| 基于前瞻性时空重排扫描统计量的传染病早期预警系统 |
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| 引用本文： | 殷菲,冯子健,李晓松,马家奇.基于前瞻性时空重排扫描统计量的传染病早期预警系统[J].卫生研究,2007,36(4):455-458. |
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| 作者姓名： | 殷菲 冯子健 李晓松 马家奇 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 四川大学华西公共卫生学院卫生统计学教研室,成都610041
2. 中国疾病预防控制中心 |
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| 摘 要： | 目的探索前瞻性时空重排扫描统计量在传染病早期预警中的应用。方法模拟实时监测系统,采用前瞻性时空重排扫描统计量对成都市2005年麻疹病例数据进行逐日前瞻性分析。结果前瞻性时空重排扫描统计量能早期探测到传染病的爆发。结论利用前瞻性时空重排扫描统计量结合地理信息软件建立的早期预警系统,能有效地对传染病爆发做出早期预警。
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| 关 键 词： | 传染病监测 聚集性探测 时空聚集性 传染病 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-8020（2007）04-0455-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-03-08 |
The early warning system based on the prospective space-time permutation statistic |
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| YIN Fei,LI Xiaosong,MA Jiaqi,FENG Zijian.The early warning system based on the prospective space-time permutation statistic[J].Journal of Hygiene Research,2007,36(4):455-458. |
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| Authors: | YIN Fei LI Xiaosong MA Jiaqi FENG Zijian |
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| Institution: | West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China |
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| Abstract: | Objective To investigate the application of prospective permutation space-time scan statistic in the early detection of infectious disease outbreaks. Methods The prospective permutation space-time scan statistic was tested by mimicking daily prospective analyses of measles data of Chengdu city in 2005, Results The prospective space-time permutation scan statistic could timely detect the outbreaks that start locally, Conclusion The early warning system based on prospective space-time permutation scan statistic and geographical information system could work efficiently. |
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| Keywords: | infectious disease surveillance cluster detection space-time clustering |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
