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Cost-effectiveness of adding oseltamivir to primary care for influenza-like-illness: economic evaluation alongside the randomised controlled ALIC4E trial in 15 European countries
Authors:Li  Xiao  Bilcke  Joke  van der Velden  Alike W.  Bruyndonckx  Robin  Coenen  Samuel  Bongard  Emily  de Paor  Muirrean  Chlabicz  Slawomir  Godycki-Cwirko  Maciek  Francis  Nick  Aabenhus  Rune  Bucher  Heiner C.  Colliers  Annelies  De Sutter  An  Garcia-Sangenis  Ana  Glinz  Dominik  Harbin  Nicolay J.  Kosiek  Katarzyna  Lindbæk  Morten  Lionis  Christos  Llor  Carl  Mikó-Pauer  Réka  Radzeviciene Jurgute  Ruta  Seifert  Bohumil  Sundvall  Pär-Daniel  Touboul Lundgren  Pia  Tsakountakis  Nikolaos  Verheij  Theo J.  Goossens  Herman  Butler  Christopher C.  Beutels  Philippe
Affiliation:1.Centre for Health Economics Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute (VAXINFECTIO), University of Antwerp, Campus Drie Eiken, room D.S.221, Universiteitsplein 1, 2610, Antwerp, Belgium
;2.Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center, Utrecht, The Netherlands
;3.Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and Statistical Bioinformatics (I-BIOSTAT), Data Science Institute (DSI), Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium
;4.Laboratory of Medical Microbiology, Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute (VAXINFECTIO), University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
;5.Department of Family Medicine and Population Health (FAMPOP), University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
;6.The Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
;7.RCSI Department of General Practice, 123 St Stephens Green, Dublin 2, Ireland
;8.Department of Family Medicine, Medical University of Bialystok, Białystok, Poland
;9.Centre for Family and Community Medicine, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland
;10.School of Primary Care, Population Sciences and Medical Education, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
;11.Section and Research Unit of General Practice, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
;12.Division of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Hygiene, Basel Institute for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland
;13.Department of Public Health and Primary Care (Centre for Family Medicine), Gent University, Gent, Belgium
;14.University Institute in Primary Care Research Jordi Gol, Via Roma Health Centre, Barcelona, Spain
;15.Department of Clinical Research, Basel Institute for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland
;16.Department of General Practice, Antibiotic Center for Primary Care, Institute of Health and Society, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
;17.Family Doctors’ Clinic, Lodz, Poland
;18.Research Leader Antibiotic Centre for Primary Care, Department of General Practice, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
;19.General Practice and Primary Health Care at the School of Medicine, University of Crete, Crete, Greece
;20.Research Unit for General Practice, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
;21.DRC Drug Research Center LLC, Balatonfüred, Hungary
;22.FDC Mano šeimos gydytojas, Klaipeda, Lithuania
;23.Institute of General Practice, First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University in Prague, Prague, Czech Republic
;24.General Practice/Family Medicine, School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
;25.Research, Education, Development and Innovation, Primary Health Care, Region Västra Götaland, Sandared, Sweden
;26.Département de Santé Publique, Hôpital de l’Archet, Nice, France
;27.Malia Surgery, Kastelli HC, Heraklio, Greece
;
Abstract:Background

Oseltamivir is usually not often prescribed (or reimbursed) for non-high-risk patients consulting for influenza-like-illness (ILI) in primary care in Europe. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adding oseltamivir to usual primary care in adults/adolescents (13 years +) and children with ILI during seasonal influenza epidemics, using data collected in an open-label, multi-season, randomised controlled trial of oseltamivir in 15 European countries.

Methods

Direct and indirect cost estimates were based on patient reported resource use and official country-specific unit costs. Health-Related Quality of Life was assessed by EQ-5D questionnaires. Costs and quality adjusted life-years (QALY) were bootstrapped (N = 10,000) to estimate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER), from both the healthcare payers’ and the societal perspectives, with uncertainty expressed through probabilistic sensitivity analysis and expected value for perfect information (EVPI) analysis. Additionally, scenario (self-reported spending), comorbidities subgroup and country-specific analyses were performed.

Results

The healthcare payers’ expected ICERs of oseltamivir were €22,459 per QALY gained in adults/adolescents and €13,001 in children. From the societal perspective, oseltamivir was cost-saving in adults/adolescents, but the ICER is €8,344 in children. Large uncertainties were observed in subgroups with comorbidities, especially for children. The expected ICERs and extent of decision uncertainty varied between countries (EVPI ranged €1–€35 per patient).

Conclusion

Adding oseltamivir to primary usual care in Europe is likely to be cost-effective for treating adults/adolescents and children with ILI from the healthcare payers’ perspective (if willingness-to-pay per QALY gained > €22,459) and cost-saving in adults/adolescents from a societal perspective.

Keywords:
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