High Prevalence of Oropharyngeal Dysphagia in Acutely Hospitalized Patients Aged 80 Years and Older

ObjectivesOropharyngeal dysphagia is a geriatric syndrome that is usually underdiagnosed in older patients. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence and identify the main risk factors of dysphagia in the oldest old patients admitted to an acute geriatric unit.DesignObservational prospective study.Setting and ParticipantsOlder patients admitted to an acute geriatric unit of a university hospital.Measures329 patients (mean age 93.5 years, range 81-106) were assessed for oropharyngeal dysphagia within 48 hours of hospital admission using the Volume-Viscosity Swallow Test. Demographic characteristics, geriatric assessment, geriatric syndromes, comorbidities, drug treatment, and complications were examined to determine their association with the presence of dysphagia.ResultsOropharyngeal dysphagia was present in 271 (82.4%) of the participants. Multivariate logistic regression showed that malnutrition [odds ratio (OR) 3.62, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-12.93; P = .048], admission for respiratory infection (OR 2.89, 95% CI 1.40-5.94; P = .004), delirium (OR 2.89, 95% CI 1.40-5.94; P = .004), severe dependency (OR 3.23, 95% CI 1.23-8.87; P = .017), and age (OR 1.11, 95% CI 1.01-1.21; P = .03) were significantly associated with dysphagia. The use of a calcium antagonist at the time of admission was associated with a reduced risk of dysphagia (OR 0.39, 95% CI 0.16-0.92; P = .03).Conclusions and ImplicationsThe prevalence of oropharyngeal dysphagia is high in the oldest old patients admitted to an acute geriatric unit when assessed with an objective diagnostic method. Our findings suggest that objective swallowing assessment should be routinely performed on admission in order to start early interventions to avoid complications of dysphagia in this complex population.     

Predictors of Mortality,Rehospitalization for Syncope,and Cardiac Syncope in 352 Consecutive Elderly Patients With Syncope

ObjectivesTo investigate the etiologies of syncope and predictors of all-cause mortality, rehospitalization, and cardiac syncope in consecutive elderly patients presenting with syncope to our emergency department.ParticipantsParticipants were 352 consecutive patients aged 65 years or older with syncope admitted to hospital from the emergency department.DesignObservational retrospective study.MeasurementsReview of medical records for history, physical examination, medications, and tests to determine causes of syncope. Cox stepwise logistic regression analysis was performed to identify significant independent prognostic factors for rehospitalization with syncope, all-cause mortality, and cardiac syncope.ResultsOf 352 patients, mean age 78 years, the etiology of syncope was diagnosed in 243 patients (69%). Vasovagal syncope was diagnosed in 12%, volume depletion in 14%, orthostatic hypotension in 5%, cardiac syncope in 29%, carotid sinus hypersensitivity in 2%, and drug overdose/others in 7% of patients. During a mean follow-up of 24 months, 10 patients (3%) were readmitted to the hospital for syncope and 39 (11%) died. Stepwise logistic regression analysis identified history of congestive heart failure (OR 5.18; 95% CI 1.23–21.84, P = .0257) and acute coronary syndrome (OR 5.95; 95% CI 1.11–31.79, P = .037) as independent risk factors for rehospitalization. Significant independent prognostic factors for mortality were diabetes mellitus (OR 2.08; 95% CI 1.09–3.99, P = .0263), history of smoking (OR 2.23; 95% CI 1.10–4.49, P = .0255), and use of statins (OR 0.37; 95% CI 0.19–0.72, P = .0036). Independent risk factors for predicting a cardiac cause of syncope were an abnormal electrocardiogram (OR 2.58; 95% CI 1.46–4.57, P = .0012) and reduced ejection fraction (OR 2.92; 95% CI 1.70–5.02, P < .001). The San Francisco Syncope Rule and Osservatorio Epidemiologico sulla Sincope nel Lazio scores did not predict mortality or rehospitalization in our study population.ConclusionsSignificant independent risk factors for rehospitalization for syncope were congestive heart failure and acute coronary syndrome. Significant independent risk factors for mortality were diabetes mellitus, history of smoking, and use of statins (inverse association).     

Development of a predictive prognostic rule for early assessment of COVID-19 patients in primary care settings

ObjectiveTo investigate possible early prognostic factors among middle-aged and older adult and explore prognostic rules stratifying risk of patients.DesignCommunity-based retrospective cohort.SettingPrimary Health Care Tarragona region.Participants282 community-dwelling symptomatic patients ≥50 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 (hospitalised and/or outpatient) during March-June 2020 in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain).Main outcome measurementsRelationship between demographics, pre-existing comorbidities and early symptomatology (first 5-days) and risk of suffering critical outcome (ICU-admission/death) across clinical course was evaluated by logistic regression analyses, and simple predictive models were developed.ResultsOf the 282 cases (mean age: 65.9 years; 140 men), 154 (54.6%) were hospitalised (30 ICU-admitted) and 45 (16%) deceased. Median time follow-up in clinical course was 31 days (range: 30–150) for survivors and 14 days (range: 1–81) for deceased patients. In crude analyses, increasing age, male sex, some comorbidities (renal, respiratory or cardiac disease, diabetes and hypertension) and symptoms (confusion, dyspnoea) were associated with an increased risk to suffer critical outcome, whereas other symptoms (rinorrhea, myalgias, headache, anosmia/disgeusia) were related with reduced risk. After multivariable-adjustment only age/years (OR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.01–1.07; p = 0.004), confusion (OR: 5.33; 95% CI: 1.54–18.48; p = 0.008), dyspnoea (OR: 5.41; 95% CI: 2.74–10.69; p < 0.001) and myalgias (OR: 0.30; 95% CI: 0.10–0.93; p = 0.038) remained significantly associated with increased or reduced risk. A proposed CD65-M prognostic rule (acronym of above mentioned 4 variables) showed a good correlation with the risk of suffering critical outcome (area under ROC curve: 0.828; 95% CI: 0.774–0.882).ConclusionClinical course of COVID-19 is early unpredictable, but simple clinical tools as the proposed CD65-M rule (pending external validation) may be helpful assessing these patients in primary care settings.     

Mediterranean Diet and Risk of Frailty in Community-Dwelling Older Adults

Background and ObjectiveLow intake of certain micronutrients and protein has been associated with higher risk of frailty. However, very few studies have assessed the effect of global dietary patterns on frailty. This study examined the association between adherence to the Mediterranean diet (MD) and the risk of frailty in older adults.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsProspective cohort study with 1815 community-dwelling individuals aged ≥60 years recruited in 2008–2010 in Spain.MeasurementsAt baseline, the degree of MD adherence was measured with the Mediterranean Diet Adherence Screener (MEDAS) score and the Mediterranean Diet Score, also known as the Trichopoulou index. In 2012, individuals were reassessed to detect incident frailty, defined as having at least 3 of the following criteria: exhaustion, muscle weakness, low physical activity, slow walking speed, and weight loss. The study associations were summarized with odds ratios (OR) and their 95% confidence interval (CI) obtained from logistic regression, with adjustment for the main confounders.ResultsOver a mean follow-up of 3.5 years, 137 persons with incident frailty were identified. Compared with individuals in the lowest tertile of the MEDAS score (lowest MD adherence), the OR (95% CI) of frailty was 0.85 (0.54–1.36) in those in the second tertile, and 0.65 (0.40–1.04; P for trend = .07) in the third tertile. Corresponding figures for the Mediterranean Diet Score were 0.59 (0.37–0.95) and 0.48 (0.30–0.77; P for trend = .002). Being in the highest tertile of MEDAS was associated with reduced risk of slow walking (OR 0.53; 95% CI 0.35–0.79) and of weight loss (OR 0.53; 95% CI 0.36–0.80). Lastly, the risk of frailty was inversely associated with consumption of fish (OR 0.66; 95% CI 0.45–0.97) and fruit (OR 0.59; 95% CI 0.39–0.91).ConclusionsAmong community-dwelling older adults, an increasing adherence to the MD was associated with decreasing risk of frailty.     

