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Prognostic value of GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc score among patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention
Authors:Tingting Guo  Ziwei Xi  Hong Qiu  Yong Wang  Jianfeng Zheng  Kefei Dou  Bo Xu  Shubin Qiao  Weixian Yang  Runlin Gao
Affiliation:aThrombosis Center, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China};bDepartment of Cardiology, Coronary Artery Disease Center, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
Abstract:
AimsThe GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc risk score are developed for risk stratification in patients with acute coronary syndrome and AF, respectively. We aimed to assess the predictive performance of the GRACE score and CHA2DS2-VASc score among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).MethodsConsecutive patients with a diagnosis of AF admitted to our hospital for PCI between January 2016 and December 2018 were included and followed up for at least 1 year. The primary endpoint was a composite of major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) including all-cause mortality, repeat revascularization, myocardial infarction, or ischaemic stroke.ResultsA total of 1452 patients were identified. Cox regression demonstrated that the GRACE (HR 1.014, 95% CI 1.008–1.020, p < 0.001) but not the CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with the risk of MACEs. Both GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were predictive of all-cause mortality with HR of 1.028 (95% CI 1.020–1.037, p < 0.001) and 1.334 (95% CI 1.107–1.632, p = 0.003). Receiver operating characteristic analyses showed both scores had similar discrimination capacity for all-cause mortality (C-statistic: 0.708 for GRACE vs. 0.661 for CHA2DS2-VASc, p = 0.299). High GRACE score was also significantly associated with increased risk of ischaemic stroke (HR 1.018, 95% CI 1.005–1.031, p = 0.006) and major bleeding (HR 1.012, 95% CI 1.001–1.024, p = 0.039), whereas high CHA2DS2-VASc score was not.ConclusionsHigh GRACE score but not CHA2DS2-VASc score were both associated with an increased risk of MACEs after PCI in patients with AF. The GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc scores have similar predictive performance for predicting all-cause mortality.

Key messages:

  • In patients with AF undergoing PCI, increasing GRACE but not CHA2DS2-VASc scores was independently associated high risk of MACEs.
  • The GRACE score could also help identify patients at higher risk of stroke and major bleeding.
  • Both GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc scores showed good ability in the prediction of all-cause mortality.
Keywords:GRACE   CHA2DS2-VASc score   risk score   atrial fibrillation   percutaneous coronary intervention
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