| 某兵工厂职工截缩简略寿命表及寿命预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 朱白璞,马宝珊,李惠芬,税文辉. 某兵工厂职工截缩简略寿命表及寿命预测[J]. 工业卫生与职业病, 2000, 26(2): 100-102 |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱白璞 马宝珊 李惠芬 税文辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 西安庆华医院,西安市,710025;西安庆华医院,西安市,710025;西安庆华医院,西安市,710025;西安庆华医院,西安市,710025 |
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| 摘 要： | 以２０多年某兵工厂职工与当地居民的死亡数据为基础,编制截缩简略寿命有,１９７４－１９９７年２０岁职工的预期寿命由４８．２９岁增加到５６．２９岁,与居民接近。死亡概率（ｑｘ）,３０－４５岁,６５－７５岁比值（职工／居民）〉１．０,与工伤、交通事故的频率及肿瘤的死亡率有关。用灰色理论模型预测１９９８－２００５年２０岁职工预期寿命,结果分别为６５．２７岁与６７．８０岁。
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| 关 键 词： | 职工寿命表 职工预期寿命 寿命预测 |
An Abridged Truncate Life Table and Life Expectation of Workers in an Ordnance Factory |
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| Zhu Baipu et al. An Abridged Truncate Life Table and Life Expectation of Workers in an Ordnance Factory[J]. Industrial Health and Occupational Diseases, 2000, 26(2): 100-102 |
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| Authors: | Zhu Baipu et al |
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| Abstract: | An abridged truncate life table based on death date of workers in an ordnance factory and residents in local area was compiled.From 1974 to 1997 the expected life span of 20 years old workers increased from 48 29 years to 56 69 years,which was quite close to that of the local residents.The ratio of the death probability of workers to the local residents at ages of 30 to 45 years and 60 to 75 years was more than 1,which was correlated with the occurrence of traffic accidents and the mortality rate of the malignant cancer.The expected life span of workers of 20 years old from 1998 to 2005 are calculated with a theoretical model of grey system,they are 65 27 years and 67 80 years respectively. |
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| Keywords: | Abridged truncate life table Expected life span of workers Life span expectation |
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