Birth weight predicts the risk of gestational diabetes mellitus and pregravid obesity

ObjectivesIt has been suggested that birth weight may determine metabolic abnormalities later in life. The aim of the current study was to assess the association between birth weight and future risk of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and pregravid obesity in a homogenous sample of Caucasian Polish women.MethodsIn this retrospective study, we collected the medical reports of 787 women with GDM and 801 healthy pregnant women. We analyzed the following data: birth weight, age, pregravid weight, prior GDM, prior macrosomia, parity, and family history of diabetes.ResultsBirth weight was inversely associated with the risk of GDM; for each decrease in birth weight of 500 g, the risk increased by 11% (odds ratio [OR], 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02–1.21). Birth weight was a strong predictor of GDM independent of other risk factors (OR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.09–1.31), and it was positively correlated with pregravid weight (R = 0.21; P < 0.00001). An increase in birth weight of 500 g substantially increased the risk of overweight and obesity (OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.01–1.34 and OR, 1.35; 95% CI 1.11–1.64, respectively). Each of the traditional risk factors for GDM were also strong predictors of pregravid obesity: age (P < 0.0001), prior GDM (P < 0.01), prior macrosomia (P < 0.0001), multiparity (P < 0.0001), and maternal (but not paternal) history of diabetes (P < 0.0001).ConclusionsAmong Caucasian Polish women, the risk of GDM is associated with low birth weight, and pregravid obesity is associated with high birth weight. Traditional risk factors for GDM, including maternal (but not paternal) history of diabetes, are also risk factors for pregravid obesity.     

Association of IPS1 polymorphisms with peginterferon efficacy in chronic hepatitis B with HBeAg-positive in the Chinese population

AimsTo investigate whether IPS1 polymorphisms affect peginterferon alpha (PEG-IFN) efficacy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients using a tag- single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) approach.MethodsA total of 212 hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive patients treated with a 48 weeks of PEG-IFN monotherapy were enrolled initially and 127 patients were followed for 48 weeks posttreatment. Genotype analysis was performed for 10 tag-SNPs in IPS1.ResultsThe end of virological response (EVR) rate was 45.8% (97/212) and the sustained virological response (SVR) rate was 45.7% (58/127). Meanwhile, 35.4% (75/212) achieved HBeAg seroconversion at the end of treatment. In a multivariate analysis, the rs2464 CC genotype was independently associated with EVR (OR 2.21, 95% CI 1.23–3.98, P = 0.008) and SVR (OR 2.34, 95% CI 1.05–5.20, P = 0.037) after adjustment for sex, age, HBV genotype, baseline levels of HBV DNA and ALT. Meanwhile, rs2464 CC genotype were also independently associated with decline of HBsAg levels below 1500 IU/mL at 12 weeks of treatment (OR 2.52, 95% CI 1.01–6.29, P = 0.047). Furthermore, three SNPs were found to be independently associated with HBeAg seroconversion at the end of treatment. (1) The rs2326369 CC genotype was independently associated with no HBeAg seroconversion (OR 0.52, 95% CI 0.29–0.95, P = 0.034); (2) The rs6515831 TT genotype was independently associated with HBeAg seroconversion (OR 2.11, 95% CI 1.14–3.90, P = 0.017); (3) The rs2464 CC genotype was independently associated with HBeAg seroconversion (OR 2.36, 95% CI 1.26–4.42, P = 0.007).ConclusionsPolymorphisms in IPS1 are independently associated with treatment response to PEG-IFN among Chinese HBeAg-positive CHB patients.     

