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Expanded living‐donor liver transplantation criteria for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma based on the Japanese nationwide survey: the 5‐5‐500 rule ‐ a retrospective study
Authors:Tsuyoshi Shimamura  Nobuhisa Akamatsu  Masato Fujiyoshi  Atushi Kawaguchi  Satoshi Morita  Seiji Kawasaki  Shinji Uemoto  Norihiro Kokudo  Kiyoshi Hasegawa  Hideki Ohdan  Hiroto Egawa  Hiroyuki Furukawa  Satoru Todo  
Abstract:
Expansion of the liver transplantation indication criteria for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has long been debated. Here we propose new, expanded living‐donor liver transplantation (LDLT) criteria for HCC patients based on a retrospective data analysis of the Japanese nationwide survey. A total of 965 HCC patients undergoing LDLT were included, 301 (31%) of whom were beyond the Milan criteria. Here, we applied the Greenwood formula to investigate new criteria enabling the maximal enrollment of candidates while securing a 5‐year recurrence rate (95% upper confidence limit) below 10% by examining various combinations of tumor numbers and serum alpha‐fetoprotein values, and maintaining the maximal nodule diameter at 5 cm. Finally, new expanded criteria for LDLT candidates with HCC, the 5‐5‐500 rule (nodule size ≤5 cm in diameter, nodule number ≤5, and alfa‐fetoprotein value ≤500 ng/ml), were established as a new regulation with a 95% confidence interval of a 5‐year recurrence rate of 7.3% (5.2–9.3) and a 19% increase in the number of eligible patients. In addition, the 5‐5‐500 rule could identify patients at high risk of recurrence, among those within and beyond the Milan criteria. In conclusion, the new criteria – the 5‐5‐500 rule – might provide rational expansion for LDLT candidates with HCC.
Keywords:hepatocellular carcinoma  living donor liver transplantation
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