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| 人工神经网络模型用于分析气候因素对白纹伊蚊密度影响的初步探讨 | |
| 引用本文： | 于德宪,林立丰,罗雷,周文,高璐璐,陈清,俞守义.人工神经网络模型用于分析气候因素对白纹伊蚊密度影响的初步探讨[J].南方医科大学学报,2010,30(7):1604. |
| 作者姓名： | 于德宪 林立丰 罗雷 周文 高璐璐 陈清 俞守义 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 南方医科大学公共卫生与热带医学学院流行病系,广东,广州,510515;广州军区疾病预防控制中心,广东,广州,510507 2. 广东省疾病预防控制中心,广东,广州,510300 3. 广州市疾病预防控制中心,广东,广州,510080 4. 南方医科大学公共卫生与热带医学学院流行病系,广东,广州,510515 |
| 基金项目： | 教育部博士学科点专项科研基金，广州市医药卫生科技重大项目 |
| 摘 要： | 目的 建立人工神经网络预测模型,分析气候因素对白纹伊蚊密度的影响.方法 利用Matlab 7.0软件中的神经网络模块,用广州市1995～2001年各月的平均气压、平均气温、平均相对湿度、平均绝对湿度、平均蒸发量、平均降雨量、日照时间、平均风速等气候数据与白纹伊蚊等级数据建立误差反向传播网络预测模型,并对模型进行验证.结果 神经网络经25次学习和训练,误差从0.305539下降至2.93751×10-14,通过建立的基于气候因素的神经网络模型对白纹伊蚊密度进行预测,其预测符合率为80%.结论 基于气候因素的人工神经网络方法用于预测登革热媒介白纹伊蚊密度是可行的. |
| 关 键 词： | 登革热 白纹伊蚊 气候因素 人工神经网络模型 |
Establishment of an artificial neural network model for analysis of the influence of climate factors on the density of Aedes albopictus |
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| YU De-xian,LIN Li-feng,LUO Lei,ZHOU Wen,GAO Lu-lu,CHEN Qing,Yu Shou-yi.Establishment of an artificial neural network model for analysis of the influence of climate factors on the density of Aedes albopictus[J].Journal of Southern Medical University,2010,30(7):1604. | |
| Authors: | YU De-xian LIN Li-feng LUO Lei ZHOU Wen GAO Lu-lu CHEN Qing Yu Shou-yi |
| Institution: | YU De-xian1,2,LIN Li-feng3,LUO Lei4,ZHOU Wen1,GAO Lu-lu1,CHEN Qing1,Yu Shou-yi1 1Department of Epidemiology,School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine,Southern Medical University,Guangzhou 510515,China,2Guangzhou Military Centre for Disease Control and Prevention,Guangzhou 510507,3Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Guangzhou 510300,4Guangzhou Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Guangzhou 510080 |
| Abstract: | Objective To establish a model for predicting the density of Aedes albopictus based on the climate factors. Methods The data of Aedes albopictus density and climate changes from 1995 to 2001 in Guangzhou were collected and analyzed. The predicting model for Aedes albopictus density was established using the Artificial Neural Network Toolbox of Matlab 7.0 software package. The climate factors used to establish the model included the average monthly pressure, evaporation capacity, relative humidity, sunshine ... |
| Keywords: | Dengue fever Aedes albopictus climate factor artificial neural network model |
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