Body mass index and risk of head and neck cancer by race: the Carolina Head and Neck Cancer Epidemiology Study

PurposeMost studies, primarily conducted in populations of European ancestry, reported increased risk of head and neck cancer (HNC) associated with leanness (body mass index [BMI] <18.5 kg/m²) and decreased for overweight or obesity (25.0 to <30.0 and >30 kg/m², respectively), compared with normal weight (18.5 to <25.0 kg/m²).MethodsThe Carolina Head and Neck Cancer Epidemiology Study is a population-based, racially diverse case-control study of 1289 incident HNC cases (330 African Americans) and 1361 controls (261 African Americans). Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for associations between BMI 1 year prediagnosis and HNC risk stratified by race and adjusted for age, sex, smoking, alcohol, and education.ResultsMultiplicative interaction between BMI and race was evident (P_int = .00007). Compared with normal weight, ORs for leanness were increased for African Americans (OR, 3.91; 95% CI, 0.72–21.17) and whites (OR, 1.48; 95% CI, 0.60–3.65). For overweight and obesity, ORs were decreased in African Americans (OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.32–0.83 and OR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.28–0.79, respectively) but in not whites. The increased risk associated with leanness was greater for smokers than nonsmokers (P_int = .02).ConclusionsThese data, which require replication, suggest that leanness is associated with increased HNC risk among African Americans to a greater extent than whites and overweight and obesity is associated with decreased HNC risk only among African Americans.     

Visual and Hearing Impairment Are Associated With Delirium in Hospitalized Patients: Results of a Multisite Prevalence Study

ObjectiveSensory deficits are important risk factors for delirium but have been investigated in single-center studies and single clinical settings. This multicenter study aims to evaluate the association between hearing and visual impairment or bi-sensory impairment (visual and hearing impairment) and delirium.DesignCross-sectional study nested in the 2017 “Delirium Day” project.Setting and ParticipantsPatients 65 years and older admitted to acute hospital medical wards, emergency departments, rehabilitation wards, nursing homes, and hospices in Italy.MethodsDelirium was assessed with the 4AT (a short tool for delirium assessment) and sensory deficits with a clinical evaluation. We assessed the association between delirium, hearing and visual impairment in multivariable logistic regression models, adjusting for: Model 1, we included predisposing factors for delirium (ie, dementia, weight loss and autonomy in the activities of daily living); Model 2, we added to Model 1 variables, which could be considered precipitating factors for delirium (ie, psychoactive drugs and urinary catheters).ResultsA total of 3038 patients were included; delirium prevalence was 25%. Patients with delirium had a higher prevalence of hearing impairment (30.5% vs 18%; P < .001), visual impairment (24.2% vs 15.7%; P < .01) and bi-sensory impairment (16.2% vs 7.5%) compared with those without delirium. In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, the presence of bi-sensory impairment was associated with delirium in Model 1 [odds ratio (OR) 1.5, confidence interval (CI) 1.2–2.1; P = .00] and in Model 2 (OR 1.4; CI 1.1–1.9; P = .02), whereas the presence of visual and hearing impairment alone was not associated with delirium either in Model 1 (OR 0.8; CI 0.6–1.2, P = .36; OR 1.1; CI 0.8–1.4; P = .42) or in Model 2 (OR 0.8, CI 0.6–1.2, P = .27; OR 1.1, CI 0.8–1.4, P = .63).Conclusions and implicationsOur findings support the importance of routine screening and specific interventions by a multidisciplinary team to implement optimal management of sensory impairments and hence prevention and the management of the patients with delirium.     

Factors Associated With Remaining in a Skilled Nursing Facility for Over 90 Days from Admission: Residents' Participation in Therapy and Desire to Return to the Community

BackgroundTo identify the factors associated with stay in a skilled nursing facility (SNF) among new enrollees who did not fully participate in therapy sessions.MethodsData (n = 36,133) were obtained from the Minimum Data Set version 2.0 in the state of Michigan in 2009. Study participants were new SNF enrollees (n = 699) who did not fully participate in therapy sessions despite their desire to return to the community. Multivariate logistic regressions were performed to identify factors contributing to remaining in a nursing home for 91 days or longer.ResultsNew SNF enrollees were more likely to remain in nursing home when they were depressed (odds ratio [OR] = 1.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09–2.08; P = .01), experiencing delirium (OR = 3.20; 95% CI, 1.48–5.92; P < .001), were not in pain (OR = 0.83; 95% CI, 0.60–0.95; P = .03), or in less complex care (OR = 0.57; 95% CI, 0.44–0.81; P < .01).ConclusionsA higher number of new SNF enrollees than previously reported were likely to stay in nursing homes (28.0%). Depression and delirium were associated with stay in an SNF, while pain and higher complexity of care were associated with returning to the community.     

