Comparison of multiple organ dysfunction scores in the prediction of hospital mortality in the critically ill

OBJECTIVE: To compare the scales and predictive power for hospital mortality of three recent multiple organ dysfunction scores. DESIGN: Prospective, observational, validation cohort study. SETTING: A ten-bed medical-surgical intensive care unit in a Finnish tertiary care hospital. PATIENTS: Among the 591 consecutive patients admitted, 520 patients who stayed >4 hrs were studied. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Clinical and laboratory data were collected daily. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) III, Multiple Organ Dysfunction Score, Logistic Organ Dysfunction score, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score all were calculated and compared for hospital mortality. The areas under receiver operating curves (SE) for day-1 scores were 0.825 (0.02) for APACHE III, 0.805 (0.02) for Logistic Organ Dysfunction, 0.776 (0.02) for SOFA, and 0.695 (0.02) for Multiple Organ Dysfunction Score in prediction of hospital mortality. The highest discriminative power was revealed with total maximum scores. No statistical differences existed between the total maximum scores (p values,.06 to.97). Calibration was good for all scores of day-1 multiple organ dysfunction scales and APACHE III by chi-square test (values between 10.14 and 5.42). CONCLUSIONS: Discriminative power (ability to distinguish between patients who die and those who live) of day-1, of daily maximum, and especially of total maximum multiple organ dysfunction scores, were rather good, comparable with each other, and comparable with APACHE III in prediction of hospital mortality.     

Calibration and discrimination by daily Logistic Organ Dysfunction scoring comparatively with daily Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scoring for predicting hospital mortality in critically ill patients

OBJECTIVE: The Logistic Organ Dysfunction (LOD) score has been proved effective in evaluating severity during the first day in an intensive care unit but has not been evaluated later. To evaluate attributable mortality related to nosocomial events, organ dysfunction scores that remain accurate throughout the intensive care unit stay are needed. The objective of this study was to evaluate how accurately daily LOD scoring predicts mortality comparatively with daily Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scoring. DESIGN: Prospective multicenter study. SETTING: Six intensive care units in France. PATIENTS: A total of 1685 patients with intensive care unit stays longer than 48 hrs were included in this study (511 hospital deaths). Median age was 66 yrs, and median Simplified Acute Physiology Score II at admission was 38. For each patient, a senior physician recorded the variables needed to compute organ dysfunction scores daily throughout the intensive care unit stay. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: SOFA and LOD scores were computed daily during the first 7 days. Calibration was evaluated based on goodness-of-fit by the Hosmer-Lemeshow chi-square statistic (lower chi-square values and higher values indicate better fit) and discrimination based on the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) area under the curve (AUC; a ROC-AUC of 1 indicates faultless discrimination and a ROC-AUC of 0.5 indicates the effects of chance alone). Because calibration of both scores was poor at all time points ( p<.001), customization was performed using the total score (model 1) or separate introduction of each dysfunction (model 2). The performance of customized LOD and SOFA scores on a given day in predicting mortality was assessed in those patients who spent at least one more calendar day in the intensive care unit. The original LOD and SOFA scores had satisfactory ROC-AUC values (0.720 to 0.766). Internal consistency of both scores was acceptable ( p< 10(-4) for each organ dysfunction). After customization, the original scores calibrated well between days 1 and 7. Discrimination by both scores was better with model 2 (AUC-ROC, 0.729-0.784). CONCLUSION: Daily LOD and SOFA scores showed good accuracy and internal consistency, and they could be used to adjust severity for events occurring in the intensive care unit.     

SOFA is superior to MOD score for the determination of non-neurologic organ dysfunction in patients with severe traumatic brain injury: a cohort study

Introduction  

The objective of the present study was to compare the discriminative ability of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and Multiple Organ Dysfunction (MOD) scoring systems with respect to hospital mortality and unfavorable neurologic outcome in patients with severe traumatic brain injury admitted to the intensive care unit.     

The Multiple Organ Dysfunction Score (MODS) versus the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score in outcome prediction

OBJECTIVE: To compare outcome prediction using the Multiple Organ Dysfunction Score (MODS) and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), two of the systems most commonly used to evaluate organ dysfunction in the intensive care unit (ICU). DESIGN: Prospective, observational study. SETTING: Thirty-one-bed, university hospital ICU. PATIENTS AND PARTICIPANTS: Nine hundred forty-nine ICU patients. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: The MODS and the SOFA score were calculated on admission and every 48 h until ICU discharge. The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score was calculated on admission. Areas under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves were used to compare initial, 48 h, 96 h, maximum and final scores. Of the 949 patients, 277 died (mortality rate 29.1%). Shock was observed in 329 patients (mortality rate 55.3%). There were no significant differences between the two scores in terms of mortality prediction. Outcome prediction of the APACHE II score was similar to the initial MODS and SOFA score in all patients, and slightly worse in patients with shock. Using the scores' cardiovascular components (CV), outcome prediction was better for the SOFA score at all time intervals (initial AUROC SOFA CV 0.750 vs MODS CV 0.694, p<0.01; 48 h AUROC SOFA CV 0.732 vs MODS CV 0.675, p<0.01; and final AUROC SOFA CV 0.781 vs MODS CV 0.674, p<0.01). The same tendency was observed in patients with shock. There were no significant differences in outcome prediction for the other five organ systems. CONCLUSIONS: MODS and SOFA are reliable outcome predictors. Cardiovascular dysfunction is better related to outcome with the SOFA score than with the MODS.     

Validation of the multiple organ dysfunction (MOD) score in critically ill medical and surgical patients

Objective To validate the Multiple Organ Dysfunction (MOD) score externally.Design Prospective observational cohort study.Setting Mixed medical/surgical ICU in a tertiary referral university hospital.Patients and participants Thousand eight hundred and nine patients admitted to ICU for more than 24 h over a 3-year period.Interventions None.Measurements and results The MOD score was calculated daily for all patients. The criterion validity of the individual organ scores, the maximal MOD score and the change in MOD score were assessed by examining the relationship between increasing scores and ICU mortality. Increased maximal MOD scores and each of the six individual organ scores, and change in MOD scores were associated with increased mortality.Conclusions Maximal and individual organ scores have criterion validity when tested in a different ICU from that in which the scores were derived, indicating that the scoring systems are reproducible. The association of change in MOD score with mortality indicates that the score is responsive. These data, combined with previous data establishing concept and content validity, indicate that the MOD score is a valid measure of multi-organ dysfunction.     

Multicenter study of the multiple organ dysfunction syndrome in intensive care units: the usefulness of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores in decision making

Objective This study examined the incidence and mortality of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) in intensive care units, evaluated the limitation of life support in these patients, and determined whether daily measurement of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) is useful for decision making.Design and setting Prospective, observational study in 79 intensive care units.Patients and participants Of the 7,615 patients admitted during a 2-month period we found 1,340 patients to have MODS.Measurements and results We recorded mortality and length of stay in the intensive care unit and the hospital and the maximum and minimum total SOFA scores during MODS. Limitation of life support in MODS patients was also evaluated. Stepwise logistic regression was used to determine the factors predicting mortality. The in-hospital mortality rate in patients with MODS was 44.6%, and some type of limitation of life support was applied in 70.6% of the patients who died. The predictive model maximizing specificity included the following variables: maximum SOFA score, minimum SOFA score, trend of the SOFA for 5 consecutive days, and age over 60 years. The model diagnostic yield was: specificity 100%, sensitivity 7.2%, positive predictive value 100%, and negative predictive value 57.3%; the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.807.Conclusions This model showed that in our population with MODS those older than 60 years and with SOFA score higher than 9 for at least 5 days were unlikely to survive.     

