重症急性胰腺炎死亡的高危因素分析

目的探讨与重症急性胰腺炎（SAP）死亡相关的高危因素。方法回顾性分析2001年1月至2005年10月收治的141例SAP患者的临床资料。将患者分为死亡组和生存组,对可能影响SAP预后的15个因素采用Logistic回归分析。结果141例SAP患者中死亡34例（24．1％）。死亡组患者在年龄、体重指数、住院时间、APACHEⅡ评分和并发多器官功能障碍综合征（MODS）、腹腔室隔综合征（ACS）等方面与生存组相比差异有统计学意义（P〈0．05）。多因素分析显示,MODS（OR=67．358,P〈0．01）、APACHEII评分（OR=9．716,P〈0．01）和ACS（OR=5．775,P〈0．05）是早期影响SAP预后的独立危险因素;胰腺感染（OR=9．652,P〈0．01）、MODS（OR=5．212,P〈0．05）和腹腔出血（OR=4．707,P〈0．05）则是后期影响SAP预后的独立危险因素。结论SAP早期死亡的主要原因是MODS,特别是呼吸功能障碍和肾功能障碍,而后期死亡的主要原因是感染、MODS和腹腔出血。对高危因素进行早期预防和及时处理是降低SAP病死率的关键。

Analysis of fatal risk factors for severe acute pancreatitis: a report of 141 cases

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the risk factors affecting the mortality of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). METHODS: The clinical data of 141 patients with SAP treated from January 2001 to October 2005 were analyzed retrospectively. All the patients were divided into 2 groups, the death group and the survival group. Fifteen potential factors influencing the prognosis of SAP were analyzed with Logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Thirty-four cases (24.1%) among the 141 patients died. There were significant differences between the two groups in age, body mass index, length of stay, APACHE II score, multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) and abdominal compartment syndrome (ACS) (P < 0.05). Multiple-factor Logistic regression analysis indicated that the MODS (OR = 67. 358, P < 0.01), APACHE II score (OR =9.716, P < 0.01) and ACS (OR = 5.775, P < 0.05) were the independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of SAP during its early stage, whereas pancreatic infection (OR = 9.652, P < 0.01), MODS (OR = 5.212, P < 0.05) and celiac hemorrhage (OR = 4.707, P < 0.05) were the independent risk factors during the advanced stage of SAP. CONCLUSIONS: MODS,especially respiratory dysfunction and renal dysfunction,is the main cause of early mortality for SAP, whereas infection, multiple organ dysfunction and celiac hemorrhage may impact the later mortality. Therefore early prevention and correct management on the risk factors play critical roles in reducing the mortality of SAP.