastolic dysfunction and B-type natriuretic peptide

BACKGROUND: Left atrial (LA) volume and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) represent powerful outcome predictors in patients with heart failure (HF).Aim: To assess the comparative prognostic role of LA volume (indexed to body surface area, LAVi), left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) and BNP levels on long-term outcome in patients with symptomatic but stable chronic HF. methods: We studied consecutively 46 patients with symptomatic stable chronic HF (73 +/- 10 years, 30 men), in sinus rhythm, without significant valvular disease. Echocardiographic measurements included: LV mass, LV volumes and ejection fraction, and LAVi. LVDD was graded using a comprehensive Doppler algorithm. Blood taken before echocardiography was assayed for BNP levels. Primary end point was combined: all-cause mortality and hospitalization for worsening HF. RESULTS: During 20 +/- 14 months of follow-up 19 events occurred: 8 deaths, and 11 hospitalizations for HF. In univariate analyses LAVi, LVDD, BNP levels, LV ejection fraction, LV volumes, and LV mass were significant outcome predictors (P < 0.05). At multivariate regression LAVi was the only independent predictor of outcome (hazard ratio: 1.03 per 1 ml/m(2) increase, 95% CI: 1.01-1.06, P = 0.02). CONCLUSION: Although directly related to LVDD and to BNP levels, only LAVi emerged as an independent outcome predictor in this cohort of elderly patients with symptomatic stable chronic HF.     

Right ventricular dysfunction assessed by cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging predicts poor prognosis late after myocardial infarction.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine whether right ventricular (RV) function late after myocardial infarction (MI) impacts long-term prognosis. BACKGROUND: Right ventricular failure predicts early mortality in patients with acute MI. The prognostic impact of RV function late after MI is not well defined. Accordingly, we determined whether RV dysfunction late after MI influences survival beyond traditional risk predictors, including patient age, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and infarct size. METHODS: We studied 147 consecutive patients >30 days after MI (mean age of infarct 6.7 +/- 8.2 years) who were referred for contrast-enhanced cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging. We assessed hazard ratios for death by RV ejection fraction (RVEF). The association of RVEF with mortality adjusted to traditional risk predictors was examined by using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: A total of 26 deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 17 months (range 6 to 53 months). By univariable analysis, RVEF <40% was strongly associated with mortality (unadjusted hazard ratio 4.02; p = 0.0007). By multivariable analysis that adjusted for patient age, left ventricular (LV) infarct size, and LVEF, RVEF <40% remained a significant independent predictor of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 2.86; p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Right ventricular ejection fraction quantified late after MI is an important predictor of prognosis adjusted for patient age, LV infarct size, and LVEF. Accordingly, evaluation of RVEF using cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging can improve risk-stratification and potentially refine patient management after MI.     

Usefulness of plasma galectin-3 levels in systolic heart failure to predict renal insufficiency and survival

Galectin-3 plays an important role in fibroblast activation and fibrosis in animal models. Increased galectin-3 levels are associated with poor long-term survival in heart failure (HF). We examined the relation between plasma galectin-3 levels and myocardial indexes of systolic HF. We measured plasma galectin-3 in 133 subjects with chronic HF and 45 with advanced decompensated HF using echocardiographic and hemodynamic evaluations. In the chronic HF cohort, median plasma galectin-3 level was 13.9 ng/ml (interquartile range 12.1 to 16.9). Higher galectin-3 was associated with more advanced age (r = 0.22, p = 0.010), poor renal function (estimated glomerular filtration rate, r = -0.24, p = 0.007; cystatin C, r = 0.38, p <0.0001) and predicted all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.86, 95% confidence interval 1.36 to 2.54, p <0.001). In multivariate analysis, galectin-3 remained an independent predictor of all-cause mortality after adjusting for age, estimated glomerular filtration rate, left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, and mitral early diastolic myocardial relaxation velocity at septal mitral annulus (hazard ratio 1.94, 95% confidence interval 1.30 to 2.91, p = 0.001). However, galectin-3 did not predict the combined end point of all-cause mortality, cardiac transplantation, or HF hospitalization (p >0.05). Furthermore, there were no relations between galectin-3 and LV end-diastolic volume index (r = -0.05, p = 0.61), LV ejection fraction (r = 0.10, p = 0.25), or LV diastolic function (mitral early diastolic myocardial relaxation velocity at septal mitral annulus, r = 0.06, p = 0.52; left atrial volume index, r = 0.08, p = 0.41). In the advanced decompensated HF cohort, we did not observe any relation between galectin-3 and echocardiographic or hemodynamic indexes. In conclusion, high plasma galectin-3 levels were associated with renal insufficiency and poorer survival in patients with chronic systolic HF. However, we did not observe a relation between galectin-3 and echocardiographic or hemodynamic indexes.     

Incident Heart Failure and Long-Term Risk for Venous Thromboembolism

BackgroundHeart failure (HF) hospitalization places patients at increased short-term risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE). Long-term risk for VTE associated with incident HF, HF subtypes, or structural heart disease is unknown.ObjectivesIn the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) cohort, VTE risk associated with incident HF, HF subtypes, and abnormal echocardiographic measures in the absence of clinical HF was assessed.MethodsDuring follow-up, ARIC identified incident HF and subcategorized HF with preserved ejection fraction or reduced ejection fraction. At the fifth clinical examination, echocardiography was performed. Physicians adjudicated incident VTE using hospital records. Adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association between HF or echocardiographic exposures and VTE.ResultsOver a mean of 22 years in 13,728 subjects, of whom 2,696 (20%) developed incident HF, 729 subsequent VTE events were identified. HF was associated with increased long-term risk for VTE (adjusted hazard ratio: 3.13; 95% confidence interval: 2.58 to 3.80). In 7,588 subjects followed for a mean of 10 years, the risk for VTE was similar for HF with preserved ejection fraction (adjusted hazard ratio: 4.71; 95% CI: 2.94 to 7.52) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (adjusted hazard ratio: 5.53; 95% confidence interval: 3.42 to 8.94). In 5,438 subjects without HF followed for a mean of 3.5 years, left ventricular relative wall thickness and mean left ventricular wall thickness were independent predictors of VTE.ConclusionsIn this prospective population-based study, incident hospitalized HF (including both heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and reduced ejection fraction), as well as echocardiographic indicators of left ventricular remodeling, were associated with greatly increased risk for VTE, which persisted through long-term follow-up. Evidence-based strategies to prevent long-term VTE in patients with HF, beyond time of hospitalization, are needed.     

N-terminal proatrial natriuretic peptide predicts two-year remodelling in patients with acute transmural myocardial infarction.

AIMS: To evaluate whether baseline N-terminal proatrial natriuretic peptide (Nt-proANP) or Doppler echocardiographic parameters could predict two-year left ventricular remodelling after acute myocardial infarction in patients without heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: Seventy-one patients were followed with Doppler echocardiographic examinations at baseline, 3 months, 1 and 2 years, and Nt-proANP was measured at baseline and 3 months. After 2 years there was a significant increase in end-diastolic volume index of 11% ( p=0.006 ) and end-systolic volume index of 14% ( p=0.03 ), and no change in ejection fraction. This remodelling was confined to 12 patients (17%) with a significant increase in end-diastolic volume index above 20 ml/m(2). Baseline Nt-proANP ( p<0.0005 ), 3-month changes in end-diastolic volume index ( p=0.007 ), and 3-month E/A ratio ( p=0.014 ) were independent positive predictors for two-year changes in end-diastolic volume index. Two-year dilatation above 20 ml/m2 was predicted by baseline Nt-proANP (p=0.014) and maximal velocity of systolic pulmonary venous flow ( p=0.034 ). CONCLUSION: Seventeen percent of patients with transmural myocardial infarction and no baseline heart failure experienced a significant left ventricular dilatation at 2 years, and this was best predicted by baseline Nt-proANP.Unstructured abstract Seventy-one patients with acute myocardial infarction and no heart failure were followed for two years in an observational Doppler echocardiographic study. There was a significant increase in end-diastolic volume index of 11% ( p=0.006 ) and end-systolic volume index of 14% (p=0.03), but no change in ejection fraction after two years. Nt-proANP was the strongest independent predictor of two-year changes in end-diastolic volume index and of an increase in end-diastolic volume index above 20 ml/m2 after two years.     

Usefulness of pulmonary artery pressure by echocardiography to predict outcome in patients receiving cardiac resynchronization therapy heart failure

Secondary pulmonary hypertension is a marker of advanced heart failure (HF) that confers a poor prognosis. Consecutive patients from 2004 through 2005 who underwent echocardiographic assessments of systolic pulmonary arterial pressure (SPAP) before the implantation of cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillators were included. Patients were divided into tertiles according to baseline SPAP. Patients in the lowest (group I, 20 to 29 mm Hg) and highest (group III, 45 to 88 mm Hg) tertiles were compared for the end points or death or transplantation and for HF hospital admission. Two hundred seventy patients were evaluated, of whom 95% were Caucasians and 91% men. The mean age was 66.5 +/- 11.6 years, the mean QRS duration was 155 +/- 30 ms, the mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 22.6 +/- 9.7%, and the mean New York Heart Association functional class was 3.0 +/- 0.4. In a multivariate model, death or transplantation was significantly more likely in group III (hazard ratio 2.62, 95% confidence interval 1.1 to 6.4, p = 0.036), as was HF admission (hazard ratio 6.35, 95% confidence interval 2.6 to 15.8, p <0.001). In patients with follow-up echocardiographic assessments, a reduction in SPAP was a significant predictor of freedom from the combined end point (hazard ratio 0.29, 95% confidence interval 0.12 to 0.76, p = 0.011). In conclusion, elevated baseline SPAP in patients who underwent cardiac resynchronization therapy is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality or transplantation and HF admission. A decrease in SPAP on follow-up echocardiography is an independent positive prognostic marker.     

Independent and incremental prognostic value of early mitral annulus velocity in patients with impaired left ventricular systolic function

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to investigate the incremental prognostic value of non-invasive measures of early myocardial relaxation and left ventricular diastolic pressure (LVDP) in patients with impaired left ventricular (LV) systolic function. BACKGROUND: The early diastolic mitral annulus velocity (Em) reflects myocardial relaxation, and the combined ratio of the early transmitral flow velocity (E) to Em (E/Em) >15 correlates well with elevated mean LVDP. It is unknown if these new indexes will predict poorer survival in patients with LV systolic dysfunction. METHODS: Echocardiograms were prospectively obtained in 182 patients with impaired LV systolic function, defined as an LV ejection fraction <0.50. The end point was cardiac mortality. The majority of this patient sample (80%) has been reported on in a previous publication. RESULTS: After a median 48 months' follow-up, Em emerged as an independent predictor of survival (hazard ratio 0.61, 95% confidence interval 0.45 to 0.82). An Em <3 cm/s was associated with a significantly excess mortality (log-rank statistic 9.36, p = 0.002), and this measurement added incremental prognostic value to standard indexes of systolic or diastolic function, including a deceleration time <140 ms and an E/Em >15 (p = 0.038). CONCLUSIONS: Early diastolic mitral annulus velocity is a powerful predictor of cardiac mortality in patients with LV systolic impairment; Em <3 cm/s emerged as the best prognosticator in long-term follow-up, incremental to other clinical or echocardiographic variables, including the ratio E/Em.     

First-Phase Ejection Fraction Is a Powerful Predictor of Adverse Events in Asymptomatic Patients With Aortic Stenosis and Preserved Total Ejection Fraction

Objectives

This study investigated the prognostic value of first-phase ejection fraction (EF1) in patients with aortic stenosis (AS), a condition in which left ventricular dysfunction as measured by conventional indices is an indication for valve replacement.

Analysis of N-terminal-pro-brain natriuretic peptide and C-reactive protein for risk stratification in stable and unstable coronary artery disease: results from the AtheroGene study.

AIMS: N-terminal-pro-brain natriuretic peptide (Nt-proBNP) is a reliable risk predictor in acute coronary artery disease (CAD). Little is known about patients with stable angina pectoris (SAP). We aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of Nt-proBNP in a population with CAD especially focussing on patients with SAP. METHODS AND RESULTS: We obtained baseline samples from a prospective cohort of 904 consecutive patients with CAD. Cardiovascular events were registered during follow-up (median 2 years; maximum 3.7 years). Baseline Nt-proBNP was significantly higher among individuals with cardiovascular events compared with those without (711.5 vs. 238.8 pg/mL; P<0.0001). A similar association was found if the analysis was performed in patients who presented with stable angina (330 vs. 166.5 pg/mL; P=0.006) or acute coronary syndrome (990.9 vs. 527.7 pg/mL; P=0.03). In the SAP group, patients within the top quartile (>487.9 pg/mL) had a 3.7-fold (95% CI 1.2-9.1; P=0.01) increase in cardiovascular risk. After adjustment for most potential confounders including left ventricular ejection fraction, Nt-proBNP remained predictive for patients with serum concentrations in the upper quartile in comparison with patients in the lowest quartile (hazard ratio highest vs. lowest quartile: 4.0; P=0.03) (n=417). CONCLUSION: Baseline concentration of Nt-proBNP is independently related to future cardiovascular events in patients with stable angina.     

Prognostic Value of Left Atrial Functional Measures in Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

Background

The prognostic value of LA functional measures in heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is unclear. Therefore, this study investigated the prognostic value of left atrial (LA) functional measures such as the left atrial emptying fraction (LAEF) and the minimal LA volume compared with left atrial volume index (LAVI) in HFrEF patients.

Echocardiographic studies during stress testing using cold pressor test combined with hand grip exercise in asymptomatic patients with severe aortic regurgitation

The aim of this study was to evaluate stress combining a cold pressor test and hand grip exercise during echocardiographic investigation of predominantly young asymptomatic patients with severe aortic regurgitation. Thirty five patients were catheterised and divided into two groups. Group A (16 cases) with abnormal ejection fraction by angiocardiography (less than 50%) and Group B (19 cases) with normal ejection fraction (greater than or equal to 50%). The above stress test altered significantly the blood pressure and heart rate in both groups. However, echocardiographic end systolic diameter, end diastolic diameter and fractional shortening were significantly worse during stress test only in Group A but not in Group B. In addition when an end systolic diameter greater than or equal to 48 mm is used as a predictor of abnormal ejection fraction, its sensitivity (100%) and specificity (83%) during stress is only marginally superior to the results obtained at rest. Similarly fractional shortening decrease of 10% or more during stress was no better than resting end systolic diameter parameter. The modified peak systolic pressure-end systolic volume slope demonstrated diminished systolic function in Group A in comparison to Group B. In conclusion, in young asymptomatic patients with severe aortic regurgitation, stress testing altered the echocardiographic parameters significantly in group A patients with abnormal ejection fraction but not in group B patients with normal ejection fraction. However, echocardiographic data during stress testing is not significantly superior to resting end systolic diameter in predicting abnormal ejection fraction.     

Usefulness of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic Peptide and brain natriuretic peptide to predict cardiovascular outcomes in patients with heart failure and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction

More than 40% of patients hospitalized with heart failure have preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HF-PLVEF) and are at high risk for cardiovascular (CV) events. The purpose of this study was to determine the value of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) in predicting CV outcomes in patients with HF-PLVEF. Participants with an ejection fraction >40% in the prospective CHARM Echocardiographic Substudy were included in this analysis. Plasma NT-proBNP levels were measured, and 2 cut-offs were selected prospectively at 300 pg/ml and 600 pg/ml. BNP cut-off was set at 100 pg/ml. Clinical characteristics were recorded, and systolic and diastolic function were evaluated by echocardiography. The primary substudy outcome was the composite of CV mortality, hospitalization for heart failure, and myocardial infarction or stroke. A total of 181 patients were included, and there were 17 primary CV events (9.4%) during a median follow-up time of 524 days. In a model including clinical characteristics, echocardiographic measures, and BNP or NT-proBNP, the composite CV event outcome was best predicted by NT-proBNP >300 pg/ml (hazard ratio 5.8, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.3 to 26.4, p = 0.02) and moderate or severe diastolic dysfunction on echocardiography. When NT-proBNP >600 pg/ml was used in the model, it was the sole independent predictor of primary CV events (hazard ratio 8.0, 95% CI 2.6 to 24.8, p = 0.0003) as was BNP >100 pg/ml (hazard ratio 3.1, 95% CI 1.2 to 8.2, p = 0.02) in the BNP model. In conclusion, both elevated NT-proBNP and BNP are strong independent predictors of clinical events in patients with HF-PLVEF.     

Predictors of long term outcome in medically treated patients with unstable angina

BACKGROUND: The choice of invasive or noninvasive strategy for low risk patients with unstable angina is a challenge. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the impact of clinical factors on adverse outcomes in patients receiving successful medical treatment and referred from the hospital without invasive procedures. METHODS: The study group consisted of 166 patients (54% men, age 63+/-11 years) who were discharged symptom free after pharmacological treatment of unstable angina. The authors analyzed demographic, clinical, electrocardiographic, echocardiographic and laboratory parameters. RESULTS: During two years of follow-up, the mortality rate was 4.2%. A composite end point (coronary disease hospitalization, recurrent unstable angina, necessity for revascularization or death) occurred in 99 patients (60%). In multivariate logistic regression, the Canadian Cardiovascular Society (CCS) class (P=0.015) and the left ventricular ejection fraction (P=0.01) were independently predictive for the adverse events. A scoring system was proposed for simple risk stratification, with one point assigned to the patient for CCS class III or IV and left ventricular ejection fraction below 40%, thus yielding a score in the range of 0 to 2. The adverse event rates for total scores of 0, 1 and 2 were 37%, 64% and 86%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Uncomplicated follow-up in medically treated patients with unstable angina is rare. Patients with CCS class III and IV or left ventricular ejection fraction below 40% have particularly high rates of recurrent ischemia.     

In-hospital and long-term prognostic value of viable myocardium detected by dobutamine echocardiography early after acute myocardial infarction and its relation to indicators of left ventricular systolic dysfunction.

The prognostic value of myocardial viability early after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is still controversial, depending on the patient under study and the outcome end point considered. Furthermore, the relative prognostic importance of viability compared with indicators of systolic left ventricular (LV) dysfunction is not known. One hundred thirty-eight patients were studied with low-dose dobutamine echocardiography 3 +/- 1 days after AMI. Patients were divided in 2 groups based on presence (n = 55) or absence (n = 83) of myocardial viability and followed up for in-hospital and late cardiac events. During hospitalization, myocardial viability was the only independent predictor for recurrent ischemic events (chi-square 5.0, p = 0.025). End-systolic volume index and ejection fraction were both independent predictors of the occurrence of heart failure, whereas gender and end-systolic volume index emerged as independent predictors of hard cardiac events (death and sustained ventricular tachycardia). After hospital discharge, patients were followed for 19 +/- 7 months. Again, myocardial viability emerged as the only independent predictor of unstable angina (chi-square 7.7, p = 0.005). Age, hypertension, and ejection fraction were the most important independent predictors of hospitalization for heart failure, whereas ejection fraction was the only independent predictor of hard cardiac events. Presence of myocardial viability early after AMI is the single best predictor of recurrent in-hospital ischemic events and unstable angina after discharge. With respect to hard cardiac events and occurrence of heart failure, indicators of LV systolic dysfunction have a higher prognostic value than presence of myocardial viability.     

Long-term prognostic role of flow-mediated dilatation of the brachial artery after acute coronary syndromes without ST elevation

Coronary endothelial vasodilator dysfunction is associated with increased cardiac events; the close relation between coronary vasomotor dysfunction and brachial artery vasoreactivity has been previously described. This study assessed the prognostic value of noninvasively assessed brachial artery vasoreactivity in survivors of acute coronary syndromes without ST-segment elevation. We examined 98 men (63.1 +/- 10.8 years) who were referred to our hospital for acute coronary syndromes without ST-segment elevation. Brachial artery endothelium-dependent flow-mediated dilation (FMD) and endothelium-independent nitrate-mediated dilation were examined in all patients using high-resolution echocardiographic Doppler ultrasound within 24 hours of admission. Plasma malondialdehyde, a marker of oxidative stress, and left ventricular ejection fraction were also assessed. Twenty-seven patients underwent coronary revascularization. Patients were followed for 24.8 +/- 5.9 months. Cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and unstable angina were designated as cardiovascular events (CEs). Twenty CEs were recorded. Kaplan-Meyer analysis showed that patients with FMD <1.9% (tertile 1 of FMD values) were more likely to have CEs than those with FMD >1.9% (log rank 5.29, p = 0.021). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that FMD <1.9% predicted CEs with an adjusted hazard ratio of 3.035 (95% confidence interval 1.148 to 8.023, p = 0.025) after adjustment for age, risk factors, troponin T, ejection fraction, revascularization procedures, number of diseased vessels, and medication. In conclusion, endothelium-dependent dilation of the brachial artery is a strong independent predictor of adverse outcome in survivors of acute coronary syndromes without ST-segment elevation.     

Prognostic value of two-dimensional echocardiography and N-terminal proatrial natriuretic peptide following an acute myocardial infarction. Assessment of baseline values (2-7 days) and changes at 3 months in patients with a preserved systolic function.