Non-neurological organ dysfunction in neurocritical care

PURPOSE: To determine the incidence of non-neurological organ dysfunction in patients with severe neurological injury. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Modified daily SOFA (mSOFA) scores were retrospectively calculated for 55 consecutive patients with severe head injury or subarachnoid hemorrhage. mSOFA was defined as the sum of the 5 non-neurological component SOFA scores, maximum mSOFA as the sum of the most abnormal non-neurological SOFA component scores and delta mSOFA as the difference between maximum mSOFA and admission mSOFA. Organ failure was defined as a SOFA component score > or =3. RESULTS: Median (IQR) admission, maximum and delta mSOFA scores were 4 (3-6), 8 (6-9), and 2 (1-5), respectively. Respiratory and cardiac failure developed in 80% and 82% of patients, respectively. No patient developed renal or hepatic failure. Three patients developed hematological failure. There was no difference between survivors and nonsurvivors with respect to admission mSOFA (P =.45), maximum mSOFA (P =.54), or delta mSOFA (P =.19). There was no difference between those patients with favorable or unfavorable neurological outcome with respect to admission mSOFA (P =.24), maximum mSOFA (P =.84), or delta mSOFA (P =.20). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiopulmonary failure, as defined by SOFA, is common in intensive care unit patients with severe head injury and subarachnoid hemorrhage. In contrast to other intensive care unit patient populations, the mortality of patients with closed head injury or subarachnoid hemorrhage was not related to the severity of organ dysfunction on admission or its development during the intensive care unit stay.     

Changes in severity and organ failure scores as prognostic factors in onco-hematological malignancy patients admitted to the ICU

Objective To determine whether severity and organ failure scores over the first 3 days in an ICU predict in-hospital mortality in onco-hematological malignancy patients.Design and setting Retrospective study in a 22-bed medical ICU.Patients 92 consecutive patients with onco-hematological malignancies including 20 hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) patients (11 with allogenic HSCT).Measurements Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II, Organ Dysfunction and/or Infection (ODIN) score, Logistic Organ Dysfunction System (LODS), and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score were recorded on admission. The change in each score (Δ score) during the first 3 days in the ICU was calculated as follows: severity or organ failure score on day 3 minus severity or organ failure score on day 1, divided by severity or organ failure score on day 1.Results In-hospital mortality was 58%. Using multivariate analysis in-hospital mortality was predicted by all scores on day 1 and all Δ scores. Areas under the receiver operating characteristics curves were similar for SAPS II (0.78), ODIN (0.78), LODS (0.83), and SOFA (0.78) scores at day 1. They were also similar for ΔSAPS II, ΔODIN, ΔLODS, and ΔSOFA. Similar results were observed when excluding patients with allogenic HSCT.Conclusion Severity and three organ failure scores on day 1 and Δ scores perform similarly in predicting in-hospital mortality in ICU onco-hematological malignancy patients but do not predict individual outcome. Decision to admit such patients to the ICU or to forgo life-sustaining therapies should not be based on these scores.Electronic supplementary material Supplementary material is available in the online version of this article at and is accesible for authorized users.     

SIRS-associated coagulopathy and organ dysfunction in critically ill patients with thrombocytopenia

