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COVID-19: A year later: Rapid disappearance of influenza following the implementation of COVID-19 mitigation measures in Hamilton,Ontario
Authors:Kevin Zhang  Avika Misra  Patrick J Kim  Seyed M Moghadas  Joanne M Langley  Marek Smieja
Institution:1.Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON;2.Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON;3.Department of Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON;4.Agent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, ON;5.Canadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, IWK Health Centre and Nova Scotia Health Authority, Halifax, NS;6.St. Joseph’s Healthcare Hamilton, Hamilton, ON
Abstract:BackgroundPublic health measures, such as physical distancing and closure of schools and non-essential services, were rapidly implemented in Canada to interrupt the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We sought to investigate the impact of mitigation measures during the spring wave of COVID-19 on the incidence of other laboratory-confirmed respiratory viruses in Hamilton, Ontario.MethodsAll nasopharyngeal swab specimens (n=57,503) submitted for routine respiratory virus testing at a regional laboratory serving all acute-care hospitals in Hamilton between January 2010 and June 2020 were reviewed. Testing for influenza A and B, respiratory syncytial virus, human metapneumovirus, parainfluenza I–III, adenovirus, and rhinovirus/enterovirus was done routinely using a laboratory-developed polymerase chain reaction multiplex respiratory viral panel. A Bayesian linear regression model was used to determine the trend of positivity rates of all influenza samples for the first 26 weeks of each year from 2010 to 2019. The mean positivity rate of Bayesian inference was compared with the weekly reported positivity rate of influenza samples in 2020.ResultsThe positivity rate of influenza in 2020 diminished sharply following the population-wide implementation of COVID-19 interventions. Weeks 12–26 reported 0% positivity for influenza, with the exception of 0.1% reported in week 13.ConclusionPublic health measures implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic were associated with a reduced incidence of other respiratory viruses and should be considered to mitigate severe seasonal influenza and other respiratory virus pandemics.
Keywords:COVID-19  influenza  testing  public health interventions  Canada
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