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分层随机抽样方法估计湖南省洪江区吸毒人群规模研究
引用本文:郑军,陈曦,尹逊强,蒲洪波,潘虎,吕繁.分层随机抽样方法估计湖南省洪江区吸毒人群规模研究[J].实用预防医学,2005,12(6):1287-1288.
作者姓名:郑军  陈曦  尹逊强  蒲洪波  潘虎  吕繁
作者单位:1. 湖南省疾病预防控制中心,湖南,长沙,410005
2. 中南大学公共卫生学院
3. 湖南省怀化市洪江区卫生防疫站
4. 中国性病艾滋病预防控制中心
基金项目:卫生部科技司2002年度“艾滋病防治应用性研究”(编号:WA2002-03-01)
摘    要:目的 估计怀化市洪江区吸毒人群中HIV感染情况,为今后预测该地与吸毒相关情况服务。方法 应用Poison分布期望值可信限表,确定样本大小。应用最优分配分层随机抽样方法确定调查点。采用访谈方式获得数据,估计吸毒总人数。采用当年在所监测的感染率推算感染人数。结果 最优分配随机分层抽样调查共调查1388人,发现吸毒人员24人,占1.73%;洪江区总人口为72709人,估计总吸毒人数1258人。结论 该方法可以满足对吸毒人数的估计。

关 键 词:吸毒  Poisson分布  最优分配分层随机抽样  艾滋病病毒感染
文章编号:1006-3110(2005)06-1287-02
收稿时间:2005-06-26
修稿时间:2005年6月26日

Estimating the Number of Drug Abusers in Hongjiang, Hunan by Optimum Allocation Stratified Randomized Sampling Survey
ZHENG Jun , CHEN Xi , YIN Xun - qiang ,et al..Estimating the Number of Drug Abusers in Hongjiang, Hunan by Optimum Allocation Stratified Randomized Sampling Survey[J].Practical Preventive Medicine,2005,12(6):1287-1288.
Authors:ZHENG Jun  CHEN Xi  YIN Xun - qiang  
Institution:Hunan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Changsha 410005, Hunan
Abstract:Objective To estimate the number of drug abusers in Hongjiang of Huaihua City and to plan the required services. Methods The number of samples and the sites for survey were calculated according to the optimum allocation stratified randomized sampling survey poisson distribution suspected confidence interval.A questionnaire was designed and direct interview was used to collect the communiy-based data of drug abusers. Results A total of 1,388 persons were interviewed in the communities,24(1.73%) were drug abusers based on communities with the optimum allocation stratified randomized sampling survey.The total number of population in Hongjiang is 72,709 and the estimated number of drug abusers should be 1,258. Conclusion The method is satisfactory in estimation of the number of the drug abusers.
Keywords:Drug abuser  Poisson distribution  Optimum allocation stratified randomized sampling survey  HIV infection
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