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Forecasting the behavior of multivariate time series using neural networks
Authors:Kanad Chakraborty  Kishan Mehrotra  Chilukuri K Mohan  Sanjay Ranka
Institution:

Syracuse University, USA

Abstract:This paper presents a neural network approach to multivariate time-series analysis. Real world observations of flour prices in three cities have been used as a benchmark in our experiments. Feedforward connectionist networks have been designed to model flour prices over the period from August 1972 to November 1980 for the cities of Buffalo, Minneapolis, and Kansas City. Remarkable success has been achieved in training the networks to learn the price curve for each of these cities and in making accurate price predictions. Our results show that the neural network approach is a leading contender with the statistical modeling approaches.
Keywords:Neural networks  Back propagation  Multivariate time-series  Statistical models  Training  One-lag prediction  Multi-lag prediction  Combined modeling  Forecasting
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