|
|||||
|
|
| 长乐县胃癌死亡率时间序列分析及预测 | |
| 引用本文： | 吴彬 罗仁夏. 长乐县胃癌死亡率时间序列分析及预测[J]. 现代预防医学, 1995, 22(2): 108-109,105 |
| 作者姓名： | 吴彬 罗仁夏 |
| 作者单位： | 福建医学院卫生统计教研室，福州医学高等专科学校 |
| 摘 要： | 本文对长乐县１９８２－１９９３年胃癌死亡率进行时间序列分析，表明长乐县男女性胃癌死亡率均呈下降趋势。应用灰色系统ＧＭ（１，１）模型对１９９４－１９９８年长乐县胃癌死亡率进行预测，男性胃癌死亡率将逐年明显下降，女性变动不大。 |
| 关 键 词： | 时间序列分析 预测 死亡率 胃肿瘤 |
ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE DEATH RATE OF THE STOMACH CANCER IN CHANGLE COUNTY |
|
| Wu Bin,. ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE DEATH RATE OF THE STOMACH CANCER IN CHANGLE COUNTY[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 1995, 22(2): 108-109,105 | |
| Authors: | Wu Bin |
| Abstract: | An analysis of time series on the death rate of stomach cancer from 1982 to 1993 in Changle county Fujian province,has been carried out. The result shows that the death rate of the stomachcancer in men was declining markedly, the death rate of the stomach cancer in women was stable relatively. Author forecasts the death rate of the stomach cancer with GM(1, 1) model.The death rate of the stomach cancer in men from 1994 to 1998 will decrease yearly. |
| Keywords: | Stomach Cancer Analysis of Time Series GM(1 1) Model Forecast |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ | |