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| 我国结核病发病情况季节性分析 | |
| 引用本文： | 汪文新,刘晋洪,赵梅桂,张磊,曹世义,章能华,卢祖洵. 我国结核病发病情况季节性分析[J]. 现代预防医学, 2012, 39(15): 3773-3774,3777 |
| 作者姓名： | 汪文新 刘晋洪 赵梅桂 张磊 曹世义 章能华 卢祖洵 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 江苏大学工商管理学院公共事业管理系,江苏镇江,212013 2. 深圳市宝安区慢性病防治院 3. 华中科技大学同济医学院公共卫生学院 |
| 基金项目： | “十一五”国家科技重大专项课题“宝安区防治结核病规模化现场流行病学和干预研究”(2009ZX10003-018);“十一五”国家科技重大专项课题“湖北省结核病防治规模化现场流行病学和干预研究”(2009ZX10003-019)资助 |
| 摘 要： | 目的 对我国结核病发病情况进行季节性分析.方法 采用改进的圆形分布法和季节变动分析法对我国结核病发病情况进行分析.结果 结核病1～12月份的季节指数分别为:77.90％、79.40％、119.70％、120.20％、110.80％、111.50％、106.50％、104.40％、95.90％、88.20％、91.90％、93.50％.3～8月份是我国结核病的高发月份,高峰期为4月7日～6月1日.结论 采用改进的圆形分布法得出的结核病季节性发病规律,具有较强的实用性,可有效的指导结核病防治工作,相关方法也可供其他地区及其他传染病研究参考. |
| 关 键 词： | 结核病 圆形分布法 改进 季节变动分析 |
Seasonal analysis of the incidence of tuberculosis in China |
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| WANG Wen-xing , LIU Jin-hong , ZHAO Mei-gui , ZHANG Lei , CAO Shi-yi , ZHANG Neng-hua , LU Zu-xun. Seasonal analysis of the incidence of tuberculosis in China[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2012, 39(15): 3773-3774,3777 | |
| Authors: | WANG Wen-xing LIU Jin-hong ZHAO Mei-gui ZHANG Lei CAO Shi-yi ZHANG Neng-hua LU Zu-xun |
| Affiliation: | . College of Business Administration of Jiangsu University,Zhenjiang,Jiangsu 212013,China |
| Abstract: | OBJECTIVE To analyze the seasonal trend of the incidence of tuberculosis in China.METHODS Modified circular distribution method and a seasonal variation analysis method were applied.RESULTS The seasonal indexes of tuberculosis from January to December were respectively 77.90%,79.40%,119.70%,120.20%,110.80%,111.50%,106.50%,104.40%,95.90%,88.20%,91.90%,and 93.50%.From March until June was the high-frequency time of tuberculosis in China and the peak period was from April 7 to June 1.CONCLUSION The seasonal incidence of TB in the modified circular distribution method is strongly applicable and can effectively guide the work of tuberculosis prevention and control.Related methods are also available for other regions and other infectious diseases. |
| Keywords: | Tuberculosis Circular distribution method Improve Analysis of seasonal variation |
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