Impact of prior bariatric surgery on risk and severity of COVID-19 infection: A meta-analysis of observational studies

BackgroundThe association of prior bariatric surgery (BS) with infection rate and prognosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains unclear. We conducted a meta-analysis of observational studies to address this issue.MethodsWe searched databases including MEDLINE, Embase, and CENTRAL from inception to May, 2022. The primary outcome was risk of mortality, while secondary outcomes included risk of hospital/intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mechanical ventilation, acute kidney injury (AKI), and infection rate.ResultsEleven studies involving 151,475 patients were analyzed. Meta-analysis showed lower risks of mortality [odd ratio (OR)= 0.42, 95% CI: 0.27–0.65, p < 0.001, I² = 67%; nine studies; 151,113 patients, certainty of evidence (COE):moderate], hospital admission (OR=0.56, 95% CI: 0.36–0.85, p = 0.007, I² =74.6%; seven studies; 17,810 patients; COE:low), ICU admission (OR=0.5, 95% CI: 0.37–0.67, p < 0.001, I² =0%; six studies; 17,496 patients, COE:moderate), mechanical ventilation (OR=0.52, 95% CI: 0.37–0.72, p < 0.001, I² =57.1%; seven studies; 137,992 patients, COE:moderate) in patients with prior BS (BS group) than those with obesity without surgical treatment (non-BS group). There was no difference in risk of AKI (OR=0.74, 95% CI: 0.41–1.32, p = 0.304, I² =83.6%; four studies; 129,562 patients, COE: very low) and infection rate (OR=1.05, 95% CI: 0.89–1.22, p = 0.572, I² =0%; four studies; 12,633 patients, COE:low) between the two groups. Subgroup analysis from matched cohort studies demonstrated associations of prior BS with lower risks of mortality, ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, and AKI.ConclusionOur results showed a correlation between prior BS and less severe COVID-19, which warrants further investigations to verify.     

Addressing the Home Care Shortage: Predictors of Willingness to Provide Paid Home Care in New York

ObjectivesTo determine the prevalence and predictors of willingness to consider becoming a paid home care worker.DesignCross-sectional telephone-based survey study.Setting and Participants800 adult residents of New York State participating in the 2020 Empire State Poll, an annual survey conducted in English and Spanish using random-digit dialing.MethodsWillingness to consider working as a paid home care worker was analyzed as the main outcome. Survey questions also involved demographics and unpaid caregiving experience. We used multinomial logistic regression to examine associations between participant characteristics and willingness to be a paid caregiver.ResultsParticipants had a mean age of 47.7 years (95% CI 45.4-50.0). Demographic information included 51.1% female gender, 65.4% White race, 13.4% Black race, 6.4% Asian or Pacific Islander, 14.8% another race, 19.1% Hispanic/Latino ethnicity, and 43.0% household income below $50,000 per year. A weighted 25.4% of participants would consider becoming a paid home care worker. In an adjusted model, willingness to be a paid home care worker was associated with younger age [odds ratio (OR) 0.98, 95% CI 0.96-1.00, P = .032], female gender (OR 2.46, 95% CI 1.35-4.46, P = .003), Black or other race (OR 2.40, 95% CI 1.11-5.17, P = .026, and OR 3.13, 95% CI 1.30-7.54, P = .011, respectively), Hispanic ethnicity (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.06-4.81, P = .035), household income below $50,000 per year (OR 2.00, 95% CI 1.03-3.88, P = .040), and having provided unpaid family caregiving (OR 2.08, 95% CI 1.15-3.76, P = .016).Conclusions and ImplicationsA quarter of New Yorkers would consider working as a paid home care worker. Willingness to consider this occupation was associated with the demographic characteristics disproportionately represented in the current home care workforce. Improved working conditions and compensation could help attract and retain home care workers, thereby addressing the rising need for home care in the United States.     

