|
|||||
|
|
| 防治过程中血吸虫病流行趋势预测方法研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 王谦,肖永富,蒋朝东,钟大发,魏继炳,董永超. 防治过程中血吸虫病流行趋势预测方法研究[J]. 寄生虫病与感染性疾病, 1999, 0(3) |
| 作者姓名： | 王谦 肖永富 蒋朝东 钟大发 魏继炳 董永超 |
| 作者单位： | 四川省寄生虫病防治研究所!成都610041(王谦，肖永富，蒋朝东，魏继炳)，四川省医学科学院!成都6100313(钟大发)，四川省地方病防治办公室!成都610041(董永超) |
| 摘 要： | 用多种预测方法处理四川省世行贷款血吸虫病防治项目调查、监测的人群血吸虫病感染资料，预测近期防治过程中血吸虫病流行趋势，认为以移动平均数法预测的结果较满意，反映了防治过程中血吸虫病流行变动规律。预测结果表明，近期血吸虫病流行将呈小幅波动、缓慢上升趋势。建议应调整、完善防治策略，加强防治力度，才能巩固、发展防治成效 |
| 关 键 词： | 血吸虫病 防治过程 预测方法 移动平均数法 |
PREDICTION VALUE OF HUMAN SCHISTOSOMIASIS INFECTION RATE IN DIFFERENT ENDEMIC VILLAGES IN SICHUAN CALCULATED BY MOVING AVERAGE METHOD |
|
| Wang Qian ,Xiao Yongfu ,Jiang Chaodong ,Zhong Dafa ,Wei Jibing ,Dong Yongchao . Sichuan Institute of Parasitic Diseases,Chengdu . Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences,Chengdu . Office of Endemic Diseases,Leading Gro. PREDICTION VALUE OF HUMAN SCHISTOSOMIASIS INFECTION RATE IN DIFFERENT ENDEMIC VILLAGES IN SICHUAN CALCULATED BY MOVING AVERAGE METHOD[J]. Parastoses and Infectious Diseases, 1999, 0(3) | |
| Authors: | Wang Qian Xiao Yongfu Jiang Chaodong Zhong Dafa Wei Jibing Dong Yongchao . Sichuan Institute of Parasitic Diseases Chengdu . Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences Chengdu . Office of Endemic Diseases Leading Gro |
| Affiliation: | Wang Qian 1,Xiao Yongfu 1,Jiang Chaodong 1,Zhong Dafa 2,Wei Jibing 1,Dong Yongchao 3 1. Sichuan Institute of Parasitic Diseases,Chengdu 610041 2. Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences,Chengdu 610031 3. Office of Endemic Diseases,Leading Gro |
| Abstract: | After several prediction methods being used and compared, moving average method has been applied for pre estimating the human schistosomiasis infection rate in villages of different endemic zones in Sichuan from 1999 to 2001. The results showed that the prevalence level would be increasing slowly with small fluctuations. It is suggested by the authors that the control strategy in Sichuan needs to be adjusted so as to improve the control effetiveness in the coming future. |
| Keywords: | Schistosomiasis control program moving average method |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ | |