Risk factors for Plasmodium vivax gametocyte carriage in Thailand

To study the risk factors for Plasmodium vivax gametocyte carriage, the presence or absence of gametocytes was determined in 2,125 patients with P. vivax malaria participating in clinical trials at the Hospital for Tropical Diseases in Bangkok, Thailand. Stepwise logistic regression models were used to determine which variables were significantly related to gametocyte carriage. On admission, 615 patients (29%) had detectable gametocytes (before treatment). After treatment had started, an additional 245 patients (11%) developed patent gametocytemia. The variables retained by multivariate analysis were highest observed temperature (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] per degrees C increase = 0.82, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.71-0.94, P = 0.006), asexual parasitemia > 9,200/muL (AOR = 2.8, 95% CI = 1.9-4.2, P < 0.0001), erythrocyte counts (AOR = 0.8/million/muL increase, 95% CI = 0.67-0.95, P = 0.01), monocyte percentage (AOR = 0.93 per % increase, 95% CI = 0.89-0.96, P < 0.0001), lymphocyte percentage (AOR = 0.98 per % increase, 95% CI = 0.97-0.99, P = 0.006), albumin (AOR = 0.67 per 10 g/mL increase, 95% CI = 0.5-0.9, P = 0.007), and anion gap (AOR = 1.1 per unit increase, 95% CI = 1.02-1.14, P = 0.009). The possible significance of these observations is discussed.     

Factors contributing to anemia after uncomplicated falciparum malaria.

The factors contributing to anemia in falciparum malaria were characterized in 4,007 prospectively studied patients on the western border of Thailand. Of these, 727 patients (18%) presented with anemia (haematocrit < 30%), and 1% (55 of 5,253) required blood transfusion. The following were found to be independent risk factors for anemia at admission: age < 5 years, a palpable spleen, a palpable liver, recrudescent infections, being female, a prolonged history of illness (> 2 days) before admission, and pure Plasmodium falciparum infections rather than mixed P. falciparum and Plasmodium vivax infections. The mean maximum fractional fall in hematocrit after antimalarial treatment was 14.1% of the baseline value (95% confidence interval [CI], 13.6-14.6). This reduction was significantly greater in young children (aged < 5 years) and in patients with a prolonged illness, high parasitemia, or delayed parasite clearance. Loss of parasitized erythrocytes accounted for < 10% of overall red blood cell loss. Hematological recovery was usually complete within 6 weeks, but it was slower in patients who were anemic at admission (adjusted hazards ratio [AHR], 1.9, 95% CI, 1.5-2.3), and those whose infections recrudesced (AHR, 1.2, 95% CI, 1.01-1.5). Half the patients with treatment failure were anemic at 6 weeks compared with 19% of successfully treated patients (relative risk, 2.8, 95% CI, 2.0-3.8). Patients coinfected with P. vivax (16% of the total) were 1.8 (95% CI, 1.2-2.6) times less likely to become anemic and recovered 1.3 (95% CI, 1.0-1.5) times faster than those with P. falciparum only. Anemia is related to drug resistance and treatment failure in uncomplicated malaria. Children aged < 5 years of age were more likely than older children or adults to become anemic. Coinfection with P. vivax attenuates the anemia of falciparum malaria, presumably by modifying the severity of the infection.     

Clinical features of children hospitalized with malaria--a study from Bikaner, northwest India

