| 发达国家与中国老年人口主要死因别死亡率的水平及趋势分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 林汉生,林琼芳.发达国家与中国老年人口主要死因别死亡率的水平及趋势分析[J].中国卫生统计,1992,9(2):3-6. |
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| 作者姓名： | 林汉生 林琼芳 |
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| 作者单位： | 暨南大学医学院附属医院，同济医科大学 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文以65～74岁年龄组死因结构代表老年人口的死亡模式,对9个发达国家的重要死因别死亡率(1969～1985年)进行了时间序列的自相关分析,并将中国城市、农村地区的相应死因资料(1973～1975年和1987年)与之对比。主要死因别死亡率的时间序列特征归纳为3种:随机性、稳态性和非稳态性(非稳态性又可根据其决定系数分为线性和非线性变化)。
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| 关 键 词： | 死亡率 时间序列 老年人口 |
Mortality Patterns and Trends among the Elderly between Developed Countries and China |
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| Lin Hansheng,Overseas Chinese Hospital Affiliated to Medical College of Jinan University,Guangzhou,Lin Qiongfang,Tongji Medical University,Wuhan.Mortality Patterns and Trends among the Elderly between Developed Countries and China[J].Chinese Journal of Health Statistics,1992,9(2):3-6. |
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| Authors: | Lin Hansheng Overseas Chinese Hospital Affiliated to Medical College of Jinan University Guangzhou Lin Qiongfang Tongji Medical University Wuhan |
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| Abstract: | The cause-structure of mortality within the
age group 65-74 is taken as indicative of mor-
tality patterns among the elderly in this paper.
It is emphasized to present the features of time
series of rate of leading causes of death from
1969 to 1985 in 9 developed countries by self-
correlation analysis, and to compair correspon-
ding mortality data (1973-1975 and 1987)in ur-
ban and rural areas of China with 9 developed
countries'. The features of time series of rate
of leading causes of death are concluded three
types:random, stable and non-stable which can
be classified linear and non-linear changes ac-
cording to their determinate coefficients. |
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| Keywords: | Mortality Time series Self-correlation analysis The elderly |
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