Pre-induction sonographic assessment of the cervix in the prediction of successful induction of labour in nulliparous women

OBJECTIVE: To compare the efficacy of ultrasonographic cervical assessment with Bishop score before induction of labour in predicting the success of labour induction in nulliparous women. METHODS: This is a prospective study conducted in 138 women who underwent cervical assessment with transvaginal sonography followed by digital cervical assessment using Bishop score before induction of labour. Ultrasonographic parameters evaluated were cervical length, posterior cervical angle and funnelling were blinded to the managing physicians. Statistical analysis was carried out using Mann-Whitney test, chi2 test, receiver operating characteristics curves and logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Induction of labour was successful in 106 (76.8%) of the women. Multiple logistic regression analysis demonstrated cervical length and posterior cervical angle assessed by transvaginal sonography as independent predictors of successful outcome after induction of labour. Neither Bishop score nor its individual parameters were found to be significant in the regression analysis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for cervical length and posterior cervical angle was greater than that of the Bishop score in predicting a successful labour induction. The best cut-off point for the parameters in receiver operating characteristics curve was 3.0 cm for cervical length and 100 degrees for posterior cervical angle. Cervical length of 3.0 cm had a sensitivity of 84.9%, and a specificity of 90.6% and a posterior cervical angle of 100 degrees with 65% and 72%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Transvaginal sonographic assessment of cervical length and posterior cervical angle is better than conventional Bishop score in predicting successful labour induction in nulliparous women.