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Evaluation of two prognostic indices for adult T‐cell leukemia/lymphoma in the subtropical endemic area,Okinawa, Japan
Authors:Keita Tamaki  Satoko Morishima  Shogo Nomura  Yukiko Nishi  Sawako Nakachi  Sakiko Kitamura  Sachie Uchibori  Shouhei Tomori  Taeko Hanashiro  Natsuki Shimabukuro  Iori Tedokon  Kazuho Morichika  Naoya Taira  Takeaki Tomoyose  Takashi Miyagi  Kaori Karimata  Masayo Ohama  Atsushi Yamanoha  Kazumitsu Tamaki  Masaki Hayashi  Jun‐nosuke Uchihara  Kazuiku Ohshiro  Yoshitaka Asakura  Megumi Kuba‐Miyara  Kennosuke Karube  Takuya Fukushima  Hiroaki Masuzaki
Affiliation:1. Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Hematology and Rheumatology, Second Department of Internal Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, University of the Ryukyus, Nishihara, Japan;2. Clinical Research Support Office, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Kashiwa, Japan;3. Department of Hematology, Heartlife Hospital, Nakagusuku, Japan;4. Department of Hematology, Okinawa Prefectural Chubu Hospital, Uruma, Japan;5. Department of Hematology, Nakagami Hospital, Okinawa, Japan;6. Department of Hematology, Naha City Hospital, Naha, Japan;7. Department of Hematology, Okinawa Prefectural Nambu Medical Center and Children's Medical Center, Haebaru, Japan;8. Department of Hematology, Okinawa Red Cross Hospital, Naha, Japan;9. Laboratory of Hematoimmunology, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of the Ryukyus, Nishihara, Japan;10. Departments of Pathology and Cell Biology, Graduate School of Medicine, University of the Ryukyus, Nishihara, Japan
Abstract:Aggressive adult T‐cell leukemia/lymphoma (ATL) has an extremely poor prognosis and is hyperendemic in Okinawa, Japan. This study evaluated two prognostic indices (PIs) for aggressive ATL, the ATL‐PI and Japan Clinical Oncology Group (JCOG)‐PI, in a cohort from Okinawa. The PIs were originally developed using two different Japanese cohorts that included few patients from Okinawa. The endpoint was overall survival (OS). Multivariable Cox regression analyses in the cohort of 433 patients revealed that all seven factors for calculating each PI were statistically significant prognostic predictors. Three‐year OS rates for ATL‐PI were 35.9% (low‐risk, n = 66), 10.4% (intermediate‐risk, n = 256), and 1.6% (high‐risk, n = 111), and those for JCOG‐PI were 22.4% (moderate‐risk, n = 176) and 5.3% (high‐risk, n = 257). The JCOG‐PI moderate‐risk group included both the ATL‐PI low‐ and intermediate‐risk groups. ATL‐PI more clearly identified the low‐risk patient subgroup than JCOG‐PI. To evaluate the external validity of the two PIs, we also assessed prognostic discriminability among 159 patients who loosely met the eligibility criteria of a previous clinical trial. Three‐year OS rates for ATL‐PI were 34.5% (low‐risk, n = 42), 9.2% (intermediate‐risk, n = 109), and 12.5% (high‐risk, n = 8). Those for JCOG‐PI were 22.4% (moderate‐risk, n = 95) and 7.6% (high‐risk, n = 64). The low‐risk ATL‐PI group had a better prognosis than the JCOG‐PI moderate‐risk group, suggesting that ATL‐PI would be more useful than JCOG‐PI for establishing and examining novel treatment strategies for ATL patients with a better prognosis. In addition, strongyloidiasis, previously suggested to be associated with ATL‐related deaths in Okinawa, was not a prognostic factor in this study.
Keywords:adult T‐cell leukemia/lymphoma  ATL‐PI  JCOG‐PI  Okinawa  strongyloidiasis
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