| 医院门诊工作量区间预测方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 王文昌,李辉智.医院门诊工作量区间预测方法[J].中国医院统计,1998,5(3):129-130. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王文昌 李辉智 |
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| 作者单位： | 第三军医大学卫生统计学教研室(王文昌!重庆市4O0038，易东!重庆市4O0038，张蔚!重庆市4O0038，许汝福!重庆市4O0038)，西南政法大学刑侦系(李辉智) |
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| 摘 要： | 为研究医院门诊工作量的区间预测方法,本文利用时间序列的加法原理,建立了时间预测的线性模型,并进一步研究其区间预测方法,给出了模型参数的估计公式及预测值的区间估计公式、实例表明,本方法较为简单,且预测结果比较可靠。
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| 关 键 词： | 医院统计 区间预测 |
The Application of Interval Estimation Method to the Prediction on the Amount of Hospital Outpatient |
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| Wang Wenchang,Li Huizhi,et at..The Application of Interval Estimation Method to the Prediction on the Amount of Hospital Outpatient[J].Chinese Journal of Hospital Statistics,1998,5(3):129-130. |
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| Authors: | Wang Wenchang Li Huizhi et at |
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| Institution: | Wang Wenchang,Li Huizhi,et at.,Department of Health Statistics,Third Military Medical University. Chongqing,400038 |
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| Abstract: | To study the predictive models on the amount of hospital outpatient, we establish the linear model of time serials and set up its method about interval estimation of predictive value by using the addition principle of time serial date. Estimation formulas, both the model's parameters and interval estimation of predictive value are given. The application suggests that the method was simpler and the predictive result was more reliable. |
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| Keywords: | Hospital statistics Forecasting of interval |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
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