Enclosing a pen reduced time to response to questionnaire mailings

ObjectivesTo assess the effectiveness of including a pen in postal questionnaires on response rate, necessity of reminders, time to response, and completeness of response to the primary outcome question (POQ).Study Design and SettingA two-arm randomized controlled trial (RCT) embedded within the screening of older women for prevention of fracture trial (SCOOP). Women, aged 70–75 years, were randomized to receive a pen with their questionnaire (n = 3,826) or to receive the questionnaire alone (n = 3,829). The results were combined with another embedded RCT in a meta-analysis.ResultsA response rate of 92.4% was observed in the pen group compared with 91.3% in the control group (odds ratio [OR] = 1.16; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.98, 1.37; P = 0.08). There was a difference in reminders required (OR = 0.88; 95% CI: 0.79, 0.98; P = 0.02), time to response (hazard ratio = 1.06; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.11; P = 0.01) and some difference in the completeness of response to the POQ (OR = 1.18; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.39; P = 0.05). The pooled OR from the meta-analysis for response rate was 1.21 (95% CI: 1.05, 1.39; P = 0.01).ConclusionInclusion of a pen with postal questionnaires potentially has a positive impact on response rates and the number of reminders required. There may be some reduction in time to response. Studies of different participant groups are needed to test the effectiveness over more diverse populations.     

Cognitive Impairment Predicts Sarcopenia 9 Years Later among Older Adults

ObjectiveTo assess the longitudinal association between cognitive impairment and sarcopenia in a sample of Brazilian community-dwelling older adults.DesignNine-year observational prospective study.Setting and ParticipantsA total of 521 community-dwelling older adults from 2 Brazilian sites of the Frailty in Brazilian Older Adults (FIBRA in Portuguese) study.MethodsSarcopenia was defined as low hand-grip strength and low muscle mass. Cognitive impairment was determined at baseline using the Mini-Mental State Examination, with education-adjusted cutoff scores. The logistic regression model was used to assess the association between cognitive impairment and incident sarcopenia after adjusting for gender, age, education, morbidities, physical activity, and body mass index. Inverse probability weighting was applied to correct for sample loss at follow-up.ResultsThe mean age of the study population was 72.7 (±5.6) years, and 365 were women (70.1%). Being 80 years and older [odds ratio (OR), 4.62; 95% CI, 1.38–15.48; P = .013], being under- and overweight (OR, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.11–0.76; P = .012, and OR, 5.12; 95% CI, 2.18–12.01; P < .001, respectively) and having cognitive impairment (OR, 2.44; 95% CI, 1.18–5.04; P = .016) at baseline predicted sarcopenia after 9 years.Conclusion and ImplicationsCognitive impairment may predict sarcopenia in Brazilian older adults. More studies are necessary to identify the main mechanisms shared by sarcopenia and cognitive decline, which could support the development of prevention interventions.     

Concurrent and Predictive Validity of FRAIL-NH in Hospitalized Older Persons: An Exploratory Study

ObjectivesThe FRAIL-NH was originally developed for frailty assessment of nursing home (NH) residents. We aimed to compare concurrent, predictive, and known-groups validity between FRAIL-NH and FRAIL, using the Frailty Index (FI) as gold standard reference. We also examined for ceiling effect of both measures in the detection of severe frailty.DesignA secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study.Setting & ParticipantsOlder adults (mean age 89.4 years) hospitalized for an acute medical illness in a 1300-bed tertiary hospital.MeasurementsBaseline data on demographics, comorbidities, severity of illness, functional status, and cognitive status were gathered. We also captured outcomes of mortality, length of stay (LOS), institutionalization, and functional decline. For concurrent validity, we compared areas under the operating characteristic curves (AUCs) for both measures against the FI. For predictive validity, univariate analyses and multiple logistic regression were used to compare both measures against the adverse outcomes of interest. For known-groups validity, we compared both measures against comorbidities and functional status via 1-way analysis of variance, and dementia diagnosis via independent t test. Box plots were also derived to investigate for possible ceiling effect.ResultsBoth measures had good concurrent validity (both AUC > 0.8 and P < .001), with FRAIL-NH detecting more frailty cases (79.5% vs 50.0%). Although FRAIL-frail was superior for in-hospital mortality [6.7% vs 1.0%, P = .031, odds ratio (OR) 9.29, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09-79.20, P < .042] and LOS (10 vs 8 days, P = .043), FRAIL-NH-frail better predicted mortality (OR 6.62, 95% CI 1.91-22.94, P = .003) and institutionalization (OR 6.03, 95% CI 2.01-18.09, P = .001) up to 12 months postenrollment. Known-groups validity was good for both measures with FRAIL-NH yielding greater F values for functional status and dementia. Lastly, box plots revealed a ceiling effect for FRAIL in the severely frail group.Conclusions and ImplicationsThis exploratory study highlights the potential for expanding the role of FRAIL-NH beyond NH to acute care settings. Contrasted to FRAIL, FRAIL-NH had better overall validity with less ceiling effect in discrimination of severe frailty.     

