卫勤力量优化部署机制与应用研究

本研究针对卫勤力量部署优化机制的理论难点和快速决策的应用重点问题,运用文献归纳法、专家咨询法和系统分析建立卫勘力量优化部署要素与优化决策逻辑模型,采用线性规划、整数规划、层次分析法、ARIMA-BP神经网络模型以及系统动力学等方法,构建各类卫勤力量优化部署模型,揭示了卫勤力量优化部署的内在特点与规律,综合地理信息系统、数据库技术、软件工程与决策支持系统等技术,研制卫勤力量优化部署决策支持系统与卫勤指挥作业箱,实现了不确定条件下卫勤力量部署快速决策的理论模型、信息化软件和装备工具系列成果,为多样化军事任务卫勤高效保障提供了理论依据,拓展了卫勤循证决策的研究领域.

Research on mechanism and application of optimal disposition of military health service forces

Based on the theoretical difficulties and application of rapid decision-making in mechanism of optimal disposition of military health service forces,we established the logic model of optimal disposition factors of military health service forces and optimal decision-making using literature reviewing,expert consulting,and systemic analysis; we also established the optimal disposition model of military health service forces using linear programming,autoregressive integrated moving average and back propagation neural network model,and system dynamics,which reveals the intrinsic characteristics and laws of the optimal disposition of military health service forces. We prepared the supporting system and operational box for optimal disposition of the military health forces using the geographic information system,database system,software engineering,and decision support systems,which provide not only a theoretic model for optimal disposition of military health service forces,information software,and equipment tool,and also theoretical evidence for the rapid decision-making in military health resource planning for diversified military actions. Our study has expanded the research area of evidence-informed decision-making in military health forces.