Clinical factors and ABCB1 polymorphisms in prediction of antiepileptic drug response: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND: The ABCB1 3435C-->T single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) or a three-SNP haplotype containing 3435C-->T has been implicated in multidrug resistance in epilepsy in three retrospective case-control studies, but a further three have failed to replicate the association. We aimed to determine the effect of the ABCB1 gene on epilepsy drug response, using a unique large cohort of epilepsy patients with prospectively measured seizure and drug response outcomes. METHODS: The ABCB1 3435C-->T polymorphism and three-SNP haplotype, plus a comprehensive set of tag SNPs across ABCB1 and adjacent ABCB4, were genotyped in a cohort of 503 epilepsy patients with prospectively measured seizure and drug response outcomes. Clinical, demographic, and genetic data were analysed. Treatment outcome was measured in terms of time to 12-month remission, time to first seizure, and time to drug withdrawal due to inadequate seizure control or side-effects. Randomly selected genome-wide HapMap SNPs (n=129) were genotyped in all patients for genomic control. FINDINGS: Number of seizures before treatment was the dominant feature predicting seizure outcome after starting antiepileptic drug therapy, measured by both time to first seizure (hazard ratio 1.34, 95% CI 1.21-1.49, p<0.0001) and time to 12-month remission (0.83, 0.73-0.94, p=0.003). There was no association of the ABCB1 3435C-->T polymorphism, the three-SNP haplotype, or any gene-wide tag SNP with time to first seizure after starting drug therapy, time to 12-month remission, or time to drug withdrawal due to unacceptable side-effects or to lack of seizure control. INTERPRETATION: We found no evidence that ABCB1 common variation influences either seizure or drug withdrawal outcomes after initiation of antiepileptic drug therapy.