Validity of a postal questionnaire with regard to the prevalence of myocardial infarction in a general population sample

In order to evaluate the possibility of finding persons whohave suffered a myocardial infarction (MI) by postal questionnaire,a self-administered questionnaire was sent to a random sampleof 4400 men aged 45–64 years, drawn from the general population.The response rate was 95%. 176 men indicated that they had beenhospitalized for MI, out of which 124 cases could be verifiedfrom medical records. Of the remaining men, 33 had evidenceof cardiovascular disease (CVD) in their records but no MI,and 19 men had no evidence of CVD. The sensitivity (estimatedfrom a subsample) was 100% and the specificity 98.7%. The predictivevalue was 100% for a negative response and 70.5% for a positiveresponse. The 33 positive responders whose MI could not be verified butwho had evidence of CVD had characteristics fairly similar tothe responders with verified Mis. However, the 19 positive responderswhose MI could not be verified and who had no evidence of CVDhad characteristics that were dissimilar from the MI group aswell as from the negative responders. The questionnaire thus identified all the MI cases. The needfor validation can be limited to the relatively small groupof positive responders.