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Penalized regression procedures for variable selection in the potential outcomes framework
Authors:Debashis Ghosh  Yeying Zhu  Donna L. Coffman
Affiliation:1. Department of Biostatistics and Informatics, Colorado School of Public Health, Aurora, CO, U.S.A.;2. Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada;3. Methodology Center, Penn State University, University Park, PA, U.S.A.
Abstract:A recent topic of much interest in causal inference is model selection. In this article, we describe a framework in which to consider penalized regression approaches to variable selection for causal effects. The framework leads to a simple ‘impute, then select’ class of procedures that is agnostic to the type of imputation algorithm as well as penalized regression used. It also clarifies how model selection involves a multivariate regression model for causal inference problems and that these methods can be applied for identifying subgroups in which treatment effects are homogeneous. Analogies and links with the literature on machine learning methods, missing data, and imputation are drawn. A difference least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm is defined, along with its multiple imputation analogs. The procedures are illustrated using a well‐known right‐heart catheterization dataset. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keywords:average causal effect  counterfactual  imputed data  L1 penalty  treatment heterogeneity
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