Severe Plasmodium vivax malaria in adults has been reported from Bikaner (northwestern India) but the reports on children are scanty. This prospective study was done on 303 admitted children of malaria. The diagnosis was done by peripheral blood smear and rapid diagnostic test. Further confirmation of severe P. vivax monoinfection was done by polymerase chain reaction (PCR). The proportion of P. falciparum, P. vivax, and mixed (P. falciparum and P. vivax) infection was 61.01%, 33.99%, and 4.95%, respectively. Severe disease was present in 49.5% (150/303) children with malaria, with the risk greatest among P. vivax monoinfection (63.1% [65/103]) compared with P. falciparum, either alone (42.7% [79/185]; odds ratio [OR] = 2.3 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.40-3.76], P = 0.001) or mixed infections (40% [6/15]; OR = 2.57 [95% CI = 0.88-7.48]). In children < 5 years of age, the proportion of severe malaria attributable to P. vivax rose to 67.4% (31/46) compared with 30.4% (14/46) of P. falciparum (OR = 4.7 [95% CI = 2.6-8.6], P < 0.0001) and 2.2% (1/46) of mixed infection (OR = 92 [95% CI = 24.6-339.9], P < 0.0001). The proportion of patients having severe manifestations, which included severe anemia, thrombocytopenia, cerebral malaria, acute respiratory distress syndrome, hepatic dysfunction, renal dysfunction, abnormal bleeding was significantly high in association with P. vivax monoinfection in 0-5 year age group, while the same was significantly high in association with P. falciparum monoinfection in 5-10 year age group. Similarly P. vivax monoinfection had greatest propensity to cause multiorgan dysfunction in 0-5 year age group (34.1% [17/41], P < 0.0001) in comparison to P. falciparum monoinfection, which had similar propensity in 5-10 year age group (36.8% [35/95], P = 0.039). Plasmodium vivax monoinfection was almost equally serious to cause significant mortality in comparison to P. falciparum (case fatality rate of severe P. vivax was 3.9% versus 3.2% of severe P. falciparum malaria; P = 1.0). This study reaffirms the evidence of severe P. vivax malaria in children in Bikaner.     

Submicroscopic Plasmodium falciparum gametocyte densities frequently result in mosquito infection

Submicroscopic Plasmodium falciparum gametocytemia (<5,000 gametocytes/mL) is common and may result in mosquito infection. We assessed the relation between gametocyte density and mosquito infection under experimental and field conditions using real-time quantitative nucleic acid sequence-based amplification (QT-NASBA) for gametocyte quantification. Serial dilutions of NF54 P. falciparum gametocytes showed a positive association between gametocyte density and the proportion of infected mosquitoes (beta=6.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.7-9.6; P=0.001). Successful infection became unlikely below an estimated density of 250-300 gametocytes/mL. In the field, blood samples of 100 naturally infected children showed a positive association between gametocyte density and oocyst counts in mosquitoes (beta=0.38; 95% CI, 0.14-0.61; P=0.002). The relative contribution to malaria transmission was similar for carriers with submicroscopic and microscopic gametocytemia. Our results show that transmission occurs efficiently at submicroscopic gametocyte densities and that carriers harboring submicroscopic gametocytemia constitute a considerable proportion of the human infectious reservoir.     

Predictors of the failure of treatment with chloroquine in children with acute, uncomplicated, Plasmodium falciparum malaria, in an area with high and increasing incidences of chloroquine resistance

Resistance to chloroquine (CQ) in Plasmodium falciparum has reached unacceptably high levels in many endemic countries. The pre-treatment factors that identify the children who are at risk of treatment failure after being given CQ were evaluated in 385 children with acute, uncomplicated, Plasmodium falciparum malaria. These children each took part in one of six antimalarial drug trials conducted, between July 1996 and July 2004, in a hyper-endemic area of south-western Nigeria. Following treatment with CQ, 149 (39%) of the children failed treatment by day 7 or 14. In a multivariate analysis, an age of < or =7 years [giving an adjusted odds ratio (AOR) of 2.17, with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.19-3.85; P = 0.01], an asexual parasitaemia of > or =100,000/microl (AOR = 2.17; CI = 1.08-4.35; P = 0.03), the presence of gametocytaemia (AOR = 2.08; CI = 1.14-3.85; P = 0.02) and enrolment >4 years after commencement of the study (i.e. after 2000; AOR = 2.13; CI = 1.3-4.0; P = 0.003) were found to be independent predictors at presentation of the subsequent failure of treatment with CQ. Compared with the other children, those who failed to clear their parasitaemias within 3 days and those who still had fever 1-2 days after commencing treatment were more likely to be treatment failures. Together, these findings may have implications for malaria-control efforts in all areas of sub-Saharan Africa where treatment of malaria depends almost entirely on antimalarial monotherapy.     

Risk factors for presentation to hospital with severe anaemia in Tanzanian children: a case-control study

In malaria endemic areas anaemia is a usually silent condition that nevertheless places a considerable burden on health services. Cases of severe anaemia often require hospitalization and blood transfusions. The objective of this study was to assess risk factors for admission with anaemia to facilitate the design of anaemia control programmes. We conducted a prospective case-control study of children aged 2-59 months admitted to a district hospital in southern Tanzania. There were 216 cases of severe anaemia [packed cell volume (PCV) < 25%] and 234 age-matched controls (PCV > or = 25%). Most cases [55.6% (n = 120)] were < 1 year of age. Anaemia was significantly associated with the educational level of parents, type of accommodation, health-seeking behaviour, the child's nutritional status and recent and current medical history. Of these, the single most important factor was Plasmodium falciparum parasitaemia [OR 4.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.9-6.5, P < 0.001]. Multivariate analysis showed that increased recent health expenditure [OR 2.2 (95% CI 1.3-3.9), P = 0.005], malnutrition [OR 2.4 (95%CI 1.3-4.3), P < 0.001], living > 10 km from the hospital [OR 3.0 (95% CI 1.9-4.9), P < 0.001], a history of previous blood transfusion [OR 3.8 (95% CI 1.7-9.1), P < 0.001] and P. falciparum parasitaemia [OR 9.5 (95% CI 4.3-21.3), P < 0.001] were independently related to risk of being admitted with anaemia. These findings are considered in terms of the pathophysiological pathway leading to anaemia. The concentration of anaemia in infants and problems of access to health services and adequate case management underline the need for targeted preventive strategies for anaemia control.     

Early predictors of mortality from Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia in HIV-infected patients: 1985-2006.

BACKGROUND: Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PCP) remains the leading cause of opportunistic infection among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected persons. Previous studies of PCP that identified case-fatality risk factors involved small numbers of patients, were performed over few years, and often focused on patients who were admitted to the intensive care unit. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to identify case-fatality risk factors present at or soon after hospitalization among adult HIV-infected patients admitted to University College London Hospitals (London, United Kingdom) from June 1985 through June 2006. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We performed a review of case notes for 494 consecutive patients with 547 episodes of laboratory-confirmed PCP. RESULTS: Overall mortality was 13.5%. Mortality was 10.1% for the period from 1985 through 1989, 16.9% for the period from 1990 through June 1996, and 9.7% for the period from July 1996 through 2006 (P = .142). Multivariate analysis identified factors associated with risk of death, including increasing patient age (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-2.23; P = .011), subsequent episode of PCP (AOR, 2.27; 95% CI, 1.14-4.52; P = .019), low hemoglobin level at hospital admission (AOR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.60-0.83; P < .001), low partial pressure of oxygen breathing room air at hospital admission (AOR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.60-0.81; P < .001), presence of medical comorbidity (AOR, 3.93; 95% CI, 1.77-8.72; P = .001), and pulmonary Kaposi sarcoma (AOR, 6.95; 95% CI, 2.26-21.37; P = .001). Patients with a first episode of PCP were sicker (mean partial pressure of oxygen at admission +/- standard deviation, 9.3+/-2.0 kPa) than those with a second or third episode of PCP (mean partial pressure of oxygen at admission +/- standard deviation, 9.9+/-1.9 kPa; P = .008), but mortality among patients with a first episode of PCP (12.5%) was lower than mortality among patients with subsequent episodes of PCP (22.5%) (P = .019). No patient was receiving highly active antiretroviral therapy before presentation with PCP, and none began highly active antiretroviral therapy during treatment of PCP. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality risk factors for PCP were identifiable at or soon after hospitalization. The trend towards improved outcome after June 1996 occurred in the absence of highly active antiretroviral therapy.     

Predictors of the failure of treatment with pyrimethamine-sulfadoxine in children with uncomplicated falciparum malaria

The prevalence of pyrimethamine-sulfadoxine (PS)-resistant Plasmodium falciparum malaria has been increasing in sub-Saharan Africa or other parts of the world in the last one or two decades. The factors that identify children at risk of treatment failure after being given PS were evaluated in 291 children with acute, symptomatic, uncomplicated, P. falciparum malaria. The children took part in four antimalarial drug trials between July 1996 and July 2004 in a hyperendemic area of southwestern Nigeria. Following treatment, 64 (22%) of 291 children failed treatment by day 7 or 14. In a multivariate analysis, an age < or = 1.5 years (AOR=2.9, 95% CI 1.3-6.4, P = 0.009) and presence of fever (AOR = 3.3, 95% CI 1.28-7.14, P = 0.01) were independent predictors of the failure of treatment with PS at presentation. Following treatment, delay in parasite clearance >3 days (AOR = 2.56, CI 1.19-5.56, P = 0.016) was an independent predictor of the failure of treatment with PS. In addition, compared with the children who had no fever then, children with fever three or more days after starting treatment were more likely to be treatment failures. These findings may have implications for malaria control efforts in some sub-Saharan African countries where treatment of malaria disease depends almost entirely on PS monotherapy, and for programmes employing PS or PS-based combination therapy.     

Risk Factors for Preoperative and Postoperative Delirium in Elderly Patients with Hip Fracture

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate risk factors for preoperative and postoperative delirium.
DESIGN: Prospective cohort study.
SETTING: Departments of orthopedic surgery in two Norwegian hospitals.
PARTICIPANTS: Three hundred sixty-four patients with and without cognitive impairment, aged 65 and older.
MEASUREMENTS: Patients were screened daily for delirium using the Confusion Assessment Method. Established risk factors and risk factors regarded as clinically important according to expert opinion were explored in univariate analyses. Variables associated with the outcomes ( P <.05) were entered into multivariate logistic regression models.
RESULTS: Delirium was present in 50 of 237 (21.1%) assessable patients preoperatively, whereas 68 of 187 (36.4%) patients developed delirium postoperatively (incident delirium). Multivariate logistic regression identified four risk factors for preoperative delirium: cognitive impairment (adjusted odds ratio (AOR)=4.7, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.9–11.3), indoor injury (AOR=3.6, 95% CI=1.1–12.2), fever (AOR=3.4, 95% CI=1.5–7.7), and preoperative waiting time (AOR=1.05, 95% CI=1.0–1.1 per hour). Cognitive impairment (AOR=2.9, 95% CI=1.4–6.2), indoor injury (AOR=2.9, 95% CI=1.1–6.3), and body mass index (BMI) less than 20.0 (AOR=2.9, 95% CI=1.3–6.7) were independent and statistically significant risk factors for postoperative delirium.
CONCLUSION: Time from admission to operation is a risk factor for preoperative delirium, whereas low BMI is an important risk factor for postoperative delirium in hip fracture patients. Cognitive impairment and indoor injury are independent risk factors for preoperative and postoperative delirium.     

Prescribing practices in a population-based HIV postexposure prophylaxis program

OBJECTIVES: To characterize factors associated with being prescribed triple or double postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) against HIV in a population-based program. METHODS: Individuals potentially exposed to HIV received a 5 day starter kit of either double or triple antiretroviral PEP between April 1999 and November 2000 and did/did not receive the remaining 23 days PEP. Data were collected through dispensation of kits. Logistic regression identified characteristics independently associated with being prescribed triple therapy starter kits and with any 23 day follow-up. RESULTS: Of 2064 people receiving 5 day PEP [403 (20%) triple and 1661 (80%) double], 590 (29%) received 23 day follow-up. Independently associated with being prescribed triple therapy starter kits were being male [adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 1.38; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-1.74; P = 0.006), occupational mucocutaneous injuries (AOR 1.70; 95% CI, 1.14-2.55; P = 0.010), and community needlesticks (AOR 2.04; 95% CI, 1.54-2.69; P < 0.001). Independently associated with being prescribed the 23 day follow-up were being male (AOR 1.24; 95% CI, 1.00-1.53; P = 0.04), community mucocutaneous incidents (AOR 2.83; 95% CI, 1.41-5.70; P = 0.004), community needlesticks (AOR 1.75; 95% CI, 1.33-2.29; P < 0.001), and having received triple therapy as the starter kit (AOR 2.61; 95% CI, 2.07-3.29; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Being prescribed triple therapy starter PEP was associated with being male and with experiencing an occupational mucocutaneous or community needlestick injury. Receiving the remaining 23 days PEP was associated with being male, experiencing a community mucocutaneous or needlestick injury, and triple therapy as the initial 5 day starter PEP.     

Pregnancy outcomes among patients with sickle cell disease at Korle-Bu Teaching Hospital, Accra, Ghana: retrospective cohort study

Pregnancy in sickle cell disease (SCD) patients is associated with increased risk of maternal and fetal mortality. This study determines pregnancy outcomes among women with SCD delivering at Korle-Bu Teaching Hospital, Accra, Ghana. Nine hundred sixty (960) medical records of pregnant women (131 HbSS, 112 HbSC, and 717 comparison group) from 2007 to 2008 were reviewed. The HbSS women were at increased risk of eclampsia (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 10.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.60-30.96, P < 0.001), intrauterine growth restriction (AOR = 4.00, 95% CI = 1.38-11.64, P = 0.011), and placenta previa (AOR = 22.03, 95% CI = 9.87-49.14, P < 0.001) compared with the comparison group. The HbSC women had increased risk for intrauterine fetal death (AOR = 3.38, 95% CI = 1.15-9.96, P = 0.027) and decreased risk of delivering low birth weight babies (AOR = 0.21, 95% CI = 0.06-0.73, P = 0.014). Women with SCD in Ghana are at a greater risk of morbidity and mortality in pregnancy compared with women without hemoglobinopathies. Improved maternal and fetal outcomes in Ghanaian women with SCD can be achieved through effective intervention by health care providers with thorough knowledge about predisposing factors toward adverse outcomes.     

Epidemiology of malaria in an area of low transmission in central India

A longitudinal study on malaria was carried out from 2003 to 2005 in an area of unstable malaria in the Panna district in central India. Both Plasmodium vivax and P. falciparum were prevalent; however, the risk of P. falciparum malaria was 31.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 29.6-33.6%), which is four times higher compared with that of P. vivax malaria (7.8%, 95% CI = 6.7-9%). An increasing trend was recorded in malaria prevalence from 30.2% in 2003 to 46.6% in 2004 (odds ratio [OR] = 2.0, 95% CI = 1.6-2.5) that increased to 58.6% in 2005 (OR = 1.6, 95% CI = 1.2-2.1). This increase was statistically significant (chi(2) = 120.5, degrees of freedom = 2, P < 0.0001). Anopheles culicifacies was the dominant vector of malaria and showed partial (< 50%) resistance to DDT, which indicated that DDT can still be used. Improved access to treatment facilities, combination therapy, and vector control appears to be the most promising method for controlling malaria in this region.     

Malaria prophylaxis using azithromycin: a double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in Irian Jaya, Indonesia.

New drugs are needed for preventing drug-resistant Plasmodium falciparum malaria. The prophylactic efficacy of azithromycin against P. falciparum in malaria-immune Kenyans was 83%. We conducted a double-blind, placebo-controlled trial to determine the prophylactic efficacy of azithromycin against multidrug-resistant P. falciparum malaria and chloroquine-resistant Plasmodium vivax malaria in Indonesian adults with limited immunity. After radical cure therapy, 300 randomized subjects received azithromycin (148 subjects, 750-mg loading dose followed by 250 mg/d), placebo (77), or doxycycline (75, 100 mg/d). The end point was slide-proven parasitemia. There were 58 P. falciparum and 29 P. vivax prophylaxis failures over 20 weeks. Using incidence rates, the protective efficacy of azithromycin relative to placebo was 71.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 50.3-83.8) against P. falciparum malaria and 98.9% (95% CI, 93.1-99.9) against P. vivax malaria. Corresponding figures for doxycycline were 96.3% (95% CI, 85.4-99.6) and 98% (95% CI, 88.0-99.9), respectively. Daily azithromycin offered excellent protection against P. vivax malaria but modest protection against P. falciparum malaria.     

Efficacy of monthly tafenoquine for prophylaxis of Plasmodium vivax and multidrug-resistant P. falciparum malaria

We assessed monthly doses of tafenoquine for preventing Plasmodium vivax and multidrug-resistant P. falciparum malaria. In a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study, 205 Thai soldiers received either a loading dose of tafenoquine 400 mg (base) daily for 3 days, followed by single monthly 400-mg doses (n = 104), or placebo (n = 101), for up to 5 consecutive months. In volunteers completing follow-up (96 tafenoquine and 91 placebo recipients), there were 22 P. vivax, 8 P. falciparum, and 1 mixed infection. All infections except 1 P. vivax occurred in placebo recipients, giving tafenoquine a protective efficacy of 97% for all malaria (95% confidence interval [CI], 82%-99%), 96% for P. vivax malaria (95% CI, 76%-99%), and 100% for P. falciparum malaria (95% CI, 60%-100%). Monthly tafenoquine was safe, well tolerated, and highly effective in preventing P. vivax and multidrug-resistant P. falciparum malaria in Thai soldiers during 6 months of prophylaxis.     

Therapeutic efficacies of artemisinin-based combination therapies in Nigerian children with uncomplicated falciparum malaria during five years of adoption as first-line treatments

The therapeutic efficacies of 3-day regimens of artesunate-amodiaquine and artemether-lumefantrine during 5 years of adoption as first-line treatments were evaluated in 811 ≤ 12-year-old malarious children. Compared with artemether-lumefantrine, amodiaquine-artesunate significantly reduced the proportion of children with fever and parasitemia 1 day after treatment (day 1; P < 0.008 for both). The proportion of parasitemic children on day 2 and gametocytemia on presentation and carriage reduced significantly over the years (P < 0.000001 and P < 0.03, respectively; test for trend). Overall efficacy was 96.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 94.5-98.6) and remained unchanged over the years (P = 0.87; test for trend). Kinetics of parasitemias after treatments were estimated by a non-compartmental model. Declines of parasitemias were monoexponential, with a mean elimination half-life of 1.09 hours (95% CI = 1.0-1.16). Parasitemia half-lives and efficacy were similar for both regimens and in all ages. Artesunate-amodiaquine and artemether-lumefantrine remain efficacious treatments of uncomplicated falciparum malaria in Nigerian children 5 years after adoption.     

Rapid diagnostic devices for malaria: field evaluation of a new prototype immunochromatographic assay for the detection of Plasmodium falciparum and non-falciparum Plasmodium

The NOW ICT Malaria P.f./P.v. for Whole Blood (Binax, Inc., Portland, ME) is a new malaria rapid diagnostic device that represents a technical advance over previous assays, such as ICT Malaria P.f./P.v. and ICT Malaria P.f.. We evaluated this device in March 2001 in symptomatic patients at malaria clinics in Maesod, Thailand. Microscopic examination of Giemsa-stained blood smears was the reference standard. In 246 patients, microscopy showed 32 (13.0%) infected with Plasmodium falciparum, 63 (25.6%) with P. vivax, 6 (2.4%) with mixed infections of P. falciparum and P. vivax, 5 (2.0%) with P. malariae, and 140 (56.9%) negative. Sensitivity for P. falciparum was 100% and specificity was 96.2% (200 of 208; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 92-98). For P. vivax, sensitivity was 87.3% (55 of 63; 95% CI = 77-93) and specificity was 97.7% (173 of 177; 95% CI = 95-99), but all the four false-positive results were microscopically positive for P. malariae; thus, specificity for non-falciparum Plasmodium was 100%. These results suggest improved performance over NOW ICT predecessors.     

Serum thyrotropin concentration as a novel predictor of malignancy in thyroid nodules investigated by fine-needle aspiration

CONTEXT: Thyroid nodules and goiter are common, and fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) is the first investigation of choice in distinguishing benign from malignant disease. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to assess whether simple clinical and biochemical parameters can predict the likelihood of thyroid malignancy in subjects undergoing FNAB. DESIGN: The design was a prospective cohort. SETTING: The study was conducted at a single secondary/tertiary care clinic. PARTICIPANTS: One thousand five hundred consecutive patients without overt thyroid dysfunction (1304 females and 196 males, mean age 47.8 yr) presenting with palpable thyroid enlargement between 1984 and 2002 were evaluated by FNAB of the thyroid. INTERVENTION(S): There were no interventions. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Goiter type was assessed clinically and classified as diffuse in 183, multinodular in 456, or solitary nodule in 861 cases. Serum TSH concentration at presentation was measured in a sensitive assay in patients presenting after 1988 (n = 1183). The final cytological or histological diagnosis was determined after surgery (n = 553) or a minimum 2-yr clinical follow-up period (mean 9.5 yr, range 2-18 yr). RESULTS: The overall sensitivity and specificity of FNAB in predicting malignancy were 88 and 84%, respectively. The risk of diagnosis of malignancy rose in parallel with the serum TSH at presentation, with significant increases evident in patients with serum TSH greater than 0.9 mU/liter, compared with those with lower TSH. Binary logistic regression analysis revealed significantly increased adjusted odds ratios (AORs) for the diagnosis of malignancy in subjects with serum TSH 1.0-1.7 mU/liter, compared with TSH less than 0.4 mU/liter [AOR 2.72, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-7.27, P = 0.046], with further increases evident in those with TSH 1.8-5.5 mU/liter (AOR 3.88, 95% CI 1.48-10.19, P = 0.006, compared with TSH < 0.4 mU/liter) and greater than 5.5 mU/liter (AOR 11.18, 95% CI 3.23-8.63, P < 0.001, compared with TSH < 0.4 mU/liter). Males (AOR 1.8, 95% CI 1.04-3.1, P = 0.04), younger patients (AOR 1.1, 95% CI 1.01-1.15, P = 0.025), and those with clinically solitary nodules (AOR 2.53, 95% CI 1.5-4.28, P = 0.001) were also at increased risk. Based on these findings, a formula to predict the risk of the diagnosis of thyroid malignancy in individual patients, taking into account their gender, age, goiter type determined clinically, and serum TSH, was calculated. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of malignancy in a thyroid nodule increases with serum TSH concentrations within the normal range. In addition to patient's gender, age, and goiter type, the serum TSH concentration at presentation is an independent predictor of the presence of thyroid malignancy. We propose that these simple clinical and biochemical factors can serve as an adjunct to FNAB in predicting risk of malignancy.     

