2022年12月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估

  目的   评估2022年12月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。  方法   根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息，采用专家会商法，并通过视频会议形式邀请省（自治区、直辖市）疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。  结果   预计12月突发公共卫生事件报告数将较11月上升。 我国主要将面临调整新型冠状病毒肺炎防控措施后疫情快速传播扩散及医疗服务需求激增的风险。 预计今冬明春南北方省份可能会出现季节性流感高发期，多个型别和亚型共同流行。 随着气温降低，12月非职业性一氧化碳中毒事件可能较11月增多。  结论   对新型冠状病毒肺炎予以特别关注，对季节性流感和非职业性一氧化碳中毒予以一般关注。

Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China,December 2022

  Objective   To assess the risk of public health emergencies occurring in mainland China or possibly imported from outside China in December 2022.   Methods   Based on various data and departmental notification information on domestic and foreign public health emergencies reports and surveillance of key infectious diseases, the expert consultation method was used and experts from provincial (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government) centers for disease prevention and control were invited to participate in the assessment by video conference.   Results   The number of reported public health emergencies is expected to rise in December compared to November. China will mainly face the risk of rapid spread and spread of the epidemic and surge in demand for medical services after adjusting preventive and control measures for the new crown pneumonia. A high seasonal influenza outbreak with multiple types and subtypes co-prevalent is expected to occur in the southern and northern provinces this winter and spring. With lower temperatures, the number of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning events may increase in December compared to November.   Conclusions   Special attention is given to novel coronavirus pneumonia, and general attention is given to seasonal influenza and nonoccupational carbon monoxide poisoning.