BACKGROUNDS: Coagulopathy and thrombocytopenia often occur in critically ill patients, and disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) can lead to multiple organ dysfunction and a poor outcome. However, the relation between coagulopathy and systemic inflammatory response has not been thoroughly clarified. Thus, we evaluated coagulative activity, organ dysfunction, and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) in critically ill patients with thrombocytopenia and examined the balance between coagulopathy and systemic inflammation. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Two hundred seventy-three patients, who were admitted to 13 critical care centers in Japan and fulfilled the criteria of platelet count of less than 150*10(9)/L, were included. Coagulative variables (platelet count, fibrin/fibrinogen degradation products, and DIC scores), organ dysfunction index (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment [SOFA] score), and SIRS score in each patient were evaluated for 4 consecutive days after fulfilling the above entry criteria. The effect of SIRS on coagulopathy and organ dysfunction was evaluated in these patients. RESULTS: Both the maximum SIRS score and entry SIRS score had significant relation to the maximum SOFA score during the observation period. Coagulation disorders indicated by the minimum platelet count, maximum DIC scores, and positivity for DIC worsened gradually with increases in SIRS scores. Both the minimum platelet count and maximum DIC scores were significantly correlated with the maximum SOFA score, indicating that a relation exists between coagulopathy and organ dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS: In critically ill patients with thrombocytopenia, coagulopathy and organ dysfunction progress with significant mutual correlation, depending on the increase in SIRS scores. The SIRS-associated coagulopathy may play a critical role in inducing organ dysfunction after severe insult.     

Epidemiology of severe sepsis in Japanese intensive care units: A prospective multicenter study

Severe sepsis is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the intensive care unit (ICU). We conducted a prospective multicenter study to evaluate epidemiology and outcome of severe sepsis in Japanese ICUs. The patients were registered at 15 general critical care centers in Japanese tertiary care hospitals when diagnosed as having severe sepsis. Of 14,417 patients, 624 (4.3%) were diagnosed with severe sepsis. Demographic and clinical characteristics at enrollment (Day 1), physiologic and blood variables on Days 1 and 4, and mortality were evaluated. Mean age was 69.0 years, and initial mean Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores were 23.4 and 8.6, respectively. The 28-day mortality was 23.1%, and overall hospital mortality was 29.5%. SOFA score and disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) score were consistently higher in nonsurvivors than survivors on Days 1 and 4. SOFA score, DIC score on Days 1 and 4, and hospital mortality were higher in patients with than without septic shock. SOFA score on Days 1 and 4 and hospital mortality were higher in patients with than without DIC. Logistic regression analyses showed age, presence of septic shock, DIC, and cardiovascular dysfunction at enrollment to be predictors of 28-day mortality and presence of comorbidity to be an additional predictor of hospital mortality. Presence of septic shock or DIC resulted in approximately twice the mortality of patients without each factor, whereas the presence of comorbidity may be a significant predictor of delayed mortality in severe sepsis.     

Organ dysfunction as estimated by the sequential organ failure assessment score is related to outcome in critically ill burn patients

The objectives of the study were to assess organ dysfunction in burn patients by using the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, to determine the relationship between early (day 1) and late (day 4) organ dysfunction, as well as the change in organ dysfunction from admission to day 4, and mortality. The design was a prospective observational cohort study. Patients were admitted to our intensive care burn unit with severe thermal burns (> or =20% total body surface area [BSA] burned) or inhalation injury with a delay from injury to admission less than 12 h and a length of stay less than 3 days (n = 439; age, 46.0 +/- 20.3 yrs; total BSA burned, 31.6% +/- 20.2% [mean +/- SD]; inhalation injury, 44.4%; crude mortality, 18.5%). Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores were measured on admission (SOFA 0) and on subsequent days (SOFA 1, SOFA 2, SOFA 3, and SOFA 4). The difference between SOFA 0 and SOFA 4 (DeltaSOFA 0-4) was calculated. Multivariate logistic regression analyses, including other variables associated with mortality in the models, were performed to calculate adjusted odds ratios (ORs) of organ dysfunction measurements for mortality. After adjusting for age, BSA burned, diagnosis of inhalation injury, and sex, SOFA 1 (OR, 1.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.55-2.32), SOFA 4 (OR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.19-1.47), and DeltaSOFA 0-4 (OR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.28-1.55) were independently associated with mortality. The SOFA score is useful to assess organ dysfunction in burn patients. Burn-induced organ dysfunction (early and late), as well as the change in organ dysfunction, is independently associated with mortality.     

