血浆N末端B型钠尿肽前体对重症患者预后的预测价值研究

目的 探讨入重症监护病房(ICU)时血浆N末端B型钠尿肽前体(NT-pro-BNP)水平是否是预测重症患者预后的独立因子.方法 采用前瞻性、单中心、观察性研究方法.选择6个月内入本院ICU＞18岁的120例患者,最终有88例患者符合试验要求.血浆NT-pro-BNP样本在进入ICU时收集;计算进入ICU后24 h内急性生理学与慢性健康状况评分系统Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ)的最差值;入ICU后28 d患者生存状态为预测终点.结果 入ICU 28 d死亡35例,病死率为39.8%.88例患者血浆NT-pro-BNP水平(ng/L)为1221.7(78.7～5 500.0),生存组明显低于死亡组781.8(78.7～5 066.6)比2 774.5(166.8～5 500.0),P＜0.01].男性NT-pro-BNP水平(ng/L)高于女性1 585.5(103.7～5 100.0)比794.5(78.7～5 500.0),P＜0.05];性别与NT-pro-BNP水平有相关性(r=-0.224,P＜0.05).进入ICU时重度感染患者NT-pro-BNP水平(ng/L)较其他患者更高3 416.1(103.7～5 100.0)比883.4(78.7～5 500.0),P＜0.01];入ICU时是否存在重度感染与NT-pro-BNP水平有相关性(r=0.285,P＜0.01).NT-pro-BNP和APACHE Ⅱ评分的受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)下面积分别为0.73495%可信区间(95%CI)0.628～0.840]和0.747(95%CI0.637～0.858).Logistic回归分析显示:入ICU时NT-pro-BNP水平＞1 418 ng/L和APACHE Ⅱ评分均可作为28 d生存状态预测的独立因子相对比值比(OR)5.235,95%CI 1.819～15.071;OR 1.105,95%CI1.819～15.071].以入ICU时NT-pro-BNP最佳临界值1 418 ng/L为分界点进行生存分析,高于此值者生存率比低于此值者低(x2=16.9,P＜0.01).结论 入ICU时血浆NT-pro-BNP＞1 418 ng/L和APACHE Ⅱ评分可作为重症患者短期生存状态的预测因子;NT-pro-BNP值可能用来诊断或者鉴别重度感染患者.

Abstract：

Objective To investigate whether plasma N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP)as measured at admission to intensive care unit(ICU)is an independent predictor of mortality in critically ill patients. Methods A prospective observational study of patients in ICU was conducted. One hundred and twenty patients aged＞18 years were included during a 6-month period. Among them 88 patients were enrolled for the study. Plasma NT-pro-BNP samples were obtained at admission to ICU. The acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ)score was calculated within 24hours after admission based on the worst values up to that point. The final evaluation was 28-day mortality.Results Thirty-five patients died within 28 days of ICU admission, the mortality was 39. 8%. In 88 patients, the mean plasma NT-pro-BNP levels(ng/L)were 1 221.7(78.7- 5 500.0), and that in survivor group was significantly lower than non-survivor group781.8(78. 7 - 5 066. 6)vs. 2 774. 5(166.8 - 5 500.0), P＜0.01]. The mean NT-pro-BNP level(ng/L)in male patients was higher than that in females1 585. 5(103.7 - 5 100. 0)vs. 794. 5(78. 7 - 5 500. 0), P＜0. 05]. There was correlation between gender and NT-pro-BNP levels(r=-0. 224, P＜0. 05). Patients admitted to the ICU because of a severe infection had higher levels of NT-pro-BNP(ng/L)compared with the rest of the cohorts3 416.1(103. 7 -5 100.0)vs. 883. 4(78. 7 - 5 500. 0), P＜0.01]. There was correlation between severe infection at admission to ICU and NT-pro-BNP levels(r=0. 285, P＜0. 01). Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves(ROC curves)of NT-pro-BNP and APACHE I score were 0. 73495% confidence interval(95%CI)0. 628 - 0. 840]and 0. 747(95%CI 0. 637 - 0. 858), respectively. Logistic regression analysis showed that the NT-pro-BNP level ＞ 1 418 ng/L and the APACHE I score were independently associated with 28-day mortalityodds ratio(OR)5.235, 95%CI 1.819- 15.071; OR 1.105, 95%CI 1.819- 15.071]. WithI 418 ng/L of NT-pro-BNP as the cutoff value, survival rate was significantly lower in the patients with higher NT-pro-BNP level as compared with those with lower values at admission(x2= 16.9, P＜0. 01).Conclusion The ICU NT-pro-BNP level higher than 1 418 ng/L and APACHE Ⅱ score at admission are independent prognosis markers of early mortality. NT-pro-BNP might serve as a potent early diagnostic and prognostic marker in critically ill patients.

Prognostic value of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide in critically ill patients

Objective To investigate whether plasma N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP)as measured at admission to intensive care unit(ICU)is an independent predictor of mortality in critically ill patients. Methods A prospective observational study of patients in ICU was conducted. One hundred and twenty patients aged＞18 years were included during a 6-month period. Among them 88 patients were enrolled for the study. Plasma NT-pro-BNP samples were obtained at admission to ICU. The acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ)score was calculated within 24hours after admission based on the worst values up to that point. The final evaluation was 28-day mortality.Results Thirty-five patients died within 28 days of ICU admission, the mortality was 39. 8%. In 88 patients, the mean plasma NT-pro-BNP levels(ng/L)were 1 221.7(78.7- 5 500.0), and that in survivor group was significantly lower than non-survivor group781.8(78. 7 - 5 066. 6)vs. 2 774. 5(166.8 - 5 500.0), P＜0.01]. The mean NT-pro-BNP level(ng/L)in male patients was higher than that in females1 585. 5(103.7 - 5 100. 0)vs. 794. 5(78. 7 - 5 500. 0), P＜0. 05]. There was correlation between gender and NT-pro-BNP levels(r=-0. 224, P＜0. 05). Patients admitted to the ICU because of a severe infection had higher levels of NT-pro-BNP(ng/L)compared with the rest of the cohorts3 416.1(103. 7 -5 100.0)vs. 883. 4(78. 7 - 5 500. 0), P＜0.01]. There was correlation between severe infection at admission to ICU and NT-pro-BNP levels(r=0. 285, P＜0. 01). Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves(ROC curves)of NT-pro-BNP and APACHE I score were 0. 73495% confidence interval(95%CI)0. 628 - 0. 840]and 0. 747(95%CI 0. 637 - 0. 858), respectively. Logistic regression analysis showed that the NT-pro-BNP level ＞ 1 418 ng/L and the APACHE I score were independently associated with 28-day mortalityodds ratio(OR)5.235, 95%CI 1.819- 15.071; OR 1.105, 95%CI 1.819- 15.071]. WithI 418 ng/L of NT-pro-BNP as the cutoff value, survival rate was significantly lower in the patients with higher NT-pro-BNP level as compared with those with lower values at admission(x2= 16.9, P＜0. 01).Conclusion The ICU NT-pro-BNP level higher than 1 418 ng/L and APACHE Ⅱ score at admission are independent prognosis markers of early mortality. NT-pro-BNP might serve as a potent early diagnostic and prognostic marker in critically ill patients.