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2010年茌平县手足口病空间自相关分析
引用本文:袁加海.2010年茌平县手足口病空间自相关分析[J].预防医学文献信息,2012(10):740-742.
作者姓名:袁加海
作者单位:茌平县疾病预防控制中心,山东茌平252100
摘    要:目的]运用空间自相关分析研究2010年茌平县手足口病(Handfootandmouthdisease,HFMD)空间分布情况,为手足口病的防治提供科学的依据。方法]利用2010年茌平县手足口病资料计算出手足口病发病率;利用地理信息系统ArcGIS10软件进行全局和局部空间自相关分析。结果]2010年茌平县手足口病发病率存在空间自相关。全局空间自相关Moran'sⅠ=0.38,Z=2.46,P=0.01〈0.05。局部空间自相关分析结果显示温陈乡、信发街道办事处、振兴街道办事处具有一定的聚集性。结论]2010年茌平县手足口病空间分布不是随机分布,而是具有一定的聚集性。

关 键 词:空间自相关  手足口病  空间分布  Moran's  

Spatial Autocorrelation Analysis on HFMD, Chiping County, 2 010
YUAN Jia-hai.Spatial Autocorrelation Analysis on HFMD, Chiping County, 2 010[J].Liferatue and Information On Preventine Medicine,2012(10):740-742.
Authors:YUAN Jia-hai
Institution:YUAN Jia-hai. (Chiping County Center for Dis- ease Control and Prevention, Chiping , 252100, Shandong , China)
Abstract:Objective]To explore and analyze the spatial distribution of HFMD in Chiping county, 2010.Methods]The incidence of HFMD was calculated,and the global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis was made by using the soft ware Arc GIS10. Results]The incidence was clustered in Chiping county, 2010, with Moran's index as 0.71, and score as 12.08 and P value below 0.05. Local spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed several townships had cluster such as Wenchen township,Xinfa district and Zhenxing district. Conclusion]The spatial distribution of HFMD in Chiping city is not in random but cluster distribution.
Keywords:Spatial autocorrelation analysis  HFMD  Spatial distribution  Moraffs Ⅰ
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