AIMS: The purpose of this prospective, observational study was to evaluate the relationship of left ventricular volumes, systolic function and plasma N-terminal proatrial natriuretic peptide (Nt-proANP) to cardiac morbidity and mortality in post-myocardial infarction patients with left ventricular ejection fraction > or =40%. METHODS AND RESULTS: Two-dimensional echocardiographic recordings and Nt-proANP measurements were obtained in 834 patients who survived acute myocardial infarction. Patients were examined at 2-7 days and 3 months after the index infarction and followed up for 24 months. All measurements of left ventricular volumes, ejection fraction and Nt-proANP were performed in core laboratories. During follow-up 102 patients sustained one or more incidents of the combined primary end-point: cardiac death (n=11), recurrent infarction (n=55) or heart failure requiring hospitalization or treatment with an ACE inhibitor and a diuretic (n=52). Using Cox proportional hazards model, baseline Nt-proANP predicted these events (chi-square 25.3, P<0.0001), while baseline echo volumes and ejection fraction did not. During the subsequent 3-24 month period, 51 patients suffered a primary end-point: cardiac death (n=9), recurrent infarction (n=29), heart failure (n=21). An increase in left ventricular end-systolic volume was the strongest predictor for adverse events (chi-square 19.1, P<0.0001), especially for heart failure. Individual changes in Nt-proANP did not predict cardiac events, whereas both echocardiographic variables and Nt-proANP measured at 3 months had a prognostic impact on subsequent cardiac events (3-24 months). CONCLUSIONS: In post-myocardial infarction patients with preserved left ventricular function (left ventricular ejection fraction > or =40%) baseline Nt-proANP, but not echocardiographic left ventricular volumes predicted adverse cardiac events. Early changes in left ventricular volumes and ejection fraction from baseline to 3 months had a further prognostic impact on subsequent events (3-24 months).     

Predictors of sustained ventricular arrhythmias in cardiac resynchronization therapy

Background- Patients undergoing cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) are at high risk for ventricular arrhythmias (VAs), and risk stratification in this population remains poor. Methods and Results- This study followed 269 patients (left ventricular ejection fraction <35%; QRS >120 ms; New York Heart Association class III/IV) undergoing CRT with a defibrillator for 553±464 days after CRT with defibrillator implantation to assess for independent predictors of appropriate device therapy for VAs. Baseline medication use, medical comorbidities, and echocardiographic parameters were considered. The 4-year incidence of appropriate device therapy was 36%. A Cox proportional hazard model identified left ventricular end-systolic diameter >61 mm as an independent predictor in the entire population (hazard ratio [HR], 2.66; P=0.001). Those with left ventricular end-systolic diameter >61 mm had a 51% 3-year incidence of VA compared with a 26% incidence among those with a less dilated ventricle (P=0.001). Among patients with left ventricular end-systolic diameter ≤61 mm, multivariate predictors of appropriate therapy were absence of β-blocker therapy (HR, 6.34; P<0.001), left ventricular ejection fraction <20% (HR, 4.22; P<0.001), and history of sustained VA (HR, 2.97; P=0.013). Early (<180 days after implant) shock therapy was found to be a robust predictor of hospitalization for heart failure (HR, 3.41; P<0.004) and mortality (HR, 5.16; P<0.001.) Conclusions- Among patients with CRT and a defibrillator, left ventricular end-systolic diameter >61 mm is a powerful predictor of VAs, and further risk stratification of those with less dilated ventricles can be achieved based on assessment of ejection fraction, history of sustained VA, and absence of β-blocker therapy.     

Prevalence and prognostic impact of bundle branch block in patients with heart failure: evidence from the CHARM programme

BACKGROUND: Bundle branch block (BBB) is a powerful independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality in patients with heart failure (HF) and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). The prognostic implications in HF with preserved systolic function (HF-PSF) are less well understood. METHODS: The Candesartan in Heart failure: Assessment of Reduction in Mortality and morbidity (CHARM) programme randomised 7599 patients with symptomatic HF to receive candesartan or placebo. The primary outcome comprised cardiovascular death or HF hospitalisation. The relative risk conveyed by BBB relative to a normal electrocardiogram was examined. RESULTS: The prevalence of BBB was significantly lower in patients with preserved compared with reduced systolic function (CHARM-Preserved 14.4%, Alternative 29.6%, Added 30.5%), p<0.0001. Overall, the adjusted hazard ratio for the primary outcome was 1.48 (95% confidence interval 1.22-1.78), p<0.0001, reflecting increased risk in patients with reduced LVEF (1.72 [1.28-2.31], p=0.0003). The apparently more modest risk among patients with HF-PSF was significant in unadjusted (1.80 [1.37-2.37], p<0.0001) but not adjusted analysis (1.16 [0.88-1.54], p=0.2897). However, no formal statistical difference was observed between the two cohorts, and interpretation is limited by the unknown prevalence of left and right BBB morphologies in each. Comparing BBB presence with absence yielded qualitatively similar results. CONCLUSION: The simple clinical finding of BBB is a powerful independent predictor of worse clinical outcomes in patients with HF and reduced LVEF. It is less frequent, with a more modest predictive effect, in patients with preserved systolic function.