The Multiple Organ Dysfunction Score as a descriptor of patient outcome in septic shock compared with two other scoring systems.

OBJECTIVE: To demonstrate if daily Multiple Organ Dysfunction scoring could describe outcome groups in septic shock better than daily Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and Organ Failure scores. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study. SETTING: A medical and surgical adult intensive care unit (ICU) at a tertiary referral center. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Daily data collection over a 14-month period was performed on 368 ICU patients, 39 of whom developed septic shock while in the ICU. These data were entered into a computer programmed to calculate APACHE II, Organ Failure, and Multiple Organ Dysfunction scores. The admission Multiple Organ Dysfunction scores for nonsurvivors and survivors of septic shock in the ICU was 6.5 +/- 2.7 and 6.6 +/- 2.8 (SD), respectively. These patients deteriorated due to the development of septic shock during their ICU stay resulting in a maximum Multiple Organ Dysfunction score of 12.2 +/- 3.7 in nonsurvivors and 9.4 +/- 2.7 in survivors (p < .05). The difference between the maximum and initial Multiple Organ Dysfunction scores (delta score) was also significantly greater in nonsurvivors than in survivors (5.6 +/- 4.7 vs. 2.8 +/- 3.0) (p < .05). There were no significant differences between the maximum and delta scores in the outcome groups using the APACHE II and Organ Failure scoring systems. These results were mirrored by 2.3 +/- 0.7 and 1.7 +/- 0.5 organ failures in nonsurvivors and survivors, respectively (p < .01). For all 368 patients, the initial and maximum Multiple Organ Dysfunction scores were 3.5 +/- 2.5 and 10.5 +/- 3.6, respectively. CONCLUSION: Maximum and delta Multiple Organ Dysfunction scores mirrored organ dysfunction and could accurately describe the outcome groups, whereas daily APACHE II and Organ Failure scores could not.     

Consideration of additional factors in Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score

Purpose

The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, originally developed to assess organ failure status, is widely used as a prognostic indicator in intensive care unit patients. Additional prognostic factors, such as age and comorbidities, may complement the predictive performance of the SOFA.

Methods

In total, 1049 consecutive patients were enrolled prospectively. SOFA and other admission-based intensive care unit scores were recorded during the first 24 hours. A complemented SOFA (cSOFA) score model was constructed by adding age and comorbidity scores to the original SOFA score, based on logistic regression analysis. The predictive performance was evaluated with regard to hospital mortality by receiver operating characteristics analysis. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was used to assess calibration of the model, and leave-one-out cross-validation was performed.

Results

The cSOFA score (maximum 30 points) was calculated as the SOFA score (24 points) + age score (2 points) + comorbidity score (4 points). The cSOFA score model showed satisfactory calibration and cross-validation performance. The AUC (95% CI) of the cSOFA score (0.812 [0.787-0.835]) was higher than the SOFA score (0.743 [0.715-0.769], P < .0001).

Conclusion

The performance of the SOFA score to predict hospital mortality can be improved by considering age and comorbidity factors.     

Levosimendan in septic shock in patients with biochemical evidence of cardiac dysfunction: a subgroup analysis of the LeoPARDS randomised trial

Myocardial dysfunction is common in sepsis but optimal treatment strategies are unclear. The inodilator, levosimendan was suggested as a possible therapy; however, the levosimendan to prevent acute organ dysfunction in Sepsis (LeoPARDS) trial found it to have no benefit in reducing organ dysfunction in septic shock. In this study we evaluated the effects of levosimendan in patients with and without biochemical cardiac dysfunction and examined its non-inotropic effects. Two cardiac biomarkers, troponin I (cTnI) and N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and five inflammatory mediators were measured in plasma from patients recruited to the LeoPARDS trial at baseline and over the first 6 days. Mean total Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and 28-day mortality were compared between patients with normal and raised cTnI and NT-proBNP values, and between patients above and below median values. Levosimendan produced no benefit in SOFA score or 28-day mortality in patients with cardiac dysfunction. There was a statistically significant treatment by subgroup interaction (p = 0.04) in patients with NT-proBNP above or below the median value. Those with NT-proBNP values above the median receiving levosimendan had higher SOFA scores than those receiving placebo (mean daily total SOFA score 7.64 (4.41) vs 6.09 (3.88), mean difference 1.55, 95% CI 0.43–2.68). Levosimendan had no effect on the rate of decline of inflammatory biomarkers. Adding levosimendan to standard care in septic shock was not associated with less severe organ dysfunction nor lower mortality in patients with biochemical evidence of cardiac dysfunction.     