Cognitive Frailty as a Predictor of Future Falls in Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

ObjectivesTo examine the association between cognitive frailty and the risk of future falls among older adults.DesignSystematic review and meta-analysis.Setting and ParticipantsOlder people aged ≥60 years with cognitive frailty from community, hospital, or both.MethodsPubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library, Wanfang Database, China Knowledge Resource Integrated Database (CNKI), Weipu Database (VIP), and Chinese Biomedical Database (CBM) were searched for relevant studies published from the inception of the database until June 14, 2022. Stata 16.0 software was used to perform the meta-analysis. A random effects model was used to pool the prevalence of falls in older adults over age 60 years with cognitive frailty and the strength of the association between cognitive frailty and falls [odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs]. Quality assessment, heterogeneity, and sensitivity analyses were also conducted. A study protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42022331323).ResultsThe review included 18 studies in qualitative synthesis, 14 of which were in meta-analysis. Eleven sets of cross-sectional data involving 23,025 participants and 5 sets of longitudinal data involving 11,924 participants were used in the meta-analysis. The results showed that the overall prevalence of falls in 1742 people with cognitive frailty was 36.3% (95% CI 27.9-44.8, I² = 93.4%). Longitudinal study results showed that cognitively frail individuals had a higher risk of falls (OR 3.02, 95% CI 2.11-4.32, I² = 0.0%, P = .406), compared to robust participants without cognitive impairment; physically frail people (alone) had a moderate risk of falls (OR 2.16, 95% CI 1.42-3.30, I² = 9.7%, P = .351); cognitively impaired people (alone) had a lower risk of falls (OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.03-1.79, I² = 0.0%, P = .440). Among cross-sectional studies, cognitive frailty was associated with the risk of falls (OR 2.74, 95% CI 2.20-3.40, I² = 53.1%, P = .019). Although high heterogeneity was noted among 11 cross-sectional studies reporting ORs, the sensitivity analysis showed that no single study significantly affected the final pooled results.Conclusions and ImplicationsThis systematic review and meta-analysis confirms the findings that cognitive frailty was demonstrated to be a significant predictor of future falls in older adults. However, further prospective investigations are warranted.     

Sociodemographic,clinical, and psychological factors associated with attrition in a prospective study of cardiovascular prevention: the Heart Strategies Concentrating on Risk Evaluation study

PurposeTo identify factors associated with attrition in a longitudinal study of cardiovascular prevention.MethodsDemographic, clinical, and psychosocial variables potentially associated with attrition were investigated in 1841 subjects enrolled in the southwestern Pennsylvania Heart Strategies Concentrating on Risk Evaluation study. Attrition was defined as study withdrawal, loss to follow-up, or missing 50% or more of study visits.ResultsOver 4 years of follow-up, 291 subjects (15.8%) met criteria for attrition. In multivariable regression models, factors that were independently associated with attrition were black race (odds ratio [OR], 2.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.55–3.16; P < .001), younger age (OR per 5-year increment, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.79–0.99; P < .05), male gender (OR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.27–2.54; P < .05), no health insurance (OR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.20–3.47; P < .05), obesity (OR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.07–3.02; P < .05), CES-D depression score 16 or higher (OR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.29–3.19; P < .05), and higher ongoing life events questionnaire score (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.04–1.13; P < .001). Having a spouse/partner participating in the study was associated with lower odds of attrition (OR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.37–0.97; P < .05). A synergistic interaction was identified between black race and depression.ConclusionsAttrition over 4 years was influenced by sociodemographic, clinical, and psychological factors that can be readily identified at study entry. Recruitment and retention strategies targeting these factors may improve participant follow-up in longitudinal cardiovascular prevention studies.     