Determinants of hypertension among adults in Bangladesh as per the Joint National Committee 7 and 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Hypertension Association hypertension guidelines

We investigated determinants of hypertension in Bangladesh using both Joint National Committee 7 (JNC7) and 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Hypertension Association (2017 ACC/AHA) guidelines. After reporting background characteristics, odds ratios (ORs) were obtained by multilevel logistic regression. Among 7839 respondents aged ≥35 years, 25.7% (n = 2016) and 48.0% (n = 3767) respondents had hypertension as per the JNC7 and 2017 ACC/AHA guidelines, respectively. The following factors were significant according to the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline: ≥65 years (adjusted OR [AOR]: 2.4, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.2–3.0), 55–64 years (AOR: 1.6, 95% CI: 1.4–1.9), and 45–54 years (AOR: 1.4, 95% CI: 1.3–1.6) age groups, females (AOR: 2.0, 95% CI: 1.7–2.2), overweight/obesity (AOR: 2.4, 95% CI: 2.0–2.8), diabetes (AOR: 1.4, 95% CI: 1.2–1.6), secondary (AOR: 1.2, 95% CI: 1.1–1.4), or college education level (AOR: 1.8, 95% CI: 1.4–2.3), middle (AOR: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.1–1.6), richer (AOR: 1.5, 95% CI: 1.2–1.8) or richest (AOR: 2.0, 95% CI: 1.6–2.4) wealth quintiles, residence in Khulna (AOR: 1.5, 95% CI: 1.2–1.9), and Rangpur (AOR: 1.7, 95% CI: 1.3–2.2) divisions. All factors were significant as per the JNC7 guideline too. Both guidelines found similar determinants. Prevention and control programs should prioritize increasing awareness among people with higher likelihood of hypertension.     

Serious and fatal illness associated with falciparum and vivax malaria among patients admitted to hospital at West Sumba in eastern Indonesia

Records of 3,449 patients admitted to Karitas Hospital at Waitabula in eastern Indonesia with microscopy-confirmed malaria through 2008 and 2009 were systematically reviewed. Falciparum, vivax, and mixed species malaria occurred among 1,541, 1,837, and 71 admissions, respectively. Among these, 400 (26%), 199 (11%), and 15 (21%) had serious illness. Fatalities occurred in 46 (12%), 18 (9%), and 2 (13%) of these patients, respectively. Although patients with a diagnosis of falciparum malaria were more likely to have serious illness compared with those with vivax malaria (odds ratio [OR] = 2.9; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.4-3.5), this diagnosis nonetheless was associated with 32% of serious illness and 27% of fatalities. Among the seriously ill with a diagnosis of falciparum or vivax malaria, no significant difference in risk of death occurred (OR = 1.3; 95% CI: 0.7-2.5). Serious and fatal illness was predominantly anemia or altered mental state syndromes among patients with either of the species diagnoses. Plasmodium vivax was associated with a substantial share of the burden of morbidity and mortality caused by malaria in this hypo- to meso-endemic community.