Association of cell-free plasma DNA with hospital mortality and organ dysfunction in intensive care unit patients

Objective To investigate the concentration of cell-free plasma DNA and its association with organ dysfunction and hospital mortality in intensive care unit patients. Design and setting Prospective cohort study in a medical and two medical-surgical intensive care units in a university hospital. Patients 228 critically ill patients admitted to the ICUs between January 2004 and July 2005. Measurements and results Blood samples were collected as soon as possible after ICU admission, the following morning, and 48 h after the second sample. The cell-free plasma DNA was measured by real-time quantitative PCR assay for the β-globin gene. Physiological and mortality data were collected to the clinical database. Hospital mortality rate and SOFA scores were primary outcome measures. The maximum plasma DNA concentrations were correlated significantly with APACHE II points and with maximum SOFA scores. Cell-free plasma DNA concentrations were higher in hospital non-survivors than in survivors (median 9,366 vs. 6,506 GE/ml). Using logistic regression analysis, the maximum plasma DNA was an independent predictor of hospital mortality. Conclusions The maximum plasma DNA concentration measured during the first 96 h of intensive care is associated with the degree of organ dysfunction and disease severity. Moreover, the maximum DNA concentration is independently associated with hospital mortality. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.     

Evaluation of the SOFA score: a single-center experience of a medical intensive care unit in 303 consecutive patients with predominantly cardiovascular disorders

Objective: To evaluate the use of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, the total maximum SOFA (TMS) score, and a derived variable, the ΔSOFA (TMS score minus total SOFA score on day 1) in medical, cardiovascular patients as a means for describing the incidence and severity of organ dysfunction and the prognostic value regarding outcome. Design: Prospective, clinical study. Setting: Medical intensive care unit in a university hospital. Patients: A total of 303 consecutive patients were included (216 men, 87 women; mean age 62 ± 12.6 years; SAPS II 26.2 ± 12.7). They were evaluated 24 h after admission and thereafter every 24 h until ICU discharge or death between November 1997 and March 1998. Readmissions and patients with an ICU stay shorter than 12 h were excluded. Main outcome measure: Survival status at hospital discharge, incidence of organ dysfunction/failure. Interventions: Collection of clinical and demographic data and raw data for the computation of the SOFA score every 24 h until ICU discharge. Measurements and main results: Length of ICU stay was 3.7 ± 4.7 days. ICU mortality was 8.3 % and hospital mortality 14.5 %. Nonsurvivors had a higher total SOFA score on day 1 (5.9 ± 3.7 vs. 1.9 ± 2.3, p < 0.001) and thereafter until day 8. High SOFA scores for any organ system and increasing number of organ failures (SOFA score ≥ 3) were associated with increased mortality. Cardiovascular and neurological systems (day 1) were related to outcome and cardiovascular and respiratory systems, and admission from another ICU to length of ICU stay. TMS score was higher in nonsurvivors (1.76 ± 2.55 vs. 0.58 ± 1.39, p < 0.01), and ΔSOFA/total SOFA on day 1 was independently related to outcome. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was 0.86 for TMS, 0.82 for SOFA on day 1, and 0.77 for SAPS II. Conclusions: The SOFA, TMS, and ΔSOFA scores provide the clinician with important information on degree and progression of organ dysfunction in medical, cardiovascular patients. On day 1 both SOFA score and TMS score had a better prognostic value than SAPS II score. The model is closely related to outcome and identifies patients who are at increased risk for prolonged ICU stay. Received: 6 August 1999 Final revision received: 3 January 2000 Accepted: 28 March 2000     