Predicting All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality by Static and Dynamic Measurements of Allostatic Load: A 10-Year Population-Based Cohort Study in Taiwan

ObjectiveTo evaluate the role of allostatic load (AL), either static or dynamic measurements, in predicting all-cause and cause-specific mortality of older people in Taiwan.DesignA prospective cohort study.SettingPopulation-based community study.ParticipantsOne thousand twenty-three community-dwelling older people.MeasurementsAllostatic load (calculated by systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglyceride, glycosylated hemoglobin, fasting glucose, waist-to-hip ratio, body mass index, dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate, insulin-like growth factor-1, 12-hour urine cortisol, 12-hour urine epinephrine, 12-hour urine norepinephrine, 12-hour urine dopamine, white blood cell count, neutrophils, interleukin-6, albumin, creatinine) and all-cause and cause-specific mortality from national death registry.InterventionNone.ResultsAdjusted for age and sex, each 1-point increase in AL score was associated with 20% incremental risk of mortality [hazard ratio 1.20, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09–1.31]. This association can be extended to cause-specific mortality in both sexes in general. In addition, the higher AL score quintile was significantly associated with higher risk of 10-year all-cause mortality (P < .0001). This association was consistent across different cause-specific mortality (ie, malignant neoplasm (P = .008), cardiometabolic diseases (P < .0001), infectious diseases (P < .0001), respiratory diseases (P < .0001), and others (P = .0002), respectively. Compared with AL score decliners, adjusted for age, sex, and baseline AL score in 2000, participants with fast increase had significantly higher mortality (HR 2.68, 95% CI 1.23–5.84, P = .01). The effect was stronger in men (HR 2.83, 95% CI 1.1–7.29, P = .03 in slow increase; HR 4.06, 95% CI 1.56–10.6, P = .001 in fast increase group), but it was insignificant in female participants.ConclusionsHigher AL score or rapid increase of AL score significantly increased subsequent mortality risk in older adults, either measured statically or dynamically. AL is predictive of 10-year mortality regardless of cause of death, and rapid increase in AL score is associated with higher subsequent mortality.     

Risk factors for infection/colonization caused by resistant Gram negative bacilli in critically ill patients (An observational study of 1633 critically ill patients)

ObjectiveThe objective of this study is to identify risk factors associated with multi-resistant Gram negative (RGNB) infection and colonization among critically ill patients.MethodsA prospective cohort study of all patients aged 21–90 admitted for more than 24 hours in Medical and Surgical intensive care units (ICU) at a large teaching hospital in Singapore for the period of Aug '07–Dec '09 was conducted. Patient demographics, comorbidities, antibiotics, invasive devices, and culture results were collected. Forward stepwise logistic regression analyses were done to identify risk factors associated with RGNB infection and colonization.ResultsOf the 1373 patients included in the analysis, 13.5% developed RGNB infection. A logistic regression analysis including variables with a p value of < 0.2 in the univariate analysis showed that recent surgery (OR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2–3.6), renal impairment (OR 2.9, 95% CI 1.5–5.4), liver disease (OR: 3.8, 95% CI 1.7–8.8), central line (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.01–3.4) were independently associated with RGNB infection in the ICU. Surgery (OR 3.9, 95% CI 2.7–5.7), third-line antibiotics (carbapenem, vancomycin, linezolid) (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.2–2.9) were independently associated with RGNB infection during their hospitalization.ConclusionThe major risk factors identified for RGNB infection and colonization in the ICU were mainly patient dependent. However, broad spectrum initial antibiotic treatment remains an important independent modifiable risk factor. Interventions aimed at reducing initial broad spectrum antibiotics are clearly needed to help control the spread of these difficult to treat infections.