Study of clinical course of organ dysfunction in intensive care

OBJECTIVE: Multiple organ dysfunction is a common cause of death in intensive care units. We describe the daily course of multiple organ dysfunction measured by the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score in a population-based cohort of critically ill patients. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Adult multisystem intensive care units in the Calgary Health Region. PATIENTS: A total of 1,436 patients admitted from May 1, 2000 to April 30, 2001. MEASUREMENTS: Temporal change in Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score. INTERVENTIONS: None; observational study. MAIN RESULTS: The mean age was 58 yrs (range, 14-100). The mean +/- sd intensive care unit admission Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score was 25 +/- 9. The median intensive care unit length of stay was 4 days (interquartile range, 2-8), and the median hospital length of stay was 15 days (interquartile range, 7-32). A total of 20.5% of patients were infected at admission, and 26.0% were immediately postoperative. Intensive care unit mortality was 27.0%, and hospital mortality was 35.1%. The daily Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score was significantly higher in nonsurvivors than survivors. A population-averaged model determined a mean rate of change of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score to be -0.29 per day (95% confidence interval, -0.32 to -0.25) for survivors and -0.03 per day (95% confidence interval, -0.08 to 0.03) for nonsurvivors (overall regression, p <.0001). Patients with infection had higher admission Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores compared with patients without infection (difference, 1.8; p <.001), but a similar rate of daily change. CONCLUSIONS: Multiple organ dysfunction, does not follow a course of progressive and sequential failure. Evidence of differential daily change should further inform the use of organ failure scores as surrogate outcomes in clinical trials.     

Evaluation of the logistic organ dysfunction system for the assessment of organ dysfunction and mortality in critically ill patients

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the performance of the logistic organ dysfunction (LOD) system for the assessment of morbidity and mortality in multiple organ dysfunction/failure (MOD/F) in an independent database and to evaluate the use of sequential LOD measurements for the prediction of outcome. DESIGN AND SETTING: Prospective, multicentric cohort study in 13 adult medical, surgical, and mixed intensive care units (ICUs) in Austria. PATIENTS: A total of 2,893 consecutive admissions to the ICUs. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Patient vital status at ICU and hospital discharge was recorded. Univariate analysis showed that the LOD was able to distinguish between survivors and nonsurvivors (2 vs. 6 median score). Within organ systems, higher levels of the severity of organ dysfunction were consistently associated with higher mortality. For the prediction of hospital mortality, the original prognostic LOD model did not perform well in our patients, as indicated by the goodness-of-fit C statistic. Using multiple logistic regression we developed a prognostic model with a satisfactory fit in our patients. The integration of further measurements during the ICU stay increased discrimination but not calibration. CONCLUSIONS: The LOD system is well correlated well with the numbers and levels of organ dysfunctions and discriminates well between survivors and nonsurvivors. It can thus be used to quantify the baseline severity of organ dysfunction. Moreover, after customization of the predictive equation the LOD predicted hospital mortality in our patients with high precision. It thus provides a combined measure of morbidity and mortality for critically ill patients with MOD/F.     

APCAP - activated protein C in acute pancreatitis: a double-blind randomized human pilot trial

Introduction  

Previous human studies have shown low activity of protein C (APC) in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). This, together with the findings in animal models, suggests that activated protein C (APC) may protect against pancreatic injury and ameliorate the disease. We, therefore, evaluated its effect on multiple organ dysfunction (MOD) measured by the SOFA (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) and on organ-failure-free days, and the safety of APC in SAP.